San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Saturday

Emirates NBA Cup Semifinal Betting Preview: Spurs vs Thunder

The San Antonio Spurs battle the Oklahoma City Thunder in the Emirates NBA Cup West Semifinal at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

We’ve got a strong opinion when it comes to the totals when the Spurs play the Thunder. Our prediction is that there will be Over 224.5 points and that is on offer at -114.

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The San Antonio Spurs picked up a 132–119 road win over the LA Lakers at Crypto.com Arena in the quarterfinals, giving them their second straight victory. Stephon Castle dropped 30 points, as De'Aaron Fox finished with 20 and Keldon Johnson 17.

Oklahoma City Thunder dominated 138–89 in the quarterfinals, picking up their sixteenth straight win with a home victory over the Phoenix Suns at Paycom Center. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 28 points, with Chet Holmgren adding 24 and Jalen Williams 15.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Thunder beat the Spurs when the teams last met. It was a 146-132 scoreline at Frost Bank Center. The past 10 games between the teams have seen the Thunder win eight times.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	24	1	0.96	123.6	106.2	17.4	12-0	12-1	5-1	20-1	10-0	16W
Spurs	17	7	0.708	120.1	115.4	4.7	9-2	8-5	7-0	11-6	7-3	2W

View Full Standings

The Spurs have 7 wins and 3 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 122.7 points, 44.1 rebounds, 24.5 assists, 8.1 steals and 3.8 blocks while shooting 47.3% from the field and 80.1% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 121.2 points and 43.2 rebounds per contest.

De'Aaron Fox is averaging 24.8 points and 6.4 assists, while Keldon Johnson averages 7.0 rebounds and Devin Vassell 3.1 (46.3%) 3-pointers made.

The Thunder have won all of their last 10 contests. Averaging 126.3 points, 41.6 rebounds, 28.2 assists, 9.3 steals and 5.5 blocks per game while shooting 53.6% from the field and 79.3% from the free-throw line. Their opponents average 105.8 points and 42.5 rebounds.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 30.3 points, 5.5 assists and 2.0 (64.5%) 3-pointers made, while Chet Holmgren has an average of 7.8 rebounds.

San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Picks

Our expert San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder tips include betting advice on all fronts — from a main match prediction and player prop guidance to a correct score selection and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

These teams are capable of scoring more than 224.5 points in this NBA contest. Therefore, we’re going Over the total line and expect a payout at -114.

The handicappers at Sportsgambler.com regularly track injury updates and pair that with current form. We also tap into a deep stats database to highlight the key numbers that help shape our basketball predictions.

Key Spurs vs Thunder stats:

• The 224.5 line has been covered in the last 7 Spurs games.
• The 224.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Spurs games.
• The 224.5 line has been covered in 15 of the last 20 Spurs games.
• The 224.5 line has been covered in the last 6 Thunder games.
• The 224.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Thunder games.
• The 224.5 line has been covered in 14 of the last 20 Thunder games.

Over 224.5 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 53.2% chance of winning. After careful examination, our team of cappers calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

Secure more desirable odds by moving the line when you place an Over bet. You can choose from a range of options on the Totals until you’re happy with your wager.

Before placing your next bet, explore our trusted bonus guide featuring top free bets and generous sign-up offers.

Our Game Prediction

Over 224.5 Points @ -114 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: De'Aaron Fox Over 3.5 Rebounds -114

De'Aaron Fox (Spurs) has finished with Over 3.5 rebounds in 5 straight games. We think that the value can be found by wagering on Player Rebounds and you can get -114 that he goes over the line.

Latest De'Aaron Fox Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 21.5

-105

Under 21.5

-127

Assists

Over 5.5

-106

Under 5.5

-125

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-114

Under 3.5

-118

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Devin Vassell Over 11.5 Points -130

Devin Vassell (Spurs) has averaged 18 points in the past 10 games. We will therefore place a bet that he is able to cover the line for this Player Points wager which is available at odds of -130.

Latest Devin Vassell Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 12.5

-100

Under 12.5

-132

Assists

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

+138

Rebounds

Over 3.5

+112

Under 3.5

-149

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Correct Score Prediction

Spurs 108 - 123 Thunder

The Thunder will be chasing down a victory and a winning scoreline of 123-108 might be along the right lines. There are enormous odds available about this bet.

San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The latest Moneyline betting odds give Oklahoma City Thunder a 83% chance of winning this NBA game which means they’re overwhelming -500 favorites with the sportsbooks. At +385, San Antonio Spurs are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The current spread is 10.5 and total points is 226.5. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball wagers. If you're keen on Over 226.5, this selection is available at -106.

You can find hundreds of game lines and team props for every contest, with the top betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Spurs

+385

Thunder

-500

Point Spread

Spurs +10.5

-114

Thunder -10.5

-106

Total Points

Under 226.5

-114

Over 226.5

-106

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can back -114 that he gets Over 31.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -118.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 31.5

-114

Under 31.5

-118

De'Aaron Fox (Spurs)

Over 21.5

-105

Under 21.5

-127

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 19.5

-115

Under 19.5

-115

Victor Wembanyama (Spurs)

Over 18.5

-106

Under 18.5

-125

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 16.5

-112

Under 16.5

-120

Stephon Castle (Spurs)

Over 15.5

-112

Under 15.5

-120

Devin Vassell (Spurs)

Over 12.5

-100

Under 12.5

-132

Harrison Barnes (Spurs)

Over 10.5

-120

Under 10.5

-110

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 7.5

-130

Under 7.5

-103

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 7.5

-120

Under 7.5

-112

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 6.5

-103

Under 6.5

-130

De'Aaron Fox (Spurs)

Over 5.5

-106

Under 5.5

-125

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 5.5

-120

Under 5.5

-110

Stephon Castle (Spurs)

Over 5.5

-147

Under 5.5

+110

Victor Wembanyama (Spurs)

Over 3.5

+130

Under 3.5

-179

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 2.5

+128

Under 2.5

-169

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

+108

Devin Vassell (Spurs)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

+138

Victor Wembanyama (Spurs)

Over 9.5

+108

Under 9.5

-143

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 7.5

-141

Under 7.5

+106

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 5.5

-104

Under 5.5

-128

Stephon Castle (Spurs)

Over 5.5

+118

Under 5.5

-156

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 4.5

-105

Under 4.5

-127

De'Aaron Fox (Spurs)

Over 3.5

-114

Under 3.5

-118

Devin Vassell (Spurs)

Over 3.5

+112

Under 3.5

-149

Harrison Barnes (Spurs)

Over 3.5

+115

Under 3.5

-152

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 3.5

-108

Under 3.5

-122

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 3.5

+130

Under 3.5

-179

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

San Antonio Spurs Stats

Oklahoma City Thunder Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games

Moneyline

• 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 games

Point Spread

• +10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games

Point Spread

• -10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 243.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 224.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 122.70 pts and allowed 121.20 pts in the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 232.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 224.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 126.30 pts and allowed 105.80 pts in the last 10 games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.60 (54%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 14.30 (38%)
• Free Throws Made: 22.60 (80.14%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.1, Offensive 11.90, Defensive 32.20
• Assists: 24.50
• Blocks: 3.80
• Steals: 8.10
• Turnovers : 11.80
• Personal Fouls: 19.80

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.70 (60%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 15.00 (44%)
• Free Throws Made: 19.90 (79.28%)
• Rebounds: Total 41.6, Offensive 6.50, Defensive 35.10
• Assists: 28.20
• Blocks: 5.50
• Steals: 9.30
• Turnovers : 12.00
• Personal Fouls: 20.40

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

NBA Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Knicks	17	7	0.708	120.5	111.9	8.6	13-1	4-6	5-1	13-7	8-2	4W
Celtics	15	10	0.6	116.6	110.8	5.8	8-4	7-6	4-4	11-7	7-3	1L
76ers	14	10	0.583	116.8	115.7	1.1	8-7	6-3	5-2	12-9	6-4	1W
Raptors	15	11	0.577	115.8	113.9	1.9	8-6	7-5	3-4	13-7	4-6	4L
Nets	6	18	0.25	109.5	117.3	-7.8	2-10	4-8	1-7	5-13	4-6	1L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	20	5	0.8	119.6	113.3	6.3	12-2	8-3	5-3	15-5	7-3	3W
Cavaliers	15	11	0.577	119	115.8	3.2	9-6	6-5	6-0	12-8	5-5	1W
Bucks	11	15	0.423	115.1	117.3	-2.2	8-7	3-8	3-4	9-11	3-7	1W
Bulls	10	14	0.417	117.8	122.7	-4.9	6-5	4-9	1-5	7-10	2-8	1W
Pacers	6	19	0.24	111	118.7	-7.7	5-8	1-11	2-5	4-10	4-6	1L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Magic	15	10	0.6	117.8	113.4	4.4	10-4	5-6	5-2	12-8	7-3	1W
Heat	14	11	0.56	121.7	118.2	3.5	10-3	4-8	2-3	8-6	5-5	4L
Hawks	14	12	0.538	117.9	117.5	0.4	4-6	10-6	4-1	8-8	5-5	1L
Hornets	7	18	0.28	114.7	118.7	-4	5-8	2-10	1-4	6-12	3-7	2L
Wizards	3	20	0.13	113	128.3	-15.3	2-9	1-11	1-3	2-16	2-8	4L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	24	1	0.96	123.6	106.2	17.4	12-0	12-1	5-1	20-1	10-0	16W
Nuggets	18	6	0.75	125.5	115.9	9.6	6-4	12-2	2-1	13-5	7-3	4W
Timberwolves	15	9	0.625	119.6	114.8	4.8	8-4	7-5	3-3	10-8	6-4	1L
Jazz	9	15	0.375	118.1	125.8	-7.7	6-7	3-8	0-5	5-11	4-6	1W
Trail Blazers	9	16	0.36	117.5	121.5	-4	3-6	6-10	3-3	7-11	3-7	3L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	17	7	0.708	118.3	116.8	1.5	7-4	10-3	2-2	12-5	7-3	1L
Suns	14	11	0.56	114.8	114.4	0.4	8-4	6-7	5-2	13-10	5-5	1L
Warriors	13	12	0.52	113.5	111.7	1.8	7-3	6-9	3-1	10-7	4-6	2W
Kings	6	19	0.24	111.2	122.6	-11.4	3-8	3-11	1-3	4-16	3-7	2L
Clippers	6	19	0.24	111.6	116.7	-5.1	3-7	3-12	1-4	4-12	2-8	3L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Rockets	16	6	0.727	120.6	110.4	10.2	8-2	8-4	2-2	9-5	7-3	1W
Spurs	17	7	0.708	120.1	115.4	4.7	9-2	8-5	7-0	11-6	7-3	2W
Grizzlies	11	14	0.44	114.1	115.9	-1.8	6-7	5-7	4-3	10-8	7-3	1L
Mavericks	10	16	0.385	112.1	115.9	-3.8	7-9	3-7	2-5	5-11	6-4	2W
Pelicans	4	22	0.154	114.2	123.5	-9.3	3-12	1-10	1-6	2-19	2-8	1W

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	20	5	0.8	119.6	113.3	6.3	12-2	8-3	5-3	15-5	7-3	3W
Knicks	17	7	0.708	120.5	111.9	8.6	13-1	4-6	5-1	13-7	8-2	4W
Celtics	15	10	0.6	116.6	110.8	5.8	8-4	7-6	4-4	11-7	7-3	1L
Magic	15	10	0.6	117.8	113.4	4.4	10-4	5-6	5-2	12-8	7-3	1W
76ers	14	10	0.583	116.8	115.7	1.1	8-7	6-3	5-2	12-9	6-4	1W
Raptors	15	11	0.577	115.8	113.9	1.9	8-6	7-5	3-4	13-7	4-6	4L
Cavaliers	15	11	0.577	119	115.8	3.2	9-6	6-5	6-0	12-8	5-5	1W
Heat	14	11	0.56	121.7	118.2	3.5	10-3	4-8	2-3	8-6	5-5	4L
Hawks	14	12	0.538	117.9	117.5	0.4	4-6	10-6	4-1	8-8	5-5	1L
Bucks	11	15	0.423	115.1	117.3	-2.2	8-7	3-8	3-4	9-11	3-7	1W
Bulls	10	14	0.417	117.8	122.7	-4.9	6-5	4-9	1-5	7-10	2-8	1W
Hornets	7	18	0.28	114.7	118.7	-4	5-8	2-10	1-4	6-12	3-7	2L
Nets	6	18	0.25	109.5	117.3	-7.8	2-10	4-8	1-7	5-13	4-6	1L
Pacers	6	19	0.24	111	118.7	-7.7	5-8	1-11	2-5	4-10	4-6	1L
Wizards	3	20	0.13	113	128.3	-15.3	2-9	1-11	1-3	2-16	2-8	4L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	24	1	0.96	123.6	106.2	17.4	12-0	12-1	5-1	20-1	10-0	16W
Nuggets	18	6	0.75	125.5	115.9	9.6	6-4	12-2	2-1	13-5	7-3	4W
Rockets	16	6	0.727	120.6	110.4	10.2	8-2	8-4	2-2	9-5	7-3	1W
Lakers	17	7	0.708	118.3	116.8	1.5	7-4	10-3	2-2	12-5	7-3	1L
Spurs	17	7	0.708	120.1	115.4	4.7	9-2	8-5	7-0	11-6	7-3	2W
Timberwolves	15	9	0.625	119.6	114.8	4.8	8-4	7-5	3-3	10-8	6-4	1L
Suns	14	11	0.56	114.8	114.4	0.4	8-4	6-7	5-2	13-10	5-5	1L
Warriors	13	12	0.52	113.5	111.7	1.8	7-3	6-9	3-1	10-7	4-6	2W
Grizzlies	11	14	0.44	114.1	115.9	-1.8	6-7	5-7	4-3	10-8	7-3	1L
Mavericks	10	16	0.385	112.1	115.9	-3.8	7-9	3-7	2-5	5-11	6-4	2W
Jazz	9	15	0.375	118.1	125.8	-7.7	6-7	3-8	0-5	5-11	4-6	1W
Trail Blazers	9	16	0.36	117.5	121.5	-4	3-6	6-10	3-3	7-11	3-7	3L
Kings	6	19	0.24	111.2	122.6	-11.4	3-8	3-11	1-3	4-16	3-7	2L
Clippers	6	19	0.24	111.6	116.7	-5.1	3-7	3-12	1-4	4-12	2-8	3L
Pelicans	4	22	0.154	114.2	123.5	-9.3	3-12	1-10	1-6	2-19	2-8	1W

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	24	1	0.96	123.6	106.2	17.4	12-0	12-1	5-1	20-1	10-0	16W
Pistons	20	5	0.8	119.6	113.3	6.3	12-2	8-3	5-3	15-5	7-3	3W
Nuggets	18	6	0.75	125.5	115.9	9.6	6-4	12-2	2-1	13-5	7-3	4W
Rockets	16	6	0.727	120.6	110.4	10.2	8-2	8-4	2-2	9-5	7-3	1W
Lakers	17	7	0.708	118.3	116.8	1.5	7-4	10-3	2-2	12-5	7-3	1L
Knicks	17	7	0.708	120.5	111.9	8.6	13-1	4-6	5-1	13-7	8-2	4W
Spurs	17	7	0.708	120.1	115.4	4.7	9-2	8-5	7-0	11-6	7-3	2W
Timberwolves	15	9	0.625	119.6	114.8	4.8	8-4	7-5	3-3	10-8	6-4	1L
Celtics	15	10	0.6	116.6	110.8	5.8	8-4	7-6	4-4	11-7	7-3	1L
Magic	15	10	0.6	117.8	113.4	4.4	10-4	5-6	5-2	12-8	7-3	1W
76ers	14	10	0.583	116.8	115.7	1.1	8-7	6-3	5-2	12-9	6-4	1W
Cavaliers	15	11	0.577	119	115.8	3.2	9-6	6-5	6-0	12-8	5-5	1W
Raptors	15	11	0.577	115.8	113.9	1.9	8-6	7-5	3-4	13-7	4-6	4L
Heat	14	11	0.56	121.7	118.2	3.5	10-3	4-8	2-3	8-6	5-5	4L
Suns	14	11	0.56	114.8	114.4	0.4	8-4	6-7	5-2	13-10	5-5	1L
Hawks	14	12	0.538	117.9	117.5	0.4	4-6	10-6	4-1	8-8	5-5	1L
Warriors	13	12	0.52	113.5	111.7	1.8	7-3	6-9	3-1	10-7	4-6	2W
Grizzlies	11	14	0.44	114.1	115.9	-1.8	6-7	5-7	4-3	10-8	7-3	1L
Bucks	11	15	0.423	115.1	117.3	-2.2	8-7	3-8	3-4	9-11	3-7	1W
Bulls	10	14	0.417	117.8	122.7	-4.9	6-5	4-9	1-5	7-10	2-8	1W
Mavericks	10	16	0.385	112.1	115.9	-3.8	7-9	3-7	2-5	5-11	6-4	2W
Jazz	9	15	0.375	118.1	125.8	-7.7	6-7	3-8	0-5	5-11	4-6	1W
Trail Blazers	9	16	0.36	117.5	121.5	-4	3-6	6-10	3-3	7-11	3-7	3L
Hornets	7	18	0.28	114.7	118.7	-4	5-8	2-10	1-4	6-12	3-7	2L
Nets	6	18	0.25	109.5	117.3	-7.8	2-10	4-8	1-7	5-13	4-6	1L
Pacers	6	19	0.24	111	118.7	-7.7	5-8	1-11	2-5	4-10	4-6	1L
Clippers	6	19	0.24	111.6	116.7	-5.1	3-7	3-12	1-4	4-12	2-8	3L
Kings	6	19	0.24	111.2	122.6	-11.4	3-8	3-11	1-3	4-16	3-7	2L
Pelicans	4	22	0.154	114.2	123.5	-9.3	3-12	1-10	1-6	2-19	2-8	1W
Wizards	3	20	0.13	113	128.3	-15.3	2-9	1-11	1-3	2-16	2-8	4L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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