Louisville vs Miami Prediction, Picks & Odds | 12 Mar 2026
College Basketball Betting Preview: Louisville vs Miami
The Louisville Cardinals face the Miami Hurricanes, with tip-off scheduled for 13:30 on Thursday, March 12.
We’re delighted to see Miami have been given a headstart on the spread. Take the +2.5 at -120 when they go up against Louisville.
Louisville Cardinals previous game saw them claim a 62-58 home win over SMU Mustangs.
Miami Hurricanes were defeated last time out. They were beaten at home to Louisville Cardinals by a 92-89 scoreline.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Louisville won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 92-89 triumph when facing Miami. Louisville have won three on the spin against Miami. They’ve also claimed 6 wins in the past 10 head-to-head matchups.
| NCAAB | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Miami
|
25-8 | 2704 | 2349 | 355 | 16-4 | 9-4 | 1L |
Louisville
|
23-10 | 2797 | 2382 | 415 | 16-2 | 7-8 | 1L |
Louisville vs Miami Prediction & Picks
We cover the essential Louisville vs Miami betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, correct score pick, top player prop plays and a carefully crafted bet builder.
Game Prediction
Miami should be able to battle hard and our pick is that they will cover the line in this college contest. It’s set at an attractive +2.5 and you can get -120.
We closely track recent form and look for patterns that may impact the outcome. The same goes for injuries to key players. When combined with the most relevant college hoops stats, this gives us a strong foundation for accurate basketball picks.
Key Louisville vs Miami stats:
Miami +2.5 Probability
When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 54.6% chance of landing a return. Our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this college basketball bet.
Looking for more juice from your selection? By moving the betting line, you are able to get bigger odds although you will need to take a riskier bet.
Before your next bet, explore our betting offers guide filled with top bonuses, the latest promotions, and free bet deals.
Player Prop Picks
Shelton Henderson (Miami) can be wagered to total Under 4.5 rebounds at -101. There’s every chance that he will go Under as we’re confident he’ll fail to cover the Player Rebounds line.
Latest Shelton Henderson Player Prop Odds
Malik Reneau (Miami) can be wagered to total Under 17.5 points at -119. Should you agree with our verdict that he doesn’t reach this total, you can go under the line.
Latest Malik Reneau Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve loaded up a same game parlay with the combined picks of Miami +1.5, Over 152.5 and Shelton Henderson (Miami) to get Under 4.5 rebounds.
Should you want to back different picks for the same game, then a same game parlay will suit your needs. The betting sites create this personalised basketball wagering tool where you can choose different selections and combine the odds together.
Correct Score Prediction
79
-
82
Miami
We’re expecting a close contest so it might be worth going for Miami to win by a 82-79 scoreline. You can get a massive price and we should hopefully get a run for our money.
Louisville vs Miami Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
You can choose Miami at +105 or alternatively Louisville who have betting odds of -127. According to the top sportsbooks, the home team have an implied probability of 49%.
The spread is 1.5 and the total points line is currently 151.5. Basketball bettors love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. If you’re wanting to back Over 151.5, the odds are -115.
If you’re planning to place a bet on a college basketball matchup, head to the top betting apps and explore the wide range of team props and game lines. Look for the lines that offer the most value.
Ryan Conwell is the favorite to hit the most buckets. You can back -114 that he gets Over 20.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at the same odds.
Among the various options for wagering on college basketball, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer.
- NCAAB: 07/03 2026 Louisville 92 Miami 89
- NCAAB: 08/02 2025 Miami 78 Louisville 88
- NCAAB: 11/01 2024 Louisville 80 Miami 71
- NCAAB: 12/02 2023 Louisville 85 Miami 93
- NCAAB: 04/12 2022 Miami 80 Louisville 53
- NCAAB: 17/02 2022 Miami 70 Louisville 63
- NCAAB: 17/01 2021 Louisville 72 Miami 78
- NCAAB: 08/01 2020 Miami 58 Louisville 74
- NCAAB: 06/11 2019 Louisville 87 Miami 74
- NCAAB: 07/01 2019 Miami 73 Louisville 90
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Louisville Stats
Miami Stats
- 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
- -2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road
- +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
- +2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 159.90 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 159.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 154.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 154.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 84.00 pts and allowed 75.90 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 81.40 pts and allowed 78.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 152.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 152.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 154.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 154.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 78.60 pts and allowed 73.60 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 80.60 pts and allowed 71.60 pts in the last 10 home games
NCAAB Table Select Season
| Atlantic Coast | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Duke
|
32-2 | 2798 | 2147 | 651 | 21-0 | 11-2 | 11W |
Virginia
|
29-5 | 2742 | 2326 | 416 | 19-1 | 10-4 | 1L |
|
Miami
|
25-8 | 2704 | 2349 | 355 | 16-4 | 9-4 | 1L |
North Carolina
|
24-8 | 2553 | 2282 | 271 | 19-1 | 5-7 | 2L |
Clemson
|
24-10 | 2521 | 2269 | 252 | 16-3 | 8-7 | 1L |
|
Louisville
|
23-10 | 2797 | 2382 | 415 | 16-2 | 7-8 | 1L |
California
|
21-11 | 2492 | 2344 | 148 | 17-4 | 4-7 | 2L |
Stanford
|
20-12 | 2431 | 2326 | 105 | 12-7 | 8-5 | 1L |
NC State
|
20-13 | 2762 | 2525 | 237 | 13-7 | 7-6 | 1L |
SMU
|
20-13 | 2779 | 2561 | 218 | 17-3 | 3-10 | 1L |
Virginia Tech
|
19-13 | 2521 | 2396 | 125 | 15-4 | 4-9 | 2L |
Florida State
|
18-15 | 2652 | 2572 | 80 | 12-8 | 6-7 | 1L |
Wake Forest
|
17-16 | 2602 | 2543 | 59 | 12-6 | 5-10 | 1L |
Syracuse
|
15-17 | 2400 | 2376 | 24 | 12-6 | 3-11 | 6L |
Notre Dame
|
13-18 | 2308 | 2335 | -27 | 11-7 | 2-11 | 2L |
Pittsburgh
|
13-20 | 2327 | 2370 | -43 | 8-10 | 5-10 | 1L |
Boston College
|
11-20 | 2090 | 2191 | -101 | 10-10 | 1-10 | 1W |
Georgia Tech
|
11-20 | 2287 | 2400 | -113 | 10-10 | 1-10 | 12L |
- Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
- PF = Total Points For
- PA = Total Points Against
- N. Pts = Point Differential
- Home = Home Record
- Away = Away Record
- Strk = Current Streak
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