Sam Houston vs Liberty Prediction, Picks & Odds | 07 Mar 2026
College Basketball Betting Preview: Sam Houston vs Liberty
The Sam Houston Bearkats square off against the Liberty Flames, with tip-off scheduled for 14:00 on Saturday, March 7.
The best wager could involve backing Sam Houston against the spread. There’s a generous +5.5 available at -115 that the underdogs cover the line against Liberty and that has to be our pick.
Sam Houston Bearkats lost on the road in their previous game. Delaware Fighting Blue Hens won 83-80.
Liberty Flames lost their last game, being beaten at home to Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 76-71.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Liberty beat Sam Houston in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 82-74 scoreline. Liberty have triumphed in their previous three matchups against Sam Houston. On the head-to-head front, it has been 4 wins out of 5.
| NCAAB | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberty
|
25-7 | 2501 | 2253 | 248 | 14-4 | 11-3 | 1L |
Sam Houston
|
22-11 | 2714 | 2447 | 267 | 14-2 | 8-9 | 1L |
Sam Houston vs Liberty Prediction & Picks
The Sam Houston vs Liberty betting tips feature sharp analysis across major markets, including a key match prediction, correct score guidance and a ready-made bet builder.
Game Prediction
The market might have underrated Sam Houston in this college matchup and -115 makes plenty of appeal considering the underdogs are +5.5 on the spread. Back them to cover the line.
We use the latest team news and injury updates to help shape the best possible basketball predictions. You’ll also notice we take a stats-led approach by factoring in the key college hoops numbers that truly make a difference.
Key Sam Houston vs Liberty stats:
Sam Houston +5.5 Probability
According to the best betting apps, our pick has a 53.5% chance of delivering a return. However, our cappers in-depth research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.
There’s the option to move the line for your point spread pick and this enables bettors to get bigger odds. If you’re prepared for additional risk, you can get more bang for your buck.
Before placing your wager, explore the best betting offers. Our in-depth bonus guide features a wide range of promotions to choose from.
Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve got a same game parlay with three options: Sam Houston +5.5, Under 155.5 and at least one team not to score 60 points and Sam Houston to win on the Result & BTTS lines.
We recommend a same game parlay as it’s a fantastic way of wagering on a single event. Many basketball bettors like to create a personalised wager which reflects their predictions for how a game is going to play out.
Correct Score Prediction
75
-
77
Liberty
We’ll roll the dice and go for the Flames to register a 77-75 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams and we’re happy to take the massive odds.
Sam Houston vs Liberty Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Sportsbooks’ favorites Liberty are regarded as likeliest victors for this college game and the -204 about them triumphing means a 67% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. At +168, Sam Houston are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.
4.5 is the spread and 155.5 is the total points line. A Total wager relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. There’s the chance to back Under 155.5 at -110.
If you’re betting on college basketball, it’s a good idea to visit the best sportsbooks and browse the wide range of game lines and team props available. You’ll have the option to place wagers both pre-game and in-game.
Prop bets don’t involve betting on a team to win and instead might look at a player’s individual performance. For example, the number of Points they might score or the number of Assists they might have.
Micro betting is an exciting way to wager on college basketball. There are many live lines and it’s a simple case of predicting what is going to happen. Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer are among the options.
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Sam Houston Stats
Liberty Stats
- 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
- +5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road
- -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
- -5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 156.90 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 157.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 155.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 155.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.00 pts and allowed 74.90 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 79.50 pts and allowed 77.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 152.50 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 151.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 155.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
- Over 155.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 76.50 pts and allowed 76.00 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 78.70 pts and allowed 72.50 pts in the last 10 home games
NCAAB Table Select Season
| Conference USA | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Liberty
|
25-7 | 2501 | 2253 | 248 | 14-4 | 11-3 | 1L |
|
Sam Houston
|
22-11 | 2714 | 2447 | 267 | 14-2 | 8-9 | 1L |
Kennesaw State
|
21-13 | 2834 | 2587 | 247 | 14-3 | 7-10 | 3W |
Louisiana Tech
|
20-14 | 2375 | 2210 | 165 | 16-4 | 4-10 | 1L |
Western Kentucky
|
18-14 | 2537 | 2436 | 101 | 13-6 | 5-8 | 3L |
Middle Tennessee
|
17-15 | 2414 | 2329 | 85 | 12-5 | 5-10 | 1L |
New Mexico State
|
16-16 | 2403 | 2303 | 100 | 11-6 | 5-10 | 1L |
Missouri State
|
16-18 | 2551 | 2502 | 49 | 11-7 | 5-11 | 1L |
Jacksonville State
|
15-17 | 2325 | 2188 | 137 | 10-9 | 5-8 | 1L |
FIU
|
15-17 | 2580 | 2492 | 88 | 12-7 | 3-10 | 1L |
UTEP
|
11-20 | 2149 | 2244 | -95 | 9-8 | 2-12 | 1L |
Delaware
|
10-21 | 2098 | 2293 | -195 | 6-11 | 4-10 | 1L |
- Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
- PF = Total Points For
- PA = Total Points Against
- N. Pts = Point Differential
- Home = Home Record
- Away = Away Record
- Strk = Current Streak
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