North Carolina vs NC State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 17 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: North Carolina vs NC State

The North Carolina Tar Heels face the NC State Wolfpack, with tip-off scheduled for 19:00 on Tuesday, February 17.

North Carolina should be able to battle hard and our prediction is that they will cover the line against NC State. It’s set at a more than generous +6.5 and you can get -110.

North Carolina Tar Heels claimed a victory in their previous game. A 79-65 home win occurred against Pittsburgh Panthers.

NC State Wolfpack were defeated last time out. They were beaten at home to Miami Hurricanes by a 77-76 scoreline.

Head-to-Head Statistics

North Carolina have won back-to-back matchups against NC State. It was a 63-61 victory on the road that was followed by a 97-73 home win. The previous 10 games featuring these teams have resulted in eight North Carolina victories.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
North Carolina	24-8	2553	2282	271	19-1	5-7	2L
NC State	20-13	2762	2525	237	13-7	7-6	1L

View Full Standings

North Carolina vs NC State Prediction & Picks

Unlock a complete betting breakdown for North Carolina vs NC State, featuring our expert match prediction, expected final score, standout player prop picks and a ready-to-play bet builder.

Game Prediction

Considering the +6.5 that is on offer for North Carolina, our pick is that the underdogs will cover the spread in this college matchup. They can stay in the game and odds of -110 is available.

The college basketball handicappers at Sportsgambler.com stay on top of injuries and team form that could impact the outcome. We also leave no stone unturned when analyzing the latest stats to support every prediction.

Key North Carolina vs NC State stats:

• The +6.5 line has been covered by UNC in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The +6.5 line has been covered by UNC in 17 of their last 20 games.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by NC State in 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by NC State in 2 consecutive games.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by NC State in 2 consecutive games against UNC.

UNC +6.5 Probability

Based on the latest odds from the top sportsbooks, our pick carries a 52.4% chance of winning. After careful examination, our cappers have this probability close to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

There are options to buy and sell different amounts of points and effectively choose the line which makes the most appeal. It all comes down to how safe or risky you want to play things.

Ready to wager? Discover top betting deals and find the most valuable sportsbook promo codes in our trusted bonus guide filled with perks.

Our Game Prediction

North Carolina +6.5 @ -110 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 16, 23:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Luka Bogavac Over 2.5 Assists +139

Luka Bogavac (North Carolina) can be backed to secure Over 2.5 assists at +139. He looks capable of covering the line and that leads us to taking this Player Assists bet.

Latest Luka Bogavac Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 12.5

-167

Under 12.5

+128

Assists

Over 2.5

+139

Under 2.5

-182

---

Seth Trimble Over 15.5 Points -118

Seth Trimble (North Carolina) is available at -118 to register Over 15.5 points. We’ve found an opportunity to bet on Player Points where we’re able to back him to cover the line.

Latest Seth Trimble Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 15.5

-125

Under 15.5

-103

Assists

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

+126

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-143

Under 3.5

+110

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

North Carolina 81 - 83 NC State

NC State are available at massive odds to register a 83-81 victory and they might have the edge. This should be a close game and there won’t be much between the teams.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

North Carolina vs NC State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

NC State are -370 favorites and that means a 79% chance of winning this college game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, North Carolina are trading at +285.

The spread is currently 7.5, with the total points line at 156.5. A Total wager relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. If you want to back Over 156.5, it’s -105.

The good news is that you can access a wide range of team props and game lines for most college basketball contests. The best betting apps have a huge range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

UNC

+285

NC State

-370

Point Spread

UNC +7.5

-110

NC State -7.5

-110

Total Points

Under 156.5

-115

Over 156.5

-105

In terms of hitting the most buckets, favorite Seth Trimble is available at -125 to rack up Over 15.5 points. If you want to go Under, then -103 is available.

Seth Trimble (UNC)

Over 15.5

-125

Under 15.5

-103

Darrion Williams (NC State)

Over 15.5

+110

Under 15.5

-143

Quadir Copeland (NC State)

Over 14.5

-118

Under 14.5

-110

Ven-Allen Lubin (NC State)

Over 14.5

+104

Under 14.5

-135

Paul McNeil Jr. (NC State)

Over 13.5

+103

Under 13.5

-133

Luka Bogavac (UNC)

Over 12.5

-167

Under 12.5

+128

Jarin Stevenson (UNC)

Over 11.5

-133

Under 11.5

+103

Quadir Copeland (NC State)

Over 6.5

-143

Under 6.5

+110

Darrion Williams (NC State)

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-130

Luka Bogavac (UNC)

Over 2.5

+139

Under 2.5

-182

Seth Trimble (UNC)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

+126

Ven-Allen Lubin (NC State)

Over 8.5

-100

Under 8.5

-130

Jarin Stevenson (UNC)

Over 5.5

-123

Under 5.5

-105

Darrion Williams (NC State)

Over 4.5

-167

Under 4.5

+128

Seth Trimble (UNC)

Over 3.5

-143

Under 3.5

+110

Quadir Copeland (NC State)

Over 3.5

-169

Under 3.5

+130

Paul McNeil Jr. (NC State)

Over 3.5

+112

Under 3.5

-145

There are always opportunities to enjoy college basketball micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find player and team props in-game and bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as if the next shot will be a Two or Three-Pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

North Carolina Stats

NC State Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 159.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 153.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 158.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 158.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.50 pts and allowed 77.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 75.30 pts and allowed 78.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 164.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 148.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 158.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 158.5 at Home: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.10 pts and allowed 79.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 79.60 pts and allowed 68.50 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Duke	32-2	2798	2147	651	21-0	11-2	11W
Virginia	29-5	2742	2326	416	19-1	10-4	1L
Miami	25-8	2704	2349	355	16-4	9-4	1L
North Carolina	24-8	2553	2282	271	19-1	5-7	2L
Clemson	24-10	2521	2269	252	16-3	8-7	1L
Louisville	23-10	2797	2382	415	16-2	7-8	1L
California	21-11	2492	2344	148	17-4	4-7	2L
Stanford	20-12	2431	2326	105	12-7	8-5	1L
NC State	20-13	2762	2525	237	13-7	7-6	1L
SMU	20-13	2779	2561	218	17-3	3-10	1L
Virginia Tech	19-13	2521	2396	125	15-4	4-9	2L
Florida State	18-15	2652	2572	80	12-8	6-7	1L
Wake Forest	17-16	2602	2543	59	12-6	5-10	1L
Syracuse	15-17	2400	2376	24	12-6	3-11	6L
Notre Dame	13-18	2308	2335	-27	11-7	2-11	2L
Pittsburgh	13-20	2327	2370	-43	8-10	5-10	1L
Boston College	11-20	2090	2191	-101	10-10	1-10	1W
Georgia Tech	11-20	2287	2400	-113	10-10	1-10	12L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

Top Basketball Pages