Virginia vs NC State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 03 Jan 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Virginia vs NC State

The Virginia Cavaliers square off against the NC State Wolfpack, with tip-off scheduled for 11:00 on Saturday, January 3.

Get with NC State with a -3.5 spread. We’re backing the favorites at -110 to enjoy a solid win when they go head to head with Virginia.

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Virginia Cavaliers lost on the road in their previous game. Virginia Tech won 95-85.

NC State Wolfpack were winners last time out. It was a 70-57 home victory against Wake Forest Demon Deacons.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last matchup between Virginia and NC State saw the former win. It was a 70-67 scoreline. In the previous 10 games between the teams, they have won five apiece.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Virginia	22-3	2035	1685	350	13-1	9-2	6W
NC State	18-8	2209	1934	275	11-5	7-3	2L

View Full Standings

Virginia vs NC State Prediction & Picks

Our Virginia vs NC State preview includes expert betting advice on all fronts — from a match prediction and correct score guidance to player prop selections and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

We expect NC State to cover the -3.5 line on the spread. This is a really good number and that’s why we’re playing the favorites at -110 for this college showdown.

The handicappers at Sportsgambler.com stay on top of the latest injuries, while recent form also shapes our basketball predictions. We combine this insight with up-to-date college hoops stats for sharper picks.

Key Virginia vs NC State stats:

• The -3.5 line has been covered by NC State in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by NC State in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by NC State in 3 consecutive games.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Virginia in 12 of their last 19 games on the road.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Virginia in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

NC State -3.5 Probability

The best betting sites suggest there’s a 52.4% chance of our pick delivering a return. After careful examination, our analysts calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. It's therefore regarded as a value wager.

If you want bigger odds, then you can move the line by selling points. Choose how many to sell until you are happy with the juice available.

Discover the best value in betting. Our expert guide lists today’s top free bets, promo codes and new customer bonuses.

Our Game Prediction

NC State -3.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (16:56, 02 January 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Quadir Copeland Under 5.5 Assists +110

Quadir Copeland (NC State) is available at +110 to record Under 5.5 assists. Should you agree with our verdict that the total is too high, you can bet this Player Assists wager.

Latest Quadir Copeland Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 13.5

-110

Under 13.5

-115

Assists

Over 6.5

+120

Under 6.5

-154

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-149

Under 3.5

+115

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Ven-Allen Lubin Over 7.5 Rebounds -100

Ven-Allen Lubin (NC State) is available at -100 to register Over 7.5 rebounds. We recommend taking the pick that he is able to cover the line, with this Player Rebounds bet hopefully providing a return.

Latest Ven-Allen Lubin Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 13.5

-100

Under 13.5

-135

Rebounds

Over 7.5

-100

Under 7.5

-130

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Virginia 71 - 77 NC State

If you want to take a chance on a correct score, then NC State to enjoy a 77-71 win could be along the right lines. There are enormous odds for this particular outcome.

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Virginia vs NC State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have NC State as -233 favorites for this college game, implying that they are 70% likely to win. At +188, Virginia are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The current spread is 4.5 and the total points line is 152.5. A bet on the Totals allows fans to use the latest basketball data to good effect. If you’re going for Under 152.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.

You can find a nice selection of game lines and team props for most college basketball matchups, with the top betting apps creating many different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Virginia

+188

NC State

-233

Point Spread

Virginia +4.5

-104

NC State -4.5

-118

Total Points

Under 152.5

-110

Over 152.5

-110

Darrion Williams is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can back -110 that he gets Over 14.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -118.

Darrion Williams (NC State)

Over 14.5

-110

Under 14.5

-118

Paul McNeil Jr. (NC State)

Over 13.5

-125

Under 13.5

-105

Quadir Copeland (NC State)

Over 13.5

-110

Under 13.5

-115

Ven-Allen Lubin (NC State)

Over 13.5

-100

Under 13.5

-135

Malik Thomas (Virginia)

Over 12.5

-118

Under 12.5

-110

Quadir Copeland (NC State)

Over 6.5

+120

Under 6.5

-154

Darrion Williams (NC State)

Over 2.5

-154

Under 2.5

+115

Malik Thomas (Virginia)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-175

Ven-Allen Lubin (NC State)

Over 7.5

-100

Under 7.5

-130

Darrion Williams (NC State)

Over 5.5

-135

Under 5.5

-100

Quadir Copeland (NC State)

Over 3.5

-149

Under 3.5

+115

Malik Thomas (Virginia)

Over 3.5

-141

Under 3.5

+105

Micro betting is an exciting way to wager on college basketball. There are many live lines and it’s a simple case of predicting what is going to happen. Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer are among the options.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Virginia Stats

NC State Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 159.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 150.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 154.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 154.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 87.20 pts and allowed 72.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 75.40 pts and allowed 75.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 153.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 152.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 154.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 154.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 81.50 pts and allowed 71.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 85.30 pts and allowed 67.40 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Duke	24-2	2157	1642	515	15-0	9-2	3W
Virginia	22-3	2035	1685	350	13-1	9-2	6W
Miami	20-5	2089	1752	337	13-3	7-2	3W
North Carolina	20-5	2045	1761	284	16-0	4-5	1W
Clemson	20-6	1945	1682	263	13-2	7-4	2L
Louisville	19-6	2172	1773	399	13-2	6-4	5W
NC State	18-8	2209	1934	275	11-5	7-3	2L
California	18-8	2053	1897	156	15-3	3-5	1W
SMU	17-8	2155	1939	216	14-2	3-6	1L
Virginia Tech	17-9	2058	1943	115	13-3	4-6	1L
Stanford	16-10	1961	1886	75	10-6	6-4	1L
Syracuse	15-12	2053	1977	76	12-4	3-8	1L
Wake Forest	13-12	1992	1925	67	9-6	4-6	2W
Florida State	12-13	2009	1960	49	9-7	3-6	1W
Notre Dame	12-14	1941	1909	32	10-5	2-9	1W
Georgia Tech	11-15	1937	1984	-47	10-7	1-8	7L
Boston College	9-16	1686	1733	-47	8-10	1-6	6L
Pittsburgh	9-17	1818	1866	-48	7-9	2-8	5L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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