Sporting vs Arsenal Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 07 Apr 2026

Champions League Quarter-Final Betting Preview: Sporting vs Arsenal

Portuguese Primeira Liga outfit Sporting host Premier League leaders Arsenal in the first leg of this UEFA Champions League quarter-final at Estádio José Alvalade in Lisbon, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Tuesday 7 April.

The best betting angle for this fixture could be the BTTS Yes option, especially as it’s attractively priced at -123.

Considering the latest xG data, recent goal-scoring records and the fact Sporting will likely need to push for a win at home while Arsenal look to avoid a third straight defeat, we can see both teams finding the net.

Sporting come into this quarter-final second in the Primeira Liga, five points behind Porto with a game in hand, while Arsenal sit top of the Premier League, nine points clear of Manchester City, albeit having played a game more.

Sporting have won nine straight home games in all competitions, most recently beating Santa Clara 2-1 at the Estádio José Alvalade in the Primeira Liga. The Lions enjoyed 71% possession and had eight shots on target, with Pedro Goncalves, Daniel Braganca, Trincao and Rafael Nel each scoring one goal.

Arsenal head into this match on the back of two consecutive cup defeats. Last time out, they were beaten 2-1 away to Championship side Southampton at St Mary’s in the FA Cup quarter-final. The North London side had eight shots on target and enjoyed 60% possession, with Viktor Gyokeres finding the net.

Before that, Arsenal lost 2-0 to Manchester City in the EFL Cup final at Wembley. City dominated the game with 62% possession, scoring twice in the second half through academy graduate Nico O'Reilly.

In the Champions League round of 16, Sporting beat Norwegian side Bodo/Glimt 5-3 on aggregate, while Arsenal claimed a 3-1 aggregate win over Bayer Leverkusen.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Arsenal came out on top when the sides last met, recording a 5-1 away win at the Estádio José Alvalade in a UCL league phase game in November 2024.

Champions League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Arsenal	8	8	0	0	23	4	19	23:4	24
7	Sporting	8	5	1	2	17	11	6	17:11	16

View Full Table

Sporting have 7 wins, 1 loss and 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals from 6.7 shots on goal and 17.9 attempts. The Lisbon club have averaged 58.6% possession, 546.7 passes and 8.1 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.0 goals from 3.0 shots on goal, 7.5 attempts and 2.6 corners.

Top scorer Luis Suarez has found the net 8 times, with Pedro Goncalves and Daniel Braganca getting 5 and 3 respectively. Trincao is top assists maker with 5, while goalkeeper Rui Silva has kept 4 clean sheets.

Arsenal have won 7 and drawn 3, averaging 5.3 shots on goal, 14.0 attempts and 2.2 goals. Mikel Arteta's team average 52.9% possession, 430.7 passes, 5.8 corners awarded and 4.3 corners against, while 0.6 goals have been conceded from 7.9 attempts and 2.8 shots on goal.

Viktor Gyoekeres is the leading scorer with 6 goals, followed by Eberechi Eze on 3, with Bukayo Saka and two others bagging 2. Gabriel Martinelli has clocked up 3 assists, with David Raya keeping 5 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Sporting confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Rui Silva (GK), Ivan Fresneda, Ousmane Diomande, Goncalo Inacio, Maximiliano Araujo, Hidemasa Morita, Joao Simoes, Geny Catamo, Trincao, Pedro Goncalves, Luis Suarez.

Arsenal confirmed lineup (4-3-3): David Raya (GK), Ben White, William Saliba, Gabriel, Riccardo Calafiori, Martin Oedegaard, Martin Zubimendi, Declan Rice, Noni Madueke, Viktor Gyoekeres, Leandro Trossard.

Sporting vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the edge with our Sporting vs Arsenal betting tips: a trusted match prediction, likely correct score outcome, corners market forecast, key player props and an expert-crafted bet builder.

Match Prediction

The odds of -123 look too good to pass up when it comes to both teams scoring in this Champions League showdown. A nice potential return is on the cards by taking this BTTS Yes option and we think it has a good chance.

In order to come up with the best football predictions, we like to know the Champions League team news and study the latest form. There are also plenty of numbers to crunch from the available stats.

Key Sporting vs Arsenal Champions League & league stats:

• BTTS Yes has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Sporting games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 12 of the last 20 Sporting games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 2 straight Sporting games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Arsenal games on the road.

Based on the latest odds from the top bookmakers, our pick carries a 55.2% chance of winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 60-65% taking all factors into consideration. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

If you’re looking for bigger odds about BTTS Yes, then why not combine this selection with some of the other available betting markets in a Bet Builder.

Find top value before betting. Our guide includes the latest free bets and sign-up bonuses from trusted sites.

Our Match Prediction

Both Teams To Score - Yes @ -123 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 5, 21:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Sporting 1 - 1 Arsenal

There are odds of +525 that the two teams play out a 1-1 scoreline. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Geny Catamo Over 1.5 Shots +138

Geny Catamo (Sporting) has covered the 1.5 shots total in three consecutive games. The numbers imply that he can succeed with our Overs bet and we’re delighted to take the +138 available.

Latest Geny Catamo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+650

First

+1700

Shots

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

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Maximiliano Araujo to Score +750

Maximiliano Araujo (Sporting) has registered four goals in his past nine home games. We believe this is the best of the player props, with a healthy +750 available when it comes to betting him to score at any time.

Latest Maximiliano Araujo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+700

First

+1700

Shots

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Sporting Over 4.5 Corners -100

It’s been an average of 10.80 Sporting corners in the past five home matches, with Arsenal conceding a corner average of 5.60 in their last five games. If you agree with our verdict that the Sporting Team Corners line can be covered, then you can secure odds of -100 that this happens.

Champions League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Sporting

Total

10.70 8.10 2.60

Home

11.10 8.10 3.00

Away

9.50 5.60 3.90

Arsenal

Total

10.10 5.80 4.30

Home

10.00 6.90 3.10

Away

9.00 5.40 3.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-137

Under 9.5

-103

Sporting Corners

Over 4.5

+102

Under 4.5

-143

Arsenal Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-143

Most Corners

1

+148

X

+650

2

-147

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Sporting vs Arsenal Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Arsenal are available at -120 to come away with a triumph in this Champions League quarter-final, meaning a 55% likelihood of winning according to the published betting odds. Sporting are operating at larger odds than the opposition and the Lions can be wagered at +340.

The Asian Handicap -0.5 bet means you need your selection to simply win. Arsenal are -122, although Sporting are +0.5 at -102 and you win with the latter if things end in a draw.

You can get a similar price whether you’re betting Under or Over 2.5 Goals. BTTS betting is always a warm order and you can bet Yes at -128 on the Both Teams to Score market.

Hundreds of markets are made available when it comes to Champions League games, with the best football betting sites leaving no stone unturned in terms of available options.

Full-Time Result

1

+340

X

+260

2

-120

Half-Time Result

1

+340

X

+123

2

+143

Double Chance

1X

-108

12

-357

X2

-500

Draw No Bet

1

+200

2

-303

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.5

-102

2 Hcp -0.5

-122

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-114

Over 2.5

-109

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-128

No

-100

Those interested in favourite Viktor Gyökeres to find the net first can get +340, while the Anytime Goalscorer angle could hold more appeal and this is +125.

Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)

First

+125

Anytime

+340

Luis Javier Suárez (Sporting)

First

+160

Anytime

+400

Gabriel Jesus (Arsenal)

First

+210

Anytime

+550

Bukayo Saka (Arsenal)

First

+215

Anytime

+550

Eberechi Eze (Arsenal)

First

+230

Anytime

+600

Kai Havertz (Arsenal)

First

+260

Anytime

+650

Noni Madueke (Arsenal)

First

+280

Anytime

+700

Leandro Trossard (Arsenal)

First

+290

Anytime

+750

Gabriel Martinelli (Arsenal)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Pedro Goncalves (Sporting)

First

+350

Anytime

+850

Max Dowman (Arsenal)

First

+370

Anytime

+950

Martin Ødegaard (Arsenal)

First

+420

Anytime

+1050

Francisco Trincão (Sporting)

First

+450

Anytime

+1150

Rafael Nel (Sporting)

First

+460

Anytime

+1150

Declan Rice (Arsenal)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Luis Guilherme Lira dos Santos (Sporting)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Jurriën Timber (Arsenal)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Riccardo Calafiori (Arsenal)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Geny Catamo (Sporting)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Gabriel Magalhães (Arsenal)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Maximiliano Araujo (Sporting)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Martín Zubimendi (Arsenal)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Daniel Bragança (Sporting)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Giorgi Kochorashvili (Sporting)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Geovany Quenda (Sporting)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

William Saliba (Arsenal)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Cristhian Mosquera (Arsenal)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Christian Nørgaard (Arsenal)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Myles Lewis-Skelly (Arsenal)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Luis Javier Suárez (Sporting)

Over 3.5

-139

Under 3.5

-

Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)

Over 2.5

-137

Under 2.5

-

Pedro Goncalves (Sporting)

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-

Bukayo Saka (Arsenal)

Over 2.5

-104

Under 2.5

-

Geny Catamo (Sporting)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Francisco Trincão (Sporting)

Over 1.5

-137

Under 1.5

-

Martin Ødegaard (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Max Dowman (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Rafael Nel (Sporting)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-

Gabriel Martinelli (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-128

Under 1.5

-

Leandro Trossard (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-

Noni Madueke (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Kai Havertz (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Gabriel Jesus (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-250

Under 1.5

-

Declan Rice (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Jurriën Timber (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-

Riccardo Calafiori (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Gabriel Magalhães (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-

Maximiliano Araujo (Sporting)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Martín Zubimendi (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-106

Under 0.5

-

Daniel Bragança (Sporting)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-

Giorgi Kochorashvili (Sporting)

Over 0.5

-116

Under 0.5

-

Geovany Quenda (Sporting)

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

-

Cristhian Mosquera (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

Latest Champions League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Sporting Stats

Arsenal Stats

Full-Time Result

• 7 wins, 1 defeat and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 10 wins have been recorded in the previous 10 home matches.

Full-Time Result

• 7 wins and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 6 wins and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 2.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.40 goals scored and 0.40 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.80 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 2.20 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.00 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 8.10 corners awarded and 2.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.10 corners awarded and 3.00 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 10.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 11.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 4.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 3.60 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 58.60% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 59.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 9 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 52.90% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 56.20% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 away matches

Sporting vs Arsenal Lineups & Team News

The Sporting vs Arsenal team news could change everything — review it before betting. Get the predicted and confirmed Champions League lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.

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