Alabama vs Michigan Prediction, Picks & Odds | 27 Mar 2026
NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 Betting Preview: Alabama vs Michigan
The No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide go up against the No. 1 Michigan Wolverines in this NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 Midwest Region game at the United Center in Chicago, with tip-off scheduled for 18:35 on Friday, March 27.
We have a high degree of confidence regarding the total number of points to be scored when Alabama and Michigan take to the court. The current line appears inflated given the defensive strengths of both programs; therefore, our prediction is Under 173.5 total points.
You can currently secure this line at odds of -110, which offers strong value for those expecting a more disciplined, half-court game.
The Alabama Crimson Tide (25-9, 2nd in SEC) advanced to the Sweet 16 following a pair of dominant offensive performances. After opening the tournament with a 90-70 victory over the Hofstra Pride, Alabama maintained its scoring pace in the Second Round with a 90-65 win over the Texas Tech Red Raiders.
The Michigan Wolverines (33-3, 1st in Big Ten) punched their ticket to the Sweet 16 with a commanding 95-72 victory over the Saint Louis Billikens in the Second Round.
This followed a historic 101-80 rout of the Howard Bison, where the Michigan Wolverines shot a staggering 67.2% from the field, the best NCAA tournament performance since 2016. Highlighting this efficiency, Morez Johnson Jr. became just the fifth player in tournament history to record a 20-point double-double while shooting a perfect 8-for-8 from the floor.
| NCAAB Regular Season | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Michigan
|
31-3 | 2952 | 2353 | 599 | 19-2 | 12-1 | 1L |
Alabama
|
23-9 | 2935 | 2671 | 264 | 15-6 | 8-3 | 1L |
Alabama vs Michigan Prediction & Picks
Gear up for Alabama vs Michigan with our comprehensive betting guide, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, top player props and a hand-picked same game parlay.
Game Prediction
The Under 173.5 looks like the smart play at -110 for this high-stakes Sweet 16 game. This total is set high enough that we don’t expect both programs to combine for that many points, making the Under the highest-value pick on the board.
Our basketball picks are built after tracking the latest team news and reviewing recent form. We also dive into stats, which often serve as a solid barometer for how the college hoops action might unfold.
Key Alabama vs Michigan stats:
Under 173.5 Probability
Based on the odds from the top betting sites, there’s a 52.4% likelihood of our pick delivering a return. After careful examination, our analysts have this probability close to 60%. This is why we can recommend this college basketball wager.
If you’re wanting bigger odds for your Under wager, then there’s a way of changing the line and shooting for a lower points total in the hope of a better return.
Don’t place a bet without checking our guide full of top-tier betting offers, from free bets to welcome bonus incentives.
Player Prop Picks
Aiden Sherrell (Alabama) can be backed to record Over 6.5 rebounds at +109. We recommend taking the pick that he is able to cover the line, with this Player Rebounds bet hopefully providing a return.
Latest Aiden Sherrell Player Prop Odds
Labaron Philon Jr. (Alabama) can be wagered to register Under 22.5 points at -109. This gives us confidence that he might not cover the line and you can bet on Player Points.
Latest Labaron Philon Jr. Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve compiled a same game parlay that includes Under 173.5, combined with Alabama +9.5 on the spread and Aiden Sherrell (Alabama) to get Over 6.5 rebounds.
Should you want to back different picks for the same game, then a same game parlay will suit your needs. The betting sites create this personalised basketball wagering tool where you can choose different selections and combine the odds together.
Correct Score Prediction
81
-
87
Michigan
Let’s roll the dice and try the Wolverines to achieve a 87-81 winning scoreline. There are huge betting odds for this potential outcome and it’s a fun type of wager to enjoy.
Alabama vs Michigan Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
At betting odds of -500 with the sportsbooks, Michigan are regarded as 83% likely to win this NCAA Tournament game. Alabama are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back the Crimson Tide at +375.
The spread is currently 9.5, with the total points line at 173.5. A bet on the Totals allows fans to use the latest basketball data to good effect. Those who wager Under 173.5 can get -110.
College basketball bettors are spoilt for choice thanks to the huge selection of game lines and team props which are available for most matchups on the coupon. Head to the top betting apps and find the best value picks.
The favorite to land the most baskets is Labaron Philon Jr.. Odds of -105 can be found for him scoring Over 23.5 points and there is -123 for him to go Under.
There are always opportunities to enjoy college basketball micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find player and team props in-game and bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as if the next shot will be a Two or Three-Pointer.
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Alabama Stats
Michigan Stats
- Game Totals: An average of 172.40 pts in the previous 10 games
- Over 173.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 91.00 pts and allowed 81.40 pts in the last 10 games
NCAAB Regular Season Table Select Season
| Big Ten | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Michigan
|
31-3 | 2952 | 2353 | 599 | 19-2 | 12-1 | 1L |
Nebraska
|
26-6 | 2473 | 2119 | 354 | 19-3 | 7-3 | 1L |
Michigan State
|
25-7 | 2526 | 2189 | 337 | 17-3 | 8-4 | 2L |
Purdue
|
27-8 | 2858 | 2455 | 403 | 16-5 | 11-3 | 4W |
Illinois
|
24-8 | 2700 | 2234 | 466 | 15-6 | 9-2 | 1L |
Wisconsin
|
24-10 | 2822 | 2581 | 241 | 16-2 | 8-8 | 1L |
UCLA
|
23-11 | 2643 | 2414 | 229 | 18-3 | 5-8 | 1L |
Ohio State
|
21-12 | 2633 | 2402 | 231 | 15-5 | 6-7 | 1L |
Iowa
|
21-12 | 2482 | 2177 | 305 | 17-3 | 4-9 | 1L |
Indiana
|
18-14 | 2501 | 2309 | 192 | 15-6 | 3-8 | 2L |
USC
|
18-14 | 2515 | 2494 | 21 | 11-7 | 7-7 | 8L |
Washington
|
16-17 | 2545 | 2430 | 115 | 11-6 | 5-11 | 1L |
Minnesota
|
15-17 | 2241 | 2193 | 48 | 13-8 | 2-9 | 1L |
Northwestern
|
15-19 | 2487 | 2447 | 40 | 11-9 | 4-10 | 1L |
Rutgers
|
14-19 | 2329 | 2479 | -150 | 11-7 | 3-12 | 1L |
Oregon
|
12-20 | 2267 | 2366 | -99 | 10-10 | 2-10 | 1L |
Penn State
|
12-20 | 2358 | 2539 | -181 | 10-10 | 2-10 | 3L |
Maryland
|
12-21 | 2300 | 2527 | -227 | 9-8 | 3-13 | 1L |
| Southeastern | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Florida
|
26-7 | 2864 | 2376 | 488 | 18-3 | 8-4 | 1L |
Arkansas
|
26-8 | 3058 | 2723 | 335 | 20-3 | 6-5 | 5W |
Vanderbilt
|
26-8 | 2936 | 2557 | 379 | 15-3 | 11-5 | 1L |
|
Alabama
|
23-9 | 2935 | 2671 | 264 | 15-6 | 8-3 | 1L |
Georgia
|
22-10 | 2874 | 2533 | 341 | 15-6 | 7-4 | 1L |
Tennessee
|
22-11 | 2622 | 2289 | 333 | 16-5 | 6-6 | 1L |
Texas A&M
|
21-11 | 2807 | 2546 | 261 | 14-5 | 7-6 | 1L |
Missouri
|
20-12 | 2549 | 2411 | 138 | 15-4 | 5-8 | 3L |
Kentucky
|
21-13 | 2746 | 2510 | 236 | 16-6 | 5-7 | 1L |
Texas
|
18-14 | 2681 | 2458 | 223 | 13-7 | 5-7 | 3L |
Oklahoma
|
19-15 | 2813 | 2621 | 192 | 13-5 | 6-10 | 1L |
Auburn
|
17-16 | 2730 | 2620 | 110 | 14-6 | 3-10 | 1L |
LSU
|
15-17 | 2606 | 2512 | 94 | 10-9 | 5-8 | 4L |
Ole Miss
|
15-20 | 2656 | 2664 | -8 | 9-9 | 6-11 | 1L |
Mississippi State
|
13-19 | 2484 | 2618 | -134 | 9-10 | 4-9 | 6L |
South Carolina
|
13-19 | 2398 | 2447 | -49 | 11-8 | 2-11 | 1L |
- Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
- PF = Total Points For
- PA = Total Points Against
- N. Pts = Point Differential
- Home = Home Record
- Away = Away Record
- Strk = Current Streak
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