TCU vs Kansas State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 28 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: TCU vs Kansas State

The TCU Horned Frogs battle the Kansas State Wildcats, with tip-off scheduled for 18:30 on Saturday, February 28.

We expect TCU to cover the -3.5 line on the spread. This is a great number and that’s why we’re playing them at -106 to overcome K-State.

TCU Horned Frogs won their previous game which was at home. It was a 90-78 triumph against Arizona State Sun Devils.

Kansas State Wildcats lost on the road in their last game. Colorado Buffaloes won 79-70.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw TCU claim a 84-82 win over K-State. It’s been four wins on the bounce for TCU when playing K-State. On the head-to-head front, they have won 7 of the past 10.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
TCU	18-10	2193	2016	177	14-5	4-5	2W
Kansas State	11-17	2237	2270	-33	10-7	1-10	2L

View Full Standings

TCU vs Kansas State Prediction & Picks

Our TCU vs Kansas State betting guide delivers expert insight, including a main match pick, our correct score angle and bet builder recommendations. Dive into each section below for more.

Game Prediction

Back TCU against the spread, with a generous betting line of -3.5 that the favorites get the job done in this college game. There are odds of -106 that are currently on offer for this value pick.

Sportsgambler.com brings strong college hoops expertise, built on knowing the team news as soon as it’s confirmed. Recent form plays a big part in our basketball picks and we always back it up with the most relevant stats.

Key TCU vs Kansas State stats:

• The -3.5 line has been covered by TCU in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by TCU in 2 consecutive games.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by K-State in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by K-State in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by K-State in 2 consecutive games.

TCU -3.5 Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 51.5% chance of winning. However, our analysts in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. This is why we can recommend this college basketball wager.

There’s regularly the option to sell points and that allows you to leverage a bigger potential return. Conversely, buying points will give you a less-risky wager but smaller odds.

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Our Game Prediction

TCU -3.5 @ -106 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 27, 23:04). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

TCU 79 - 71 Kansas State

There are lots of different betting angles including the chance to back the Frogs on the correct score lines. For example, a 79-71 victory in their favor is available at massive odds.

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TCU vs Kansas State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

For this college game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean TCU are -182 favorites to win and that means a 65% chance of landing a victory. Kansas State are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +150.

The spread is calculated to be 3.5, while total points comes in at 157.5. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. Those who wager Under 157.5 can get -110.

The good news is that you can access a wide range of team props and game lines for most college basketball contests. The best betting apps have a huge range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

TCU

-182

K-State

+150

Point Spread

TCU -3.5

-106

K-State +3.5

-114

Total Points

Under 157.5

-110

Over 157.5

-110

The best gambling sites offer player prop betting to their customers. These can be a great alternative if you want to focus on an individual’s performance within a game and it often involves wagering over or under a line.

Among the various options for wagering on college basketball, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

TCU Stats

Kansas State Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 152.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 160.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 157.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 157.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 75.80 pts and allowed 76.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 77.80 pts and allowed 82.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 152.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 160.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 157.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 157.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 69.80 pts and allowed 82.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 81.00 pts and allowed 79.90 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big 12	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Arizona	26-2	2441	1929	512	16-1	10-1	3W
Iowa State	24-4	2319	1818	501	17-0	7-4	1W
Houston	23-5	2146	1744	402	16-2	7-3	3L
Texas Tech	21-7	2297	2021	276	16-2	5-5	2W
Kansas	21-7	2146	1909	237	15-2	6-5	1W
UCF	20-7	2214	2090	124	14-3	6-4	3W
BYU	20-8	2393	2104	289	15-4	5-4	1L
TCU	18-10	2193	2016	177	14-5	4-5	2W
Oklahoma State	17-11	2347	2281	66	14-4	3-7	1W
West Virginia	16-12	1947	1806	141	13-5	3-7	3L
Colorado	16-12	2243	2181	62	15-5	1-7	2W
Cincinnati	15-13	2031	1889	142	13-4	2-9	1L
Arizona State	14-14	2186	2209	-23	10-6	4-8	2L
Baylor	14-14	2311	2148	163	11-8	3-6	1L
Kansas State	11-17	2237	2270	-33	10-7	1-10	2L
Utah	10-18	2100	2192	-92	9-8	1-10	2L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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