Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks & Odds | 27 Dec 2025

NHL Betting Preview: Senators vs Maple Leafs

The Ottawa Senators go up against the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Saturday, December 27.

For a value wager, head to the Moneyline where you can back the Senators to get the better of the Maple Leafs. Our betting prediction is currently available at a generous -114.

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Ottawa Senators have won in back-to-back road outings. In their previous game, they were turned over 3-2 (OT) at home to Buffalo Sabres at Canadian Tire Centre. Tim Stutzle and Ridly Greig scored one goal each.

Toronto Maple Leafs were winners last time out. Their 6-3 victory against Pittsburgh Penguins at Scotiabank Arena made it back-to-back home wins. William Nylander recorded 4 points, including 2 goals and 2 assists.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Leafs won the most recent encounter between these teams. A 4-2 victory was registered against the Sens at Canadian Tire Centre. The past 10 games between the teams have seen the Sens win six times.

Starting Goalies

Linus Ullmark (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	14-8-5	2.9	.884	1
23/24	22-10-5	2.57	.915	2

Joseph Woll (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	6-4-1	2.5	.920	0
23/24	12-11-1	2.93	.907	0

5 wins, 4 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.5 goals from 32.3 shots on goal, with a 26.4% powerplay efficiency. The Sens have been giving up 2.7 goals from 25.0 shots, averaging 3.9 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 89.7%.

Tim Stutzle is the top points scorer with 15 points, 7 goals and 8 assists, with Drake Batherson racking up 14 points, 5 goals and 9 assists, in the last 10 games. Goalie Linus Ullmark have a 2.30 goal against average with a .908 save percentage, including one shutout.

The Leafs have 4 wins, 4 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 2.6 goals from 26.0 shots on goal, with a 6.5% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 3.0 goals from 30.7 shots, averaging 2.7 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 92.6%.

The top points scorer is William Nylander with 8 points, 2 goals and 6 assists, while Auston Matthews is next best after registering 5 points, 4 goals and 1 assist. Goalie Dennis Hildeby have a 2.71 GAA with a .909 SV%, including one shutout.

Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks

Get set for Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs with our full betting breakdown, complete with an expert match prediction, a likely final score, top player prop picks and a value-driven bet builder.

Game Prediction

Ottawa Senators look excellent value on the Moneyline and our pick is that the road team will claim a victory in this NHL encounter. We’re happy to take the -114 that they win.

The NHL experts at Sportsgambler.com start by analyzing recent form and staying on top of injury news before making any hockey predictions. From there, we interpret the story the stats are telling to help shape our picks.

Key Senators vs Maple Leafs stats:

• Senators have won 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• Senators have won 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Senators have won 2 consecutive games on the road.
• Maple Leafs have lost 6 of their last 10 games.
• Maple Leafs have lost 12 of their last 20 games.
• Maple Leafs have lost 6 of their last 10 games against Senators.

Sens Moneyline Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 53.2% chance of landing a return. However, our cappers have this number closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

We regularly consider a Match Winner & Total Goals wager as a way of backing Ottawa at bigger odds. You simply need to decide whether to go Under or Over as part of the combo.

Explore the latest free bet promotions and welcome bonuses in our expert betting guide, updated with the best offers.

Our Game Prediction

Senators Moneyline @ -114 Watch Live Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: John Tavares Under 2.5 Shots -161

John Tavares (Maple Leafs) has totaled Under 2.5 shots on goal in 8 of the past 10 games. We’re expecting the same thing to happen here, with this Shots on Goal bet available at -161.

Latest John Tavares Player Prop Odds

Goals

Anytime

+210

First

+1300

Assists

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-189

Shots on Goal

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-161

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Correct Score Prediction

Senators 4 - 1 Maple Leafs

There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing the Senators to win 4-1. We can’t pass up the odds of +1600 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Senators

Maple Leafs

1-0

Senators

+5500

Maple Leafs

+5000

2-0

Senators

+5000

Maple Leafs

+4500

2-1

Senators

+1400

Maple Leafs

+1400

3-0

Senators

+3400

Maple Leafs

+3300

3-1

Senators

+1900

Maple Leafs

+1900

3-2

Senators

+850

Maple Leafs

+850

4-0

Senators

+4000

Maple Leafs

+4000

4-1

Senators

+1600

Maple Leafs

+1600

4-2

Senators

+1600

Maple Leafs

+1600

4-3

Senators

+1000

Maple Leafs

+1000

5-0

Senators

+7500

Maple Leafs

+7500

5-1

Senators

+2500

Maple Leafs

+2800

5-2

Senators

+1700

Maple Leafs

+1700

5-3

Senators

+2200

Maple Leafs

+2400

5-4

Senators

+1900

Maple Leafs

+2000

6-0

Senators

+11000

Maple Leafs

+11000

6-1

Senators

+6000

Maple Leafs

+6000

6-2

Senators

+3300

Maple Leafs

+3400

6-3

Senators

+2900

Maple Leafs

+3000

6-4

Senators

+4500

Maple Leafs

+5000

6-5

Senators

+4500

Maple Leafs

+5000

7-1

Senators

+10000

Maple Leafs

+11000

7-2

Senators

+8000

Maple Leafs

+9000

7-3

Senators

+5500

Maple Leafs

+6000

7-4

Senators

+6600

Maple Leafs

+6600

7-5

Senators

+10000

Maple Leafs

+11000

7-6

Senators

+11000

Maple Leafs

+11000

8-2

Senators

+13000

Maple Leafs

+14000

8-3

Senators

+14000

Maple Leafs

+15000

8-4

Senators

+12000

Maple Leafs

+12000

8-5

Senators

+14000

Maple Leafs

+14000

View More

Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The latest Moneyline odds are -102 that Toronto Maple Leafs win, while Ottawa Senators have been chalked up at -118. The sportsbooks give the home team a 51% chance of winning this game.

The puck line is calculated to be 1.5, while total goals comes in at 6.5. The beauty of Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. The Over 6.5 selection is available to back at +104.

You can find a huge selection of team props and game lines for every National Hockey League matchup, with the top betting apps creating many different options. Check out the in-game and pre-game selections before placing your wagers.

Moneyline

Senators

-118

Maple Leafs

-102

3-Way Moneyline

Senators

+143

Tie

+320

Maple Leafs

+148

Puck Line

Senators -1.5

+205

Maple Leafs +1.5

-263

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-128

Over 6.5

+104

Those interested in Auston Matthews to light the lamp at anytime are able to get +135. There is the chance to back the favorite to score the first goal at odds of +950.

Player Goals

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)

First

+135

Anytime

+950

Brady Tkachuk (Senators)

First

+150

Anytime

+1000

William Nylander (Maple Leafs)

First

+190

Anytime

+1300

Tim Stützle (Senators)

First

+195

Anytime

+1200

John Tavares (Maple Leafs)

First

+210

Anytime

+1300

Drake Batherson (Senators)

First

+240

Anytime

+1500

Dylan Cozens (Senators)

First

+250

Anytime

+1600

Matthew Knies (Maple Leafs)

First

+310

Anytime

+1800

Fabian Zetterlund (Senators)

First

+333

Anytime

+2000

Bobby McMann (Maple Leafs)

First

+400

Anytime

+2200

David Perron (Senators)

First

+400

Anytime

+2200

Max Domi (Maple Leafs)

First

+425

Anytime

+2200

Claude Giroux (Senators)

First

+425

Anytime

+2500

Matias Maccelli (Maple Leafs)

First

+475

Anytime

+2800

Nicholas Robertson (Maple Leafs)

First

+500

Anytime

+2500

Jake Sanderson (Senators)

First

+525

Anytime

+3000

Nicolas Roy (Maple Leafs)

First

+525

Anytime

+3000

Ridly Greig (Senators)

First

+550

Anytime

+3000

Michael Amadio (Senators)

First

+550

Anytime

+3000

Thomas Chabot (Senators)

First

+650

Anytime

+3300

Oliver Ekman-Larsson (Maple Leafs)

First

+750

Anytime

+4000

Morgan Rielly (Maple Leafs)

First

+775

Anytime

+4000

Stephen Halliday (Senators)

First

+800

Anytime

+4000

Scott Laughton (Maple Leafs)

First

+850

Anytime

+3500

Dakota Joshua (Maple Leafs)

First

+850

Anytime

+4500

Steven Lorentz (Maple Leafs)

First

+950

Anytime

+4500

Nick Cousins (Senators)

First

+950

Anytime

+4500

Kurtis MacDermid (Senators)

First

+1300

Anytime

+5500

Artem Zub (Senators)

First

+1300

Anytime

+6600

Jake McCabe (Maple Leafs)

First

+1400

Anytime

+6000

Player Assists

William Nylander (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-141

Tim Stützle (Senators)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-149

Jake Sanderson (Senators)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-175

Drake Batherson (Senators)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-185

Morgan Rielly (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-185

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-189

John Tavares (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-189

Brady Tkachuk (Senators)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-200

Matthew Knies (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-208

Thomas Chabot (Senators)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-222

Oliver Ekman-Larsson (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-233

Dylan Cozens (Senators)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-250

Max Domi (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-278

Claude Giroux (Senators)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-278

Player Shots

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

-161

Brady Tkachuk (Senators)

Over 3.5

-164

Under 3.5

+125

William Nylander (Maple Leafs)

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-185

Tim Stützle (Senators)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-175

John Tavares (Maple Leafs)

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-161

Drake Batherson (Senators)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-175

Dylan Cozens (Senators)

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-189

Jake Sanderson (Senators)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-175

Matthew Knies (Maple Leafs)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-130

Fabian Zetterlund (Senators)

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

+140

Bobby McMann (Maple Leafs)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-105

Thomas Chabot (Senators)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-105

Morgan Rielly (Maple Leafs)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

+110

It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to NHL micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Goal and Next Goalscorer. Check out the live team and player props and see if you can find an angle.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Ottawa Senators Stats

Toronto Maple Leafs Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 9 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.20 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.30 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.50 goals and allowed 2.70 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.40 pts and allowed 2.90 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.70 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 5.90 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.60 goals and allowed 3.10 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 2.90 goals and allowed 3.00 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 1.4
• Shots: 32.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.9
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 11.1
• Blocks: 15
• Faceoff Wins : 31.6
• Hits: 24.4
• Giveaways: 13.5
• Takeaways: 5.1

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 27.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 13
• Blocks: 13.2
• Faceoff Wins : 30.8
• Hits: 24
• Giveaways: 14.4
• Takeaways: 5.4

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.2
• Shots: 26
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 2.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 6
• Blocks: 10.2
• Faceoff Wins : 30.8
• Hits: 23.2
• Giveaways: 17.3
• Takeaways: 5.4

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.3
• Shots: 25.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 2.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 6
• Blocks: 11.6
• Faceoff Wins : 34.2
• Hits: 23.5
• Giveaways: 15.6
• Takeaways: 5

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Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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