SMU vs Florida State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 07 Mar 2026
College Basketball Betting Preview: SMU vs Florida State
The SMU Mustangs face the Florida State Seminoles, with tip-off scheduled for 14:00 on Saturday, March 7.
When SMU clash with Florida State, we’re not sure that the total points will go over the line. Based on this prediction, you can land -110 for Under 161.5 and this looks worth taking.
SMU Mustangs were defeated in their previous game. They were beaten at home to Miami Hurricanes by a 77-69 scoreline.
Florida State Seminoles got the win in their last game. A 75-74 triumph occurred on the road when meeting Pittsburgh Panthers.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The last head-to-head saw SMU claim a 83-80 win over FSU. The past 3 clashes between these teams have seen two SMU wins.
| NCAAB | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SMU
|
20-13 | 2779 | 2561 | 218 | 17-3 | 3-10 | 1L |
Florida State
|
18-15 | 2652 | 2572 | 80 | 12-8 | 6-7 | 1L |
SMU vs Florida State Prediction & Picks
Take on SMU vs Florida State with our in-depth betting analysis, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice and a value-driven bet builder. Scroll down for the full breakdown.
Game Prediction
We’ve identified a betting angle for this college matchup on the totals. Our pick is Under 161.5 points which can currently be backed at odds of -110.
Injuries are always factored in by the handicappers at Sportsgambler.com. Our basketball predictions are also shaped by recent form, with up-to-date college hoops stats playing a key role before any selections are locked in.
Key SMU vs Florida State stats:
Under 161.5 Probability
According to the top betting apps, there’s a 52.4% likelihood of our pick delivering a return. However, our cappers in-depth research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this college basketball bet.
Bigger odds are always a good thing and bettors can regularly move the line when it comes to wagering Under on the Totals. Choose the option which suits you best.
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Same Game Parlay Picks
Get in the game with a same game parlay. Our picks are Under 161.5 on the total, Florida State to cover the -1.5 spread and Florida State/BTTS No on the Result & Both Teams to Score lines.
The same game parlay option is awesome for bettors wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same basketball game. It’s especially good if you have a strong opinion on the likely outcomes and the odds for each selection are combined.
Correct Score Prediction
75
-
81
Florida State
There’s lots of entertainment when it comes to a correct score wager. A play on the Seminoles to achieve a 81-75 victory should give bettors a good run for their money.
SMU vs Florida State Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Florida State are on offer at -120 on the Moneyline if you want to back this franchise, with SMU available at -100. The hosts have a 55% chance of victory in the eyes of the leading sportsbooks.
The spread is 1.5 and the total points line is currently 159.5. Basketball fans regularly enjoy the opportunity to bet on the Totals. There’s the chance to back Under 159.5 at -115.
The top basketball sportsbooks offer a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to most college games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.
Prop betting is very popular, with bettors looking to wager on player props such as Points, Assists, Rebounds, Steals and Three-Pointers. It’s a great way of betting on individual player performance and the gambling sites will provide lots of options.
Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with college basketball fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, player and team props. Check out the two-way lines where you can bet whether the next shot will be a Two-pointer or a Three-pointer.
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
SMU Stats
Florida State Stats
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
- 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road
- -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
- -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 161.10 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 157.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 161.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 161.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 81.20 pts and allowed 79.90 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 76.40 pts and allowed 81.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 147.60 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 151.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 161.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
- Over 161.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 76.10 pts and allowed 71.50 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 76.90 pts and allowed 74.20 pts in the last 10 home games
NCAAB Table Select Season
| Atlantic Coast | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Duke
|
32-2 | 2798 | 2147 | 651 | 21-0 | 11-2 | 11W |
Virginia
|
29-5 | 2742 | 2326 | 416 | 19-1 | 10-4 | 1L |
Miami
|
25-8 | 2704 | 2349 | 355 | 16-4 | 9-4 | 1L |
North Carolina
|
24-8 | 2553 | 2282 | 271 | 19-1 | 5-7 | 2L |
Clemson
|
24-10 | 2521 | 2269 | 252 | 16-3 | 8-7 | 1L |
Louisville
|
23-10 | 2797 | 2382 | 415 | 16-2 | 7-8 | 1L |
California
|
21-11 | 2492 | 2344 | 148 | 17-4 | 4-7 | 2L |
Stanford
|
20-12 | 2431 | 2326 | 105 | 12-7 | 8-5 | 1L |
NC State
|
20-13 | 2762 | 2525 | 237 | 13-7 | 7-6 | 1L |
|
SMU
|
20-13 | 2779 | 2561 | 218 | 17-3 | 3-10 | 1L |
Virginia Tech
|
19-13 | 2521 | 2396 | 125 | 15-4 | 4-9 | 2L |
|
Florida State
|
18-15 | 2652 | 2572 | 80 | 12-8 | 6-7 | 1L |
Wake Forest
|
17-16 | 2602 | 2543 | 59 | 12-6 | 5-10 | 1L |
Syracuse
|
15-17 | 2400 | 2376 | 24 | 12-6 | 3-11 | 6L |
Notre Dame
|
13-18 | 2308 | 2335 | -27 | 11-7 | 2-11 | 2L |
Pittsburgh
|
13-20 | 2327 | 2370 | -43 | 8-10 | 5-10 | 1L |
Boston College
|
11-20 | 2090 | 2191 | -101 | 10-10 | 1-10 | 1W |
Georgia Tech
|
11-20 | 2287 | 2400 | -113 | 10-10 | 1-10 | 12L |
- Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
- PF = Total Points For
- PA = Total Points Against
- N. Pts = Point Differential
- Home = Home Record
- Away = Away Record
- Strk = Current Streak
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