Northwestern vs Purdue Prediction, Picks & Odds | 12 Mar 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Northwestern vs Purdue

The Northwestern Wildcats battle the Purdue Boilermakers, with tip-off scheduled for 17:30 on Thursday, March 12.

We’ve smashed into Northwestern +11.5 and this spread wager at -110 means we need the underdogs to avoid a heavy defeat against Purdue.

Northwestern Wildcats won their previous game 74-61. This was a road victory against Indiana Hoosiers.

Purdue Boilmakers lost their last game, being beaten at home to Wisconsin Badgers 97-93.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw Purdue claim a 70-66 win over Northwestern. Purdue have three straight victories against Northwestern. They have won 8 of the 10 previous head-to-head matchups.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Purdue	27-8	2858	2455	403	16-5	11-3	4W
Northwestern	15-19	2487	2447	40	11-9	4-10	1L

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Northwestern vs Purdue Prediction & Picks

From our key match prediction to correct score pick, top player prop insights and a builder tailored for value — our Northwestern vs Purdue betting tips covers it all.

Game Prediction

Northwestern might not be a complete pushover in this college contest and we fancy them against the spread. You can get a generous +11.5 and the underdogs are available at -110.

Injuries are always factored in by the handicappers at Sportsgambler.com. Our basketball predictions are also shaped by recent form, with up-to-date college hoops stats playing a key role before any selections are locked in.

Key Northwestern vs Purdue stats:

• The +11.5 line has been covered by Northwestern in 7 consecutive games.
• The +11.5 line has been covered by Northwestern in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +11.5 line has been covered by Northwestern in 16 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The -11.5 line hasn’t been covered by Purdue in 4 consecutive games.
• The -11.5 line hasn’t been covered by Purdue in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -11.5 line hasn’t been covered by Purdue in 14 of their last 20 games.
• The -11.5 line hasn’t been covered by Purdue in 7 of their last 10 games against Northwestern.

Northwestern +11.5 Probability

The top betting sites are estimating that there is a 52.4% likelihood of this pick winning. However, our analysts think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

If the initial odds don’t grab your fancy, there’s the option to shoot for more juice by moving the line when it comes to your pick. It all comes down to how confident you feel.

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Our Game Prediction

Northwestern +11.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 12, 05:03). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Nick Martinelli Over 6.5 Rebounds -100

Nick Martinelli (Northwestern) is available at -100 to record Over 6.5 rebounds. We’re going to take him on the Overs for Player Rebounds, with this total making lots of appeal.

Latest Nick Martinelli Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 21.5

-105

Under 21.5

-125

Rebounds

Over 6.5

-123

Under 6.5

-105

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Fletcher Loyer Over 3.5 Rebounds +130

Fletcher Loyer (Purdue) can be wagered to register Over 3.5 rebounds at +130. We recommend taking the pick that he is able to cover the line, with this Player Rebounds bet hopefully providing a return.

Latest Fletcher Loyer Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 12.5

-130

Under 12.5

-105

Rebounds

Over 3.5

+126

Under 3.5

-164

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Northwestern 72 - 79 Purdue

If you want to achieve a big return from your stake, then it’s worth checking out the correct score lines. the Boilermakers to claim a 79-72 victory is on offer at huge betting odds.

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Northwestern vs Purdue Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

At betting odds of -1429 with the sportsbooks, Purdue are regarded as 93% likely to win this college game. For those wanting to back Northwestern, you will find +800 about the underdogs.

The spread is 13.5 and the total points line is currently 140.5. Basketball fans regularly enjoy the opportunity to bet on the Totals. If you’re wanting to back Over 140.5, the odds are -110.

There are plenty of team props and game lines when it comes to wagering on college matchups and we recommend visiting the best basketball sportsbooks to find the wager that matches your view on the game.

Moneyline

Northwestern

+800

Purdue

-1429

Point Spread

Northwestern +13.5

-114

Purdue -13.5

-106

Total Points

Under 140.5

-110

Over 140.5

-110

The favorite to land the most baskets is Nick Martinelli. Odds of -105 can be found for him scoring Over 21.5 points and there is -125 for him to go Under.

Nick Martinelli (Northwestern)

Over 21.5

-105

Under 21.5

-125

Braden Smith (Purdue)

Over 16.5

-105

Under 16.5

-125

Trey Kaufman-Renn (Purdue)

Over 16.5

-105

Under 16.5

-125

Fletcher Loyer (Purdue)

Over 12.5

-130

Under 12.5

-105

Jayden Reid (Northwestern)

Over 10.5

-105

Under 10.5

-125

Oscar Cluff (Purdue)

Over 9.5

-105

Under 9.5

-125

C.J. Cox (Purdue)

Over 8.5

-135

Under 8.5

-100

Jake West (Northwestern)

Over 7.5

-125

Under 7.5

-105

Braden Smith (Purdue)

Over 7.5

-111

Under 7.5

-130

Trey Kaufman-Renn (Purdue)

Over 9.5

+106

Under 9.5

-137

Nick Martinelli (Northwestern)

Over 6.5

-123

Under 6.5

-105

Oscar Cluff (Purdue)

Over 6.5

-143

Under 6.5

+110

Braden Smith (Purdue)

Over 3.5

-130

Under 3.5

-100

Fletcher Loyer (Purdue)

Over 3.5

+126

Under 3.5

-164

C.J. Cox (Purdue)

Over 2.5

-200

Under 2.5

+151

Micro betting is an exciting way to wager on college basketball. There are many live lines and it’s a simple case of predicting what is going to happen. Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer are among the options.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Northwestern Stats

Purdue Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +11.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -11.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 138.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 137.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 144.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 144.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 68.90 pts and allowed 69.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 65.40 pts and allowed 71.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 154.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 161.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 144.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 144.5 at Home: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.30 pts and allowed 73.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 84.40 pts and allowed 77.00 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big Ten	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Michigan	31-3	2952	2353	599	19-2	12-1	1L
Nebraska	26-6	2473	2119	354	19-3	7-3	1L
Michigan State	25-7	2526	2189	337	17-3	8-4	2L
Purdue	27-8	2858	2455	403	16-5	11-3	4W
Illinois	24-8	2700	2234	466	15-6	9-2	1L
Wisconsin	24-10	2822	2581	241	16-2	8-8	1L
UCLA	23-11	2643	2414	229	18-3	5-8	1L
Ohio State	21-12	2633	2402	231	15-5	6-7	1L
Iowa	21-12	2482	2177	305	17-3	4-9	1L
Indiana	18-14	2501	2309	192	15-6	3-8	2L
USC	18-14	2515	2494	21	11-7	7-7	8L
Washington	16-17	2545	2430	115	11-6	5-11	1L
Minnesota	15-17	2241	2193	48	13-8	2-9	1L
Northwestern	15-19	2487	2447	40	11-9	4-10	1L
Rutgers	14-19	2329	2479	-150	11-7	3-12	1L
Oregon	12-20	2267	2366	-99	10-10	2-10	1L
Penn State	12-20	2358	2539	-181	10-10	2-10	3L
Maryland	12-21	2300	2527	-227	9-8	3-13	1L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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