Missouri State vs Sam Houston Prediction, Picks & Odds | 28 Feb 2026
College Basketball Betting Preview: Missouri State vs Sam Houston
The Missouri State Bears square off against the Sam Houston Bearkats, with tip-off scheduled for 17:30 on Saturday, February 28.
Our prediction is for Sam Houston to cover the attractive -7.5 line when they face Missouri State. The favorites should be able to triumph by a more comfortable margin and -120 is available on the spread.
Missouri State Bears were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs claimed a 72-70 win.
Sam Houston Bearkats won their last game, beating Florida International Panthers at home. It was a 100-67 win.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Sam Houston triumphed 80-71 when they last played Missouri State. The previous 3 games featuring these teams have resulted in two Missouri State victories.
| NCAAB | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sam Houston
|
22-11 | 2714 | 2447 | 267 | 14-2 | 8-9 | 1L |
Missouri State
|
16-18 | 2551 | 2502 | 49 | 11-7 | 5-11 | 1L |
Missouri State vs Sam Houston Prediction & Picks
Get ahead of the game with our Missouri State vs Sam Houston betting rundown, featuring our trusted match prediction, most likely correct score outcome and a fully loaded bet builder.
Game Prediction
There’s a generous line of -7.5 when it comes to Sam Houston for this college contest. The -120 that they cover the spread has plenty of juice and our pick is that the favorites will make it happen.
We use the latest team news and injury updates to help shape the best possible basketball predictions. You’ll also notice we take a stats-led approach by factoring in the key college hoops numbers that truly make a difference.
Key Missouri State vs Sam Houston stats:
Sam Houston -7.5 Probability
Based on the latest odds from the top sportsbooks, our pick carries a 54.6% chance of winning. Our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.
If you want to land bigger odds, you might be interested to know that you can move the betting line. There’s extra juice depending on how risky you want your wager to be.
Before placing your bets, explore the latest betting offers. Our comprehensive guide features a wide range of welcome bonuses to choose from.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Our same game parlay pick is Sam Houston -7.5 on the spread, Under 153.5 and at least one team not to score 80 points and Sam Houston to win on the Result & BTTS lines.
The same game parlay option is awesome for bettors wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same basketball game. It’s especially good if you have a strong opinion on the likely outcomes and the odds for each selection are combined.
Correct Score Prediction
68
-
78
Sam Houston
If you want to take a chance on a correct score, then the Kats to enjoy a 78-68 win could be along the right lines. There are enormous odds for this particular outcome.
Missouri State vs Sam Houston Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
According to the Moneyline betting odds, Sam Houston are red-hot -370 favorites with the sportsbooks and that means a 79% chance of winning this college game. At +285, Missouri State are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.
The spread currently stands at 7.5 and the total points line is 154.5. There are many ways to bet on basketball including the Totals. There’s the chance to back Under 154.5 at -110.
If you’re wagering on college basketball, we recommend heading to the top betting apps and scanning through the many game lines and team props. There’s a chance to wager pre-game and in-game.
The best gambling sites offer player prop betting to their customers. These can be a great alternative if you want to focus on an individual’s performance within a game and it often involves wagering over or under a line.
Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some bettors prefer to look at the college basketball micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Missouri State Stats
Sam Houston Stats
- 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
- 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
- +7.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road
- -7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- -7.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 148.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 145.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 153.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 153.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 73.60 pts and allowed 74.60 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 71.60 pts and allowed 73.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 155.00 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 153.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 153.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 153.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.00 pts and allowed 73.00 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 84.20 pts and allowed 69.20 pts in the last 10 home games
NCAAB Table Select Season
| Conference USA | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberty
|
25-7 | 2501 | 2253 | 248 | 14-4 | 11-3 | 1L |
|
Sam Houston
|
22-11 | 2714 | 2447 | 267 | 14-2 | 8-9 | 1L |
Kennesaw State
|
21-13 | 2834 | 2587 | 247 | 14-3 | 7-10 | 3W |
Louisiana Tech
|
20-14 | 2375 | 2210 | 165 | 16-4 | 4-10 | 1L |
Western Kentucky
|
18-14 | 2537 | 2436 | 101 | 13-6 | 5-8 | 3L |
Middle Tennessee
|
17-15 | 2414 | 2329 | 85 | 12-5 | 5-10 | 1L |
New Mexico State
|
16-16 | 2403 | 2303 | 100 | 11-6 | 5-10 | 1L |
|
Missouri State
|
16-18 | 2551 | 2502 | 49 | 11-7 | 5-11 | 1L |
Jacksonville State
|
15-17 | 2325 | 2188 | 137 | 10-9 | 5-8 | 1L |
FIU
|
15-17 | 2580 | 2492 | 88 | 12-7 | 3-10 | 1L |
UTEP
|
11-20 | 2149 | 2244 | -95 | 9-8 | 2-12 | 1L |
Delaware
|
10-21 | 2098 | 2293 | -195 | 6-11 | 4-10 | 1L |
- Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
- PF = Total Points For
- PA = Total Points Against
- N. Pts = Point Differential
- Home = Home Record
- Away = Away Record
- Strk = Current Streak
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