Are Lightning Value for This Game?

It’s time to side with the Lightning to record a victory over the Maple Leafs. The road team should have the upper hand and the +102 for our Moneyline prediction looks a generous price.

Leafs Have Claimed 8 Wins in 10 on H2H

Tampa Bay Lightning lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Detroit Red Wings 4-2 at Amalie Arena. Steven Stamkos and Anthony Cirelli scored one goal each.

Toronto Maple Leafs won their last game 6-4, making it three victories on the bounce. This was a home win at Scotiabank Arena against Florida Panthers. Auston Matthews recorded 3 points, featuring 2 goals and 1 assist.

The Leafs beat the Lightning when the teams last met. It was a 6-5 scoreline at Scotiabank Arena. The Leafs have beaten the Lightning in the past three meetings. They’ve also claimed 8 wins in the past 10 head-to-head meetings.

Starting Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Confirmed)

W-L-OTL: 30-20-2 GAA: 2.9 SV%: .900 SO: 2

Joseph Woll (Confirmed)

W-L-OTL: 12-11-1 GAA: 2.93 SV%: .907 SO: 0

Expert NHL Analysis

The NHL predictions are only provided once we have a handle on the team news and the latest form guide. We are also on point when it comes to the most valuable player and goalie stats.

Key Lightning vs Maple Leafs stats:

Lightning have won 8 of their last 10 games.
Lightning have won 4 of their last 5 games on the road.

There is a strong case that Tampa Bay Lightning will end up winning and that means heading to the Moneyline. You can get a value +102 that they triumph in this NHL clash.

If you want bigger odds about Tampa Bay, then there are a number of alternative props and game lines including the Puck Line, Winning Margin and 3-Way Moneyline.

Lightning Moneyline Probability

The sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 49.5% prospect of winning. However, our analysts think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. This hockey bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

Lightning vs Maple Leafs Prediction

Lightning To Win @ +102 Watch Live Bet Now

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Published 19:27, 02 April 2024

Player Props

Top Pick: Brayden Point To Score +150

Brayden Point (Lightning) has scored at least one goal in 3 straight games on the road. This statistic guides us towards Anytime Goalscorer where we’re able to back him to light the lamp at appealing odds of +150.

Current Brayden Point Lines and Odds

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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs Bet Builder Tips

Moneyline Lightning

To Score Brayden Point

Shots on Goal Bobby McMann Under 2.5

We’ve got a same game parlay with three options: the Lightning on the moneyline, Brayden Point (Lightning) to be among the scorers and Bobby McMann (Maple Leafs) to have Over 2.5 shots.

A hockey bet builder is a fantastic way of cheering on different selections within the same game. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single bet. The odds can combine to great effect.

Bet Boosts

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Correct Score Prediction

Lightning

5 - 3 Maple Leafs logo

Maple Leafs

We’re taking a correct score bet which involves the Lightning to win 5-3. The odds of +2000 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.

Score

1-0

2-0

2-1

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Latest Moneyline Odds Suggest Leafs Victory

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Toronto Maple Leafs as -105 favorites for this game, implying that they are 51% likely to win. Tampa Bay Lightning are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at -115.

The puck line is 1.5 and the total goals line is 6.5. The Totals offers NHL bettors an alternative way of getting involved. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 6.5 at -120.

The Leafs have been made favorites to score the opening goal, with odds of -120 available. There’s the alternative of backing the Lightning to find the net first at -120.

If you’re planning to wager on a National Hockey League clash, visit the betting sites and check out the hundreds of team props and game lines. Find the odds and lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

3-Way Moneyline

Puck Line

Total Goals

Auston Matthews Favorite to Light the Lamp First

The First Goalscorer favorite is Auston Matthews at +575. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to register the last goal.

Player Goals

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

William Nylander (Maple Leafs)

Brayden Point (Lightning)

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Player Assists

William Nylander (Maple Leafs)

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)

Brayden Point (Lightning)

Steven Stamkos (Lightning)

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Player Shots

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)

William Nylander (Maple Leafs)

Brayden Point (Lightning)

Bobby McMann (Maple Leafs)

Micro Betting

It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to NHL micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Goal and Next Goalscorer. Check out the live team and player props and see if you can find an angle.

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Last 5 & H2H

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Last 5 Games

Maple Leafs

NHL: 02/04 Maple Leafs 6 Panthers4
NHL: 31/03 Sabres 0 Maple Leafs3
NHL: 29/03 Maple Leafs 5 Capitals1
NHL: 27/03 Maple Leafs 3 Devils6
NHL: 24/03 Hurricanes 2 Maple Leafs1

Head to Head

Tampa Bay vs Toronto

NHL: 07/11 2023 Maple Leafs 6 Lightning 5
NHL: 22/10 2023 Lightning 3 Maple Leafs 4
NHL: 30/04 2023 Lightning 1 Maple Leafs 2
NHL: 28/04 2023 Maple Leafs 2 Lightning 4
NHL: 25/04 2023 Lightning 4 Maple Leafs 5
NHL: 23/04 2023 Lightning 3 Maple Leafs 4
NHL: 21/04 2023 Maple Leafs 7 Lightning 2
NHL: 19/04 2023 Maple Leafs 3 Lightning 7
NHL: 12/04 2023 Lightning 3 Maple Leafs 4
NHL: 21/12 2022 Maple Leafs 4 Lightning 1

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Toronto Maple Leafs Stats

Moneyline

8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

+1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 9 of the last 10 games
+1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 9 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

-1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games
-1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

Game Totals: An average of 6.40 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.30 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 4.20 goals and allowed 2.20 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.70 pts and allowed 2.60 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

Game Totals: An average of 7.40 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 7.20 goals in the previous 10 home games
Over 6.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 4.40 goals and allowed 3.00 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.70 goals and allowed 3.50 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

Goals Powerplay: 1.1
Shots: 27
Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
Penalties: 4.1
Empty Net Goals: 0.5
Penalty Minutes: 10.2
Blocks: 16
Faceoff Wins : 29.1
Hits: 25.7
Giveaways: 6.9
Takeaways: 6.3

Last 10 Games on the Road

Goals Powerplay: 0.9
Shots: 24.1
Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
Penalties: 4.8
Empty Net Goals: 0.5
Penalty Minutes: 10.7
Blocks: 16.5
Faceoff Wins : 28.4
Hits: 20.2
Giveaways: 7.3
Takeaways: 6.3

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

Goals Powerplay: 0.3
Shots: 32.6
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 4.2
Empty Net Goals: 0.2
Penalty Minutes: 13.8
Blocks: 16.1
Faceoff Wins : 31
Hits: 34.6
Giveaways: 9.9
Takeaways: 6.5

Last 10 Home Games

Goals Powerplay: 0.1
Shots: 33.5
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 3.3
Empty Net Goals: 0.3
Penalty Minutes: 7.5
Blocks: 16.5
Faceoff Wins : 30.6
Hits: 40.9
Giveaways: 12.6
Takeaways: 8.4

Live Streaming

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Team News

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
86	Nikita Kucherov	73	21.67	42	85	127	5
21	Brayden Point	73	20.05	42	41	83	-15
77	Victor Hedman	71	24.8	12	59	71	16

38	Brandon Hagel	74	19.4	23	44	67	2
91	Steven Stamkos	71	18.26	31	36	67	-24
71	Anthony Cirelli	73	18.57	19	22	41	-1
20	Nick Paul	74	17.03	19	20	39	-16
10	Anthony Duclair	66	16	21	15	36	-8
43	Darren Raddysh	74	19.06	6	23	29	-6
48	Nicklaus Perbix	71	17.07	2	22	24	10
23	Michael Eyssimont	73	11.78	10	11	21	5
98	Mikhail Sergachyov	34	22.56	2	17	19	-16
84	Tanner Jeannot	49	12.16	6	7	13	-11
73	Conor Sheary	52	10.9	3	10	13	-5
11	Luke Glendening	74	11.71	10	1	11	2
81	Erik Cernak	61	19.32	1	10	11	1
24	Matt Dumba	68	20	4	6	10	-16
60	Alex Barre-Boulet	36	11.19	6	3	9	-9
44	Calvin de Haan	57	16.63	3	5	8	-11
64	Tyler Motte	64	12.45	6	2	8	-7
78	Emil Lilleberg	29	15.98	0	5	5	-13
41	Mitchell Chaffee	23	11.02	4	1	5	-1
51	Austin Watson	30	7.04	2	2	4	3
7	Haydn Fleury	22	16.12	1	3	4	4
65	Maxwell Crozier	13	12.94	0	2	2	-2
45	Cole Koepke	9	6.7	0	2	2	0
39	Waltteri Merelae	19	9.82	1	0	1	2
5	Phillipe Myers	5	11.7	0	0	0	-2
	Gage Goncalves	2	9.95	0	0	0	0
	Jack Thompson	1	11.7	0	0	0	0
	Declan Carlile	1	11.5	0	0	0	1

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
88	Andrei Vasilevski	47	2.88	0.899
90	Matt Tomkins	3	3.4	0.889
31	Jonas Johansson	25	3.51	0.89
	Kyle Konin	-	-	-

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
34	Auston Matthews	73	21	62	36	98	32
88	William Nylander	74	19.95	40	55	95	6
16	Mitchell Marner	62	21.33	25	51	76	20

91	John Tavares	72	17.95	24	34	58	2
44	Morgan Rielly	65	23.81	7	44	51	8
11	Max Domi	74	13.65	8	34	42	8
59	Tyler Bertuzzi	72	15.96	19	19	38	3
23	Matthew Knies	72	13.83	13	20	33	9
22	Jake McCabe	67	20.73	7	18	25	18
89	Nick Robertson	50	11.3	12	12	24	4
74	Bobby McMann	50	11.57	14	9	23	12
37	Timothy Liljegren	52	19.67	3	20	23	7
78	T.J. Brodie	71	21.8	0	22	22	16
19	Calle Jaernkrok	52	15.26	10	11	21	16
	Connor Dewar	68	11.67	11	5	16	-7
29	Pontus Holmberg	46	11.29	6	10	16	9
64	David Kampf	70	13.53	7	9	16	-4
18	Noah Gregor	60	11.33	5	6	11	-8
25	Conor Timmins	22	15.89	1	8	9	8
55	Mark Giordano	41	16.59	2	6	8	7
	Ilya Lyubushkin	67	17.07	0	7	7	-9
20	Joel Edmundson	51	16.62	1	5	6	-1
75	Ryan Reaves	43	8.11	3	2	5	-12
2	Simon Benoit	56	17.02	1	4	5	10
3	John Klingberg	14	20.55	0	5	5	-7
48	Maxime Lajoie	7	12.71	0	1	1	1
41	Dennis Hildeby	0	0	0	0	0	0
	Fraser Minten	4	11.43	0	0	0	0
83	Marshall Rifai	2	11.65	0	0	0	1
46	Alex Steeves	1	10.2	0	0	0	-1