North Carolina vs NC State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 17 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: North Carolina vs NC State

The North Carolina Tar Heels face the NC State Wolfpack, with tip-off scheduled for 19:00 on Tuesday, February 17.

North Carolina should be able to battle hard and our prediction is that they will cover the line against NC State. It’s set at a more than generous +6.5 and you can get -110.

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North Carolina Tar Heels claimed a victory in their previous game. A 79-65 home win occurred against Pittsburgh Panthers.

NC State Wolfpack were defeated last time out. They were beaten at home to Miami Hurricanes by a 77-76 scoreline.

Head-to-Head Statistics

North Carolina have won back-to-back matchups against NC State. It was a 63-61 victory on the road that was followed by a 97-73 home win. The previous 10 games featuring these teams have resulted in eight North Carolina victories.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
North Carolina	20-5	2045	1761	284	16-0	4-5	1W
NC State	18-8	2209	1934	275	11-5	7-3	2L

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North Carolina vs NC State Prediction & Picks

This North Carolina vs NC State betting breakdown features a main match prediction, a correct score insight and a sharply constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Game Prediction

Considering the +6.5 that is on offer for North Carolina, our pick is that the underdogs will cover the spread in this college matchup. They can stay in the game and odds of -110 is available.

The college basketball handicappers at Sportsgambler.com stay on top of injuries and team form that could impact the outcome. We also leave no stone unturned when analyzing the latest stats to support every prediction.

Key North Carolina vs NC State stats:

• The +6.5 line has been covered by UNC in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The +6.5 line has been covered by UNC in 17 of their last 20 games.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by NC State in 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by NC State in 2 consecutive games.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by NC State in 2 consecutive games against UNC.

UNC +6.5 Probability

Based on the latest odds from the top sportsbooks, our pick carries a 52.4% chance of winning. After careful examination, our cappers have this probability close to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

There are options to buy and sell different amounts of points and effectively choose the line which makes the most appeal. It all comes down to how safe or risky you want to play things.

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Our Game Prediction

North Carolina +6.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

North Carolina 81 - 83 NC State

NC State are available at massive odds to register a 83-81 victory and they might have the edge. This should be a close game and there won’t be much between the teams.

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North Carolina vs NC State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

NC State are -278 favorites and that means a 74% chance of winning this college game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, North Carolina are trading at +225.

The spread is currently 5.5, with the total points line at 158.5. A Total wager relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. If you want to back Over 158.5, it’s -110.

The good news is that you can access a wide range of team props and game lines for most college basketball contests. The best betting apps have a huge range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

UNC

+225

NC State

-278

Point Spread

UNC +5.5

-102

NC State -5.5

-120

Total Points

Under 158.5

-110

Over 158.5

-110

Prop bets don’t involve betting on a team to win and instead might look at a player’s individual performance. For example, the number of Points they might score or the number of Assists they might have.

There are always opportunities to enjoy college basketball micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find player and team props in-game and bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as if the next shot will be a Two or Three-Pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

North Carolina Stats

NC State Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 159.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 153.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 158.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 158.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.50 pts and allowed 77.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 75.30 pts and allowed 78.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 164.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 148.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 158.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 158.5 at Home: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.10 pts and allowed 79.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 79.60 pts and allowed 68.50 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Duke	24-2	2157	1642	515	15-0	9-2	3W
Virginia	22-3	2035	1685	350	13-1	9-2	6W
Miami	20-5	2089	1752	337	13-3	7-2	3W
North Carolina	20-5	2045	1761	284	16-0	4-5	1W
Clemson	20-6	1945	1682	263	13-2	7-4	2L
Louisville	19-6	2172	1773	399	13-2	6-4	5W
NC State	18-8	2209	1934	275	11-5	7-3	2L
California	18-8	2053	1897	156	15-3	3-5	1W
SMU	17-8	2155	1939	216	14-2	3-6	1L
Virginia Tech	17-9	2058	1943	115	13-3	4-6	1L
Stanford	16-10	1961	1886	75	10-6	6-4	1L
Syracuse	15-12	2053	1977	76	12-4	3-8	1L
Wake Forest	13-12	1992	1925	67	9-6	4-6	2W
Florida State	12-13	2009	1960	49	9-7	3-6	1W
Notre Dame	12-14	1941	1909	32	10-5	2-9	1W
Georgia Tech	11-15	1937	1984	-47	10-7	1-8	7L
Boston College	9-16	1686	1733	-47	8-10	1-6	6L
Pittsburgh	9-17	1818	1866	-48	7-9	2-8	5L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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