TCU vs Kansas State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 28 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: TCU vs Kansas State

The TCU Horned Frogs battle the Kansas State Wildcats, with tip-off scheduled for 18:30 on Saturday, February 28.

We expect TCU to cover the -3.5 line on the spread. This is a great number and that’s why we’re playing them at -106 to overcome K-State.

TCU Horned Frogs won their previous game which was at home. It was a 90-78 triumph against Arizona State Sun Devils.

Kansas State Wildcats lost on the road in their last game. Colorado Buffaloes won 79-70.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw TCU claim a 84-82 win over K-State. It’s been four wins on the bounce for TCU when playing K-State. On the head-to-head front, they have won 7 of the past 10.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
TCU	22-11	2584	2378	206	16-5	6-6	1L
Kansas State	12-20	2546	2619	-73	11-8	1-12	2L

View Full Standings

TCU vs Kansas State Prediction & Picks

We dive into the top TCU vs Kansas State betting angles, including our main match prediction, correct score play, standout player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

Back TCU against the spread, with a generous betting line of -3.5 that the favorites get the job done in this college game. There are odds of -106 that are currently on offer for this value pick.

Sportsgambler.com brings strong college hoops expertise, built on knowing the team news as soon as it’s confirmed. Recent form plays a big part in our basketball picks and we always back it up with the most relevant stats.

Key TCU vs Kansas State stats:

• The -3.5 line has been covered by TCU in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by TCU in 2 consecutive games.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by K-State in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by K-State in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by K-State in 2 consecutive games.

TCU -3.5 Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 51.5% chance of winning. However, our analysts in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. This is why we can recommend this college basketball wager.

There’s regularly the option to sell points and that allows you to leverage a bigger potential return. Conversely, buying points will give you a less-risky wager but smaller odds.

Getting ready to place a wager? Check our updated guide for the latest betting offers, including free bets and the newest promos codes.

Our Game Prediction

TCU -3.5 @ -106 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 27, 23:04). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Nate Johnson Under 13.5 Points -105

Nate Johnson (K-State) can be backed to score Under 13.5 points at -105. We’re happy to take this selection when it comes to him failing to cover the total on Player Points.

Latest Nate Johnson Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 13.5

-120

Under 13.5

-105

Assists

Over 4.5

-105

Under 4.5

-125

Rebounds

Over 4.5

-105

Under 4.5

-125

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Xavier Edmonds Over 8.5 Rebounds -125

Xavier Edmonds (TCU) is available at -125 to record Over 8.5 rebounds. Out of all the prop bets, we’re going Over when it comes to this Player Rebounds wager.

Latest Xavier Edmonds Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 14.5

-130

Under 14.5

-100

Assists

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

+175

Rebounds

Over 8.5

-125

Under 8.5

-105

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

TCU 79 - 71 Kansas State

There are lots of different betting angles including the chance to back the Frogs on the correct score lines. For example, a 79-71 victory in their favor is available at massive odds.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

TCU vs Kansas State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

For this college game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean TCU are -172 favorites to win and that means a 63% chance of landing a victory. Kansas State are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +142.

The spread is calculated to be 3.5, while total points comes in at 158.5. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. Those who wager Under 158.5 can get -105.

The good news is that you can access a wide range of team props and game lines for most college basketball contests. The best betting apps have a huge range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

TCU

-172

K-State

+142

Point Spread

TCU -3.5

-106

K-State +3.5

-114

Total Points

Under 158.5

-105

Over 158.5

-115

The favorite to hit the most buckets is P.J. Haggerty. Odds of -110 can be found for him scoring Over 24.5 points and there is -118 for him to go Under.

P.J. Haggerty (K-State)

Over 24.5

-110

Under 24.5

-118

Xavier Edmonds (TCU)

Over 14.5

-130

Under 14.5

-100

David Punch (TCU)

Over 14.5

-110

Under 14.5

-118

Nate Johnson (K-State)

Over 13.5

-120

Under 13.5

-105

Jayden Pierre (TCU)

Over 9.5

-110

Under 9.5

-118

David Castillo (K-State)

Over 9.5

-105

Under 9.5

-120

Brock Harding (TCU)

Over 9.5

-100

Under 9.5

-130

Brock Harding (TCU)

Over 5.5

-149

Under 5.5

+115

Nate Johnson (K-State)

Over 4.5

-105

Under 4.5

-125

P.J. Haggerty (K-State)

Over 3.5

-149

Under 3.5

+115

David Punch (TCU)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-164

Jayden Pierre (TCU)

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-120

David Castillo (K-State)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

+120

Xavier Edmonds (TCU)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

+175

Xavier Edmonds (TCU)

Over 8.5

-125

Under 8.5

-105

P.J. Haggerty (K-State)

Over 5.5

+115

Under 5.5

-149

David Punch (TCU)

Over 5.5

-115

Under 5.5

-115

Nate Johnson (K-State)

Over 4.5

-105

Under 4.5

-125

Brock Harding (TCU)

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-145

Jayden Pierre (TCU)

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-100

David Castillo (K-State)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

+135

Among the various options for wagering on college basketball, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

TCU Stats

Kansas State Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 152.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 160.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 157.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 157.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 75.80 pts and allowed 76.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 77.80 pts and allowed 82.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 152.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 160.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 157.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 157.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 69.80 pts and allowed 82.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 81.00 pts and allowed 79.90 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big 12	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Arizona	32-2	2929	2339	590	21-1	11-1	9W
Houston	28-6	2623	2137	486	20-2	8-4	1L
Iowa State	27-7	2781	2215	566	19-1	8-6	1L
Kansas	23-10	2496	2290	206	17-2	6-8	1L
Texas Tech	22-10	2573	2324	249	16-4	6-6	3L
BYU	23-11	2853	2561	292	17-4	6-7	1L
TCU	22-11	2584	2378	206	16-5	6-6	1L
UCF	21-11	2591	2511	80	15-5	6-6	1L
Oklahoma State	19-14	2781	2736	45	14-5	5-9	1L
West Virginia	18-14	2214	2072	142	15-6	3-8	1L
Cincinnati	18-15	2413	2230	183	16-4	2-11	1L
Colorado	17-15	2559	2542	17	15-7	2-8	2L
Arizona State	17-16	2519	2585	-66	13-6	4-10	1L
Baylor	16-16	2642	2469	173	12-8	4-8	1L
Kansas State	12-20	2546	2619	-73	11-8	1-12	2L
Utah	10-22	2379	2531	-152	9-9	1-13	6L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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