AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Dec 2025
Eredivisie Betting Preview: AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar go head-to-head with Excelsior at AFAS Stadion, with kick-off set for 10:45 on Sunday 14 December.
It stands to reason that AZ and Excelsior can both find the net and that leads us to a BTTS Yes wager. The fact that you can secure -149 for this outcome means a nice return if the bet lands.
Trusting our BTTS Yes prediction? Unlock the best BetMGM promo code and check out our comprehensive site review before you bet.
In their last Eredivisie game, AZ Alkmaar played out a 2-2 draw at home to Go Ahead Eagles at AFAS Stadion. Maarten Martens' side enjoyed 49% possession and had seven shots on target, while Troy Parrott and Mats Deijl (own goal) scored one goal apiece.
Three days ago, AZ travelled to Drita and succeeded 3-0 in the Europa Conference League.
Excelsior were defeated in their previous game, being beaten at home to FC Groningen by a 2-0 scoreline at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion. The Rotterdam outfit had 46% possession and five shots on goal.
Head-to-Head Statistics
AZ have avoided defeat against Excelsior in the past four meetings. In their last encounter, AZ enjoyed a 4-0 scoreline on home soil at AFAS Stadion. The past 6 H2H meetings have included three victories for AZ, two wins for Excelsior and a single draw.
| Eredivisie | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar |
15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 28:24 | 25 |
| 13 |  Excelsior |
15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 14:26 | 16 |
AZ have 4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 6.0 shots on goal and 15.7 attempts. The Cheeseheads have averaged 53.2% possession, 461.4 passes and 6.3 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.7 goals from 4.6 shots on goal, 11.9 attempts and 4.3 corners.
Top scorer Troy Parrott has found the net 5 times, with Sven Mijnans, Kees Smit and Weslley Pinto getting 2 each. Sven Mijnans is top assists maker with 3, while goalkeeper Rome Owusu-Oduro has kept 2 clean sheets.
Excelsior have 4 victories, 5 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 1.1 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 11.9 attempts. Ruben den Uil's men have averaged 44.4% possession, 372.9 passes, 4.2 corners taken and 5.6 corners against, while conceding 1.4 goals from 5.6 shots on goal and 15.5 attempts.
The top scorers have been Noah Naujoks on 4, followed by Gyan de Regt and Szymon Wlodarczyk with 2. Rick Meissen and Irakli Yegoian have clocked up 2 assists, with Stijn van Gassel keeping 2 clean sheets in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
AZ Alkmaar predicted lineup (4-3-3): Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro (GK), Mees de Wit, Wouter Goes, Alexandre Penetra, Mateo Chávez, Peer Koopmeiners, Sven Mijnans, Kees Smit, Weslley Patati, Troy Parrott, Isak Jensen.
Excelsior predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Stijn van Gassel (GK), Ilias Bronkhorst, Casper Widell, Rick Meissen, Arthur Zagre, Lewis Schouten, Lennard Hartjes, Derensili Sanches Fernandes, Noah Naujoks, Gyan de Regt, Jerolldino Bergraaf.
AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior Prediction & Betting Tips
Head into AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior with expert betting insights, including our main match prediction, expected scoreline, top corners angle, key player props and a thoughtfully built bet builder.
Match Prediction
The Both Teams to Score market provides an opportunity to wager on BTTS Yes and we really like the -149 that’s available. We expect the teams to both find the net in this Eredivisie match.
The football predictions are generated after consulting the team news for both sides along with the form. We are also able to analyse the latest Eredivisie stats which can suggest how the game might unfold.
Key AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior league stats:
The betting apps are estimating that there is a 59.9% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 65-70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.
If you think that BTTS Yes will happen but want to get a slightly bigger price, there’s the option to head to the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market and combine it with Over 2.5 Goals.
Before placing your bets, explore the latest betting offers. Our comprehensive guide features a wide range of welcome bonuses to choose from.
Correct Score Prediction
2
-
1
Excelsior
We’re going for AZ at +650 to secure a 2-1 win. It’s exciting to bet on the correct score and this wager will hopefully be able to land a nice return.
Player Prop Picks
Isak Steiner Jensen (AZ) hasn’t registered a shot on goal in six straight Eredivisie games. We think that he will fail to cover the line and this Shots on Target bet can be backed at -125.
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Troy Parrott (AZ) has scored three goals in his past four Eredivisie games on home soil. Based on the stats, we think that odds of -154 are really appealing when it comes to betting on Anytime Goalscorer.
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Corners Prediction
We’ve seen an average of 4.60 corners for Excelsior in their past five away games, while AZ Alkmaar have let the opposition have a corner average of 5.20 in the last five matches. We’re expecting history to repeat itself and for the Excelsior Team Corners line to get covered at -159.
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
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Bet Builder Tips
Our same-game multi picks are both teams to find the net, Excelsior to cover the +1.75 Asian Handicap merged with Isak Steiner Jensen (AZ) to not record a shot on target.
A bet builder is a single event wager where you select outcomes for a particular football game. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.
AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
The Full-Time Result odds suggest that AZ Alkmaar have a 79% prospect of triumphing which results in the fact that they’re strong -370 favourites to win this Eredivisie encounter. Excelsior are the +850 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.
AZ are -108 if you back them -1.75 on the Asian Handicap. In order for a full payout, you need a three-goal margin of victory. However, a two-goal triumph over Excelsior land a half stake win and a half stake refund.
Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest odds and that means three goals or more are anticipated. If you are expecting both teams to score, there’s the chance to back Yes at -149 on the BTTS market.
The leading football betting sites offer hundreds of markets when it comes to Eredivisie matches. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.
Favourite Troy Parrott is priced at +265 to be the first player to find the net. There’s also the opportunity to back him to score any time at odds of -154.
AZ have secured six wins, three draws and one defeat in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 2.50 goals per game and conceding 1.60.
Excelsior have collected four defeats, two wins and one draw in the previous 7 away matches, scoring an average of 1.14 goals per game and conceding 2.43.
The previous AFAS Stadion encounter involved a 4-0 AZ win against Excelsior.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar Home Stats |
6-3-1 | 4.10 | 2.50 | 1.60 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 2 | |
| Excelsior Away Stats |
2-1-4 | 3.57 | 1.14 | 2.43 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 2 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
AZ Alkmaar League Stats
Excelsior League Stats
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 7 away matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 10 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.14 goals scored and 2.43 conceded in the previous 7 away matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.57 goals per game in the previous 7 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 7 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 7 away matches
- An average of 6.30 corners awarded and 4.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.90 corners awarded and 3.60 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.20 corners awarded and 5.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.29 corners awarded and 6.00 corners against in the last 7 away matches
- An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.29 corners awarded in the last 7 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 5 of the last 7 away matches
- An average of 53.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 52.20% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 44.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 44.57% possession in the last 7 away matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 7 away matches
- Top Scorers for AZ Alkmaar this season are Troy Parrott (8), Mexx Meerdink (3), Sven Mijnans (3)
- Top Assistors for AZ Alkmaar this season are Sven Mijnans (5), Kees Smit (2), Weslley Pinto (2)
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AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior Lineups & Team News
The latest AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior team news could impact your bets — review it first. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Eredivisie along with the latest injury news.
AZ Alkmaar Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Excelsior Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
AZ Alkmaar Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Excelsior Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous AZ Alkmaar Lineups
Previous Excelsior Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
AZ Alkmaar Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Maarten Martens
Excelsio Player Stats & Squad
Eredivisie Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 46:17 | 40 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 41:18 | 34 |
| 3 | NEC Nijmegen | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 39:25 | 27 |
| 4 | Ajax | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 28:20 | 26 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28:24 | 25 |
| 6 | Groningen | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 21:21 | 23 |
| 7 | Utrecht | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 26:20 | 22 |
| 8 | Twente | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 23:20 | 21 |
| 9 | Sp. Rotterdam | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:28 | 20 |
| 10 | Go Ahead E. | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 25:26 | 18 |
| 11 | Fortuna Sittard | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 21:25 | 18 |
| 12 | SC Heerenveen | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 23:26 | 17 |
| 13 | Excelsior | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 14:26 | 16 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 19:36 | 16 |
| 15 | Volendam | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 19:27 | 14 |
| 16 | Heracles | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 23:37 | 14 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 15:24 | 12 |
| 18 | Telstar | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 17:25 | 11 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21:11 | 18 |
| 2 | Utrecht | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 17 |
| 3 | PSV | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22:10 | 16 |
| 4 | NEC Nijmegen | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 21:10 | 16 |
| 5 | Ajax | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:7 | 16 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:10 | 14 |
| 7 | AZ Alkmaar | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 18:15 | 12 |
| 8 | Volendam | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:11 | 12 |
| 9 | Go Ahead E. | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:9 | 12 |
| 10 | SC Heerenveen | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15:14 | 12 |
| 11 | Groningen | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 11 |
| 12 | Twente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 11 |
| 13 | Sp. Rotterdam | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:15 | 11 |
| 14 | Heracles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 18:18 | 10 |
| 15 | NAC Breda | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 10 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 17 | Excelsior | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 18 | Telstar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13:17 | 6 |
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