Barcelona vs Atlético Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 Mar 2026

Copa del Rey Betting Preview: Barcelona vs Atlético Madrid

La Liga sides Barcelona and Atlético Madrid meet at Camp Nou, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Tuesday 3 March.

Barcelona -1 on the Asian Handicap means we need a two goal or bigger margin of victory to win this bet at -132 against Atlético Madrid. A one goal victory for the favourites would mean money back.

Barcelona were victorious when they last played, landing a 4-1 La Liga home success against Villarreal at Camp Nou. The Catalan club enjoyed a whopping 74% of possession and had eight shots on target, with Lamine Yamal firing a hat-trick and Robert Lewandowski also among the goals.

Atlético Madrid won their previous game 1-0. This was a La Liga away victory at Estadio Carlos Tartiere against Real Oviedo. Los Colchoneros enjoyed 62% possession and recorded one shot on goal, with a late winner coming from Julian Alvarez.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last clash between Atléti and Barca saw the former triumph at home. It was a 4-0 scoreline at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. The 10 past H2H meetings have involved seven Barca victories, one draw and two Atléti wins.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Barcelona	26	21	1	4	71	26	45	71:26	64
3	Atlético Madrid	26	15	6	5	43	23	20	43:23	51

View Full Table

6 wins and 3 losses, averaging 2.2 goals from 21.6 attempts and 6.9 shots on goal. Barca have had 70.8% possession and 8.3 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.2 goals from 9.1 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal, while earning 3.6 corners.

Lamine Yamal is the top scorer with 7 goals, while Robert Lewandowski, Marc Bernal and Marcus Rashford each have 2. Dani Olmo is the leading assists maker with 4, while goalie Joan Garcia has 3 clean sheets.

Atléti have won 6, lost 2 and drawn 1, averaging 5.7 shots on goal, 13.6 attempts and 2.0 goals. Diego Simeone's side average 56.6% possession, 522.2 passes, 6.2 corners awarded and 4.7 corners against, while 0.7 goals have been conceded from 9.8 attempts and 3.3 shots on goal.

Alexander Soerloth has landed 4 goals, Ademola Lookman 3, with Julian Alvarez and two others scoring 2. Matteo Ruggeri has been chief assist maker with 3, while Jan Oblak and Juan Musso have recorded 3 clean sheets between them in the last 9 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Barcelona predicted lineup (4-3-3): Joan Garcia (GK), Jules Kounde, Pau Cubarsi, Eric Garcia, Alejandro Balde, Fermin Lopez, Marc Casado, Pedri, Lamine Yamal, Ferran Torres, Marcus Rashford.

Atlético Madrid predicted lineup (4-4-2): Juan Musso (GK), Nahuel Molina, Marc Pubill, David Hancko, Matteo Ruggeri, Giuliano Simeone, Marcos Llorente, Koke, Ademola Lookman, Antoine Griezmann, Julian Alvarez.

Barcelona vs Atlético Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips

This Barcelona vs Atlético Madrid betting breakdown features a main match prediction, a correct score insight, expert player prop picks and a sharply constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Match Prediction

Barcelona can be taken at -1 on the Asian Handicap. There are odds of -132 for the favourites and we think they have the capability of winning this Copa del Rey clash by a two goal margin or bigger.

Getting the lowdown on injuries and studying the Copa del Rey form guide are important duties ahead of making football predictions. We also place great emphasis on the stats and a data-led approach can sometimes be effective.

Key Barcelona vs Atlético Madrid Copa del Rey & league stats:

• The -1 line has been covered by Barca in 9 consecutive games at home.
• The -1 line has been covered by Barca in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The +1 line hasn’t been covered by Atléti in 7 of their last 10 games against Barca.

According to the odds, there’s a 56.8% likelihood of our pick winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 60-65%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

If you’re searching for a larger price, then there’s the opportunity to move the line. Select from a host of choices and get paid out if your selection lands.

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Our Match Prediction

Barcelona Asian Hcp -1 @ -132 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 1, 21:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Barcelona 3 - 1 Atléti

We’ve picked out a correct score of 3-1 being landed by Barcelona. You can secure odds of +700 and this provides an alternative way to place a wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Lamine Yamal to Score +125

Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) has racked up five goals in his past five matches on home soil. Considering the numbers, we think that odds of +125 offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Lamine Yamal Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+125

First

+430

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Barcelona vs Atlético Madrid Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookmakers have Barcelona as -200 favourites for this Copa del Rey encounter, with the 1x2 odds suggesting that they are 67% likely to triumph. If you want to wager on the underdog, Atlético Madrid have been priced up at +380.

It sometimes pays to go down the Half-Time Result route and the draw is available at +188. Alternatively, Barca can be backed at -109 and Atléti are on offer at +360.

The Total Goals market indicates that Over 2.5 Goals is the betting favourite right now. Punters expecting both teams to find the net can get -263 when it comes to BTTS Yes.

If you’re wanting hundreds of football markets, then the good news is that the best betting apps can provide this. For any Copa del Rey game, take your pick and hopefully find a winning angle.

Full-Time Result

1

-200

X

+360

2

+380

Half-Time Result

1

-109

X

+188

2

+360

Double Chance

1X

-714

12

-667

X2

+133

Draw No Bet

1

-455

2

+270

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1

-132

2 Hcp +1

-108

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+220

Over 2.5

-345

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-263

No

+175

Favourite Robert Lewandowski is now available at +380 to be the First Goalscorer. You will find similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.

Robert Lewandowski (Barcelona)

First

+115

Anytime

+380

Lamine Yamal (Barcelona)

First

+125

Anytime

+430

Ferran Torres (Barcelona)

First

+150

Anytime

+475

Raphinha (Barcelona)

First

+150

Anytime

+500

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

First

+170

Anytime

+575

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

First

+190

Anytime

+600

Marcus Rashford (Barcelona)

First

+195

Anytime

+650

Fermín López (Barcelona)

First

+205

Anytime

+650

Roony Bardghji (Barcelona)

First

+210

Anytime

+750

Dani Olmo (Barcelona)

First

+215

Anytime

+700

Ademola Lookman (Atléti)

First

+240

Anytime

+850

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

First

+300

Anytime

+1000

Álex Baena (Atléti)

First

+380

Anytime

+1200

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

First

+500

Anytime

+1500

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

First

+500

Anytime

+1500

Nicolás González (Atléti)

First

+500

Anytime

+1600

Rodrigo Mendoza (Atléti)

First

+525

Anytime

+1600

Marc Bernal (Barcelona)

First

+525

Anytime

+1700

Pedri (Barcelona)

First

+600

Anytime

+2000

Alejandro Balde (Barcelona)

First

+650

Anytime

+2200

João Cancelo (Barcelona)

First

+700

Anytime

+2200

Ronald Araujo (Barcelona)

First

+700

Anytime

+2200

Jules Koundé (Barcelona)

First

+700

Anytime

+2200

Marc Casadó (Barcelona)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Latest Copa del Rey and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Barcelona Stats

Atlético Madrid Stats

Full-Time Result

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the previous 10 matches
• 10 wins have been recorded in the previous 10 home matches.

Full-Time Result

• 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 2.20 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.00 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.90 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 1 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 8.33 corners awarded and 3.56 corners conceded in the last 9 matches
• An average of 8.40 corners awarded and 3.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 11.89 corners awarded in the last 9 matches
• An average of 12.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 0 of the last 9 matches
• Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 6.22 corners awarded and 4.67 corners conceded in the last 9 matches
• An average of 5.38 corners awarded and 4.75 corners against in the last 8 away matches
• An average of 10.89 corners awarded in the last 9 matches
• An average of 10.13 corners awarded in the last 8 away matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 9 matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 2 of the last 8 away matches

Possession

• An average of 70.78% possession in the last 9 matches
• An average of 69.00% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 9 of the last 9 matches
• Most possession in 9 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 56.56% possession in the last 9 matches
• An average of 54.38% possession in the last 8 away matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 9 matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 8 away matches

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Barcelona vs Atlético Madrid Lineups & Team News

Be prepared — check the Barca vs Atléti team news before wagering. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Copa del Rey lineups and injury news right here.

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