Troy vs South Alabama Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Troy vs South Alabama

The Troy Trojans face the South Alabama Jaguars, with tip-off scheduled for 16:00 on Saturday, February 21.

We’ve lined up a prediction which requires South Alabama to keep close to Troy. We think that the line of +2.5 can be covered and you can secure -105.

Troy Trojans triumphed in their previous game. It was on the road where Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks were beaten 77-76.

South Alabama Jaguars were defeated last time out. They were beaten at home to Texas State Bobcats by a 90-82 (OT) scoreline.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Troy have been victorious in their last two matchups with South Alabama. There have been 65-55 and 59-49 scorelines at home. Each team has landed five wins in the previous 10 games between the sides.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
South Alabama	19-9	2093	1964	129	10-3	9-6	2L
Troy	18-10	2282	2092	190	8-4	10-6	1W

View Full Standings

Troy vs South Alabama Prediction & Picks

Our Troy vs South Alabama betting preview covers everything you need, including a key match prediction, correct score insight and a value-packed bet builder recommendation.

Game Prediction

South Alabama are more than capable of staying close to the favorites so there’s a strong case for betting them against the spread in this college matchup. Take the -105 for the +2.5 that is available.

We only make our basketball picks after confirming the latest college hoops team news. Studying recent form and digging into the most relevant stats also helps us build a complete picture.

Key Troy vs South Alabama stats:

• The +2.5 line has been covered by South Alabama in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +2.5 line has been covered by South Alabama in 16 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -2.5 line hasn’t been covered by Troy in 3 consecutive games.

South Alabama +2.5 Probability

The best sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 51.3% likelihood of this pick delivering a return. Based on our cappers in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

There’s often the option to sell points and that allows you to leverage a bigger potential return. Conversely, buying points will give you a less-risky bet but smaller odds.

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Our Game Prediction

South Alabama +2.5 @ -105 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Troy 67 - 71 South Alabama

There’s every chance that this is going to be a close game and we’ll have a play on the Jags enjoying a 71-67 winning scoreline. Hopefully this can go close.

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Troy vs South Alabama Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Due to South Alabama being overwhelming favorites, you are unlikely to find any juice on the Moneyline. However, there’s an alternative angle by looking at the spread for this college game.

The current spread is 2.5 and total points is 143.5. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. Those that want to back Under 143.5 can find odds of -115 available.

College basketball bettors are spoilt for choice thanks to the huge selection of game lines and team props which are available for most matchups on the coupon. Head to the top betting apps and find the best value picks.

Moneyline

Troy

-

South Alabama

-

Point Spread

Troy -2.5

-105

South Alabama +2.5

-115

Total Points

Under 143.5

-115

Over 143.5

-105

Prop betting is very popular, with bettors looking to wager on player props such as Points, Assists, Rebounds, Steals and Three-Pointers. It’s a great way of betting on individual player performance and the gambling sites will provide lots of options.

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some bettors prefer to look at the college basketball micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Troy Stats

South Alabama Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 144.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 151.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 143.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 143.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 73.00 pts and allowed 71.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 76.80 pts and allowed 74.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 147.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 141.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 143.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 143.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 74.40 pts and allowed 73.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 73.80 pts and allowed 67.60 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Sun Belt	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
South Alabama	19-9	2093	1964	129	10-3	9-6	2L
Troy	18-10	2282	2092	190	8-4	10-6	1W
Marshall	18-10	2264	2149	115	12-3	6-7	2W
Appalachian State	18-11	2086	1894	192	11-4	7-7	2L
Texas State	18-11	2174	2066	108	15-2	3-9	7W
Arkansas State	17-11	2306	2155	151	9-4	8-7	1W
Coastal Carolina	16-12	2050	2013	37	7-5	9-7	1L
Georgia Southern	15-13	2254	2223	31	9-6	6-7	1L
James Madison	15-13	2063	2079	-16	11-3	4-10	4W
Southern Miss	14-14	2054	2052	2	11-3	3-11	1W
Georgia State	10-18	1969	2070	-101	7-5	3-13	1W
Old Dominion	10-18	2093	2146	-53	7-6	3-12	2W
Louisiana	9-19	1761	1957	-196	6-8	3-11	3L
UL Monroe	4-24	2025	2327	-302	3-11	1-13	4L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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