Samford vs Mercer Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Samford vs Mercer

The Samford Bulldogs go up against the Mercer Bears, with tip-off scheduled for 14:00 on Saturday, February 21.

Considering the +3.5 that is on offer for Samford, our prediction is that the underdogs will cover the spread against Mercer. They can stay in the game and odds of -105 is available.

Samford Bulldogs won their previous game 78-75. This was a road victory against The Citadel Bulldogs.

Mercer Bears lost when they last took to the court. They were turned over 94-90 at home to Chattanooga Mocs.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Samford triumphed 69-49 when they last played Mercer. Samford have triumphed in their previous four matchups against Mercer. On the head-to-head front, it has been 8 wins out of 10.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Mercer	17-11	2328	2099	229	12-1	5-10	1L
Samford	16-12	2191	2095	96	9-3	7-9	6W

View Full Standings

Samford vs Mercer Prediction & Picks

This expert Samford vs Mercer betting breakdown features our match prediction, a correct score pick and a carefully constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Game Prediction

Samford look very easy to back at -105 considering they’ve been given a spread of +3.5. This looks a great number when squaring off in this college showdown.

The formbook is always a smart starting point when making basketball predictions. Up-to-date college hoops team news is just as important, while the stats we provide often reveal valuable insights.

Key Samford vs Mercer stats:

• The +3.5 line has been covered by Samford in 6 consecutive games.
• The +3.5 line has been covered by Samford in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +3.5 line has been covered by Samford in 13 of their last 20 games.
• The -3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mercer in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The -3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mercer in 4 consecutive games against Samford.

Samford +3.5 Probability

Based on the latest odds from the top sportsbooks, our pick carries a 51.3% chance of winning. Based on our analysts research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

There are bigger odds available to bettors who are willing to move the line. If you’re prepared for additional risk, more juice can be landed from your betting selections.

Looking for the best betting offers? Our expert guide includes a wide range of welcome bonuses and free bets just for you.

Our Game Prediction

Samford +3.5 @ -105 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 20, 23:03). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Samford 80 - 79 Mercer

We’ll throw a dart when it comes to Samford claiming a 80-79 victory. This correct score pick is available at huge odds and could be an entertaining bet to place.

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Samford vs Mercer Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

There’s an absence of Moneyline odds for this college game due to it being perceived as one-sided, although underdogs Samford and their opponents are available as options on the spread.

The spread currently stands at 3.5 and the total points line is 154.5. The Totals offers basketball fans an alternative way of getting involved. If you're keen on Over 154.5, this selection is available at -115.

You’ll find a broad selection of team props and game lines for most college contests, with the best basketball betting sites offering plenty of options. Be sure to review both the pre-game and in-game markets before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Samford

-

Mercer

-

Point Spread

Samford +3.5

-105

Mercer -3.5

-115

Total Points

Under 154.5

-105

Over 154.5

-115

As an alternative to the game lines and team props, check out the player props that are available. These can be a great alternative if you want to focus on a player’s performance. The best gambling sites will provide lots of options.

There are always opportunities to enjoy college basketball micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find player and team props in-game and bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as if the next shot will be a Two or Three-Pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Samford Stats

Mercer Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 151.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 153.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 154.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 154.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 79.30 pts and allowed 72.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 74.00 pts and allowed 79.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 157.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 166.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 154.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 154.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 81.00 pts and allowed 76.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 94.70 pts and allowed 71.80 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Southern	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
E. Tennessee St.	20-8	2193	1908	285	13-3	7-5	1W
Wofford	18-10	2219	2155	64	10-3	8-7	1W
Mercer	17-11	2328	2099	229	12-1	5-10	1L
Furman	17-11	2142	1976	166	11-6	6-5	1L
Samford	16-12	2191	2095	96	9-3	7-9	6W
UNC Greensboro	12-16	2201	2259	-58	9-5	3-11	1L
Western Carolina	11-15	2043	2052	-9	8-3	3-12	3W
Chattanooga	11-17	2110	2084	26	6-7	5-10	1W
Citadel	9-19	1942	2135	-193	7-8	2-11	3L
VMI	6-22	2031	2229	-198	5-8	1-14	13L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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