UT Arlington vs Tarleton State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 05 Mar 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: UT Arlington vs Tarleton State

The UT Arlington Mavericks battle the Tarleton State Texans, with tip-off scheduled for 20:00 on Thursday, March 5.

The betting line makes lots of appeal considering it’s set at +1.5 and our prediction is that UT Arlington will cover this against Tarleton State. There is -106 available for this outcome.

UT Arlington Mavericks lost on the road in their previous game. California Baptist Lancers won 68-56.

Tarleton State Texans lost on the road in their last game. California Baptist Lancers won 82-67.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last matchup between UT Arlington and Tarleton State saw the former win. It was a 71-64 scoreline. We’ve seen six Tarleton State wins in the past 9 meetings between the teams.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
UT Arlington	15-13	1977	1887	90	9-5	6-8	2L
Tarleton State	14-16	2247	2200	47	10-5	4-11	3L

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UT Arlington vs Tarleton State Prediction & Picks

Our UT Arlington vs Tarleton State betting tips provide expert coverage of all major angles, including our main match prediction, correct score recommendation and best bet builder insights.

Game Prediction

UT Arlington look very easy to back at -106 considering they’ve been given a spread of +1.5. This looks a great number when squaring off in this college showdown.

We use the latest team news and injury updates to help shape the best possible basketball predictions. You’ll also notice we take a stats-led approach by factoring in the key college hoops numbers that truly make a difference.

Key UT Arlington vs Tarleton State stats:

• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Tarleton State in 3 consecutive games.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Tarleton State in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Tarleton State in 12 of their last 20 games.

UT Arlington +1.5 Probability

The top sportsbooks make it a 51.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. In the opinion of our cappers, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

There are options to buy and sell different amounts of points and effectively choose the line which makes the most appeal. It all comes down to how safe or risky you want to play things.

Getting ready to place a wager? Check our updated guide for the latest betting offers, including free bets and the newest promos codes.

Our Game Prediction

UT Arlington +1.5 @ -106 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 5, 00:03). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

UT Arlington 72 - 67 Tarleton State

For those wanting a big return from a small stake, consider the correct score lines. For example, UT Arlington can be backed to win 72-67 at huge betting odds.

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UT Arlington vs Tarleton State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

When you consider the latest Moneyline odds, you can find Tarleton State at -132 whereas UT Arlington are +110. The sportsbooks give the home team a 57% chance of winning this college game.

The spread currently stands at 1.5 and the total points line is 135.5. A Total bet is always available and can often provide value selections. If you're keen on Over 135.5, this selection is available at -115.

If you’re planning to place a bet on a college basketball matchup, head to the top betting apps and explore the wide range of team props and game lines. Look for the lines that offer the most value.

Moneyline

UT Arlington

+110

Tarleton State

-132

Point Spread

UT Arlington +1.5

-106

Tarleton State -1.5

-114

Total Points

Under 135.5

-105

Over 135.5

-115

If you have a view on Total Points, Three-Pointers, Assists, Double-Doubles or Triple-Doubles, then the player prop betting could be up your street. It’s a great way of wagering on individual performance.

There are some exciting college basketball micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer. The long-ball option pays better, and in today’s game, you can never discount the three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

UT Arlington Stats

Tarleton State Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 139.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 136.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 135.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 135.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 68.10 pts and allowed 70.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 66.60 pts and allowed 70.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 135.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 147.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 135.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 135.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 64.40 pts and allowed 71.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 74.60 pts and allowed 73.20 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Western Athletic	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Utah Valley	22-7	2322	1942	380	17-0	5-7	4W
Cal Baptist	21-8	2092	1974	118	15-0	6-8	2W
Utah Tech	18-13	2359	2284	75	11-3	7-10	1L
UT Arlington	15-13	1977	1887	90	9-5	6-8	2L
Tarleton State	14-16	2247	2200	47	10-5	4-11	3L
Abilene Christian	13-16	2058	2080	-22	10-5	3-11	2L
Southern Utah	10-19	2216	2301	-85	8-4	2-15	1W

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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