Washington Wizards
Miami Heat
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Wizards vs Heat

The Washington Wizards face the Miami Heat in this NBA game. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

Go For Under 242.5 With Confidence

Under 242.5 points could be on the money when the Wizards go up against the Heat. Our prediction is based on a low-scoring game and the odds of -110 looks like a value wager.

Heat Are 7 From 10 on the Head-to-Head

Washington Wizards have suffered a defeat in their previous eight games including a recent 138-118 loss. This occurred on the road at Smoothie King Center against New Orleans Pelicans. Tre Johnson dropped 20 points, as Will Riley finished with 19 and Trae Young 17.

Miami Heat have enjoyed five straight wins, most recently beating Detroit Pistons 121-110. It was a home success at Kaseya Center. Offensively, Tyler Herro led the way, scoring 25, while Bam Adebayo added 24 and Jaime Jaquez Jr. 19.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Heat beat the Wizards when the teams last met. It was a 132-101 scoreline at Capital One Arena. The past 10 H2H games have seen the Heat land seven wins.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Heat logo Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Wizards logo Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
View Full Standings
Washington Wizards – Last 10 Games

2 wins and 8 losses in the past 10 games. The Wizards are averaging 113.1 points, 40.4 rebounds, 24.5 assists, 8.2 steals and 5.2 blocks while shooting 47.3% from the field and 75.5% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 124.0 points and 48.1 rebounds per contest.

Will Riley is averaging 13.8 points, while Bub Carrington averages 4.2 rebounds, 4.4 assists and 1.6 (39.0%) 3-pointers made.

Miami Heat – Last 10 Games

The Heat have won 8 and lost 2 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 123.5 points, 49.8 rebounds, 29.0 assists, 8.5 steals and 5.5 blocks per game while shooting 47.8% from the field and 80.1% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 112.3 points and 44.3 rebounds.

Bam Adebayo is averaging 22.0 points, Kel'el Ware 10.2 rebounds and Davion Mitchell 4.6 assists, while Tyler Herro has an average of 2.7 (45.0%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Washington Wizards lineup: Bilal Coulibaly, Bub Carrington, Tre Johnson, Alex Sarr, Will Riley.

Miami Heat lineup: Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Myron Gardner, Kasparas Jakucionis, Davion Mitchell.

Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Prediction & Picks

Join us as we dissect the top Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat betting picks — from the main match prediction and scoreline forecast to standout player props and a value-focused bet builder.

Game Prediction

Let’s go Under the 242.5 points total as we think this number is unlikely to be reached in this NBA contest. The two teams could well end up falling short and -110 can be backed.

Our expert basketball predictions always start with checking the latest team news and understanding how it might impact the matchup. From there, we dive into the most valuable NBA stats to uncover the insights that matter most.

Key Wizards vs Heat stats:

  • The 242.5 line hasn’t been covered in 15 of the last 20 Wizards games on the road.
  • The 242.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Wizards games.
  • The 242.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 Heat games at home.
  • The 242.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Heat games.
  • The 242.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 Heat games.
  • The 242.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 10 games between these teams.

Under 242.5 Probability

If you go by the top NBA sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% chance of delivering a return. However, our cappers research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

We recommend moving the line if you want more juice from your Total wager. If you’re going Under, then consider a slightly riskier bet which has a bigger payout.

Before you bet, take a look at our complete guide to the best free bets and new customer bonuses on offer now.

Our Game Prediction
Under 242.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now BetMGM logo
BetMGM logo
BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 9, 23:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 23:02, 09 March 2026

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Tyler Herro Under 25.5 Points -116 BetMGM logo

Tyler Herro (Heat) has failed to cover the 25.5 points total in 8 of the past 9 games. There could once again be a failure on his part to cover the line and the Player Points bet can be backed at -116.

Latest Tyler Herro Player Prop Odds


Will Riley Over 1.5 Assists -167 BetMGM logo

Will Riley (Wizards) has totaled Over 1.5 assists in 7 of the past 10 games. We’re sweet on him covering the Player Assists line once again, with odds of -167 on offer that this happens.

Latest Will Riley Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Totals Under 237.5
Spread Heat -16
Player Points Tyler Herro Under 25.5

Our same game parlay pick is Under 237.5, Heat -16 on the spread and Tyler Herro (Heat) to score Under 25.5 points.

Should you want to back different outcomes for the same basketball game, then a same game parlay will suit your needs. The betting sites create this personalised wagering tool where you can make different picks and combine the odds together.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Wizards Wizards logo 109 - 128 Heat logo Heat

The Heat will be chasing down a victory and a winning scoreline of 128-109 might be along the right lines. There are enormous odds available about this bet.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Heat Big Favorites According to Latest Odds

Miami Heat are strong -1250 favorites to win this NBA game according to the Moneyline betting odds. The sportsbooks give them a 93% chance of claiming victory. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Washington Wizards are trading at +750.

The spread is calculated to be 15.5, while total points comes in at 236.5. Basketball bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. There’s the chance to back Under 236.5 at -110.

The best betting sites offer hundreds of game lines and team props when it comes to most basketball contests. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Betting Lines & Odds
Tyler Herro Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

In terms of landing the most baskets, favorite Tyler Herro is available at -109 to rack up Over 25.5 points. If you want to go Under, then -123 is available.

Player Points
Player Assists
Davion Mitchell (Heat)
Over 6.5
-104
Under 6.5
-132
BetMGM Logo
Trae Young (Wizards)
Over 6.5
-100
Under 6.5
-135
BetMGM Logo
Jaime Jaquez Jr (Heat)
Over 4.5
-125
Under 4.5
-109
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Micro Betting

It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to basketball micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Field Goal. Check out the live team, score and player props to see if you can find an angle.

Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Best Betting Offers
Kaseya Center
Kaseya Center
Heat Keep Cashing In at Home

The Heat have strung together five in a row at Kaseya Center. They are 6-4 in their last 10 home games, putting up 122.40 points on average and giving up 113.40.

The Wizards have taken six consecutive losses away from home. They have gone 1-9 across their last 10 games away from home, averaging 111.80 points scored and 125.90 points allowed.

The Wizards defeated the Heat 119-118 in their last meeting at Kaseya Center. In 10 meetings at Kaseya Center, the Heat have seven wins to their name, with the Wizards having three.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O247.5 U247.5
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Home Stats 6-4 243.40 123.50 119.90 3 7
Washington Wizards logo Washington Wizards Away Stats 1-9 243.80 114.80 129.00 5 5
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O247.5 = Games Over 247.5 Points
  • U247.5 = Games Under 247.5 Points
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Washington Wizards logo Washington Wizards Stats
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Stats
Moneyline
  • 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Washington Wizards Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Anthony Davis 20 31.28 407 56 20.4 2.8 0.5 11.1 1.7 1.1
Leaky Black 9 31.19 73 17 8.1 1.9 1.3 5.9 0.8 0.8
Julian Reese 7 31.01 80 13 11.4 1.9 - 11.0 0.4 1.0

Miami Heat Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Bam Adebayo 68 32.34 1378 203 20.3 3.0 1.7 10.0 0.7 1.2
Tyler Herro 30 31.74 643 118 21.4 3.9 2.6 4.6 0.4 0.7
Andrew Wiggins 63 30.69 980 169 15.6 2.7 2.0 5.0 1.1 1.2

Injuries & Suspensions

Washington Wizards Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Miami Heat Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Confirmed Lineup
9 Pelle Larsson
13 Bam Adebayo
15 Myron Gardner
25 Kasparas Jakucionis
45 Davion Mitchell
Washington Wizards logo Washington Wizards Confirmed Lineup
0 Bilal Coulibaly
7 Bub Carrington
12 Tre Johnson
20 Alex Sarr
27 Will Riley

Previous Washington Wizards Lineups

01 Apr NBA
76ers 153-131 Wizards
30 Mar NBA
Wizards 101-120 Lakers
29 Mar NBA
Wizards 88-123 Trail Blazers
27 Mar NBA
Wizards 126-131 Warriors
25 Mar NBA
Wizards 133-110 Jazz
22 Mar NBA
Wizards 113-145 Knicks
21 Mar NBA
Thunder 132-111 Wizards
19 Mar NBA
Pistons 117-95 Wizards
17 Mar NBA
Pistons 130-117 Wizards
16 Mar NBA
Warriors 125-117 Wizards

Previous Miami Heat Lineups

01 Apr NBA
Celtics 147-129 Heat
30 Mar NBA
76ers 109-119 Heat
29 Mar NBA
Heat 118-135 Pacers
27 Mar NBA
Heat 128-149 Cavaliers
25 Mar NBA
Heat 120-103 Cavaliers
23 Mar NBA
Spurs 136-111 Heat
21 Mar NBA
Heat 122-123 Rockets
19 Mar NBA
Lakers 134-126 Heat
17 Mar NBA
Heat 106-136 Hornets
14 Mar NBA
Magic 121-117 Heat

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak