Louisville vs SMU Prediction, Picks & Odds | 17 Feb 2026
College Basketball Betting Preview: Louisville vs SMU
The Louisville Cardinals go up against the SMU Mustangs, with tip-off scheduled for 19:00 on Tuesday, February 17.
There’s every chance that the total won’t be as high as 166.5, so we’re prepared to take the -105 that Louisville and SMU go under the line.
Louisville Cardinals got the win in their previous game. A 82-71 triumph occurred on the road when playing Baylor Bears.
SMU Mustangs suffered a defeat in their last game. A 79-78 scoreline occurred on the road against Syracuse Orange.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Louisville beat SMU in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 88-74 scoreline.
| NCAAB | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Louisville
|
23-10 | 2797 | 2382 | 415 | 16-2 | 7-8 | 1L |
SMU
|
20-13 | 2779 | 2561 | 218 | 17-3 | 3-10 | 1L |
Louisville vs SMU Prediction & Picks
Our expert Louisville vs SMU tips include betting advice on all fronts — from a main match prediction and player prop guidance to a correct score selection and a ready-made bet builder.
Game Prediction
The total line looks too big at 166.5 and we can take advantage. Go under this number at -105 and hope that there aren’t too many fireworks in this college game.
We put solid research behind every basketball pick, starting with recent form and a clear read on injuries. From there, key college hoops stats and advanced metrics help complete the picture and support smarter betting decisions.
Key Louisville vs SMU stats:
Under 166.5 Probability
The top sportsbooks make it a 51.3% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. In the opinion of our cappers, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.
Those bettors wanting more bang for their buck can move the Total line as they see fit. You can bet Under a certain points level in order to get the bigger odds.
Give yourself a head start. Explore the latest free bet promotions and bonus offers in our comprehensive guide.
Player Prop Picks
Jaron Pierre Jr. (SMU) can be backed to rack up Over 1.5 assists at -130. He looks capable of covering the line and that leads us to taking this Player Assists bet.
Latest Jaron Pierre Jr. Player Prop Odds
B.J. Edwards (SMU) can be wagered to record Under 11.5 points at -118. According to our experts, the Players Points total looks too high and we think he will fall short.
Latest B.J. Edwards Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Take a same game parlay that incorporates Under 166.5 along with Louisville to cover the -3.5 spread. Add in Jaron Pierre Jr. (SMU) to get Over 1.5 assists.
There are many options when you place a same game parlay. You can go through the available basketball lines and identify your favorite picks before combining the odds on the bet slip. Personalised wagering doesn’t come any better.
Correct Score Prediction
85
-
78
SMU
A 85-78 win for Louisville is clearly a risky bet although this could be an exciting correct score option where there’s the chance to enjoy a huge potential return.
Louisville vs SMU Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
For this college game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean Louisville are -204 favorites to win and that means a 67% chance of landing a victory. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +172 about SMU.
The spread currently stands at 4.5 and the total points line is 167.5. A bet on the Totals allows fans to use the latest basketball data to good effect. There’s the chance to back Under 167.5 at -105.
College hoops fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the wide range of team props and game lines which are available for every contest on the coupon. Head to the top basketball sportsbooks and find the best value picks.
In terms of scoring most points, favorite Mikel Brown Jr. is available at -141 to rack up Over 19.5 points. If you want to go Under, then +108 is available.
Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with college basketball fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, player and team props. Check out the two-way lines where you can bet whether the next shot will be a Two-pointer or a Three-pointer.
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Louisville Stats
SMU Stats
- 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
- -4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road
- +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
- +4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 155.50 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 154.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 166.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
- Over 166.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 83.40 pts and allowed 72.10 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 79.10 pts and allowed 75.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 159.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 166.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 166.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
- Over 166.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.40 pts and allowed 78.80 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 88.80 pts and allowed 77.30 pts in the last 10 home games
NCAAB Table Select Season
| Atlantic Coast | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Duke
|
32-2 | 2798 | 2147 | 651 | 21-0 | 11-2 | 11W |
Virginia
|
29-5 | 2742 | 2326 | 416 | 19-1 | 10-4 | 1L |
Miami
|
25-8 | 2704 | 2349 | 355 | 16-4 | 9-4 | 1L |
North Carolina
|
24-8 | 2553 | 2282 | 271 | 19-1 | 5-7 | 2L |
Clemson
|
24-10 | 2521 | 2269 | 252 | 16-3 | 8-7 | 1L |
|
Louisville
|
23-10 | 2797 | 2382 | 415 | 16-2 | 7-8 | 1L |
California
|
21-11 | 2492 | 2344 | 148 | 17-4 | 4-7 | 2L |
Stanford
|
20-12 | 2431 | 2326 | 105 | 12-7 | 8-5 | 1L |
NC State
|
20-13 | 2762 | 2525 | 237 | 13-7 | 7-6 | 1L |
|
SMU
|
20-13 | 2779 | 2561 | 218 | 17-3 | 3-10 | 1L |
Virginia Tech
|
19-13 | 2521 | 2396 | 125 | 15-4 | 4-9 | 2L |
Florida State
|
18-15 | 2652 | 2572 | 80 | 12-8 | 6-7 | 1L |
Wake Forest
|
17-16 | 2602 | 2543 | 59 | 12-6 | 5-10 | 1L |
Syracuse
|
15-17 | 2400 | 2376 | 24 | 12-6 | 3-11 | 6L |
Notre Dame
|
13-18 | 2308 | 2335 | -27 | 11-7 | 2-11 | 2L |
Pittsburgh
|
13-20 | 2327 | 2370 | -43 | 8-10 | 5-10 | 1L |
Boston College
|
11-20 | 2090 | 2191 | -101 | 10-10 | 1-10 | 1W |
Georgia Tech
|
11-20 | 2287 | 2400 | -113 | 10-10 | 1-10 | 12L |
- Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
- PF = Total Points For
- PA = Total Points Against
- N. Pts = Point Differential
- Home = Home Record
- Away = Away Record
- Strk = Current Streak
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