NC State vs Virginia Prediction, Picks & Odds | 12 Mar 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: NC State vs Virginia

The NC State Wolfpack square off against the Virginia Cavaliers, with tip-off scheduled for 12:00 on Thursday, March 12.

We’ve got a strong opinion when it comes to the totals when NC State go up against Virginia. Our prediction is that there will be Over 148.5 points and that is available at -110.

NC State Wolfpack won their previous game, beating Pittsburgh Panthers at home. It was a 98-88 win.

Virginia Cavaliers won their last game which was at home. It was a 76-72 triumph against Virginia Tech.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Virginia beat NC State in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 90-61 scoreline. Virginia have beaten NC State in the past three meetings. They’ve also claimed 6 victories in the past 10 head-to-head matchups.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Virginia	27-4	2507	2116	391	17-1	10-3	2W
NC State	20-12	2688	2444	244	13-7	7-5	1W

View Full Standings

NC State vs Virginia Prediction & Picks

This NC State vs Virginia betting guide features sharp analysis across major markets, including an expert match prediction, correct score bet and a strategic bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’re confident that Over 148.5 is the value play at -110. We’re expecting these college teams to rack up the points, so a total wager could be the way forward.

The college basketball handicappers at Sportsgambler.com stay on top of injuries and team form that could impact the outcome. We also leave no stone unturned when analyzing the latest stats to support every prediction.

Key NC State vs Virginia stats:

• The 148.5 line has been covered in the last 12 NC State games on the road.
• The 148.5 line has been covered in 16 of the last 20 NC State games.

Over 148.5 Probability

The top sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 52.4% prospect of winning. Our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

There’s a chance to secure larger odds when you wager on the Totals. The leading sportsbooks allow you to move the line for an Over pick until you’re happy with the potential return.

Give yourself a head start. Explore the latest free bet promotions and bonus offers in our comprehensive guide.

Our Game Prediction

Over 148.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 12, 06:03). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

NC State 73 - 83 Virginia

There’s lots of entertainment when it comes to a correct score wager. A play on the Cavs to achieve a 83-73 victory should give bettors a good run for their money.

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NC State vs Virginia Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Virginia have the shortest price to win this college game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 70% probability due to their -238 Moneyline betting odds. NC State are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +195.

The current spread is 5.5 and the total points line is 148.5. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. If you're keen on Over 148.5, this selection is available at -110.

If you’re wagering on college basketball, we recommend heading to the top betting apps and scanning through the many game lines and team props. There’s a chance to wager pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

NC State

+195

Virginia

-238

Point Spread

NC State +5.5

-110

Virginia -5.5

-110

Total Points

Under 148.5

-110

Over 148.5

-110

Prop bets don’t involve betting on a team to win and instead might look at a player’s individual performance. For example, the number of Points they might score or the number of Assists they might have.

There are some exciting college basketball micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer. The long-ball option pays better, and in today’s game, you can never discount the three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

NC State Stats

Virginia Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 165.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 167.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 148.5: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games
• Over 148.5 on the Road: Covered in the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 79.80 pts and allowed 86.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 83.40 pts and allowed 83.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 140.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 143.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 148.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 148.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 74.20 pts and allowed 66.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 79.50 pts and allowed 64.30 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Duke	29-2	2571	1937	634	18-0	11-2	8W
Virginia	27-4	2507	2116	391	17-1	10-3	2W
Miami	24-7	2564	2192	372	15-4	9-3	1L
North Carolina	24-7	2474	2202	272	19-0	5-7	1L
Clemson	23-9	2380	2117	263	16-3	7-6	2W
Louisville	23-9	2724	2304	420	16-2	7-7	3W
California	21-11	2492	2344	148	17-4	4-7	2L
NC State	20-12	2688	2444	244	13-7	7-5	1W
Stanford	20-12	2431	2326	105	12-7	8-5	1L
SMU	20-13	2779	2561	218	17-3	3-10	1L
Virginia Tech	19-13	2521	2396	125	15-4	4-9	2L
Florida State	18-14	2573	2492	81	12-8	6-6	4W
Wake Forest	17-16	2602	2543	59	12-6	5-10	1L
Syracuse	15-17	2400	2376	24	12-6	3-11	6L
Notre Dame	13-18	2308	2335	-27	11-7	2-11	2L
Pittsburgh	13-20	2327	2370	-43	8-10	5-10	1L
Boston College	11-20	2090	2191	-101	10-10	1-10	1W
Georgia Tech	11-20	2287	2400	-113	10-10	1-10	12L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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