Tarleton State vs Cal Baptist Prediction, Picks & Odds | 28 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Tarleton State vs Cal Baptist

The Tarleton State Texans battle the California Baptist Lancers, with tip-off scheduled for 21:00 on Saturday, February 28.

We’re not convinced Tarleton State and Cal Baptist are cumulatively going to produce enough points in relation to the total line. Therefore, we’re aiming to go Under 138.5 at -105.

Tarleton State Texans were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road. Utah Valley Wolverines claimed a 79-72 win.

California Baptist Lancers were winners last time out. It was a 68-56 home victory against UT Arlington Mavericks.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Cal Baptist had the edge in the most recent matchup between these teams. They recorded a 56-55 win over Tarleton State. The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved Cal Baptist winning seven times.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Cal Baptist	20-8	2010	1907	103	14-0	6-8	1W
Tarleton State	14-15	2180	2118	62	10-5	4-10	2L

View Full Standings

Tarleton State vs Cal Baptist Prediction & Picks

Get fully prepped for Tarleton State vs Cal Baptist with our betting guide, featuring our expert match pick, predicted scoreline and a value-focused bet builder. Read on for the full breakdown.

Game Prediction

The -105 about Under 138.5 points makes lots of appeal. We’re not sure that the teams can combine to reach that number for this college matchup.

Knowing which players are injured gives us a valuable edge when making basketball predictions. After reviewing the form guide, we turn to the latest stats to shape our college hoops picks.

Key Tarleton State vs Cal Baptist stats:

• The 138.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Tarleton State games on the road.
• The 138.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Tarleton State games.
• The 138.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 CBU games.
• The 138.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 CBU games.
• The 138.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 CBU games.

Under 138.5 Probability

According to the best sportsbooks, there’s a 51.3% likelihood of our pick landing a return. However, our analysts have this number closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

There are different ways to maximise a potential profit on the Totals. Moving the line for your Under bet means the chance to secure bigger betting odds.

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Our Game Prediction

Under 138.5 Points @ -105 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Tarleton State 60 - 72 Cal Baptist

We’re going for the Lancers to win by a 72-60 scoreline, something which is available at huge odds. This speculative wager can provide a big return for a small stake.

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Tarleton State vs Cal Baptist Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Cal Baptist are -370 favorites and that means a 79% chance of winning this college game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. Tarleton State are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +290.

There is a spread of 7.5 and total points has a line of 138.5. A bet on the Totals allows fans to use the latest basketball data to good effect. There’s the chance to back Under 138.5 at -105.

You can find a nice selection of game lines and team props for most college basketball matchups, with the top betting apps creating many different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Tarleton State

+290

CBU

-370

Point Spread

Tarleton State +7.5

-110

CBU -7.5

-110

Total Points

Under 138.5

-105

Over 138.5

-115

Prop betting is very popular, with bettors looking to wager on player props such as Points, Assists, Rebounds, Steals and Three-Pointers. It’s a great way of betting on individual player performance and the gambling sites will provide lots of options.

Among the various options for wagering on college basketball, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tarleton State Stats

Cal Baptist Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +7.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -7.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 134.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 142.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 138.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 138.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 64.10 pts and allowed 70.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 70.30 pts and allowed 72.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 134.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 133.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 138.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 138.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 69.50 pts and allowed 64.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 70.70 pts and allowed 63.10 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Western Athletic	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Utah Valley	21-7	2248	1875	373	16-0	5-7	3W
Cal Baptist	20-8	2010	1907	103	14-0	6-8	1W
Utah Tech	18-12	2292	2203	89	11-3	7-9	2W
UT Arlington	15-13	1977	1887	90	9-5	6-8	2L
Tarleton State	14-15	2180	2118	62	10-5	4-10	2L
Abilene Christian	13-15	1991	2006	-15	10-5	3-10	1L
Southern Utah	9-19	2135	2234	-99	7-4	2-15	2L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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