Michigan vs Purdue Prediction, Picks & Odds | 17 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Michigan vs Purdue

The Michigan Wolverines square off against the Purdue Boilermakers, with tip-off scheduled for 18:30 on Tuesday, February 17.

We believe that Michigan should prove too strong for Purdue. Therefore, it’s all about going to the Moneyline to back them and there’s plenty of juice in the -137 available.

Michigan Wolverines claimed a victory in their previous game. A 86-56 home win occurred against UCLA Bruins.

Purdue Boilmakers got the win in their last game. A 78-57 triumph occurred on the road when meeting Iowa Hawkeyes.

Head-to-Head Statistics

We’ve seen Michigan beat Purdue in their last two matchups. Both wins came at home by 75-73 and 86-68 scorelines. The past 10 H2H clashes have seen both teams record five wins.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Michigan	31-3	2952	2353	599	19-2	12-1	1L
Purdue	27-8	2858	2455	403	16-5	11-3	4W

View Full Standings

Michigan vs Purdue Prediction & Picks

We’ve lined up expert Michigan vs Purdue betting tips, from our match prediction and correct score call to player prop picks and best bet builder advice. Read on for the full breakdown.

Game Prediction

The value wager could involve heading to the Moneyline where you can back Michigan to win this college contest. Our pick is currently on offer at a tempting -137.

We use the latest team news and injury updates to help shape the best possible basketball predictions. You’ll also notice we take a stats-led approach by factoring in the key college hoops numbers that truly make a difference.

Key Michigan vs Purdue stats:

• Michigan have won 10 consecutive games.
• Michigan have won 19 of their last 20 games.
• Purdue have lost their last 2 games against Michigan.

Michigan Moneyline Probability

The best betting apps make it a 57.8% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Taking all factors into consideration, our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 60-65%. This is why we can recommend this college basketball bet.

We’d recommend taking a look at the Result & Both Teams to Score and Double Result lines if you’re interested in siding with Michigan but want bigger odds.

Before you bet, make sure to check out the latest offers. Our guide is packed with the best welcome bonuses from leading sportsbooks.

Our Game Prediction

Michigan Moneyline @ -137 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 16, 23:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Braden Smith Under 16.5 Points -127

Braden Smith (Purdue) is available at -127 to score Under 16.5 points. There could well be a failure on his part to cover the total and this looks pretty generous to us.

Latest Braden Smith Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 17.5

-108

Under 17.5

-120

Assists

Over 6.5

-164

Under 6.5

+125

Rebounds

Over 4.5

+110

Under 4.5

-143

---

Trey Kaufman-Renn Under 2.5 Assists -189

Trey Kaufman-Renn (Purdue) can be wagered to total Under 2.5 assists at -189. There is a strong case for siding with him to fall short of the required total on the Player Assists line.

Latest Trey Kaufman-Renn Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 11.5

+117

Under 11.5

-152

Assists

Over 2.5

+152

Under 2.5

-200

Rebounds

Over 8.5

+110

Under 8.5

-143

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Michigan 77 - 75 Purdue

A close game could be on the cards. We’ll bet on the Wolverines to secure a 77-75 win at huge odds and this correct score selection should hopefully be a fun one.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Michigan vs Purdue Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

There’s the opportunity to back Purdue at +118 on the Moneyline although Michigan are priced up at betting odds of -143. According to the sportsbooks, the probability of the road team winning this college game is 59%.

The spread currently stands at 2.5 and the total points line is 156.5. There are many ways to bet on basketball including the Totals. There’s the chance to back Under 156.5 at -105.

College hoops fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the wide range of team props and game lines which are available for every contest on the coupon. Head to the top basketball sportsbooks and find the best value picks.

Moneyline

Michigan

-143

Purdue

+118

Point Spread

Michigan -2.5

-108

Purdue +2.5

-112

Total Points

Under 156.5

-105

Over 156.5

-115

Braden Smith is the market leader to hit the most buckets. He is priced at -108 to score Over 17.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -120.

Braden Smith (Purdue)

Over 17.5

-108

Under 17.5

-120

Yaxel Lendeborg (Michigan)

Over 15.5

-100

Under 15.5

-130

Fletcher Loyer (Purdue)

Over 14.5

+106

Under 14.5

-137

Morez Johnson Jr. (Michigan)

Over 12.5

-118

Under 12.5

-110

Aday Mara (Michigan)

Over 11.5

-102

Under 11.5

-127

Trey Kaufman-Renn (Purdue)

Over 11.5

+117

Under 11.5

-152

Elliot Cadeau (Michigan)

Over 9.5

-106

Under 9.5

-122

C.J. Cox (Purdue)

Over 8.5

-112

Under 8.5

-115

Oscar Cluff (Purdue)

Over 7.5

-112

Under 7.5

-115

Braden Smith (Purdue)

Over 6.5

-164

Under 6.5

+125

Elliot Cadeau (Michigan)

Over 6.5

+152

Under 6.5

-200

Yaxel Lendeborg (Michigan)

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-100

Aday Mara (Michigan)

Over 2.5

+141

Under 2.5

-185

Trey Kaufman-Renn (Purdue)

Over 2.5

+152

Under 2.5

-200

Fletcher Loyer (Purdue)

Over 1.5

+109

Under 1.5

-141

Yaxel Lendeborg (Michigan)

Over 8.5

-100

Under 8.5

-130

Trey Kaufman-Renn (Purdue)

Over 8.5

+110

Under 8.5

-143

Morez Johnson Jr. (Michigan)

Over 7.5

+106

Under 7.5

-137

Aday Mara (Michigan)

Over 6.5

-103

Under 6.5

-125

Oscar Cluff (Purdue)

Over 6.5

-119

Under 6.5

-109

Braden Smith (Purdue)

Over 4.5

+110

Under 4.5

-143

Fletcher Loyer (Purdue)

Over 2.5

-116

Under 2.5

-111

C.J. Cox (Purdue)

Over 2.5

+104

Under 2.5

-135

Elliot Cadeau (Michigan)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

+140

There are some exciting college basketball micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer. The long-ball option pays better, and in today’s game, you can never discount the three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Michigan Stats

Purdue Stats

Moneyline

• 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 152.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 154.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 156.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 156.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 84.60 pts and allowed 68.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 82.40 pts and allowed 71.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 148.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 151.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 156.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 156.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 77.60 pts and allowed 71.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 81.40 pts and allowed 69.90 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big Ten	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Michigan	31-3	2952	2353	599	19-2	12-1	1L
Nebraska	26-6	2473	2119	354	19-3	7-3	1L
Michigan State	25-7	2526	2189	337	17-3	8-4	2L
Purdue	27-8	2858	2455	403	16-5	11-3	4W
Illinois	24-8	2700	2234	466	15-6	9-2	1L
Wisconsin	24-10	2822	2581	241	16-2	8-8	1L
UCLA	23-11	2643	2414	229	18-3	5-8	1L
Ohio State	21-12	2633	2402	231	15-5	6-7	1L
Iowa	21-12	2482	2177	305	17-3	4-9	1L
Indiana	18-14	2501	2309	192	15-6	3-8	2L
USC	18-14	2515	2494	21	11-7	7-7	8L
Washington	16-17	2545	2430	115	11-6	5-11	1L
Minnesota	15-17	2241	2193	48	13-8	2-9	1L
Northwestern	15-19	2487	2447	40	11-9	4-10	1L
Rutgers	14-19	2329	2479	-150	11-7	3-12	1L
Oregon	12-20	2267	2366	-99	10-10	2-10	1L
Penn State	12-20	2358	2539	-181	10-10	2-10	3L
Maryland	12-21	2300	2527	-227	9-8	3-13	1L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

Top Basketball Pages