The Total Line Could Be Too Low

The Patriots and the Bills are certainly capable of exceeding the set points total line which leads us to predict Over 36.5 as a value bet at -110.

8 Wins in Last 10 H2H Clashes for Bills

Buffalo Bills beat New York Jets in their previous game, making it three straight victories. It was a 40-14 home win at Highmark Stadium. The Bills total gain of 348 yards was split between 97 rushing and 251 passing yards. They picked up 23 first downs and scored 5 touchdowns.

New England Patriots were beaten 40-7 at Gillette Stadium in their last game. This loss at home to Los Angeles Chargers was their sixth straight defeat. The Patriots gained 96 rushing and 85 passing yards, making 181 yards in total. They scored 1 passing TD and picked up 11 first downs.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Bills are bidding for a third successive win against the Patriots. They previously won 27-21 and 24-21 at Highmark Stadium. In the past 10 H2H meetings, the Bills have won eight.

Bills vs Patriots Prediction & Picks

We’re confident that Over 36.5 is the value play at -110. We’re expecting these NFL rivals to rack up the points, so a total bet could be the way forward.

We always have a keen eye on team news, while our NFL handicappers have their finger on the pulse by knowing the latest form. You will also find a compendium of stats which provide some valuable pointers ahead of the action.

Key Bills vs Patriots stats:

The 36.5 line has been covered in 10 of the last 10 Bills games.
The 36.5 line has been covered in 16 of the last 16 Bills games this season.
The 36.5 line has been covered in the last 16 Bills games this season.
The 36.5 line has been covered in 5 of the last 5 Patriots games.
The 36.5 line has been covered in 9 of the last 10 Patriots games.
The 36.5 line has been covered in the last 6 Patriots games this season.
The 36.5 line has been covered in the last 4 games between these teams.

Over 36.5 Probability

According to the sportsbooks, there’s a 52.4% likelihood of our pick landing a return. However, our analysts have this number between 55-60% based on their in-depth research. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

Secure more desirable odds by moving the line when you place an Over bet. You can choose from a range of options on the Totals until you’re happy with your wager.

Best Bet

Over 36.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Published 18:26, 03 January 2025

Same Game Parlay Picks

Totals Over 36.5

Spread Bills -3

Highest Scoring Half Second Half

Take a same game parlay that incorporates Over 36.5 points along with Bills to cover the -3 spread. Add in the Second Half to be highest-scoring.

The same game parlay option is great for bettors wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same football game. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.

Bet Boosts

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Correct Score Prediction

Bills

23 - 17 Patriots logo

Patriots

The Bills might be able to claim a victory and we’re siding with a 23-17 scoreline in their favor. A small stake can provide a big return and there are monster odds available.

Bills vs Patriots Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Books Make Bills Moneyline Favorites

For this game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean Buffalo Bills are -196 favorites to win and that means a 66% chance of landing a victory. New England Patriots are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +166.

The spread is currently 3.5, with the total points line at 35.5. The Totals offers NFL fans an alternative way of getting involved. If you want to back Over 35.5, it’s -106.

Whether you are betting pre-game or in-game on the National Football League, you can feast on hundreds of team props and game lines. The selections are practically endless and it’s great to have so many options.

Moneyline

Point Spread

Total Points

Player Props & Micro Betting

As an alternative to the game lines, check out the player and quarterback prop bets that are available. It’s especially great if you have a view when it comes to First, Last or Anytime Touchdown Scorer, while there are lots of other options.

Micro betting is an exciting way to wager on the NFL. There are a huge range of live lines and it’s a simple case of predicting what is going to happen next. Field Goal Outcome, Next Play Result and Next Drive Result are often among the options.

Best Betting Offers

Last 5 & H2H

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Last 5 Games

Bills

NFL: 29/12 Jets14 Bills 40
NFL: 22/12 Patriots21 Bills 24
NFL: 15/12 Bills48 Lions 42
NFL: 08/12 Bills42 Rams 44
NFL: 02/12 49ers10 Bills 35

Patriots

NFL: 28/12 Chargers40 Patriots 7
NFL: 22/12 Patriots21 Bills 24
NFL: 15/12 Patriots17 Cardinals 30
NFL: 01/12 Colts25 Patriots 24
NFL: 24/11 Patriots15 Dolphins 34

Head to Head

Bills vs Patriots

NFL: 22/12 2024 Patriots 21 Bills 24
NFL: 31/12 2023 Patriots 21 Bills 27
NFL: 22/10 2023 Bills 25 Patriots 29
NFL: 08/01 2023 Patriots 23 Bills 35
NFL: 02/12 2022 Bills 24 Patriots 10
NFL: 16/01 2022 Patriots 17 Bills 47
NFL: 26/12 2021 Bills 33 Patriots 21
NFL: 07/12 2021 Patriots 14 Bills 10
NFL: 29/12 2020 Bills 38 Patriots 9
NFL: 01/11 2020 Patriots 21 Bills 24

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Buffalo Bills Stats

New England Patriots Stats

Moneyline

9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

-3 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
-3 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

+3 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
+3 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

Game Totals: An average of 56.30 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 52.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 36.5: Covered in the previous 10 games
Over 36.5 on the Road: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 34.40 pts and allowed 21.90 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 28.00 pts and allowed 24.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

Game Totals: An average of 44.10 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 39.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
Over 36.5: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games
Over 36.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 18.30 pts and allowed 25.80 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 14.90 pts and allowed 24.40 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

Total Yards: Gained 398.80 Yds. Allowed 338.60 Yds
Rushing Yards: Gained 136.00 Yds. Allowed 103.90 Yds
Passing Yards: Gained 262.80 Yds. Allowed 234.70 Yds
Total Touchdowns: Scored 4.30 TD. Allowed 2.80 TD
Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 2.20 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.90 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
Total 1st Downs: Picked up 23.10. Allowed 22.00
Total Turnovers: Committed 0.60. Committed by opponents 2.10
Total Penalties: Committed 7.10. Committed by opponents 7.50
Penalty Yards: Lost 52.40 Yds. Gained 57.70 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

Total Yards: Gained 310.90 Yds. Allowed 341.70 Yds
Rushing Yards: Gained 115.20 Yds. Allowed 132.10 Yds
Passing Yards: Gained 195.70 Yds. Allowed 209.60 Yds
Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.00 TD. Allowed 3.00 TD
Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.10. Allowed 21.10
Total Turnovers: Committed 1.40. Committed by opponents 0.50
Total Penalties: Committed 6.70. Committed by opponents 6.20
Penalty Yards: Lost 53.00 Yds. Gained 43.60 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

Total Yards: Gained 379.00 Yds. Allowed 371.60 Yds
Rushing Yards: Gained 132.00 Yds. Allowed 116.90 Yds
Passing Yards: Gained 247.00 Yds. Allowed 254.70 Yds
Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.50 TD. Allowed 2.80 TD
Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.80 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.00. Allowed 20.80
Total Turnovers: Committed 1.00. Committed by opponents 1.60
Total Penalties: Committed 6.70. Committed by opponents 7.30
Penalty Yards: Lost 51.40 Yds. Gained 60.90 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

Total Yards: Gained 271.40 Yds. Allowed 333.80 Yds
Rushing Yards: Gained 123.80 Yds. Allowed 119.80 Yds
Passing Yards: Gained 147.60 Yds. Allowed 214.00 Yds
Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.60 TD. Allowed 2.60 TD
Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
Total 1st Downs: Picked up 15.90. Allowed 19.70
Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 0.90
Total Penalties: Committed 6.20. Committed by opponents 4.60
Penalty Yards: Lost 53.40 Yds. Gained 37.20 Yds

Team News

Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots Lineups

Buffalo Bills Lineup

Head Coach Sean McDermott

New England Patriots Lineup

Head Coach Jerod Mayo

Buffalo Bills Injuries

Type

Name

Info

Terrel Bernard

Quadriceps

Shane Buechele

Neck

Travis Clayton

Shoulder

Tommy Doyle

Knee

Damar Hamlin

Ribs

Cam Lewis

Shoulder

Taylor Rapp

Neck

Curtis Samuel

Ribs

Brandon Shell

Undisclosed

Baylon Spector

Calf

New England Patriots Injuries

Type

Name

Info

David Andrews

Shoulder

Jake Andrews

Knee

Christian Barmore

Illness

Ja'Whaun Bentley

Pectoral

Ben Brown

Concussion

Kyle Dugger

Ankle

Christian Gonzalez

Concussion

Hunter Henry

Foot

JaQuae Jackson

Knee

Curtis Jacobs

Concussion

Anfernee Jennings

Knee

Marcus Jones

Hip

Titus Leo

Ankle

Drake Maye

Hand

Chukwuma Okorafor

Personal

Jabrill Peppers

Hamstring

Ja'Lynn Polk

Shoulder

Jaquelin Roy

Foot

Brenden Schooler

Abdomen

Sione Takitaki

Knee

Jahlani Tavai

Groin

Caedan Wallace

Ankle

Oshane Ximines

Knee

Previous Buffalo Bills Lineups

29 Dec NFL

Jets 14-40 Bills

AFC East	W	L	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Patriots	7	2	0.778	237	169	68	3-2-0	4-0-0	2-0-0	4-2-0	5-0-0	6W
Bills	6	2	0.750	235	167	68	4-1-0	2-1-0	2-1-0	4-1-0	3-2-0	2W
Dolphins	2	7	0.222	180	243	-63	1-3-0	1-4-0	1-2-0	1-6-0	1-4-0	1L
Jets	1	7	0.125	168	221	-53	0-5-0	1-2-0	0-2-0	1-4-0	1-4-0	1W

AFC North	W	L	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Steelers	5	3	0.625	202	195	7	3-2-0	2-1-0	1-1-0	4-1-0	3-2-0	1W
Ravens	3	5	0.375	202	216	-14	2-3-0	1-2-0	1-0-0	2-3-0	2-3-0	2W
Bengals	3	6	0.333	216	300	-84	2-3-0	1-3-0	2-0-0	3-2-0	1-4-0	2L
Browns	2	6	0.250	126	184	-58	2-2-0	0-4-0	0-3-0	1-4-0	1-4-0	1L

AFC South	W	L	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Colts	7	2	0.778	290	181	109	5-0-0	2-2-0	2-0-0	6-1-0	4-1-0	1L
Jaguars	5	3	0.625	176	184	-8	3-2-0	2-1-0	1-0-0	3-1-0	3-2-0	1W
Texans	3	5	0.375	168	121	47	2-2-0	1-3-0	1-1-0	2-2-0	3-2-0	1L
Titans	1	8	0.111	130	257	-127	0-4-0	1-4-0	0-3-0	0-7-0	1-4-0	4L

AFC West	W	L	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Broncos	7	2	0.778	225	166	59	4-0-0	3-2-0	0-1-0	4-2-0	5-0-0	6W
Chargers	6	3	0.667	215	193	22	3-2-0	3-1-0	3-0-0	5-1-0	3-2-0	2W
Chiefs	5	4	0.556	235	159	76	4-1-0	1-3-0	1-1-0	2-3-0	3-2-0	1L
Raiders	2	6	0.250	132	210	-78	1-3-0	1-3-0	0-2-0	2-4-0	1-4-0	2L

NFC East	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Eagles	6	2	0	0.750	208	185	23	3-1-0	3-1-0	2-1-0	5-1-0	3-2-0	2W
Cowboys	3	5	1	0.333	263	277	-14	2-1-1	1-4-0	2-1-0	2-4-1	2-3-0	2L
Commanders	3	6	0	0.333	201	236	-35	2-2-0	1-4-0	1-1-0	1-5-0	1-4-0	4L
Giants	2	7	0	0.222	197	249	-52	2-2-0	0-5-0	1-3-0	1-5-0	1-4-0	3L

NFC North	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Packers	5	2	1	0.625	206	166	40	3-1-0	2-1-1	1-0-0	3-1-1	3-1-1	1L
Lions	5	3	0	0.625	239	178	61	3-1-0	2-2-0	1-2-0	2-2-0	3-2-0	1L
Bears	5	3	0	0.625	215	227	-12	2-1-0	3-2-0	0-2-0	3-2-0	4-1-0	1W
Vikings	4	4	0	0.500	182	186	-4	1-2-0	3-2-0	2-0-0	2-2-0	2-3-0	1W

NFC South	W	L	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Buccaneers	6	2	0.750	197	178	19	2-1-0	4-1-0	2-0-0	4-2-0	3-2-0	1W
Panthers	5	4	0.556	170	205	-35	3-1-0	2-3-0	1-0-0	3-1-0	4-1-0	1W
Falcons	3	5	0.375	143	178	-35	2-2-0	1-3-0	0-2-0	2-3-0	2-3-0	3L
Saints	1	8	0.111	138	243	-105	1-4-0	0-4-0	0-1-0	1-6-0	1-4-0	4L

NFC West	W	L	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Seahawks	6	2	0.750	231	150	81	2-2-0	4-0-0	1-1-0	3-2-0	4-1-0	3W
Rams	6	2	0.750	209	127	82	3-1-0	3-1-0	0-1-0	1-2-0	4-1-0	3W
49ers	6	3	0.667	194	188	6	2-1-0	4-2-0	3-0-0	6-1-0	3-2-0	1W
Cardinals	3	5	0.375	180	171	9	1-3-0	2-2-0	0-2-0	3-3-0	1-4-0	1W

Head-to-Head Statistics

Bills vs Patriots Prediction & Picks

Over 36.5 Probability

Best Bet

Same Game Parlay Picks

Correct Score Prediction

Bills vs Patriots Odds

Player Props & Micro Betting

Last 5 & H2H

Team News

Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots Lineups

Buffalo Bills Lineup

New England Patriots Lineup

Buffalo Bills Injuries

New England Patriots Injuries

Previous Buffalo Bills Lineups

Previous New England Patriots Lineups

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