Baylor vs Kansas State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 17 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Baylor vs Kansas State

The Baylor Bears square off against the Kansas State Wildcats, with tip-off scheduled for 21:00 on Tuesday, February 17.

Play the Unders at -105 when Baylor and K-State take to the court. The 161.5 points line looks plenty big enough and we’re not sure the pair will combine to get this total.

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Baylor Bears were beaten 82-71 in their previous game, being turned over at home to Louisville Cardinals.

Kansas State Wildcats lost on the road in their last game. Houston Cougars won 78-64.

Head-to-Head Statistics

We’ve seen Baylor beat K-State in their last two matchups. Both wins came at home by 70-62 and 70-56 scorelines. Baylor have won seven of the previous 10 H2H meetings.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Baylor	13-12	2084	1903	181	10-7	3-5	3L
Kansas State	10-15	2005	2017	-12	9-7	1-8	6L

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Baylor vs Kansas State Prediction & Picks

We’ve lined up expert Baylor vs Kansas State betting tips, from our main match prediction and correct score call to bet builder advice. Read on for the full breakdown.

Game Prediction

We’re not sure that the two teams will collectively reach a certain points threshold. Our pick is to take the -105 that there are Under 161.5 points in this college matchup.

The formbook is always a smart starting point when making basketball predictions. Up-to-date college hoops team news is just as important, while the stats we provide often reveal valuable insights.

Key Baylor vs Kansas State stats:

• The 161.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 Baylor games on the road.
• The 161.5 line hasn’t been covered in 17 of the last 20 Baylor games on the road.
• The 161.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Baylor games on the road.
• The 161.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 6 K-State games at home.
• The 161.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 K-State games at home.
• The 161.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 K-State games at home.
• The 161.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 games between these teams.

Under 161.5 Probability

According to the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 51.3% chance of winning. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this college basketball wager.

If you’re going Under with your bet, then you can take the option to include this selection in a Bet Builder and get potentially bigger odds. Combine it with other picks.

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Our Game Prediction

Under 161.5 Points @ -105 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Baylor 82 - 74 Kansas State

A 82-74 win for Baylor is clearly a risky bet although this could be an exciting correct score option where there’s the chance to enjoy a huge potential return.

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Baylor vs Kansas State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Baylor have the shortest price to win this college game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 68% probability due to their -213 Moneyline betting odds. Kansas State are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +176.

The spread is calculated to be 4.5, while total points comes in at 161.5. A Total wager relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. Those that want to back Under 161.5 can find odds of -105 available.

If you’re planning to place a bet on a college hoops matchup, visit the top basketball betting sites and check out the many available game lines and team props. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Baylor

-213

K-State

+176

Point Spread

Baylor -4.5

-104

K-State +4.5

-118

Total Points

Under 161.5

-105

Over 161.5

-115

Should you be more interested in a specific individual who is competing, check out the gambling sites’ prop bets where you can pick out player lines that focus on performance rather than the game result.

There are some exciting college basketball micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer. The long-ball option pays better, and in today’s game, you can never discount the three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Baylor Stats

Kansas State Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 154.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 145.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 161.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 161.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 75.90 pts and allowed 78.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 71.10 pts and allowed 74.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 153.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 159.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 161.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 161.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 70.60 pts and allowed 82.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 78.70 pts and allowed 80.30 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big 12	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Arizona	23-2	2206	1715	491	15-1	8-1	2L
Houston	23-3	2024	1602	422	16-1	7-2	1L
Iowa State	23-3	2175	1680	495	17-0	6-3	2W
Texas Tech	19-6	2050	1809	241	14-2	5-4	3W
Kansas	19-6	1928	1700	228	14-1	5-5	1L
BYU	19-6	2162	1863	299	14-3	5-3	2W
UCF	17-7	1962	1864	98	13-3	4-4	3L
West Virginia	16-9	1753	1594	159	13-4	3-5	1W
TCU	16-9	1972	1802	170	12-5	4-4	3W
Oklahoma State	16-9	2118	2033	85	13-3	3-6	3L
Cincinnati	14-12	1879	1741	138	13-4	1-8	3W
Colorado	14-12	2081	2042	39	13-5	1-7	2L
Arizona State	13-12	1968	1979	-11	9-6	4-6	1W
Baylor	13-12	2084	1903	181	10-7	3-5	3L
Kansas State	10-15	2005	2017	-12	9-7	1-8	6L
Utah	9-16	1909	1988	-79	9-6	0-10	7L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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