Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Thursday

There’s a case to be made for the Thunder on the spread against the Mavericks. Our prediction is that the betting favorites can cover the -13 line at odds of -110 considering they should be superior.

Dallas Mavericks have lost their previous six road outings. In their most recent game, they were turned over 115-114 at home to Minnesota Timberwolves at American Airlines Center. Kyrie Irving scored 36 points, with PJ Washington getting 30 and Daniel Gafford 14.

Oklahoma City Thunder last game was a 123-114 victory over Utah Jazz at Paycom Center. That means it’s now been thirteen home wins on the spin. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was able to score 54 points, with Jalen Williams getting 25 and Cason Wallace 13.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last matchup between the Mavs and the Thunder saw the former win. It was a 106-98 scoreline at American Airlines Center. We’ve seen six Mavs wins in the past 10 meetings between the teams.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	25	3	0.893	122.5	106.4	16.1	13-1	12-2	5-2	21-3	8-2	1L
Mavericks	11	18	0.379	113	116.9	-3.9	8-9	3-9	2-5	5-12	6-4	1L

View Full Standings

The Mavs have 3 wins and 7 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 110.2 points, 44.4 rebounds, 25.8 assists, 8.1 steals and 5.2 blocks while shooting 45.4% from the field and 78.1% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 113.3 points and 46.6 rebounds per contest.

PJ Washington is averaging 16.3 points and 8.9 rebounds, Spencer Dinwiddie 4.5 assists and Klay Thompson 2.3 (36.5%) 3-pointers.

The Thunder have won 8 and lost 2 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 120.6 points, 43.2 rebounds, 26.8 assists, 10.1 steals and 5.1 blocks per game while shooting 49.6% from the field and 88.0% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 106.1 points and 43.2 rebounds.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 31.6 points and 5.5 assists, while Isaiah Hartenstein has an average of 7.2 rebounds and Isaiah Joe 2.9 (49.2%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Dallas Mavericks lineup: Kyrie Irving, Kessler Edwards, Daniel Gafford, PJ Washington, Spencer Dinwiddie.

Oklahoma City Thunder lineup: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace.

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Picks

We have decided to go for Thunder on the spread in order to get the best value. The favorites should be able to cover a generous -13 line at -110 for this NBA contest.

Our expert NBA handicappers study the latest form, while injuries can also affect the potential outcome. Before coming up with a verdict, we combine this data with the latest stats.

Key Mavericks vs Thunder stats:

• The -13 line has been covered by Thunder in 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -13 line has been covered by Thunder in 13 of their last 20 games at home.

Thunder -13 Probability

The sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 52.4% likelihood of this pick winning. However, our analysts in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

It’s possible to move the line for your selection and this allows bettors to get increasingly bigger odds. If you’re looking for more juice, then this option could tick the boxes.

Our Game Prediction

Thunder -13 @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 31.5 Points -105

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder) has averaged 38.25 points in the past 4 games. It makes sense to bet on him to cover the line and there are odds of -105 available for this Player Points wager.

Latest Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 31.5

-122

Under 31.5

-109

Assists

Over 6.5

+114

Under 6.5

-152

Rebounds

Over 5.5

+104

Under 5.5

-139

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Cason Wallace Over 3.5 Rebounds -159

Cason Wallace (Thunder) has racked up Over 3.5 rebounds in 5 straight games. We think it’s achievable that he will cover the Player Rebounds line and there are odds of -159 available.

Latest Cason Wallace Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 9.5

-110

Under 9.5

-120

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-159

Under 3.5

+120

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Correct Score Prediction

Mavericks 106 - 121 Thunder

There are a range of correct score lines to choose from and we’re taking a chance on the Thunder to record a 121-106 victory. There’s a massive return if we get this right.

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Oklahoma City Thunder are strong -769 favorites to win this NBA game according to the Moneyline betting odds. The sportsbooks give them a 88% chance of claiming victory. Dallas Mavericks are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +530.

12 is the spread and 223.5 is the total points line. Basketball fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. If you fancy Over 223.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.

You can back the Thunder to make a fast start and hit the 20-point mark first. The favorites are -230 to achieve this, with the Mavs +180 to win the race to this total.

Whether you are betting pre-game or in-game, you can feast on a huge selection of team props and game lines. The options are practically endless and it’s great to have so many alternatives.

Moneyline

Mavericks

+530

Thunder

-769

Point Spread

Mavericks +12

-108

Thunder -12

-112

Total Points

Under 223.5

-110

Over 223.5

-110

In terms of landing the most baskets, favorite Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is available at -122 to rack up Over 31.5 points. If you want to go Under, then -109 is available.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 31.5

-122

Under 31.5

-109

Kyrie Irving (Mavericks)

Over 23.5

-112

Under 23.5

-120

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 21.5

-115

Under 21.5

-115

Daniel Gafford (Mavericks)

Over 14.5

-125

Under 14.5

-108

P.J. Washington (Mavericks)

Over 13.5

-123

Under 13.5

-108

Spencer Dinwiddie (Mavericks)

Over 12.5

-105

Under 12.5

-127

Quentin Grimes (Mavericks)

Over 12.5

-100

Under 12.5

-133

Klay Thompson (Mavericks)

Over 11.5

-128

Under 11.5

-104

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 10.5

-108

Under 10.5

-123

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 9.5

-110

Under 9.5

-120

Jaylin Williams (Thunder)

Over 7.5

-120

Under 7.5

-112

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 6.5

+114

Under 6.5

-152

Kyrie Irving (Mavericks)

Over 4.5

-108

Under 4.5

-122

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 4.5

-123

Under 4.5

-108

Klay Thompson (Mavericks)

Over 2.5

+128

Under 2.5

-167

Jaylin Williams (Thunder)

Over 2.5

-179

Under 2.5

+136

Daniel Gafford (Mavericks)

Over 9.5

-132

Under 9.5

-100

P.J. Washington (Mavericks)

Over 7.5

-114

Under 7.5

-118

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 5.5

+104

Under 5.5

-139

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 5.5

-118

Under 5.5

-114

Jaylin Williams (Thunder)

Over 5.5

-154

Under 5.5

+116

Kyrie Irving (Mavericks)

Over 4.5

+102

Under 4.5

-135

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 4.5

+102

Under 4.5

-133

Klay Thompson (Mavericks)

Over 3.5

+105

Under 3.5

-139

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 3.5

-159

Under 3.5

+120

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Dallas Mavericks Stats

Oklahoma City Thunder Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 games
• 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +15.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +15.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -15.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -15.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 230.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 225.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 228.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 228.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 114.30 pts and allowed 115.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 109.50 pts and allowed 116.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 227.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 226.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 228.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 228.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 121.80 pts and allowed 105.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 121.40 pts and allowed 105.10 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 27.60 (51%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.70 (38%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.00 (76.6%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.7, Offensive 10.50, Defensive 34.20
• Assists: 25.60
• Blocks: 5.80
• Steals: 7.40
• Turnovers : 13.70
• Personal Fouls: 20.50

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.30 (54%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 11.50 (32%)
• Free Throws Made: 16.40 (73.87%)
• Rebounds: Total 42.6, Offensive 9.80, Defensive 32.80
• Assists: 24.90
• Blocks: 4.80
• Steals: 8.80
• Turnovers : 13.90
• Personal Fouls: 20.60

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.40 (58%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.50 (40%)
• Free Throws Made: 20.50 (81.03%)
• Rebounds: Total 41.6, Offensive 7.60, Defensive 34.00
• Assists: 27.20
• Blocks: 5.80
• Steals: 10.00
• Turnovers : 12.80
• Personal Fouls: 20.30

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.30 (60%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.80 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 21.50 (83.98%)
• Rebounds: Total 42.4, Offensive 8.90, Defensive 33.50
• Assists: 27.50
• Blocks: 5.90
• Steals: 11.10
• Turnovers : 12.10
• Personal Fouls: 21.40

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder Confirmed Lineup

2 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

5 Luguentz Dort

6 Jaylin Williams

8 Jalen Williams

22 Cason Wallace

Dallas Mavericks Confirmed Lineup

11 Kyrie Irving

20 Kessler Edwards

21 Daniel Gafford

25 PJ Washington

26 Spencer Dinwiddie

NBA Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Knicks	19	8	0.704	120.2	112.4	7.8	13-2	6-6	5-2	15-8	8-2	1L
Celtics	17	11	0.607	116.5	110.5	6	9-5	8-6	5-4	13-8	7-3	2W
76ers	16	11	0.593	117	115.4	1.6	9-7	7-4	6-2	13-10	7-3	2W
Raptors	17	12	0.586	114.6	112.9	1.7	8-7	9-5	3-5	15-8	3-7	1L
Nets	7	19	0.269	109.6	115.5	-5.9	3-11	4-8	1-7	6-14	4-6	1L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	22	6	0.786	118.9	112.1	6.8	13-2	9-4	5-3	17-5	7-3	1W
Cavaliers	15	14	0.517	118.7	117	1.7	9-8	6-6	6-2	12-11	3-7	3L
Bulls	12	15	0.444	118.3	122	-3.7	7-6	5-9	3-5	9-10	3-7	2W
Bucks	11	17	0.393	113.6	117.4	-3.8	8-8	3-9	3-4	9-13	3-7	2L
Pacers	6	22	0.214	110.2	118.5	-8.3	5-10	1-12	2-5	4-12	4-6	4L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Magic	15	12	0.556	117.8	114.5	3.3	10-5	5-7	5-2	12-9	5-5	2L
Heat	15	13	0.536	120	117.3	2.7	10-4	5-9	2-3	9-8	3-7	1L
Hawks	15	14	0.517	117.6	118.3	-0.7	5-7	10-7	4-2	9-9	4-6	2L
Hornets	9	19	0.321	114.5	118.5	-4	6-8	3-11	2-4	8-13	5-5	1L
Wizards	4	21	0.16	112	126.4	-14.4	2-9	2-12	1-3	3-16	3-7	1L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	25	3	0.893	122.5	106.4	16.1	13-1	12-2	5-2	21-3	8-2	1L
Nuggets	20	7	0.741	124.7	116.1	8.6	8-5	12-2	2-1	14-6	7-3	1L
Timberwolves	18	10	0.643	119.2	114.3	4.9	10-5	8-5	4-3	13-9	8-2	1W
Trail Blazers	11	16	0.407	118.8	122.3	-3.5	5-6	6-10	3-3	9-11	4-6	2W
Jazz	10	16	0.385	119.6	126.8	-7.2	7-8	3-8	0-5	6-12	5-5	1L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	19	7	0.731	119.2	117.4	1.8	7-4	12-3	3-2	14-5	7-3	2W
Suns	15	12	0.556	114.2	113.9	0.3	9-5	6-7	6-3	14-11	4-6	1W
Warriors	13	15	0.464	113.8	112.7	1.1	7-4	6-11	3-2	10-10	4-6	3L
Kings	6	21	0.222	111.7	122.8	-11.1	3-8	3-13	1-3	4-18	2-8	4L
Clippers	6	21	0.222	110.9	117	-6.1	3-8	3-13	1-4	4-14	1-9	5L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Spurs	20	7	0.741	119.9	113.7	6.2	10-2	10-5	7-0	12-6	8-2	5W
Rockets	17	8	0.68	120.9	111.6	9.3	8-2	9-6	2-3	10-7	6-4	1W
Grizzlies	13	14	0.481	114.4	115.2	-0.8	6-7	7-7	4-3	12-8	7-3	2W
Mavericks	11	18	0.379	113	116.9	-3.9	8-9	3-9	2-5	5-12	6-4	1L
Pelicans	7	22	0.241	115.3	122.5	-7.2	5-12	2-10	2-6	3-19	4-6	4W

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	22	6	0.786	118.9	112.1	6.8	13-2	9-4	5-3	17-5	7-3	1W
Knicks	19	8	0.704	120.2	112.4	7.8	13-2	6-6	5-2	15-8	8-2	1L
Celtics	17	11	0.607	116.5	110.5	6	9-5	8-6	5-4	13-8	7-3	2W
76ers	16	11	0.593	117	115.4	1.6	9-7	7-4	6-2	13-10	7-3	2W
Raptors	17	12	0.586	114.6	112.9	1.7	8-7	9-5	3-5	15-8	3-7	1L
Magic	15	12	0.556	117.8	114.5	3.3	10-5	5-7	5-2	12-9	5-5	2L
Heat	15	13	0.536	120	117.3	2.7	10-4	5-9	2-3	9-8	3-7	1L
Cavaliers	15	14	0.517	118.7	117	1.7	9-8	6-6	6-2	12-11	3-7	3L
Hawks	15	14	0.517	117.6	118.3	-0.7	5-7	10-7	4-2	9-9	4-6	2L
Bulls	12	15	0.444	118.3	122	-3.7	7-6	5-9	3-5	9-10	3-7	2W
Bucks	11	17	0.393	113.6	117.4	-3.8	8-8	3-9	3-4	9-13	3-7	2L
Hornets	9	19	0.321	114.5	118.5	-4	6-8	3-11	2-4	8-13	5-5	1L
Nets	7	19	0.269	109.6	115.5	-5.9	3-11	4-8	1-7	6-14	4-6	1L
Pacers	6	22	0.214	110.2	118.5	-8.3	5-10	1-12	2-5	4-12	4-6	4L
Wizards	4	21	0.16	112	126.4	-14.4	2-9	2-12	1-3	3-16	3-7	1L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	25	3	0.893	122.5	106.4	16.1	13-1	12-2	5-2	21-3	8-2	1L
Nuggets	20	7	0.741	124.7	116.1	8.6	8-5	12-2	2-1	14-6	7-3	1L
Spurs	20	7	0.741	119.9	113.7	6.2	10-2	10-5	7-0	12-6	8-2	5W
Lakers	19	7	0.731	119.2	117.4	1.8	7-4	12-3	3-2	14-5	7-3	2W
Rockets	17	8	0.68	120.9	111.6	9.3	8-2	9-6	2-3	10-7	6-4	1W
Timberwolves	18	10	0.643	119.2	114.3	4.9	10-5	8-5	4-3	13-9	8-2	1W
Suns	15	12	0.556	114.2	113.9	0.3	9-5	6-7	6-3	14-11	4-6	1W
Grizzlies	13	14	0.481	114.4	115.2	-0.8	6-7	7-7	4-3	12-8	7-3	2W
Warriors	13	15	0.464	113.8	112.7	1.1	7-4	6-11	3-2	10-10	4-6	3L
Trail Blazers	11	16	0.407	118.8	122.3	-3.5	5-6	6-10	3-3	9-11	4-6	2W
Jazz	10	16	0.385	119.6	126.8	-7.2	7-8	3-8	0-5	6-12	5-5	1L
Mavericks	11	18	0.379	113	116.9	-3.9	8-9	3-9	2-5	5-12	6-4	1L
Kings	6	21	0.222	111.7	122.8	-11.1	3-8	3-13	1-3	4-18	2-8	4L
Pelicans	7	22	0.241	115.3	122.5	-7.2	5-12	2-10	2-6	3-19	4-6	4W
Clippers	6	21	0.222	110.9	117	-6.1	3-8	3-13	1-4	4-14	1-9	5L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	25	3	0.893	122.5	106.4	16.1	13-1	12-2	5-2	21-3	8-2	1L
Pistons	22	6	0.786	118.9	112.1	6.8	13-2	9-4	5-3	17-5	7-3	1W
Nuggets	20	7	0.741	124.7	116.1	8.6	8-5	12-2	2-1	14-6	7-3	1L
Spurs	20	7	0.741	119.9	113.7	6.2	10-2	10-5	7-0	12-6	8-2	5W
Lakers	19	7	0.731	119.2	117.4	1.8	7-4	12-3	3-2	14-5	7-3	2W
Knicks	19	8	0.704	120.2	112.4	7.8	13-2	6-6	5-2	15-8	8-2	1L
Rockets	17	8	0.68	120.9	111.6	9.3	8-2	9-6	2-3	10-7	6-4	1W
Timberwolves	18	10	0.643	119.2	114.3	4.9	10-5	8-5	4-3	13-9	8-2	1W
Celtics	17	11	0.607	116.5	110.5	6	9-5	8-6	5-4	13-8	7-3	2W
76ers	16	11	0.593	117	115.4	1.6	9-7	7-4	6-2	13-10	7-3	2W
Raptors	17	12	0.586	114.6	112.9	1.7	8-7	9-5	3-5	15-8	3-7	1L
Magic	15	12	0.556	117.8	114.5	3.3	10-5	5-7	5-2	12-9	5-5	2L
Suns	15	12	0.556	114.2	113.9	0.3	9-5	6-7	6-3	14-11	4-6	1W
Heat	15	13	0.536	120	117.3	2.7	10-4	5-9	2-3	9-8	3-7	1L
Hawks	15	14	0.517	117.6	118.3	-0.7	5-7	10-7	4-2	9-9	4-6	2L
Cavaliers	15	14	0.517	118.7	117	1.7	9-8	6-6	6-2	12-11	3-7	3L
Grizzlies	13	14	0.481	114.4	115.2	-0.8	6-7	7-7	4-3	12-8	7-3	2W
Warriors	13	15	0.464	113.8	112.7	1.1	7-4	6-11	3-2	10-10	4-6	3L
Bulls	12	15	0.444	118.3	122	-3.7	7-6	5-9	3-5	9-10	3-7	2W
Trail Blazers	11	16	0.407	118.8	122.3	-3.5	5-6	6-10	3-3	9-11	4-6	2W
Bucks	11	17	0.393	113.6	117.4	-3.8	8-8	3-9	3-4	9-13	3-7	2L
Jazz	10	16	0.385	119.6	126.8	-7.2	7-8	3-8	0-5	6-12	5-5	1L
Mavericks	11	18	0.379	113	116.9	-3.9	8-9	3-9	2-5	5-12	6-4	1L
Hornets	9	19	0.321	114.5	118.5	-4	6-8	3-11	2-4	8-13	5-5	1L
Nets	7	19	0.269	109.6	115.5	-5.9	3-11	4-8	1-7	6-14	4-6	1L
Pelicans	7	22	0.241	115.3	122.5	-7.2	5-12	2-10	2-6	3-19	4-6	4W
Clippers	6	21	0.222	110.9	117	-6.1	3-8	3-13	1-4	4-14	1-9	5L
Kings	6	21	0.222	111.7	122.8	-11.1	3-8	3-13	1-3	4-18	2-8	4L
Pacers	6	22	0.214	110.2	118.5	-8.3	5-10	1-12	2-5	4-12	4-6	4L
Wizards	4	21	0.16	112	126.4	-14.4	2-9	2-12	1-3	3-16	3-7	1L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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