Louisville vs Arkansas Prediction, Picks & Odds | 03 Dec 2025

College Basketball Betting Preview: Louisville vs Arkansas

The Louisville Cardinals square off against the Arkansas Razorbacks, with tip-off scheduled for 19:15 on Wednesday, December 3.

Under 164.5 points could be on the money for this Louisville vs Arkansas game. Our prediction is based on a low-scoring contest and the odds of -110 looks like a value bet.

Think this could be a tight, tactical matchup? Grab the BetMGM promo code and check out our detailed review before placing your wager.

Louisville Cardinals won their previous game, beating NJIT Highlanders at home. It was a 104-47 win.

Arkansas Razorbacks were beaten 80-71 in their last game, being turned over at home to Duke Blue Devils.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 80-54 in favor of Arkansas when they last played Louisville.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Louisville	7-0	677	441	236	6-0	1-0	7W
Arkansas	5-2	617	501	116	5-1	0-1	1L

View Full Standings

Louisville vs Arkansas Prediction & Picks

Our Louisville vs Arkansas betting preview covers everything you need, including a key match prediction, correct score insight and a value-packed bet builder recommendation.

Game Prediction

We’re going for a modest total for this upcoming college contest. Under 164.5 points could be on the money and our pick is currently available at -110.

We put solid research behind every basketball pick, starting with recent form and a clear read on injuries. From there, key college hoops stats and advanced metrics help complete the picture and support smarter betting decisions.

Key Louisville vs Arkansas stats:

• The 164.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 7 Louisville games on the road.
• The 164.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Louisville games on the road.
• The 164.5 line hasn’t been covered in 15 of the last 20 Louisville games.
• The 164.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 Arkansas games at home.
• The 164.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Arkansas games.

Under 164.5 Probability

Based on the latest odds from the top sportsbooks, our pick carries a 52.4% chance of winning. However, our cappers think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

We recommend moving the line if you want more juice from your Total bet. If you’re going Under, then consider a slightly riskier wager which has a bigger payout.

Get ahead in sports betting by reviewing our detailed bonus guide featuring the latest betting promo codes for the best welcome bonuses.

Our Game Prediction

Under 164.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Louisville 81 - 80 Arkansas

We’ll roll the dice and go for Louisville to register a 81-80 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams and we’re happy to take the massive odds.

Louisville vs Arkansas Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

With the sportsbooks giving them a 62% probability of winning this college game, Louisville might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -164 Moneyline betting odds. The market suggests that Arkansas are least likely to win at +136.

The spread is currently 2.5, with the total points line at 164.5. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. If you fancy Under 164.5, then the odds are -110.

You can find a nice selection of game lines and team props for most college basketball matchups, with the top betting apps creating many different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Louisville

-164

Arkansas

+136

Point Spread

Louisville -2.5

-115

Arkansas +2.5

-105

Total Points

Under 164.5

-110

Over 164.5

-110

As an alternative to the game lines, check out the player prop bets that are available. It’s especially great if you have a view when it comes to Turnovers, Steals, Blocks and Points, while there are lots of other options.

It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to college basketball micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Field Goal. Check out the live player, score and team props to see if you can find an angle.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Louisville Stats

Arkansas Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 156.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 146.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 164.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 164.5 on the Road: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 89.00 pts and allowed 67.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 79.20 pts and allowed 67.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 157.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 165.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 164.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 164.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.40 pts and allowed 72.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 89.40 pts and allowed 75.80 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Southeastern	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Missouri	8-0	743	545	198	7-0	1-0	8W
Vanderbilt	8-0	783	588	195	5-0	3-0	8W
LSU	7-0	660	478	182	5-0	2-0	7W
Georgia	7-1	792	568	224	6-1	1-0	1W
Tennessee	7-1	687	523	164	6-1	1-0	1L
Texas	6-2	727	575	152	5-1	1-1	2W
Texas A&M	6-2	749	603	146	5-1	1-1	4W
Auburn	6-2	708	597	111	5-2	1-0	1W
Kentucky	5-2	629	442	187	5-1	0-1	2W
Arkansas	5-2	617	501	116	5-1	0-1	1L
Alabama	5-2	669	574	95	3-2	2-0	2W
Florida	5-2	601	508	93	5-1	0-1	1W
Oklahoma	5-2	606	521	85	4-0	1-2	3W
Ole Miss	5-2	554	474	80	5-0	0-2	2L
South Carolina	5-2	565	490	75	5-0	0-2	1W
Mississippi State	3-4	558	569	-11	3-2	0-2	1L

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Duke	8-0	735	470	265	6-0	2-0	8W
Louisville	7-0	677	441	236	6-0	1-0	7W
SMU	8-0	736	592	144	7-0	1-0	8W
Clemson	7-1	682	510	172	6-0	1-1	4W
Virginia	6-1	613	473	140	5-0	1-1	1W
North Carolina	6-1	583	460	123	6-0	0-1	1L
California	6-1	591	487	104	6-0	0-1	3W
Stanford	6-1	569	503	66	4-1	2-0	2W
Virginia Tech	6-2	661	591	70	5-0	1-2	2L
Wake Forest	6-2	699	575	124	5-0	1-2	3W
Miami	6-2	693	523	170	5-1	1-1	1W
NC State	5-2	655	536	119	4-1	1-1	1L
Florida State	5-2	618	517	101	5-1	0-1	1L
Notre Dame	5-3	603	538	65	5-0	0-3	1L
Pittsburgh	5-3	572	532	40	5-1	0-2	1W
Georgia Tech	5-3	572	540	32	5-1	0-2	2L
Syracuse	4-3	524	457	67	3-0	1-3	3L
Boston College	4-4	564	525	39	3-3	1-1	1W

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

Top Basketball Pages