Miami Heat
Cleveland Cavaliers
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Heat vs Cavaliers

The Miami Heat go head-to-head with the Cleveland Cavaliers in this NBA contest. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

Can Heat Stay Close to the Favorites?

We’re making the Heat against the spread our prediction when they face the Cavaliers. The betting line is favorably set at +5.5 and you can secure -114 that this happens.

Cavs Have 7 Wins in Previous 10 H2H Clashes

When Miami Heat and Cleveland Cavaliers locked horns on Wednesday night, there was a 120-103 victory at Rocket Arena for the Heat.

Norman Powell scored 19 points for the Heat, Tyler Herro had 18, while Bam Adebayo racked up 17 points and 10 rebounds. Donovan Mitchell recorded 28 points for the Cavs, with James Harden and Sam Merrill racking up 18.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Cavs have won seven of the past 10 games that these teams have played.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Cavaliers logo Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Heat logo Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
View Full Standings
Miami Heat – Last 10 Games

The Heat have 5 wins and 5 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 121.3 points, 42.9 rebounds, 29.2 assists, 8.5 steals and 3.9 blocks while shooting 46.4% from the field and 82.4% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 121.7 points and 44.8 rebounds per contest.

Bam Adebayo is averaging 26.7 points and 8.9 rebounds, Davion Mitchell 5.1 assists and Tyler Herro 2.7 (44.3%) 3-pointers.

Cleveland Cavaliers – Last 10 Games

The Cavs have won 6 and lost 4 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 118.1 points, 43.6 rebounds, 26.8 assists, 5.9 steals and 4.6 blocks per game while shooting 49.3% from the field and 76.0% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 115.6 points and 42.2 rebounds.

Donovan Mitchell is averaging 23.8 points, Evan Mobley 9.8 rebounds and James Harden 7.6 assists along with 3.5 (44.9%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Miami Heat lineup: Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell.

Cleveland Cavaliers lineup: James Harden, Evan Mobley, Sam Merrill, Jarrett Allen, Donovan Mitchell.

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction & Picks

Our Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers betting guide delivers expert insight, including a main match pick, scoreline advice, standout player props and bet builder recommendations. Dive into each section below for more.

Game Prediction

A spread of +5.5 looks a great number for Heat in this NBA contest. Take the odds of -114 that this generous betting line gets covered.

We track all injuries that could impact each franchise before making our basketball predictions. The form guide and latest stats also help the Sportsgambler.com team crunch the numbers ahead of the NBA action.

Key Heat vs Cavaliers stats:

  • The +5.5 line has been covered by Heat in 15 of their last 20 games.
  • The +5.5 line has been covered by Heat in 7 of their last 10 games.
  • The +5.5 line has been covered by Heat in 2 consecutive games on the road.
  • The -5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Cavs in 4 consecutive games.
  • The -5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Cavs in 7 of their last 10 games.
  • The -5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Cavs in 14 of their last 20 games.

Heat +5.5 Probability

According to the best betting apps, our pick has a 53.2% chance of winning. After careful examination, our experts have this probability close to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

Selling points can be a great option and allows bettors to enjoy a bigger return on the same selection. For a more conservative spread pick, you can alternatively buy points.

Take your betting up a notch with the latest promos, free bets and top betting offers inside our easy-to-use bonus guide.

Our Game Prediction
Heat +5.5 @ -114 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 26, 23:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 23:02, 26 March 2026

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Bam Adebayo Over 20.5 Points -103 BetMGM logo

Bam Adebayo (Heat) has totaled an average of 29.67 points in the past 9 games. This statistic guides us towards Player Points where we’re able to back him at odds of -103 to cover the line.

Latest Bam Adebayo Player Prop Odds


Tyler Herro Over 3.5 Assists -149 BetMGM logo

Tyler Herro (Heat) has racked up Over 3.5 assists in 5 straight games on the road. We’re happy to take the -149 for this Player Assists prop bet as he is capable of a big performance against the Celtics.

Latest Tyler Herro Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Heat +5.5
Totals Under 242.5
Player Points Bam Adebayo Over 20.5

We’ve loaded up a same game parlay with the combined picks of Heat +5.5, Under 242.5 and Bam Adebayo (Heat) to score Over 20.5 points.

There are lots of options when you place a same game parlay. You can go through the available basketball lines and identify your favorite outcomes before combining the odds on the bet slip. Personalised wagering doesn’t come any better.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Heat Heat logo 116 - 119 Cavaliers logo Cavaliers

A close game could be on the cards. We’ll wager the Cavaliers to secure a 119-116 win at massive odds and this correct score pick should hopefully be a fun one.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Cavs Moneyline Odds Suggest Victory

With a 69% chance of securing victory, Cleveland Cavaliers are favorites for this NBA game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -227. At +188, Miami Heat are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

5.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 241.5 right now. Basketball bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. Those expecting a low total can back Under 241.5 at -110.

There are hundreds of game lines and team props when it comes to wagering on this popular basketball league and we recommend visiting the top betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the contest.

Betting Lines & Odds
Donovan Mitchell Favorite to Get Most Points

In terms of landing the most baskets, favorite Donovan Mitchell is available at -114 to rack up Over 27.5 points. If you want to go Under, then -120 is available.

Player Points
Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers)
Over 27.5
-114
Under 27.5
-120
BetMGM Logo
James Harden (Cavaliers)
Over 21.5
-114
Under 21.5
-120
BetMGM Logo
Player Assists
James Harden (Cavaliers)
Over 8.5
+106
Under 8.5
-143
BetMGM Logo
Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers)
Over 5.5
+107
Under 5.5
-147
BetMGM Logo
Davion Mitchell (Heat)
Over 5.5
-133
Under 5.5
-103
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Evan Mobley (Cavaliers)
Over 9.5
-123
Under 9.5
-110
BetMGM Logo
Jarrett Allen (Cavaliers)
Over 7.5
-118
Under 7.5
-115
BetMGM Logo
Micro Betting

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with basketball fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, team and player props. Check out the two-way lines where you can bet whether the next shot will be a Two-pointer or a Three-pointer.

Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
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Rocket Arena
Rocket Arena
Cavs Have Seven Wins From Last Ten Home Games

The Cavs own a 7-3 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 117.30 points on offense and surrendering 109.00 on defense.

The Heat have gone 5-5 across their last 10 games games on the road, scoring 118.90 points per contest and conceding 114.10.

When the teams last met at Rocket Arena, the Heat beat the Cavs 120-103. In the last 10 head-to-head contests at Rocket Arena, both teams have finished with five victories.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O242.5 U242.5
Cleveland Cavaliers logo Cleveland Cavaliers Home Stats 7-3 226.30 117.30 109.00 3 7
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Away Stats 5-5 233.00 118.90 114.10 3 7
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O242.5 = Games Over 242.5 Points
  • U242.5 = Games Under 242.5 Points
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Stats
Cleveland Cavaliers logo Cleveland Cavaliers Stats
Moneyline
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Miami Heat Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Bam Adebayo 64 32.12 1297 189 20.3 3.0 1.7 9.8 0.7 1.2
Tyler Herro 26 30.85 553 99 21.3 3.8 2.5 4.8 0.3 0.8
Andrew Wiggins 59 30.65 926 162 15.7 2.7 2.0 5.1 1.0 1.2

Cleveland Cavaliers Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
James Harden 63 35.12 1517 505 24.1 8.0 3.1 5.0 0.4 1.1
Donovan Mitchell 64 33.59 1808 368 28.3 5.8 3.3 4.5 0.3 1.5
Evan Mobley 58 32.39 1049 211 18.1 3.6 1.0 8.9 1.8 0.8

Injuries & Suspensions

Miami Heat Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Cleveland Cavaliers logo Cleveland Cavaliers Confirmed Lineup
1 James Harden
4 Evan Mobley
5 Sam Merrill
31 Jarrett Allen
45 Donovan Mitchell
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Confirmed Lineup
13 Bam Adebayo
14 Tyler Herro
22 Andrew Wiggins
24 Norman Powell
45 Davion Mitchell

Previous Miami Heat Lineups

25 Mar NBA
Heat 120-103 Cavaliers
23 Mar NBA
Spurs 136-111 Heat
21 Mar NBA
Heat 122-123 Rockets
19 Mar NBA
Lakers 134-126 Heat
17 Mar NBA
Heat 106-136 Hornets
14 Mar NBA
Magic 121-117 Heat
12 Mar NBA
Bucks 105-112 Heat
10 Mar NBA
Wizards 129-150 Heat
08 Mar NBA
Pistons 110-121 Heat
06 Mar NBA
Heat 128-120 Hornets

Previous Cleveland Cavaliers Lineups

25 Mar NBA
Heat 120-103 Cavaliers
24 Mar NBA
Magic 131-136 Cavaliers
21 Mar NBA
Cavaliers 111-106 Pelicans
19 Mar NBA
Cavaliers 115-110 Bulls
17 Mar NBA
Cavaliers 123-116 Bucks
15 Mar NBA
Mavericks 130-120 Cavaliers
13 Mar NBA
Cavaliers 138-105 Mavericks
11 Mar NBA
Cavaliers 122-128 Magic
09 Mar NBA
76ers 101-115 Cavaliers
08 Mar NBA
Celtics 109-98 Cavaliers

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak