UMass vs Bowling Green Prediction, Picks & Odds | 28 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: UMass vs Bowling Green

The UMass Minutemen face the Bowling Green Falcons, with tip-off scheduled for 14:00 on Saturday, February 28.

We’re forecasting that UMass and Bowling Green will produce a significant combined points total. Therefore, our prediction is to take the -115 that there are Over 151.5 points.

UMass Minutemen were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road. Ball State claimed a 74-73 (OT) win.

Bowling Green Falcons were defeated last time out. They were beaten at home to Western Michigan Broncos by a 88-79 scoreline.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw Bowling Green claim a 101-100 win over UMass.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Bowling Green	16-13	2368	2082	286	11-7	5-6	3L
UMass	15-14	2338	2239	99	10-6	5-8	5L

View Full Standings

UMass vs Bowling Green Prediction & Picks

This UMass vs Bowling Green betting guide features sharp analysis across major markets, including an expert match prediction, correct score bet and a strategic bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’ll take a chance on a total wager after finding that the line is set at a generous 151.5. Expect this number to be surpassed at -115 for this college matchup.

The handicappers at Sportsgambler.com stay on top of the latest injuries, while recent form also shapes our basketball predictions. We combine this insight with up-to-date college hoops stats for sharper picks.

Key UMass vs Bowling Green stats:

• The 151.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 UMass games.
• The 151.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 UMass games.
• The 151.5 line has been covered in the last 2 BGSU games.

Over 151.5 Probability

The best sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 53.5% chance of this pick winning. However, our cappers think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. It's therefore regarded as a value wager.

Looking for a bigger return on your Total bet? Consider the Match Result & Total lines where you combine the winning team and Over a certain number of points.

Check out the most rewarding betting offers in our in-depth guide before your next wager. The best bonuses and free bets await.

Our Game Prediction

Over 151.5 Points @ -115 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

UMass 78 - 79 Bowling Green

We’re expecting a close contest so it might be worth going for Bowling Green to win by a 79-78 scoreline. You can get a massive price and we should hopefully get a run for our money.

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UMass vs Bowling Green Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Bowling Green are regarded as having a 72% chance of winning this college game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -263. At +215, UMass Minutemen are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

5.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 151.5 right now. There are many ways to bet on basketball including the Totals. The Over 151.5 selection is available to back at -115.

Whether you’re betting in-game or pre-game, the best betting apps serve up a wide range of game lines and team props to choose from. The options are nearly endless, and it’s awesome to have so much variety.

Moneyline

UMass

+215

BGSU

-263

Point Spread

UMass +5.5

-110

BGSU -5.5

-110

Total Points

Under 151.5

-105

Over 151.5

-115

As an alternative to the game lines and team props, check out the player props that are available. These can be a great alternative if you want to focus on a player’s performance. The best gambling sites will provide lots of options.

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to college basketball and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether the next shot will be a Two or a Three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

UMass Stats

Bowling Green Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 164.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 165.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 151.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 151.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 81.60 pts and allowed 83.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 82.10 pts and allowed 83.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 146.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 156.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 151.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 151.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 71.50 pts and allowed 74.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 82.10 pts and allowed 74.70 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Mid-American	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Miami (OH)	29-0	2634	2142	492	16-0	13-0	27W
Akron	24-5	2606	2166	440	15-2	9-3	5W
Kent State	20-8	2355	2256	99	14-3	6-5	1L
Buffalo	16-12	2207	2124	83	7-7	9-5	1L
Bowling Green	16-13	2368	2082	286	11-7	5-6	3L
Toledo	15-13	2275	2162	113	10-4	5-9	2W
Ohio	15-13	2160	2146	14	11-6	4-7	2W
UMass	15-14	2338	2239	99	10-6	5-8	5L
Western Michigan	10-19	2169	2304	-135	7-7	3-12	1L
Northern Illinois	9-18	1912	2059	-147	6-5	3-13	2L
Central Michigan	9-19	2067	2152	-85	8-4	1-15	1L
Ball State	9-19	1855	1971	-116	7-7	2-12	1W
Eastern Michigan	9-19	1969	2082	-113	6-6	3-13	2L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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