Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction, Picks & Odds | 12 Jan 2026

NHL Betting Preview: Lightning vs Flyers

The Tampa Bay Lightning square off against the Philadelphia Flyers at Xfinity Mobile Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Monday, January 12.

The Lightning should prove too strong for the Flyers over 60 minutes. Our best prediction is to back the road team on the 3-Way Moneyline where a generous +107 can be landed.

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When Tampa Bay Lightning and Philadelphia Flyers went head-to-head on Saturday night, the Lightning managed a 7-2 victory at Xfinity Mobile Arena.

The Lightning had 23 shots on goal. Nikita Kucherov landed 4 points, comprising 2 goals and 2 assists. The Flyers recorded 20 shots on goal, with Owen Tippett and Garnet Hathaway each scoring one goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Lightning have won seven of the past 10 games that these teams have played.

Starting Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	18-7-2	2.3	.912	1
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

Dan Vladar (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	16-6-4	2.4	.910	0
23/24	8-9-2	3.61	.882	0

9 wins and 1 loss, averaging 4.6 goals from 25.4 shots on goal, with a 15.5% powerplay efficiency. The Lightning have been giving up 2.6 goals from 25.0 shots, averaging 6.3 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 87.3%.

Nikita Kucherov is the top points scorer with 23 points, 9 goals and 14 assists, with Darren Raddysh recording 13 points, 5 goals and 8 assists, in the last 10 games. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 2.38 goal against average with a .903 save percentage.

The Flyers have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 3.3 goals from 30.0 shots on goal, with a 12.2% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 3.2 goals from 24.3 shots, averaging 3.7 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 83.8%.

The top points scorer is Travis Konecny with 8 points, 4 goals and 4 assists, while Trevor Zegras is next in line after having 7 points, 3 goals and 4 assists. Goalie Daniel Vladar have a 2.16 GAA with a .910 SV%.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction & Picks

Our Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers betting guide delivers expert insight, including a main match pick, our correct score angle and bet builder recommendations. Dive into each section below for more.

Game Prediction

Tampa Bay Lightning look great value on the 60-minute line and our pick is that the visitors will claim a victory in this NHL game. We’re happy to take the +107 that they win in regulation time.

Team news plays a key role in our hockey predictions and we’re always tracking players with injury concerns. We also stay on top of the NHL form guide, supported by detailed stats that help paint a clearer picture of what to expect.

Key Lightning vs Flyers stats:

• Lightning have won 9 consecutive games.
• Lightning have won 14 of their last 20 games on the road.
• Flyers have lost 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• Flyers have lost 3 of their last 5 games.
• Flyers have lost their last 2 games.
• Flyers have lost their last 3 games against Lightning.

Lightning 3-Way Moneyline Probability

The best betting apps imply that our pick has a 48.3% prospect of winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we can recommend this hockey bet.

Those looking for bigger odds about a victory for Tampa Bay should head to the Match Winner & Total Goals section. You can combine this pick with an Under / Over goals prediction for more juice.

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Our Game Prediction

Lightning 3-Way Moneyline @ +107 Watch Live Bet Now

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Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Lightning 6 - 2 Flyers

Our correct score prediction is a 6-2 win for the Lightning which is available at odds of +2500. We think they’ll achieve victory and this is a way of getting bigger odds and more excitement.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Lightning

Flyers

1-0

Lightning

+5000

Flyers

+5500

2-0

Lightning

+4500

Flyers

+5500

2-1

Lightning

+1400

Flyers

+1600

3-0

Lightning

+2900

Flyers

+4000

3-1

Lightning

+1700

Flyers

+2200

3-2

Lightning

+800

Flyers

+950

4-0

Lightning

+3400

Flyers

+5000

4-1

Lightning

+1400

Flyers

+2000

4-2

Lightning

+1400

Flyers

+1800

4-3

Lightning

+950

Flyers

+1100

5-0

Lightning

+5500

Flyers

+9000

5-1

Lightning

+2000

Flyers

+3400

5-2

Lightning

+1400

Flyers

+2000

5-3

Lightning

+2000

Flyers

+2500

5-4

Lightning

+1900

Flyers

+2200

6-0

Lightning

+8000

Flyers

+14000

6-1

Lightning

+4500

Flyers

+8000

6-2

Lightning

+2500

Flyers

+4000

6-3

Lightning

+2500

Flyers

+3500

6-4

Lightning

+4500

Flyers

+5500

6-5

Lightning

+4500

Flyers

+5000

7-1

Lightning

+7500

Flyers

+13000

7-2

Lightning

+6600

Flyers

+11000

7-3

Lightning

+5000

Flyers

+7000

7-4

Lightning

+6000

Flyers

+7500

7-5

Lightning

+10000

Flyers

+11000

7-6

Lightning

+11000

Flyers

+12000

8-4

Lightning

+10000

Flyers

+14000

View More

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The Tampa Bay Lightning odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -152 betting favorites to land victory in this game which means a 60% chance of winning. The market suggests that Philadelphia Flyers are least likely to win at +126.

The puck line is calculated to be 1.5, while total goals comes in at 6.5. A wager on Totals allows bettors to use the latest data to good effect. The Over 6.5 selection is available to back at +106.

The best NHL sportsbooks offer a wide variety of game lines and team props for every matchup, with plenty of options available both before and during the game. Be sure to explore all the lines and odds before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Lightning

-152

Flyers

+126

3-Way Moneyline

Lightning

+107

Tie

+325

Flyers

+200

Puck Line

Lightning -1.5

+160

Flyers +1.5

-200

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-130

Over 6.5

+106

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Philadelphia Flyers Stats

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.30 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.90 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 4.70 goals and allowed 2.60 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 4.40 pts and allowed 2.50 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.60 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.10 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.30 goals and allowed 3.30 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.00 goals and allowed 3.10 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.9
• Shots: 25.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 6.3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 18
• Blocks: 15.8
• Faceoff Wins : 25.4
• Hits: 18.4
• Giveaways: 13.3
• Takeaways: 3.7

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.9
• Shots: 28.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 6.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 19.5
• Blocks: 15.9
• Faceoff Wins : 25.1
• Hits: 19.8
• Giveaways: 12.5
• Takeaways: 4

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 30
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 3.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.6
• Penalty Minutes: 10
• Blocks: 13.2
• Faceoff Wins : 26.7
• Hits: 20.4
• Giveaways: 13.1
• Takeaways: 3.9

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 27.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.2
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 8.1
• Blocks: 14.1
• Faceoff Wins : 26.8
• Hits: 22.9
• Giveaways: 13.5
• Takeaways: 4.6

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Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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