Virginia vs NC State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 03 Jan 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Virginia vs NC State

The Virginia Cavaliers square off against the NC State Wolfpack, with tip-off scheduled for 11:00 on Saturday, January 3.

Get with NC State with a -3.5 spread. We’re backing the favorites at -110 to enjoy a solid win when they go head to head with Virginia.

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Virginia Cavaliers lost on the road in their previous game. Virginia Tech won 95-85.

NC State Wolfpack were winners last time out. It was a 70-57 home victory against Wake Forest Demon Deacons.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last matchup between Virginia and NC State saw the former win. It was a 70-67 scoreline. In the previous 10 games between the teams, they have won five apiece.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Virginia	11-2	1131	893	238	9-0	2-2	1L
NC State	10-4	1218	995	223	9-2	1-2	3W

View Full Standings

Virginia vs NC State Prediction & Picks

Make the most of Virginia vs NC State with our betting analysis that includes an expert match prediction, expected scoreline and a hand-picked bet builder designed for value.

Game Prediction

We expect NC State to cover the -3.5 line on the spread. This is a really good number and that’s why we’re playing the favorites at -110 for this college showdown.

The handicappers at Sportsgambler.com stay on top of the latest injuries, while recent form also shapes our basketball predictions. We combine this insight with up-to-date college hoops stats for sharper picks.

Key Virginia vs NC State stats:

• The -3.5 line has been covered by NC State in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by NC State in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by NC State in 3 consecutive games.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Virginia in 12 of their last 19 games on the road.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Virginia in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

NC State -3.5 Probability

The best betting sites suggest there’s a 52.4% chance of our pick delivering a return. After careful examination, our analysts calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. It's therefore regarded as a value wager.

If you want bigger odds, then you can move the line by selling points. Choose how many to sell until you are happy with the juice available.

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Our Game Prediction

NC State -3.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Virginia 71 - 77 NC State

If you want to take a chance on a correct score, then NC State to enjoy a 77-71 win could be along the right lines. There are enormous odds for this particular outcome.

Virginia vs NC State Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have NC State as -189 favorites for this college game, implying that they are 65% likely to win. At +155, Virginia are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The current spread is 3.5 and the total points line is 154.5. A bet on the Totals allows fans to use the latest basketball data to good effect. If you’re going for Under 154.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.

You can find a nice selection of game lines and team props for most college basketball matchups, with the top betting apps creating many different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Virginia

+155

NC State

-189

Point Spread

Virginia +3.5

-110

NC State -3.5

-110

Total Points

Under 154.5

-110

Over 154.5

-110

We’re fond of player props as an alternative to betting on the game result. The gambling sites will have Points, Assists, Three-Pointers, Rebounds and Steals among the choices and you can take a particular view.

Micro betting is an exciting way to wager on college basketball. There are many live lines and it’s a simple case of predicting what is going to happen. Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer are among the options.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Virginia Stats

NC State Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 159.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 150.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 154.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 154.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 87.20 pts and allowed 72.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 75.40 pts and allowed 75.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 153.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 152.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 154.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 154.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 81.50 pts and allowed 71.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 85.30 pts and allowed 67.40 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
North Carolina	13-1	1137	892	245	11-0	2-1	7W
Duke	12-1	1131	830	301	9-0	3-1	1W
Miami	12-2	1239	949	290	10-1	2-1	7W
Virginia Tech	12-2	1175	1029	146	10-0	2-2	6W
California	12-2	1150	957	193	12-1	0-1	1L
Louisville	11-2	1189	888	301	8-0	3-2	2W
SMU	11-2	1184	994	190	10-0	1-2	2W
Virginia	11-2	1131	893	238	9-0	2-2	1L
Clemson	11-3	1100	917	183	9-0	2-3	4W
Stanford	11-3	1104	987	117	7-3	4-0	1L
NC State	10-4	1218	995	223	9-2	1-2	3W
Notre Dame	10-4	1044	929	115	8-1	2-3	1W
Syracuse	9-5	1031	907	124	8-2	1-3	1L
Wake Forest	9-5	1148	1036	112	7-2	2-3	2L
Georgia Tech	9-5	1074	999	75	9-2	0-3	1L
Boston College	7-6	918	867	51	6-5	1-1	2W
Florida State	7-7	1171	1097	74	7-3	0-4	1L
Pittsburgh	7-7	1031	957	74	6-3	1-4	1L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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