San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Saturday

Emirates NBA Cup Semifinal Betting Preview: Spurs vs Thunder

The San Antonio Spurs battle the Oklahoma City Thunder in the Emirates NBA Cup West Semifinal at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

We’ve got a strong opinion when it comes to the totals when the Spurs play the Thunder. Our prediction is that there will be Over 224.5 points and that is on offer at -114.

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The San Antonio Spurs picked up a 132–119 road win over the LA Lakers at Crypto.com Arena in the quarterfinals, giving them their second straight victory. Stephon Castle dropped 30 points, as De'Aaron Fox finished with 20 and Keldon Johnson 17.

Oklahoma City Thunder dominated 138–89 in the quarterfinals, picking up their sixteenth straight win with a home victory over the Phoenix Suns at Paycom Center. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 28 points, with Chet Holmgren adding 24 and Jalen Williams 15.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Thunder beat the Spurs when the teams last met. It was a 146-132 scoreline at Frost Bank Center. The past 10 games between the teams have seen the Thunder win eight times.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	35	8	0.814	121.1	108	13.1	20-3	15-5	7-2	28-6	7-3	1L
Spurs	29	13	0.69	117.8	112.7	5.1	15-5	14-8	7-1	16-11	6-4	2W

View Full Standings

Confirmed Starting Lineups

San Antonio Spurs lineup: De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes.

Oklahoma City Thunder lineup: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein.

San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Picks

Our expert San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder tips include betting advice on all fronts — from a main match prediction and player prop guidance to a correct score selection and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

These teams are capable of scoring more than 224.5 points in this Emirates NBA Cup semifinal. Therefore, we’re going Over the total line and expect a payout at -114.

The handicappers at Sportsgambler.com regularly track injury updates and pair that with current form. We also tap into a deep stats database to highlight the key numbers that help shape our basketball predictions.

Key Spurs vs Thunder stats:

• The 224.5 line has been covered in the last 7 Spurs games.
• The 224.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Spurs games.
• The 224.5 line has been covered in 15 of the last 20 Spurs games.
• The 224.5 line has been covered in the last 6 Thunder games.
• The 224.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Thunder games.
• The 224.5 line has been covered in 14 of the last 20 Thunder games.

Over 224.5 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 53.2% chance of winning. After careful examination, our team of cappers calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

Secure more desirable odds by moving the line when you place an Over bet. You can choose from a range of options on the Totals until you’re happy with your wager.

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Our Game Prediction

Over 224.5 Points @ -114 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Devin Vassell Over 11.5 Points -127

Devin Vassell (Spurs) has totaled an average of 18 points in the past 10 games. This statistic guides us towards Player Points where we’re able to back him at odds of -127 to cover the line.

Latest Devin Vassell Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 11.5

-132

Under 11.5

-103

Assists

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

+138

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-108

Under 3.5

-125

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Chet Holmgren Over 7.5 Rebounds -128

Chet Holmgren (Thunder) has recorded Over 7.5 rebounds in 5 straight games. He should be capable of covering the line when it comes to this player prop and odds of -128 are now available.

Latest Chet Holmgren Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 16.5

-100

Under 16.5

-132

Assists

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

+108

Rebounds

Over 7.5

-133

Under 7.5

-100

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Correct Score Prediction

Spurs 108 - 123 Thunder

The Thunder will be chasing down a victory and a winning scoreline of 123-108 might be along the right lines. There are enormous odds available about this bet.

San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The latest Moneyline betting odds give Oklahoma City Thunder a 84% chance of winning this NBA game which means they’re overwhelming -526 favorites with the sportsbooks. At +400, San Antonio Spurs are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The current spread is 11 and total points is 231.5. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball wagers. If you're keen on Over 231.5, this selection is available at -114.

You can find hundreds of game lines and team props for every contest, with the top betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Spurs

+400

Thunder

-526

Point Spread

Spurs +11

-108

Thunder -11

-112

Total Points

Under 231.5

-106

Over 231.5

-114

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can back -115 that he gets Over 31.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at the same odds.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 31.5

-115

Under 31.5

-115

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-118

De'Aaron Fox (Spurs)

Over 18.5

-125

Under 18.5

-106

Victor Wembanyama (Spurs)

Over 16.5

-118

Under 16.5

-114

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 16.5

-100

Under 16.5

-132

Stephon Castle (Spurs)

Over 14.5

-125

Under 14.5

-106

Devin Vassell (Spurs)

Over 11.5

-132

Under 11.5

-103

Harrison Barnes (Spurs)

Over 10.5

-100

Under 10.5

-132

Dylan Harper (Spurs)

Over 9.5

-122

Under 9.5

-109

Ajay Mitchell (Thunder)

Over 8.5

-114

Under 8.5

-118

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 8.5

+102

Under 8.5

-135

Aaron Wiggins (Thunder)

Over 7.5

-137

Under 7.5

+102

Julian Champagnie (Spurs)

Over 7.5

-109

Under 7.5

-122

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 6.5

-132

Under 6.5

-100

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 6.5

+112

Under 6.5

-147

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 5.5

+114

Under 5.5

-152

De'Aaron Fox (Spurs)

Over 5.5

+104

Under 5.5

-137

Stephon Castle (Spurs)

Over 5.5

-123

Under 5.5

-108

Dylan Harper (Spurs)

Over 3.5

+135

Under 3.5

-179

Victor Wembanyama (Spurs)

Over 2.5

-147

Under 2.5

+110

Ajay Mitchell (Thunder)

Over 2.5

+102

Under 2.5

-135

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 2.5

+128

Under 2.5

-169

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

+108

Devin Vassell (Spurs)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

+138

Victor Wembanyama (Spurs)

Over 8.5

-135

Under 8.5

+102

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 7.5

-133

Under 7.5

-100

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 5.5

+115

Under 5.5

-154

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-133

Stephon Castle (Spurs)

Over 4.5

-149

Under 4.5

+114

De'Aaron Fox (Spurs)

Over 3.5

-114

Under 3.5

-118

Devin Vassell (Spurs)

Over 3.5

-108

Under 3.5

-125

Harrison Barnes (Spurs)

Over 3.5

+108

Under 3.5

-143

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 3.5

+106

Under 3.5

-141

Julian Champagnie (Spurs)

Over 3.5

-149

Under 3.5

+112

Dylan Harper (Spurs)

Over 2.5

-118

Under 2.5

-114

Ajay Mitchell (Thunder)

Over 2.5

+102

Under 2.5

-135

Aaron Wiggins (Thunder)

Over 2.5

-110

Under 2.5

-120

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 2.5

-133

Under 2.5

+102

Among the various options for wagering on basketball, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

San Antonio Spurs Stats

Oklahoma City Thunder Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games

Point Spread

• +8 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games

Point Spread

• -8 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 221.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 228.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 111.40 pts and allowed 109.80 pts in the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 232.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 228.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 119.80 pts and allowed 112.40 pts in the last 10 games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.20 (54%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 10.60 (28%)
• Free Throws Made: 21.20 (81.54%)
• Rebounds: Total 49.4, Offensive 11.30, Defensive 38.10
• Assists: 23.70
• Blocks: 3.90
• Steals: 6.90
• Turnovers : 12.10
• Personal Fouls: 18.20

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 32.70 (59%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 11.20 (30%)
• Free Throws Made: 20.80 (79.39%)
• Rebounds: Total 41.9, Offensive 10.00, Defensive 31.90
• Assists: 25.10
• Blocks: 6.70
• Steals: 10.40
• Turnovers : 10.60
• Personal Fouls: 18.80

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder Confirmed Lineup

2 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

5 Luguentz Dort

7 Chet Holmgren

8 Jalen Williams

55 Isaiah Hartenstein

San Antonio Spurs Confirmed Lineup

4 De'Aaron Fox

5 Stephon Castle

7 Luke Kornet

24 Devin Vassell

40 Harrison Barnes

NBA Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	26	15	0.634	117	110.1	6.9	12-7	14-8	6-4	19-9	7-3	2W
Knicks	25	17	0.595	118.4	114.9	3.5	16-5	9-12	5-3	18-11	2-8	3L
Raptors	25	18	0.581	114	112.3	1.7	13-10	12-8	4-8	22-12	6-4	1L
76ers	22	18	0.55	116.8	115.7	1.1	10-11	12-7	8-4	17-15	6-4	2L
Nets	12	27	0.308	108.9	113.8	-4.9	6-15	6-12	3-7	9-16	2-8	1W

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	30	10	0.75	117.7	110.3	7.4	17-4	13-6	8-3	21-6	6-4	2W
Cavaliers	24	19	0.558	120	117.4	2.6	14-10	10-9	7-3	16-13	7-3	2W
Bulls	19	22	0.463	117.3	120.7	-3.4	12-9	7-13	3-7	13-15	4-6	1L
Bucks	17	24	0.415	112.4	115.8	-3.4	9-10	8-14	5-4	13-14	5-5	3L
Pacers	10	33	0.233	110.2	118.4	-8.2	8-16	2-17	2-8	7-21	4-6	1L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Magic	23	18	0.561	116.3	114.9	1.4	14-7	9-11	5-4	15-14	6-4	2W
Heat	22	20	0.524	119.5	117.9	1.6	15-7	7-13	3-3	12-12	5-5	1W
Hawks	20	24	0.455	117.6	119.2	-1.6	7-12	13-12	4-3	10-16	5-5	3L
Hornets	15	27	0.357	116.6	117.1	-0.5	7-12	8-15	4-4	11-18	4-6	1L
Wizards	10	31	0.244	112.7	123.9	-11.2	6-13	4-18	2-4	7-18	3-7	6L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	35	8	0.814	121.1	108	13.1	20-3	15-5	7-2	28-6	7-3	1L
Nuggets	29	13	0.69	122.5	117.2	5.3	12-6	17-7	4-1	18-7	7-3	4W
Timberwolves	27	16	0.628	120	114.7	5.3	15-6	12-10	4-4	14-12	6-4	2L
Trail Blazers	20	22	0.476	115.9	118.4	-2.5	11-10	9-12	4-4	16-14	7-3	1W
Jazz	14	28	0.333	119.4	127.6	-8.2	9-12	5-16	0-8	8-20	2-8	3L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	24	15	0.615	116.5	116.9	-0.4	11-8	13-7	4-5	18-10	5-5	1L
Suns	25	17	0.595	114.4	111.7	2.7	14-5	11-12	8-4	20-13	6-4	1W
Warriors	24	19	0.558	116.2	113.3	2.9	16-6	8-13	5-3	15-12	7-3	3W
Clippers	18	23	0.439	112.5	113.4	-0.9	11-9	7-14	4-4	10-14	8-2	5W
Kings	12	30	0.286	110.6	120.6	-10	9-13	3-17	2-7	8-24	4-6	4W

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Spurs	29	13	0.69	117.8	112.7	5.1	15-5	14-8	7-1	16-11	6-4	2W
Rockets	24	15	0.615	117.1	110.7	6.4	13-3	11-12	2-4	13-14	5-5	1W
Grizzlies	17	23	0.425	114.8	116.2	-1.4	9-11	8-12	5-3	14-13	3-7	1L
Mavericks	17	26	0.395	114.2	117	-2.8	13-11	4-15	3-6	10-18	5-5	2W
Pelicans	10	34	0.227	115	122.3	-7.3	7-18	3-16	3-6	4-24	2-8	1L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	30	10	0.75	117.7	110.3	7.4	17-4	13-6	8-3	21-6	6-4	2W
Celtics	26	15	0.634	117	110.1	6.9	12-7	14-8	6-4	19-9	7-3	2W
Knicks	25	17	0.595	118.4	114.9	3.5	16-5	9-12	5-3	18-11	2-8	3L
Raptors	25	18	0.581	114	112.3	1.7	13-10	12-8	4-8	22-12	6-4	1L
Magic	23	18	0.561	116.3	114.9	1.4	14-7	9-11	5-4	15-14	6-4	2W
Cavaliers	24	19	0.558	120	117.4	2.6	14-10	10-9	7-3	16-13	7-3	2W
76ers	22	18	0.55	116.8	115.7	1.1	10-11	12-7	8-4	17-15	6-4	2L
Heat	22	20	0.524	119.5	117.9	1.6	15-7	7-13	3-3	12-12	5-5	1W
Bulls	19	22	0.463	117.3	120.7	-3.4	12-9	7-13	3-7	13-15	4-6	1L
Hawks	20	24	0.455	117.6	119.2	-1.6	7-12	13-12	4-3	10-16	5-5	3L
Bucks	17	24	0.415	112.4	115.8	-3.4	9-10	8-14	5-4	13-14	5-5	3L
Hornets	15	27	0.357	116.6	117.1	-0.5	7-12	8-15	4-4	11-18	4-6	1L
Nets	12	27	0.308	108.9	113.8	-4.9	6-15	6-12	3-7	9-16	2-8	1W
Wizards	10	31	0.244	112.7	123.9	-11.2	6-13	4-18	2-4	7-18	3-7	6L
Pacers	10	33	0.233	110.2	118.4	-8.2	8-16	2-17	2-8	7-21	4-6	1L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	35	8	0.814	121.1	108	13.1	20-3	15-5	7-2	28-6	7-3	1L
Spurs	29	13	0.69	117.8	112.7	5.1	15-5	14-8	7-1	16-11	6-4	2W
Nuggets	29	13	0.69	122.5	117.2	5.3	12-6	17-7	4-1	18-7	7-3	4W
Timberwolves	27	16	0.628	120	114.7	5.3	15-6	12-10	4-4	14-12	6-4	2L
Rockets	24	15	0.615	117.1	110.7	6.4	13-3	11-12	2-4	13-14	5-5	1W
Lakers	24	15	0.615	116.5	116.9	-0.4	11-8	13-7	4-5	18-10	5-5	1L
Suns	25	17	0.595	114.4	111.7	2.7	14-5	11-12	8-4	20-13	6-4	1W
Warriors	24	19	0.558	116.2	113.3	2.9	16-6	8-13	5-3	15-12	7-3	3W
Trail Blazers	20	22	0.476	115.9	118.4	-2.5	11-10	9-12	4-4	16-14	7-3	1W
Clippers	18	23	0.439	112.5	113.4	-0.9	11-9	7-14	4-4	10-14	8-2	5W
Grizzlies	17	23	0.425	114.8	116.2	-1.4	9-11	8-12	5-3	14-13	3-7	1L
Mavericks	17	26	0.395	114.2	117	-2.8	13-11	4-15	3-6	10-18	5-5	2W
Jazz	14	28	0.333	119.4	127.6	-8.2	9-12	5-16	0-8	8-20	2-8	3L
Kings	12	30	0.286	110.6	120.6	-10	9-13	3-17	2-7	8-24	4-6	4W
Pelicans	10	34	0.227	115	122.3	-7.3	7-18	3-16	3-6	4-24	2-8	1L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	35	8	0.814	121.1	108	13.1	20-3	15-5	7-2	28-6	7-3	1L
Pistons	30	10	0.75	117.7	110.3	7.4	17-4	13-6	8-3	21-6	6-4	2W
Nuggets	29	13	0.69	122.5	117.2	5.3	12-6	17-7	4-1	18-7	7-3	4W
Spurs	29	13	0.69	117.8	112.7	5.1	15-5	14-8	7-1	16-11	6-4	2W
Celtics	26	15	0.634	117	110.1	6.9	12-7	14-8	6-4	19-9	7-3	2W
Timberwolves	27	16	0.628	120	114.7	5.3	15-6	12-10	4-4	14-12	6-4	2L
Rockets	24	15	0.615	117.1	110.7	6.4	13-3	11-12	2-4	13-14	5-5	1W
Lakers	24	15	0.615	116.5	116.9	-0.4	11-8	13-7	4-5	18-10	5-5	1L
Knicks	25	17	0.595	118.4	114.9	3.5	16-5	9-12	5-3	18-11	2-8	3L
Suns	25	17	0.595	114.4	111.7	2.7	14-5	11-12	8-4	20-13	6-4	1W
Raptors	25	18	0.581	114	112.3	1.7	13-10	12-8	4-8	22-12	6-4	1L
Magic	23	18	0.561	116.3	114.9	1.4	14-7	9-11	5-4	15-14	6-4	2W
Cavaliers	24	19	0.558	120	117.4	2.6	14-10	10-9	7-3	16-13	7-3	2W
Warriors	24	19	0.558	116.2	113.3	2.9	16-6	8-13	5-3	15-12	7-3	3W
76ers	22	18	0.55	116.8	115.7	1.1	10-11	12-7	8-4	17-15	6-4	2L
Heat	22	20	0.524	119.5	117.9	1.6	15-7	7-13	3-3	12-12	5-5	1W
Trail Blazers	20	22	0.476	115.9	118.4	-2.5	11-10	9-12	4-4	16-14	7-3	1W
Bulls	19	22	0.463	117.3	120.7	-3.4	12-9	7-13	3-7	13-15	4-6	1L
Hawks	20	24	0.455	117.6	119.2	-1.6	7-12	13-12	4-3	10-16	5-5	3L
Clippers	18	23	0.439	112.5	113.4	-0.9	11-9	7-14	4-4	10-14	8-2	5W
Grizzlies	17	23	0.425	114.8	116.2	-1.4	9-11	8-12	5-3	14-13	3-7	1L
Bucks	17	24	0.415	112.4	115.8	-3.4	9-10	8-14	5-4	13-14	5-5	3L
Mavericks	17	26	0.395	114.2	117	-2.8	13-11	4-15	3-6	10-18	5-5	2W
Hornets	15	27	0.357	116.6	117.1	-0.5	7-12	8-15	4-4	11-18	4-6	1L
Jazz	14	28	0.333	119.4	127.6	-8.2	9-12	5-16	0-8	8-20	2-8	3L
Nets	12	27	0.308	108.9	113.8	-4.9	6-15	6-12	3-7	9-16	2-8	1W
Kings	12	30	0.286	110.6	120.6	-10	9-13	3-17	2-7	8-24	4-6	4W
Wizards	10	31	0.244	112.7	123.9	-11.2	6-13	4-18	2-4	7-18	3-7	6L
Pacers	10	33	0.233	110.2	118.4	-8.2	8-16	2-17	2-8	7-21	4-6	1L
Pelicans	10	34	0.227	115	122.3	-7.3	7-18	3-16	3-6	4-24	2-8	1L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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