Missouri State vs Sam Houston Prediction, Picks & Odds | 28 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Missouri State vs Sam Houston

The Missouri State Bears square off against the Sam Houston Bearkats, with tip-off scheduled for 17:30 on Saturday, February 28.

Our prediction is for Sam Houston to cover the attractive -7.5 line when they face Missouri State. The favorites should be able to triumph by a more comfortable margin and -120 is available on the spread.

Missouri State Bears were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs claimed a 72-70 win.

Sam Houston Bearkats won their last game, beating Florida International Panthers at home. It was a 100-67 win.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Sam Houston triumphed 80-71 when they last played Missouri State. The previous 3 games featuring these teams have resulted in two Missouri State victories.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Sam Houston	20-8	2334	2064	270	12-1	8-7	4W
Missouri State	13-15	2102	2057	45	10-6	3-9	6L

View Full Standings

Missouri State vs Sam Houston Prediction & Picks

Get ahead of the game with our Missouri State vs Sam Houston betting rundown, featuring our trusted match prediction, most likely correct score outcome and a fully loaded bet builder.

Game Prediction

There’s a generous line of -7.5 when it comes to Sam Houston for this college contest. The -120 that they cover the spread has plenty of juice and our pick is that the favorites will make it happen.

We use the latest team news and injury updates to help shape the best possible basketball predictions. You’ll also notice we take a stats-led approach by factoring in the key college hoops numbers that truly make a difference.

Key Missouri State vs Sam Houston stats:

• The -7.5 line has been covered by Sam Houston in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -7.5 line has been covered by Sam Houston in 3 of their last 5 games at home.

Sam Houston -7.5 Probability

Based on the latest odds from the top sportsbooks, our pick carries a 54.6% chance of winning. Our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

If you want to land bigger odds, you might be interested to know that you can move the betting line. There’s extra juice depending on how risky you want your wager to be.

Before placing your bets, explore the latest betting offers. Our comprehensive guide features a wide range of welcome bonuses to choose from.

Our Game Prediction

Sam Houston -7.5 @ -120 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 27, 23:03). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Missouri State 68 - 78 Sam Houston

If you want to take a chance on a correct score, then the Kats to enjoy a 78-68 win could be along the right lines. There are enormous odds for this particular outcome.

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Missouri State vs Sam Houston Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

According to the Moneyline betting odds, Sam Houston are red-hot -417 favorites with the sportsbooks and that means a 81% chance of winning this college game. At +315, Missouri State are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The spread currently stands at 7.5 and the total points line is 153.5. There are many ways to bet on basketball including the Totals. There’s the chance to back Under 153.5 at -105.

If you’re wagering on college basketball, we recommend heading to the top betting apps and scanning through the many game lines and team props. There’s a chance to wager pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

Missouri State

+315

Sam Houston

-417

Point Spread

Missouri State +7.5

-102

Sam Houston -7.5

-120

Total Points

Under 153.5

-105

Over 153.5

-115

The best gambling sites offer player prop betting to their customers. These can be a great alternative if you want to focus on an individual’s performance within a game and it often involves wagering over or under a line.

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some bettors prefer to look at the college basketball micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Missouri State Stats

Sam Houston Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +7.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -7.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 148.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 145.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 153.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 153.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 73.60 pts and allowed 74.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 71.60 pts and allowed 73.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 155.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 153.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 153.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 153.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.00 pts and allowed 73.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 84.20 pts and allowed 69.20 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Conference USA	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Liberty	23-5	2201	1950	251	13-2	10-3	2L
Sam Houston	20-8	2334	2064	270	12-1	8-7	4W
Western Kentucky	17-11	2212	2096	116	12-5	5-6	5W
Kennesaw State	17-11	2351	2128	223	13-3	4-8	3W
Louisiana Tech	16-12	1933	1811	122	14-2	2-10	1W
Jacksonville State	14-14	2045	1901	144	10-7	4-7	1W
Middle Tennessee	14-14	2111	2034	77	11-5	3-9	2W
New Mexico State	13-14	2033	1934	99	9-6	4-8	1L
Missouri State	13-15	2102	2057	45	10-6	3-9	6L
FIU	13-15	2265	2201	64	11-5	2-10	1L
UTEP	10-18	1945	2012	-67	8-7	2-11	3L
Delaware	9-19	1895	2042	-147	5-10	4-9	3L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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