Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 07 Apr 2026

Champions League Quarter-Final Betting Preview: Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich

Spanish La Liga giants Real Madrid host German Bundesliga leaders Bayern Munich in the first leg of this UEFA Champions League quarter-final at Santiago Bernabéu, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Tuesday 7 April.

We are a little surprised to see that the bookies have made Bayern Munich favourites here. Aside from a blip against Getafe in early March, Real Madrid have been excellent at home of late, beating Atlético 3-2 in the Madrid derby in their most recent league game and winning 3-0 against Manchester City in their last Champions League outing.

We’ll split our stake by backing Real +0.25 at odds of -108 for this Asian Handicap wager. It means we have a return if Alvaro Arbeloa's side draw but a full payout should the home team claim a victory against Bayern.

Real Madrid come into this match in second place in La Liga, seven points behind Barcelona, while Bayern Munich sit top of the Bundesliga, nine points clear of Borussia Dortmund.

Real suffered a 2-1 defeat away to Mallorca at Estadi Son Moix in La Liga last time out. Los Merengues recorded six shots on target and boasted 64% possession, while Eder Militao registered the goal.

Bayern won 3-2 away to Freiburg at the Europa-Park Stadion in the Bundesliga in their previous game. Vincent Kompany's team had nine shots on goal and boasted 70% possession, while Tom Bischof found the net twice and Lennart Karl bagged one.

In the Champions League round of 16, Real beat Manchester City 5-1 on aggregate, while Bayern claimed a 10-2 aggregate win over Atalanta, with both teams advancing in dominant fashion.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last meeting between the sides saw Real claim a 2-1 home victory over Bayern at the Santiago Bernabéu.

This was the second leg of the 2023/24 Champions League semi-final, with Joselu scoring two late goals to win the game and send Real through to the final with a 4-3 aggregate victory.

Champions League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Bayern Munich	8	7	0	1	22	8	14	22:8	21
9	Real Madrid	8	5	0	3	21	12	9	21:12	15

View Full Table

Real have 7 wins and 3 losses, averaging 1.9 goals from 6.3 shots on goal and 14.9 attempts. The La Liga outfit have averaged 57.3% possession, 578.3 passes and 5.3 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.1 goals from 3.8 shots on goal, 10.9 attempts and 4.6 corners.

Vinicius Junior is the top scorer with 7 goals, while Federico Valverde has 6 and Aurelien Tchouameni 2. Federico Valverde is the top assists maker on 3, with goalie Thibaut Courtois managing 2 clean sheets.

Bayern have won 9 and drawn 1, averaging 9.0 shots on goal, 20.7 attempts and 3.6 goals. The Bavarians average 63.8% possession, 653.8 passes, 6.3 corners taken and 2.8 corners against them, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 11.2 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal.

Harry Kane is the leading goalscorer with 11, Luis Diaz has 6, with Serge Gnabry and Michael Olise getting 3. Michael Olise and Luis Diaz are the top assist makers with 4 apiece, while Jonas Urbig has notched one clean sheet in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Real Madrid confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Andriy Lunin (GK), Trent Alexander-Arnold, Antonio Ruediger, Dean Huijsen, Alvaro Carreras, Federico Valverde, Thiago Pitarch, Aurelien Tchouameni, Arda Guler, Kylian Mbappe, Vinicius Junior.

Bayern Munich confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Manuel Neuer (GK), Josip Stanisic, Dayot Upamecano, Jonathan Tah, Konrad Laimer, Joshua Kimmich, Aleksandar Pavlovic, Michael Olise, Serge Gnabry, Luis Diaz, Harry Kane.

Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Betting Tips

Get fully prepped for Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich with our betting guide, featuring our expert match pick, predicted scoreline, sharp corners advice, top player props and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’ll back Real Madrid +0.25 for this Champions League game, with odds of -108 available. We have a feeling that Los Merengues can perform well and the Asian Handicap line looks more than fair for this outcome.

We take note of any injuries or suspensions affecting each side before going ahead with our football predictions. The Champions League form guide and stats also help the team at Sportsgambler.com crunch the numbers ahead of the action.

Key Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich Champions League & league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Real in 9 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Real in 17 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Real in 3 consecutive games at home.

The odds at the best football bookies suggest our pick has a 51.8% chance of winning. After careful examination, our team calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

Placing a Bet Builder is a recommended option if you want to bet on Real to cover the line but want more juice from your wager. Choose the various legs that you want to add in.

Before placing your next bet, explore our trusted bonus guide featuring top free bets and generous sign-up offers.

Our Match Prediction

Real Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -108 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 5, 21:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Real Madrid 2 - 1 Bayern

Los Merengues are available at +850 when it comes to them winning 2-1. We like a correct score play and the chance to bag a nice return if our prediction is right.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Federico Valverde Over 1.5 Shots -119

Federico Valverde (Real Madrid) has covered the 1.5 shots total in five consecutive home games. It certainly looks possible that he will cover the Player Shots line and there are odds of -119 up for grabs.

Latest Federico Valverde Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+350

First

+1100

Shots

Over 1.5

-127

Under 1.5

-

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Vinicius Junior to Score +200

Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid) has registered seven goals in his past ten games. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager at +200 which means we need to him to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Vinicius Junior Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+170

First

+600

Shots

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 10.5 Corners -110

We’ve seen an average 8.00 corners in the previous five Bayern Munich away matches. There are odds of -110 for this Total Corners wager and we think the line is too high.

Champions League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Real Madrid

Total

9.90 5.30 4.60

Home

10.80 6.00 4.80

Away

11.10 6.20 4.90

Bayern

Total

9.10 6.30 2.80

Home

9.00 7.10 1.90

Away

9.30 5.80 3.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-118

Under 10.5

-120

Real Madrid Corners

Over 4.5

-132

Under 4.5

-108

Bayern Corners

Over 5.5

-109

Under 5.5

-130

Most Corners

1

+128

X

+700

2

-128

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookies have chalked up the draw at +295 on the 1x2 betting, with Bayern Munich available to bet at odds of +138. Real Madrid are +165 to claim victory in this Champions League quarter-final.

Should you want to back Bayern to win but want money back if the game ends level, then there is -133 available on the Draw No Bet market. Opponents Real have been chalked up at -108.

The expectation is that Over 2.5 Goals will be scored according to the latest odds. Punters expecting both teams to find the net can get -333 when it comes to BTTS Yes.

Champions League matches are always really well covered at the best betting sites. Customers are able to find a suitable betting angle thanks to the hundreds of football markets which are made available.

Full-Time Result

1

+165

X

+295

2

+138

Half-Time Result

1

+190

X

+170

2

+170

Double Chance

1X

-179

12

-417

X2

-213

Draw No Bet

1

-108

2

-133

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-133

2 Hcp -0.25

+108

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+240

Over 2.5

-313

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-333

No

+245

There is -130 available that Kylian Mbappé finds the net, while he is available at +310 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.

Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)

First

-130

Anytime

+310

Harry Kane (Bayern)

First

-118

Anytime

+330

Luis Díaz (Bayern)

First

+170

Anytime

+575

Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid)

First

+170

Anytime

+600

Gonzalo García (Real Madrid)

First

+190

Anytime

+650

Michael Olise (Bayern)

First

+210

Anytime

+750

Nicolas Jackson (Bayern)

First

+220

Anytime

+750

Serge Gnabry (Bayern)

First

+270

Anytime

+950

Jamal Musiala (Bayern)

First

+290

Anytime

+950

Lennart Karl (Bayern)

First

+300

Anytime

+950

Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid)

First

+330

Anytime

+1100

Federico Valverde (Real Madrid)

First

+350

Anytime

+1100

Arda Guler (Real Madrid)

First

+390

Anytime

+1300

Brahim Díaz (Real Madrid)

First

+410

Anytime

+1400

Franco Mastantuono (Real Madrid)

First

+480

Anytime

+1600

Aurélien Tchouaméni (Real Madrid)

First

+550

Anytime

+1800

Thiago Pitarch (Real Madrid)

First

+575

Anytime

+1900

Leon Goretzka (Bayern)

First

+700

Anytime

+2200

Joshua Kimmich (Bayern)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Tom Bischof (Bayern)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)

Over 4.5

+107

Under 4.5

-

Harry Kane (Bayern)

Over 4.5

+106

Under 4.5

-

Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid)

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

-

Luis Díaz (Bayern)

Over 2.5

-128

Under 2.5

-

Gonzalo García (Real Madrid)

Over 2.5

-116

Under 2.5

-

Michael Olise (Bayern)

Over 2.5

-147

Under 2.5

-

Nicolas Jackson (Bayern)

Over 2.5

+123

Under 2.5

-

Brahim Díaz (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Arda Guler (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

-116

Under 1.5

-

Federico Valverde (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

-127

Under 1.5

-

Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Lennart Karl (Bayern)

Over 1.5

-141

Under 1.5

-

Jamal Musiala (Bayern)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Serge Gnabry (Bayern)

Over 1.5

-152

Under 1.5

-

Franco Mastantuono (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Aurélien Tchouaméni (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

-

Thiago Pitarch (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Leon Goretzka (Bayern)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-

Joshua Kimmich (Bayern)

Over 0.5

-127

Under 0.5

-

Tom Bischof (Bayern)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

Latest Champions League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Real Madrid Stats

Bayern Munich Stats

Full-Time Result

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the previous 10 matches
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 9 wins and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.10 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 4.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 3.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.20 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 4.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 4.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 4.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 4.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 10.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 6.30 corners awarded and 2.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 3.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 57.30% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 57.10% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 63.80% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 64.00% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 10 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 10 of the last 10 away matches

Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich Lineups & Team News

Be prepared — check the Real vs Bayern team news before wagering. We’ll keep you posted with predicted and confirmed lineups for the Champions League and all current injury news.

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