Real Madrid CF
Football UEFA Champions League Santiago Bernabéu Tue 7 Apr 15:00
FC Bayern Munich
  1. Prediction
  2. Odds
  3. Stats
  4. Team News
  5. Lineups
  6. Injuries
  7. Squads
  8. Table

Champions League Quarter-Final Betting Preview: Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich

Spanish La Liga giants Real Madrid host German Bundesliga leaders Bayern Munich in the first leg of this UEFA Champions League quarter-final at Santiago Bernabéu, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Tuesday 7 April.

Can Real Make it a Close Game?

We’ll split our stake by backing Real Madrid +0.25 at odds of -108 for this Asian Handicap wager. It means we have a return if Alvaro Arbeloa's side draw but a nice payout should the home team claim a victory against Bayern Munich.

Both Teams Dominant in Round of 16

Real Madrid come into this match in second place in La Liga, seven points behind Barcelona, while Bayern Munich sit top of the Bundesliga, nine points clear of Borussia Dortmund.

Real suffered a 2-1 defeat away to Mallorca at Estadi Son Moix in La Liga last time out. Los Merengues recorded six shots on target and boasted 64% possession, while Eder Militao registered the goal.

Bayern won 3-2 away to Freiburg at the Europa-Park Stadion in the Bundesliga in their previous game. Vincent Kompany's team had nine shots on goal and boasted 70% possession, while Tom Bischof found the net twice and Lennart Karl bagged one.

In the Champions League round of 16, Real beat Manchester City 5-1 on aggregate, while Bayern claimed a 10-2 aggregate win over Atalanta, with both teams advancing in dominant fashion.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last meeting between the sides saw Real Madrid claim a 2-1 home victory over Bayern Munich at the Santiago Bernabéu.

Champions League G W D L GF GA GD GD P
2 Bayern Munich logo Bayern Munich 8 7 0 1 22 8 14 22:8 21
9 Real Madrid logo Real Madrid 8 5 0 3 21 12 9 21:12 15
View Full Table
Real Madrid – Last 10 League & Champions League Games

Real have 7 wins and 3 losses, averaging 1.9 goals from 6.3 shots on goal and 14.9 attempts. The La Liga outfit have averaged 57.3% possession, 578.3 passes and 5.3 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.1 goals from 3.8 shots on goal, 10.9 attempts and 4.6 corners.

Vinicius Junior is the top scorer with 7 goals, while Federico Valverde has 6 and Aurelien Tchouameni 2. Federico Valverde is the top assists maker on 3, with goalie Thibaut Courtois managing 2 clean sheets.

Bayern Munich – Last 10 League & Champions League Games

Bayern have won 9 and drawn 1, averaging 9.0 shots on goal, 20.7 attempts and 3.6 goals. The Bavarians average 63.8% possession, 653.8 passes, 6.3 corners taken and 2.8 corners against them, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 11.2 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal.

Harry Kane is the leading goalscorer with 11, Luis Diaz has 6, with Serge Gnabry and Michael Olise getting 3. Michael Olise and Luis Diaz are the top assist makers with 4 apiece, while Jonas Urbig has notched one clean sheet in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Real Madrid predicted lineup (4-4-2): Andriy Lunin (GK), Trent Alexander-Arnold, Antonio Ruediger, Dean Huijsen, Francisco Garcia, Federico Valverde, Thiago Pitarch, Aurelien Tchouameni, Arda Guler, Brahim Diaz, Vinicius Junior.

Bayern Munich predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Jonas Urbig (GK), Josip Stanisic, Min-Jae Kim, Jonathan Tah, Tom Bischof, Leon Goretzka, Aleksandar Pavlovic, Lennart Karl, Raphael Guerreiro, Luis Diaz, Serge Gnabry.

Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Betting Tips

Get fully prepped for Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich with our betting guide, featuring our expert match pick, predicted scoreline, sharp corners advice, top player props and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’ll back Real Madrid +0.25 for this Champions League game, with odds of -108 available. We have a feeling that Los Merengues can perform well and the Asian Handicap line looks more than fair for this outcome.

We take note of any injuries or suspensions affecting each side before going ahead with our football predictions. The Champions League form guide and stats also help the team at Sportsgambler.com crunch the numbers ahead of the action.

Key Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich Champions League & league stats:

  • The +0.25 line has been covered by Real in 9 of their last 10 games at home.
  • The +0.25 line has been covered by Real in 17 of their last 20 games at home.
  • The +0.25 line has been covered by Real in 3 consecutive games at home.
Real +0.25 Probability

The odds at the best football bookies suggest our pick has a 51.8% chance of winning. After careful examination, our team calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

Placing a Bet Builder is a recommended option if you want to bet on Real to cover the line but want more juice from your wager. Choose the various legs that you want to add in.

Before placing your next bet, explore our trusted bonus guide featuring top free bets and generous sign-up offers.

Our Match Prediction
Real Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -108 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 5, 21:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 21:27, 05 April 2026

Correct Score Prediction

Real Madrid Real Madrid logo 2 - 1 Bayern logo Bayern

Real Madrid are available at +850 when it comes to them winning 2-1. We like a correct score play and the chance to bag a nice return if our prediction is right.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Federico Valverde to Score +400 BetMGM logo

Federico Valverde (Real Madrid) has netted five goals in his past four matches. We’re content to land the +400 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he features on the scoresheet.

Latest Federico Valverde Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 10.5 Corners -110 BetMGM logo

We’ve seen an average 8.00 corners in the previous five Bayern Munich away matches. There are odds of -110 for this Total Corners wager and we think the line is too high.

Champions League & League Games
League Games
Last 10 Total For Against
Last 10 at Home Total For Against
Last 10 Away Total For Against
Real Madrid Logo Real Madrid
Total
9.90 5.30 4.60
Home
10.80 6.00 4.80
Away
11.10 6.20 4.90
Bayern Logo Bayern
Total
9.10 6.30 2.80
Home
9.00 7.10 1.90
Away
9.30 5.80 3.50
Latest Corner Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Bet Builder Tips

Asian Handicap Real Madrid +0.25 -108
Total Goals Over 2.5 -213
Total Corners Under 10.5 -110

Our same-game multi is packed with these picks: Real Madrid to cover the +0.25 Asian Handicap, three or more goals to be scored along with less than 10.5 corners to be taken.

A football bet builder is a wager on a specific game where you select different outcomes to happen. It means that you can create a personalised bet at bigger odds depending on how many predictions you make.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Latest 1x2 Odds Suggest Bayern Victory

Bayern Munich are the shortest price to win this Champions League quarter-final according to the bookies, with the Bundesliga side given a 47% probability due to their +114 betting odds. For those wanting to back Real Madrid, you will find +205 about Los Merengues.

Should you want to back Bayern to win but want money back if the game ends level, then there is -172 available on the Draw No Bet market. Opponents Real have been chalked up at +120.

The expectation is that Over 2.5 Goals will be scored according to the latest odds. Punters expecting both teams to find the net can get -244 when it comes to BTTS Yes.

Champions League matches are always really well covered at the best betting sites. Customers are able to find a suitable betting angle thanks to the hundreds of football markets which are made available.

Harry Kane Heads First Goalscorer Market

There is -111 available that Harry Kane finds the net, while he is available at +310 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.

Player Goals
Harry Kane (Bayern)
First
-111
Anytime
+310
BetMGM Logo
Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)
First
-100
Anytime
+340
BetMGM Logo
Luis Díaz (Bayern)
First
+190
Anytime
+575
BetMGM Logo
Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid)
First
+200
Anytime
+650
BetMGM Logo
Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
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Team Stats

Latest Champions League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Real Madrid logo Real Madrid Stats
Bayern Munich logo Bayern Munich Stats
Full-Time Result
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the previous 10 matches
  • 9 wins and 1 defeat in the previous 10 home matches
Full-Time Result
  • 9 wins and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
  • 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
Goals
Goals
Corners
Corners
Possession
Possession

Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich Lineups & Team News

Be prepared — check the Real vs Bayern team news before wagering. We’ll keep you posted with predicted and confirmed lineups for the Champions League and all current injury news.

Real Madrid Predicted Lineup 4-4-2

Bayern Munich Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1

Real Madrid Predicted Lineup 4-4-2

13 Andriy Lunin
12 T. Alexander-Arnold 22 Antonio Ruediger 24 Dean Huijsen 20 Francisco Garcia
8 Federico Valverde 45 Thiago Pitarch 14 Aurelien Tchouameni 15 Arda Guler
21 Brahim Diaz 7 Vinicius Junior
40 Jonas Urbig
44 Josip Stanisic 3 Min-Jae Kim 4 Jonathan Tah 20 Tom Bischof
8 Leon Goretzka 45 Aleksandar Pavlovic
42 Lennart Karl 22 Raphael Guerreiro 14 Luis Diaz
7 Serge Gnabry

Bayern Munich Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1

Previous Real Madrid Lineups

04 Apr La Liga
Mallorca 2-1 Real Madrid
22 Mar La Liga
Real Madrid 3-2 Atlético Madrid
17 Mar Champions League
Man City 1-2 Real Madrid
14 Mar La Liga
Real Madrid 4-1 Elche
11 Mar Champions League
Real Madrid 3-0 Man City
06 Mar La Liga
Celta Vigo 1-2 Real Madrid

Previous Bayern Munich Lineups

04 Apr Bundesliga
Freiburg 2-3 Bayern Munich
21 Mar Bundesliga
Bayern Munich 4-0 Union Berlin
18 Mar Champions League
Bayern Munich 4-1 Atalanta
14 Mar Bundesliga
Leverkusen 1-1 Bayern Munich
10 Mar Champions League
Atalanta 1-6 Bayern Munich
06 Mar Bundesliga
Bayern Munich 4-1 B. M'gladbach

Injuries & Suspensions

Real Madrid Injury Table
Type Name Info
Ferland Mendy Muscle
Thibaut Courtois Muscle
Rodrygo Cruciate ligame
Dani Ceballos Calf
Bayern Munich Injury Table
Type Name Info
Michael Olise Yellow cards
Joshua Kimmich Yellow cards
Min-Jae Kim 2nd yellow (Red
Harry Kane Ankle
Sven Ulreich Groin
Leon Klanac Other
Team Squads

Real Madrid Player Stats & Squad

Manager: Alvaro Arbeloa

Player # Pos GP MIN ST BE G A Y R
Vinicius Junior 7 F 4 360 4 0 4 1 1 0
Antonio Ruediger 22 D 4 360 4 0 0 0 0 0
Aurelien Tchouameni 14 M 4 360 4 0 1 1 0 0
Federico Valverde 8 M 4 360 4 0 3 2 0 0
Trent Alexander-Arnold 12 D 4 344 4 0 0 0 1 0

Bayern Munich Player Stats & Squad

Manager: Vincent Kompany

Player # Pos GP MIN ST BE G A Y R
Luis Diaz 14 F 2 180 2 0 1 2 0 0
Jonas Urbig 40 G 2 180 2 0 0 0 0 0
Jonathan Tah 4 D 2 180 2 0 0 0 0 0
Josip Stanisic 44 D 2 156 2 0 1 1 0 0
Aleksandar Pavlovic 45 M 2 121 2 0 0 0 0 0
UEFA FlagChampions League Table
Champions League Season
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Arsenal 8 8 0 0 23:4 24
2 Bayern Munich 8 7 0 1 22:8 21
3 Liverpool 8 6 0 2 20:8 18
4 Tottenham 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
5 Barcelona 8 5 1 2 22:14 16
6 Chelsea 8 5 1 2 17:10 16
7 Sporting 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
8 Man City 8 5 1 2 15:9 16
9 Real Madrid 8 5 0 3 21:12 15
10 Inter Milan 8 5 0 3 15:7 15
11 PSG 8 4 2 2 21:11 14
12 Newcastle 8 4 2 2 17:7 14
13 Juventus 8 3 4 1 14:10 13
14 Atlético Madrid 8 4 1 3 17:15 13
15 Atalanta 8 4 1 3 10:10 13
16 Leverkusen 8 3 3 2 13:14 12
17 Dortmund 8 3 2 3 19:17 11
18 Olympiacos 8 3 2 3 10:14 11
19 Club Brugge 8 3 1 4 15:17 10
20 Galatasaray 8 3 1 4 9:11 10
21 Monaco 8 2 4 2 8:14 10
22 Qarabag FK 8 3 1 4 13:21 10
23 Bodo/Glimt 8 2 3 3 14:15 9
24 Benfica 8 3 0 5 10:12 9
25 Marseille 8 3 0 5 11:14 9
26 Pafos 8 2 3 3 8:11 9
27 Union S-G 8 3 0 5 8:17 9
28 PSV 8 2 2 4 16:16 8
29 Athletic Club 8 2 2 4 9:14 8
30 Napoli 8 2 2 4 9:15 8
31 FC Copenhagen 8 2 2 4 12:21 8
32 Ajax 8 2 0 6 8:21 6
33 Frankfurt 8 1 1 6 10:21 4
34 Slavia Prague 8 0 3 5 5:19 3
35 Villarreal 8 0 1 7 5:18 1
36 Kairat Almaty 8 0 1 7 7:22 1
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Bayern Munich 4 4 0 0 12:2 12
2 Tottenham 4 4 0 0 10:0 12
3 Arsenal 4 4 0 0 12:3 12
4 Chelsea 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
5 Sporting 4 4 0 0 11:3 12
6 Barcelona 4 3 0 1 13:5 9
7 Newcastle 4 3 0 1 9:2 9
8 Atlético Madrid 4 3 0 1 11:5 9
9 Real Madrid 4 3 0 1 10:4 9
10 Liverpool 4 3 0 1 11:6 9
11 Man City 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
12 Juventus 4 2 2 0 9:5 8
13 PSG 4 2 1 1 11:6 7
14 Dortmund 4 2 1 1 10:5 7
15 Club Brugge 4 2 1 1 10:7 7
16 Napoli 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
17 Galatasaray 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
18 Qarabag FK 4 2 1 1 9:8 7
19 Atalanta 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
20 Pafos 4 2 1 1 8:8 7
21 Benfica 4 2 0 2 8:6 6
22 Inter Milan 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
23 Marseille 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
24 Monaco 4 1 3 0 3:2 6
25 Olympiacos 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
26 FC Copenhagen 4 1 2 1 8:9 5
27 Leverkusen 4 1 2 1 8:10 5
28 Bodo/Glimt 4 1 1 2 7:7 4
29 Athletic Club 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
30 PSV 4 1 0 3 10:10 3
31 Frankfurt 4 1 0 3 6:11 3
32 Union S-G 4 1 0 3 3:11 3
33 Slavia Prague 4 0 2 2 4:9 2
34 Villarreal 4 0 1 3 5:9 1
35 Kairat Almaty 4 0 1 3 1:10 1
36 Ajax 4 0 0 4 1:9 0
Spain FlagLa Liga Table
2025/2026 Season
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Barcelona 30 25 1 4 80:29 76
2 Real Madrid 30 22 3 5 64:28 69
3 Villarreal 29 18 4 7 54:34 58
4 Atlético Madrid 30 17 6 7 50:30 57
5 Real Betis 30 11 12 7 44:37 45
6 Celta Vigo 30 11 11 8 44:37 44
7 Real Sociedad 30 11 8 11 46:45 41
8 Getafe 30 12 5 13 27:31 41
9 Osasuna 30 10 8 12 36:37 38
10 Espanyol 30 10 8 12 36:44 38
11 Athletic Club 30 11 5 14 32:43 38
12 Rayo Vallecano 30 8 11 11 29:35 35
13 Valencia 30 9 8 13 34:45 35
14 Girona 29 8 10 11 31:44 34
15 Alavés 30 8 8 14 32:43 32
16 Mallorca 30 8 7 15 36:48 31
17 Sevilla 30 8 7 15 37:50 31
18 Elche 30 6 11 13 38:47 29
19 Levante 30 6 8 16 34:50 26
20 Real Oviedo 30 5 9 16 21:48 24
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Barcelona 15 15 0 0 47:8 45
2 Atlético Madrid 16 13 1 2 35:14 40
3 Real Madrid 15 13 0 2 36:12 39
4 Villarreal 15 12 1 2 34:13 37
5 Osasuna 14 8 4 2 25:16 28
6 Real Sociedad 15 8 3 4 29:21 27
7 Real Betis 15 7 5 3 26:16 26
8 Athletic Club 15 8 2 5 19:17 26
9 Elche 15 6 7 2 24:16 25
10 Mallorca 15 7 4 4 23:19 25
11 Rayo Vallecano 15 5 8 2 17:11 23
12 Valencia 15 6 5 4 21:18 23
13 Getafe 15 6 3 6 14:11 21
14 Alavés 15 5 6 4 19:18 21
15 Espanyol 15 6 3 6 18:21 21
16 Girona 14 5 4 5 16:21 19
17 Celta Vigo 15 4 5 6 23:21 17
18 Real Oviedo 15 4 5 6 7:14 17
19 Sevilla 15 4 4 7 19:22 16
20 Levante 15 3 5 7 18:26 14
Germany FlagBundesliga Table
2025/2026 Season
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Bayern Munich 28 23 4 1 100:27 73
2 Dortmund 28 19 7 2 60:28 64
3 RB Leipzig 28 16 5 7 55:36 53
4 Stuttgart 28 16 5 7 56:38 53
5 Hoffenheim 28 15 5 8 55:41 50
6 Leverkusen 28 14 7 7 58:39 49
7 Frankfurt 28 10 9 9 52:53 39
8 Freiburg 28 10 7 11 41:47 37
9 Mainz 05 28 8 9 11 35:43 33
10 Union Berlin 28 8 8 12 32:47 32
11 Augsburg 28 9 5 14 34:51 32
12 Hamburger SV 28 7 10 11 32:41 31
13 B. M'gladbach 28 7 9 12 35:48 30
14 Werder Bremen 28 7 7 14 31:49 28
15 FC Koln 28 6 9 13 40:49 27
16 St. Pauli 28 6 7 15 25:45 25
17 Wolfsburg 28 5 6 17 38:63 21
18 Heidenheim 28 3 7 18 29:63 16
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Bayern Munich 14 12 1 1 56:13 37
2 Dortmund 14 11 2 1 33:13 35
3 Stuttgart 14 10 2 2 22:14 32
4 RB Leipzig 14 9 2 3 34:18 29
5 Leverkusen 14 8 3 3 32:15 27
6 Hoffenheim 14 8 1 5 29:17 25
7 Freiburg 14 7 4 3 26:19 25
8 Frankfurt 14 7 3 4 25:20 24
9 Hamburger SV 15 5 6 4 21:18 21
10 Augsburg 14 6 3 5 19:24 21
11 Union Berlin 14 4 6 4 19:22 18
12 Mainz 05 14 4 5 5 17:17 17
13 B. M'gladbach 14 4 5 5 18:23 17
14 FC Koln 14 4 4 6 25:24 16
15 St. Pauli 13 4 4 5 14:20 16
16 Werder Bremen 14 4 4 6 15:25 16
17 Heidenheim 14 2 5 7 18:34 11
18 Wolfsburg 14 2 3 9 20:29 9