Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 07 Apr 2026
Champions League Quarter-Final Betting Preview: Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich
Spanish La Liga giants Real Madrid host German Bundesliga leaders Bayern Munich in the first leg of this UEFA Champions League quarter-final at Santiago Bernabéu, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Tuesday 7 April.
We’ll split our stake by backing Real Madrid +0.25 at odds of -108 for this Asian Handicap wager. It means we have a return if Alvaro Arbeloa's side draw but a nice payout should the home team claim a victory against Bayern Munich.
Real Madrid come into this match in second place in La Liga, seven points behind Barcelona, while Bayern Munich sit top of the Bundesliga, nine points clear of Borussia Dortmund.
Real suffered a 2-1 defeat away to Mallorca at Estadi Son Moix in La Liga last time out. Los Merengues recorded six shots on target and boasted 64% possession, while Eder Militao registered the goal.
Bayern won 3-2 away to Freiburg at the Europa-Park Stadion in the Bundesliga in their previous game. Vincent Kompany's team had nine shots on goal and boasted 70% possession, while Tom Bischof found the net twice and Lennart Karl bagged one.
In the Champions League round of 16, Real beat Manchester City 5-1 on aggregate, while Bayern claimed a 10-2 aggregate win over Atalanta, with both teams advancing in dominant fashion.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The last meeting between the sides saw Real Madrid claim a 2-1 home victory over Bayern Munich at the Santiago Bernabéu.
| Champions League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bayern Munich |
8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 22:8 | 21 |
| 9 | Real Madrid |
8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 21:12 | 15 |
Real have 7 wins and 3 losses, averaging 1.9 goals from 6.3 shots on goal and 14.9 attempts. The La Liga outfit have averaged 57.3% possession, 578.3 passes and 5.3 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.1 goals from 3.8 shots on goal, 10.9 attempts and 4.6 corners.
Vinicius Junior is the top scorer with 7 goals, while Federico Valverde has 6 and Aurelien Tchouameni 2. Federico Valverde is the top assists maker on 3, with goalie Thibaut Courtois managing 2 clean sheets.
Bayern have won 9 and drawn 1, averaging 9.0 shots on goal, 20.7 attempts and 3.6 goals. The Bavarians average 63.8% possession, 653.8 passes, 6.3 corners taken and 2.8 corners against them, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 11.2 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal.
Harry Kane is the leading goalscorer with 11, Luis Diaz has 6, with Serge Gnabry and Michael Olise getting 3. Michael Olise and Luis Diaz are the top assist makers with 4 apiece, while Jonas Urbig has notched one clean sheet in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Real Madrid predicted lineup (4-4-2): Andriy Lunin (GK), Trent Alexander-Arnold, Antonio Ruediger, Dean Huijsen, Francisco Garcia, Federico Valverde, Thiago Pitarch, Aurelien Tchouameni, Arda Guler, Brahim Diaz, Vinicius Junior.
Bayern Munich predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Jonas Urbig (GK), Josip Stanisic, Min-Jae Kim, Jonathan Tah, Tom Bischof, Leon Goretzka, Aleksandar Pavlovic, Lennart Karl, Raphael Guerreiro, Luis Diaz, Serge Gnabry.
Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Betting Tips
Get fully prepped for Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich with our betting guide, featuring our expert match pick, predicted scoreline, sharp corners advice, top player props and a value-focused bet builder.
Match Prediction
We’ll back Real Madrid +0.25 for this Champions League game, with odds of -108 available. We have a feeling that Los Merengues can perform well and the Asian Handicap line looks more than fair for this outcome.
We take note of any injuries or suspensions affecting each side before going ahead with our football predictions. The Champions League form guide and stats also help the team at Sportsgambler.com crunch the numbers ahead of the action.
Key Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich Champions League & league stats:
The odds at the best football bookies suggest our pick has a 51.8% chance of winning. After careful examination, our team calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.
Placing a Bet Builder is a recommended option if you want to bet on Real to cover the line but want more juice from your wager. Choose the various legs that you want to add in.
Before placing your next bet, explore our trusted bonus guide featuring top free bets and generous sign-up offers.
Correct Score Prediction
Real Madrid are available at +850 when it comes to them winning 2-1. We like a correct score play and the chance to bag a nice return if our prediction is right.
Player Prop Picks
Federico Valverde (Real Madrid) has netted five goals in his past four matches. We’re content to land the +400 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he features on the scoresheet.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
We’ve seen an average 8.00 corners in the previous five Bayern Munich away matches. There are odds of -110 for this Total Corners wager and we think the line is too high.
Real Madrid
Bayern
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Our same-game multi is packed with these picks: Real Madrid to cover the +0.25 Asian Handicap, three or more goals to be scored along with less than 10.5 corners to be taken.
A football bet builder is a wager on a specific game where you select different outcomes to happen. It means that you can create a personalised bet at bigger odds depending on how many predictions you make.
Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Bayern Munich are the shortest price to win this Champions League quarter-final according to the bookies, with the Bundesliga side given a 47% probability due to their +114 betting odds. For those wanting to back Real Madrid, you will find +205 about Los Merengues.
Should you want to back Bayern to win but want money back if the game ends level, then there is -172 available on the Draw No Bet market. Opponents Real have been chalked up at +120.
The expectation is that Over 2.5 Goals will be scored according to the latest odds. Punters expecting both teams to find the net can get -244 when it comes to BTTS Yes.
Champions League matches are always really well covered at the best betting sites. Customers are able to find a suitable betting angle thanks to the hundreds of football markets which are made available.
There is -111 available that Harry Kane finds the net, while he is available at +310 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.
Latest Champions League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.
Real Madrid Stats
Bayern Munich Stats
- 7 wins and 3 defeats in the previous 10 matches
- 9 wins and 1 defeat in the previous 10 home matches
- 9 wins and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.10 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.20 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 4.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 4.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.30 corners awarded and 2.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 3.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 57.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 57.10% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich Lineups & Team News
Be prepared — check the Real vs Bayern team news before wagering. We’ll keep you posted with predicted and confirmed lineups for the Champions League and all current injury news.
Real Madrid Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Bayern Munich Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Real Madrid Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Bayern Munich Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Real Madrid Lineups
Previous Bayern Munich Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Real Madrid Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Alvaro Arbeloa
Bayern Munich Player Stats & Squad
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 23:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22:8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20:8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 17 |
| 5 | Barcelona | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22:14 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:11 | 16 |
| 8 | Man City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21:12 | 15 |
| 10 | Inter Milan | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:7 | 15 |
| 11 | PSG | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21:11 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:7 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:10 | 13 |
| 14 | Atlético Madrid | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 16 | Leverkusen | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:14 | 12 |
| 17 | Dortmund | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19:17 | 11 |
| 18 | Olympiacos | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:14 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 21 | Monaco | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:14 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag FK | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:21 | 10 |
| 23 | Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 24 | Benfica | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:12 | 9 |
| 25 | Marseille | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 26 | Pafos | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | 9 |
| 27 | Union S-G | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 30 | Napoli | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 8 |
| 31 | FC Copenhagen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:21 | 8 |
| 32 | Ajax | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 33 | Frankfurt | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10:21 | 4 |
| 34 | Slavia Prague | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5:19 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:18 | 1 |
| 36 | Kairat Almaty | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7:22 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Tottenham | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:0 | 12 |
| 3 | Arsenal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | 12 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 12 |
| 5 | Sporting | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:3 | 12 |
| 6 | Barcelona | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:5 | 9 |
| 7 | Newcastle | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:2 | 9 |
| 8 | Atlético Madrid | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 9 |
| 9 | Real Madrid | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | 9 |
| 10 | Liverpool | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:6 | 9 |
| 11 | Man City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 12 | Juventus | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 13 | PSG | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 7 |
| 14 | Dortmund | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 7 |
| 15 | Club Brugge | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:7 | 7 |
| 16 | Napoli | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 17 | Galatasaray | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 18 | Qarabag FK | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:8 | 7 |
| 19 | Atalanta | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 20 | Pafos | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 21 | Benfica | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 6 |
| 22 | Inter Milan | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 23 | Marseille | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 24 | Monaco | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 25 | Olympiacos | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 5 |
| 26 | FC Copenhagen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8:9 | 5 |
| 27 | Leverkusen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8:10 | 5 |
| 28 | Bodo/Glimt | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 30 | PSV | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10:10 | 3 |
| 31 | Frankfurt | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 32 | Union S-G | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:11 | 3 |
| 33 | Slavia Prague | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:9 | 2 |
| 34 | Villarreal | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 35 | Kairat Almaty | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:10 | 1 |
| 36 | Ajax | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:9 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 30 | 25 | 1 | 4 | 80:29 | 76 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 30 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 64:28 | 69 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 29 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 54:34 | 58 |
| 4 | Atlético Madrid | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 50:30 | 57 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 44:37 | 45 |
| 6 | Celta Vigo | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 44:37 | 44 |
| 7 | Real Sociedad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 46:45 | 41 |
| 8 | Getafe | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 27:31 | 41 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 36:37 | 38 |
| 10 | Espanyol | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 36:44 | 38 |
| 11 | Athletic Club | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 32:43 | 38 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 29:35 | 35 |
| 13 | Valencia | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34:45 | 35 |
| 14 | Girona | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 31:44 | 34 |
| 15 | Alavés | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32:43 | 32 |
| 16 | Mallorca | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 36:48 | 31 |
| 17 | Sevilla | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 37:50 | 31 |
| 18 | Elche | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 38:47 | 29 |
| 19 | Levante | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 34:50 | 26 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 21:48 | 24 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 15 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 47:8 | 45 |
| 2 | Atlético Madrid | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 35:14 | 40 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 15 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 36:12 | 39 |
| 4 | Villarreal | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 34:13 | 37 |
| 5 | Osasuna | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25:16 | 28 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 29:21 | 27 |
| 7 | Real Betis | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 26:16 | 26 |
| 8 | Athletic Club | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 19:17 | 26 |
| 9 | Elche | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 24:16 | 25 |
| 10 | Mallorca | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 23:19 | 25 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 17:11 | 23 |
| 12 | Valencia | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 21:18 | 23 |
| 13 | Getafe | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 14:11 | 21 |
| 14 | Alavés | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 19:18 | 21 |
| 15 | Espanyol | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:21 | 21 |
| 16 | Girona | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16:21 | 19 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 23:21 | 17 |
| 18 | Real Oviedo | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7:14 | 17 |
| 19 | Sevilla | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 20 | Levante | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 100:27 | 73 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 60:28 | 64 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 55:36 | 53 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 56:38 | 53 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 55:41 | 50 |
| 6 | Leverkusen | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 58:39 | 49 |
| 7 | Frankfurt | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 52:53 | 39 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 41:47 | 37 |
| 9 | Mainz 05 | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 35:43 | 33 |
| 10 | Union Berlin | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 32:47 | 32 |
| 11 | Augsburg | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 34:51 | 32 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 13 | B. M'gladbach | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 35:48 | 30 |
| 14 | Werder Bremen | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 31:49 | 28 |
| 15 | FC Koln | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 40:49 | 27 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 25:45 | 25 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 38:63 | 21 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 28 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 29:63 | 16 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 56:13 | 37 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 33:13 | 35 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 22:14 | 32 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 34:18 | 29 |
| 5 | Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 32:15 | 27 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 29:17 | 25 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26:19 | 25 |
| 8 | Frankfurt | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25:20 | 24 |
| 9 | Hamburger SV | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 21:18 | 21 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:24 | 21 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 19:22 | 18 |
| 12 | Mainz 05 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17:17 | 17 |
| 13 | B. M'gladbach | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18:23 | 17 |
| 14 | FC Koln | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 25:24 | 16 |
| 15 | St. Pauli | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14:20 | 16 |
| 16 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15:25 | 16 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 18:34 | 11 |
| 18 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 20:29 | 9 |
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