SMU vs Florida State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 07 Mar 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: SMU vs Florida State

The SMU Mustangs face the Florida State Seminoles, with tip-off scheduled for 14:00 on Saturday, March 7.

When SMU clash with Florida State, we’re not sure that the total points will go over the line. Based on this prediction, you can land -110 for Under 161.5 and this looks worth taking.

SMU Mustangs were defeated in their previous game. They were beaten at home to Miami Hurricanes by a 77-69 scoreline.

Florida State Seminoles got the win in their last game. A 75-74 triumph occurred on the road when meeting Pittsburgh Panthers.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw SMU claim a 83-80 win over FSU. The past 3 clashes between these teams have seen two SMU wins.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
SMU	19-11	2557	2339	218	16-3	3-8	3L
Florida State	16-14	2387	2325	62	10-8	6-6	2W

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SMU vs Florida State Prediction & Picks

Take on SMU vs Florida State with our in-depth betting analysis, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice and a value-driven bet builder. Scroll down for the full breakdown.

Game Prediction

We’ve identified a betting angle for this college matchup on the totals. Our pick is Under 161.5 points which can currently be backed at odds of -110.

Injuries are always factored in by the handicappers at Sportsgambler.com. Our basketball predictions are also shaped by recent form, with up-to-date college hoops stats playing a key role before any selections are locked in.

Key SMU vs Florida State stats:

• The 161.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 SMU games on the road.
• The 161.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 SMU games on the road.
• The 161.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 8 FSU games.
• The 161.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 FSU games.
• The 161.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 FSU games.

Under 161.5 Probability

According to the top betting apps, there’s a 52.4% likelihood of our pick delivering a return. However, our cappers in-depth research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this college basketball bet.

Bigger odds are always a good thing and bettors can regularly move the line when it comes to wagering Under on the Totals. Choose the option which suits you best.

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Our Game Prediction

Under 161.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 6, 19:03). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

SMU 75 - 81 Florida State

There’s lots of entertainment when it comes to a correct score wager. A play on the Seminoles to achieve a 81-75 victory should give bettors a good run for their money.

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SMU vs Florida State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Florida State are on offer at -120 on the Moneyline if you want to back this franchise, with SMU available at -100. The hosts have a 55% chance of victory in the eyes of the leading sportsbooks.

The spread is 1.5 and the total points line is currently 161.5. Basketball fans regularly enjoy the opportunity to bet on the Totals. There’s the chance to back Under 161.5 at -110.

The top basketball sportsbooks offer a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to most college games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

SMU

-100

FSU

-120

Point Spread

SMU +1.5

-108

FSU -1.5

-112

Total Points

Under 161.5

-110

Over 161.5

-110

Prop betting is very popular, with bettors looking to wager on player props such as Points, Assists, Rebounds, Steals and Three-Pointers. It’s a great way of betting on individual player performance and the gambling sites will provide lots of options.

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with college basketball fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, player and team props. Check out the two-way lines where you can bet whether the next shot will be a Two-pointer or a Three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

SMU Stats

Florida State Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 161.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 157.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 161.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 161.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 81.20 pts and allowed 79.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 76.40 pts and allowed 81.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 147.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 151.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 161.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
• Over 161.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 76.10 pts and allowed 71.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 76.90 pts and allowed 74.20 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Duke	28-2	2495	1876	619	17-0	11-2	7W
Virginia	26-4	2431	2044	387	16-1	10-3	1W
Miami	24-6	2475	2100	375	15-3	9-3	3W
North Carolina	24-6	2413	2126	287	19-0	5-6	4W
Clemson	21-9	2230	1979	251	14-3	7-6	1L
Louisville	21-9	2570	2157	413	15-2	6-7	1W
California	21-9	2330	2169	161	17-4	4-5	1W
NC State	19-11	2506	2271	235	12-6	7-5	3L
Stanford	19-11	2283	2178	105	12-6	7-5	3W
Virginia Tech	19-11	2360	2225	135	15-3	4-8	1W
SMU	19-11	2557	2339	218	16-3	3-8	3L
Florida State	16-14	2387	2325	62	10-8	6-6	2W
Wake Forest	15-15	2365	2310	55	11-6	4-9	1L
Syracuse	15-15	2262	2219	43	12-5	3-10	4L
Notre Dame	13-17	2239	2258	-19	11-7	2-10	1L
Pittsburgh	11-19	2104	2140	-36	8-10	3-9	1L
Georgia Tech	11-19	2211	2321	-110	10-10	1-9	11L
Boston College	10-20	2013	2122	-109	9-10	1-10	2L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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