Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Bet Builder Tips & Odds

Nuggets Look the Smart Pick on the Spread

Our betting prediction is that the Nuggets are going to cover the -8.5 on the spread. You can get -115 that there’s a bigger margin of victory against the Heat.

Last Games & H2H

Miami Heat won their previous game 103-84. This was a road victory at TD Garden against Boston Celtics. Jimmy Butler scored 28 points, with Caleb Martin getting 26 and Bam Adebayo 12.

Denver Nuggets won their last game 113-111. This was a road victory at Crypto.com Arena against LA Lakers. Nikola Jokic scored 30 points and had 13 assists. He recorded 14 rebounds. 11 defensive and 2 offensive rebounds.

Nuggets beat Heat when the teams last met. It was a 112-108 scoreline at Miami-Dade Arena. Nuggets have triumphed in their previous six meetings against Heat. On the head-to-head front, it has been 9 wins out of 10.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Miami Heat lineup: Gabe Vincent, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Max Strus.

Denver Nuggets lineup: Michael Porter Jr., Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon.

Expert NBA Analysis

The NBA experts at Sportsgambler.com are aware of injuries that could affect the outcome along with the form guide. We also leave no stone unturned when it comes to analyzing the latest stats.

Key Heat vs Nuggets stats:

• The -8.5 line has been covered by Nuggets in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -8.5 line has been covered by Nuggets in 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -8.5 line has been covered by Nuggets in 6 of their last 10 games against Heat.

Get with the favorites with a -8.5 spread. We’re backing them at odds of -115 to enjoy an emphatic win in this NBA showdown.

There are lots of ways to wager on Nuggets and that includes Winning Margin. Choose from a range of fixed intervals and get rewarded if you’re on the money.

Nuggets -8.5 Probability

According to the sportsbooks, our pick has a 53.5% chance of winning. However, we think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we can recommend this NBA bet.

Heat vs Nuggets Prediction

Nuggets -8.5 @ -115 Watch Live Bet Now

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Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Nuggets Heavy Favorites in Eyes of the Sportsbooks

With the sportsbooks giving them a 79% probability of winning this NBA game, Denver Nuggets might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -370 Moneyline betting odds. The market suggests that Miami Heat are least likely to win at +290.

There is a spread of 9 and total points has a line of 219. The Totals market allows bettors to use the latest basketball data to good effect. If you’re going for Under 219, this outcome can be backed at -110.

There’s a chance to back Nuggets at -230 to reach the 20-point total before their opponents. Should you want to go against the favorites, Heat are available at +185.

Basketball fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the hundreds of markets which are available for every event on the coupon. Head to the betting sites and find the best value picks.

Betting Lines & Odds

Moneyline

Heat

+290

Nuggets

-370

Point Spread

Heat +9

-110

Nuggets -9

-110

Total Points

Under 219

-110

Over 219

-110

Player Props

As an alternative to the game lines, check out the player prop bets that are available. It’s especially great if you have a view when it comes to Turnovers, Steals, Blocks and Points, while there are lots of other options.

Nikola Jokić Favorite to Get Most Points

Nikola Jokić is the market leader to land the most baskets. He is priced at +215 to score Over 32.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -370.

Player Points

Nikola Jokić (Nuggets)

Over 32.5

+215

Under 32.5

-370

Jimmy Butler (Heat)

Over 24.5

-204

Under 24.5

+140

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 21.5

-357

Under 21.5

+210

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 15.5

-179

Under 15.5

+128

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 15.5

+195

Under 15.5

-313

Gabe Vincent (Heat)

Over 15.5

+205

Under 15.5

-345

Bruce Brown (Nuggets)

Over 13.5

+188

Under 13.5

-313

Michael Porter Jr. (Nuggets)

Over 12.5

-370

Under 12.5

+215

Caleb Martin (Heat)

Over 12.5

-286

Under 12.5

+175

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (Nuggets)

Over 12.5

+160

Under 12.5

-244

Max Strus (Heat)

Over 7.5

-278

Under 7.5

+175

Kyle Lowry (Heat)

Over 5.5

-250

Under 5.5

+165

Player Assists

Nikola Jokić (Nuggets)

Over 8.5

-294

Under 8.5

+210

Jimmy Butler (Heat)

Over 7.5

+200

Under 7.5

-278

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 4.5

-278

Under 4.5

+195

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 3.5

+210

Under 3.5

-294

Kyle Lowry (Heat)

Over 3.5

+104

Under 3.5

-137

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 2.5

-250

Under 2.5

+185

Gabe Vincent (Heat)

Over 2.5

-204

Under 2.5

+150

Player Rebounds

Nikola Jokić (Nuggets)

Over 14.5

+138

Under 14.5

-185

Michael Porter Jr. (Nuggets)

Over 8.5

+175

Under 8.5

-244

Jimmy Butler (Heat)

Over 7.5

+108

Under 7.5

-143

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 7.5

-238

Under 7.5

+175

Caleb Martin (Heat)

Over 7.5

+125

Under 7.5

-167

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

+135

Under 5.5

-182

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 4.5

-233

Under 4.5

+170

Bruce Brown (Nuggets)

Over 3.5

-156

Under 3.5

+118

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (Nuggets)

Over 3.5

+175

Under 3.5

-238

Kyle Lowry (Heat)

Over 3.5

+170

Under 3.5

-233

Gabe Vincent (Heat)

Over 2.5

+150

Under 2.5

-204

Max Strus (Heat)

Over 2.5

-161

Under 2.5

+120

Micro Betting

There are always opportunities to enjoy micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find team and player props in-game and basketball bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as if the next shot will be a Two or Three-Pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Live Streaming

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Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Denver Nuggets Confirmed Lineup

1 Michael Porter Jr.

5 Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

15 Nikola Jokic

27 Jamal Murray

50 Aaron Gordon

Miami Heat Confirmed Lineup

2 Gabe Vincent

13 Bam Adebayo

16 Caleb Martin

22 Jimmy Butler

31 Max Strus

NBA Standings Select Season 2023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	64	18	0.78	120.6	109.2	11.4	37-4	27-14	15-2	41-11	7-3	2W
Knicks	50	32	0.61	112.8	108.2	4.6	27-14	23-18	12-5	35-17	6-4	5W
76ers	47	35	0.573	114.6	111.5	3.1	25-16	22-19	8-8	31-21	8-2	8W
Nets	32	50	0.39	110.4	113.3	-2.9	20-21	12-29	5-11	24-28	5-5	2L
Raptors	25	57	0.305	112.4	118.8	-6.4	14-27	11-30	1-15	18-34	2-8	4L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bucks	49	33	0.598	119	116.4	2.6	31-11	18-22	10-7	34-18	3-7	2L
Cavaliers	48	34	0.585	112.6	110.2	2.4	26-15	22-19	11-5	31-21	4-6	1L
Pacers	47	35	0.573	123.3	120.2	3.1	26-15	21-20	11-6	32-20	7-3	1W
Bulls	39	43	0.476	112.3	113.7	-1.4	20-21	19-22	7-9	22-29	5-5	1L
Pistons	14	68	0.171	109.9	119	-9.1	7-33	7-35	2-14	10-41	2-8	1L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Magic	47	35	0.573	110.5	108.4	2.1	29-12	18-23	9-7	32-20	5-5	1W
Heat	46	36	0.561	110.1	108.4	1.7	22-19	24-17	13-3	32-20	7-3	2W
Hawks	36	46	0.439	118.3	120.5	-2.2	21-20	15-26	8-8	22-30	3-7	6L
Hornets	21	61	0.256	106.6	116.8	-10.2	11-30	10-31	6-10	14-38	3-7	1W
Wizards	15	67	0.183	113.7	123	-9.3	7-34	8-33	4-12	11-41	1-9	6L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	57	25	0.695	120.1	112.7	7.4	33-8	24-17	12-4	36-16	7-3	5W
Nuggets	57	25	0.695	114.9	109.6	5.3	33-8	24-17	10-6	33-19	6-4	1W
Timberwolves	56	26	0.683	113	106.5	6.5	30-11	26-15	12-4	37-15	6-4	1L
Jazz	31	51	0.378	115.7	120.5	-4.8	21-20	10-31	5-11	16-36	2-8	1L
Trail Blazers	21	61	0.256	106.4	115.4	-9	11-30	10-31	1-15	8-44	2-8	5L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Clippers	51	31	0.622	115.6	112.3	3.3	25-16	26-15	9-7	30-22	6-4	3L
Suns	49	33	0.598	116.2	113.2	3	25-16	24-17	9-9	29-23	7-3	3W
Lakers	47	35	0.573	118	117.4	0.6	28-14	19-21	7-10	27-25	7-3	2W
Kings	46	36	0.561	116.6	114.8	1.8	24-17	22-19	10-7	30-22	4-6	1W
Warriors	46	36	0.561	117.8	115.2	2.6	21-20	25-16	7-9	26-26	8-2	1W

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Mavericks	50	32	0.61	117.9	115.6	2.3	25-16	25-16	11-5	31-21	7-3	2L
Pelicans	49	33	0.598	115.1	110.7	4.4	21-19	28-14	9-7	30-22	5-5	1L
Rockets	41	41	0.5	114.3	113.2	1.1	27-14	14-27	9-7	28-24	4-6	2W
Grizzlies	27	55	0.329	105.8	112.8	-7	9-32	18-23	8-8	14-37	3-7	5L
Spurs	22	60	0.268	112.1	118.6	-6.5	12-29	10-31	3-13	14-37	6-4	2W

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	64	18	0.78	120.6	109.2	11.4	37-4	27-14	15-2	41-11	7-3	2W
Knicks	50	32	0.61	112.8	108.2	4.6	27-14	23-18	12-5	35-17	6-4	5W
Bucks	49	33	0.598	119	116.4	2.6	31-11	18-22	10-7	34-18	3-7	2L
Cavaliers	48	34	0.585	112.6	110.2	2.4	26-15	22-19	11-5	31-21	4-6	1L
Magic	47	35	0.573	110.5	108.4	2.1	29-12	18-23	9-7	32-20	5-5	1W
Pacers	47	35	0.573	123.3	120.2	3.1	26-15	21-20	11-6	32-20	7-3	1W
76ers	47	35	0.573	114.6	111.5	3.1	25-16	22-19	8-8	31-21	8-2	8W
Heat	46	36	0.561	110.1	108.4	1.7	22-19	24-17	13-3	32-20	7-3	2W
Bulls	39	43	0.476	112.3	113.7	-1.4	20-21	19-22	7-9	22-29	5-5	1L
Hawks	36	46	0.439	118.3	120.5	-2.2	21-20	15-26	8-8	22-30	3-7	6L
Nets	32	50	0.39	110.4	113.3	-2.9	20-21	12-29	5-11	24-28	5-5	2L
Raptors	25	57	0.305	112.4	118.8	-6.4	14-27	11-30	1-15	18-34	2-8	4L
Hornets	21	61	0.256	106.6	116.8	-10.2	11-30	10-31	6-10	14-38	3-7	1W
Wizards	15	67	0.183	113.7	123	-9.3	7-34	8-33	4-12	11-41	1-9	6L
Pistons	14	68	0.171	109.9	119	-9.1	7-33	7-35	2-14	10-41	2-8	1L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	57	25	0.695	120.1	112.7	7.4	33-8	24-17	12-4	36-16	7-3	5W
Nuggets	57	25	0.695	114.9	109.6	5.3	33-8	24-17	10-6	33-19	6-4	1W
Timberwolves	56	26	0.683	113	106.5	6.5	30-11	26-15	12-4	37-15	6-4	1L
Clippers	51	31	0.622	115.6	112.3	3.3	25-16	26-15	9-7	30-22	6-4	3L
Mavericks	50	32	0.61	117.9	115.6	2.3	25-16	25-16	11-5	31-21	7-3	2L
Pelicans	49	33	0.598	115.1	110.7	4.4	21-19	28-14	9-7	30-22	5-5	1L
Suns	49	33	0.598	116.2	113.2	3	25-16	24-17	9-9	29-23	7-3	3W
Lakers	47	35	0.573	118	117.4	0.6	28-14	19-21	7-10	27-25	7-3	2W
Kings	46	36	0.561	116.6	114.8	1.8	24-17	22-19	10-7	30-22	4-6	1W
Warriors	46	36	0.561	117.8	115.2	2.6	21-20	25-16	7-9	26-26	8-2	1W
Rockets	41	41	0.5	114.3	113.2	1.1	27-14	14-27	9-7	28-24	4-6	2W
Jazz	31	51	0.378	115.7	120.5	-4.8	21-20	10-31	5-11	16-36	2-8	1L
Grizzlies	27	55	0.329	105.8	112.8	-7	9-32	18-23	8-8	14-37	3-7	5L
Spurs	22	60	0.268	112.1	118.6	-6.5	12-29	10-31	3-13	14-37	6-4	2W
Trail Blazers	21	61	0.256	106.4	115.4	-9	11-30	10-31	1-15	8-44	2-8	5L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	64	18	0.78	120.6	109.2	11.4	37-4	27-14	15-2	41-11	7-3	2W
Thunder	57	25	0.695	120.1	112.7	7.4	33-8	24-17	12-4	36-16	7-3	5W
Nuggets	57	25	0.695	114.9	109.6	5.3	33-8	24-17	10-6	33-19	6-4	1W
Timberwolves	56	26	0.683	113	106.5	6.5	30-11	26-15	12-4	37-15	6-4	1L
Clippers	51	31	0.622	115.6	112.3	3.3	25-16	26-15	9-7	30-22	6-4	3L
Mavericks	50	32	0.61	117.9	115.6	2.3	25-16	25-16	11-5	31-21	7-3	2L
Knicks	50	32	0.61	112.8	108.2	4.6	27-14	23-18	12-5	35-17	6-4	5W
Bucks	49	33	0.598	119	116.4	2.6	31-11	18-22	10-7	34-18	3-7	2L
Suns	49	33	0.598	116.2	113.2	3	25-16	24-17	9-9	29-23	7-3	3W
Pelicans	49	33	0.598	115.1	110.7	4.4	21-19	28-14	9-7	30-22	5-5	1L
Cavaliers	48	34	0.585	112.6	110.2	2.4	26-15	22-19	11-5	31-21	4-6	1L
Pacers	47	35	0.573	123.3	120.2	3.1	26-15	21-20	11-6	32-20	7-3	1W
Lakers	47	35	0.573	118	117.4	0.6	28-14	19-21	7-10	27-25	7-3	2W
76ers	47	35	0.573	114.6	111.5	3.1	25-16	22-19	8-8	31-21	8-2	8W
Magic	47	35	0.573	110.5	108.4	2.1	29-12	18-23	9-7	32-20	5-5	1W
Warriors	46	36	0.561	117.8	115.2	2.6	21-20	25-16	7-9	26-26	8-2	1W
Kings	46	36	0.561	116.6	114.8	1.8	24-17	22-19	10-7	30-22	4-6	1W
Heat	46	36	0.561	110.1	108.4	1.7	22-19	24-17	13-3	32-20	7-3	2W
Rockets	41	41	0.5	114.3	113.2	1.1	27-14	14-27	9-7	28-24	4-6	2W
Bulls	39	43	0.476	112.3	113.7	-1.4	20-21	19-22	7-9	22-29	5-5	1L
Hawks	36	46	0.439	118.3	120.5	-2.2	21-20	15-26	8-8	22-30	3-7	6L
Nets	32	50	0.39	110.4	113.3	-2.9	20-21	12-29	5-11	24-28	5-5	2L
Jazz	31	51	0.378	115.7	120.5	-4.8	21-20	10-31	5-11	16-36	2-8	1L
Grizzlies	27	55	0.329	105.8	112.8	-7	9-32	18-23	8-8	14-37	3-7	5L
Raptors	25	57	0.305	112.4	118.8	-6.4	14-27	11-30	1-15	18-34	2-8	4L
Spurs	22	60	0.268	112.1	118.6	-6.5	12-29	10-31	3-13	14-37	6-4	2W
Hornets	21	61	0.256	106.6	116.8	-10.2	11-30	10-31	6-10	14-38	3-7	1W
Trail Blazers	21	61	0.256	106.4	115.4	-9	11-30	10-31	1-15	8-44	2-8	5L
Wizards	15	67	0.183	113.7	123	-9.3	7-34	8-33	4-12	11-41	1-9	6L
Pistons	14	68	0.171	109.9	119	-9.1	7-33	7-35	2-14	10-41	2-8	1L

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