Bills vs Patriots Prediction, Picks & Odds | 05 Jan 2025

The Patriots and the Bills are certainly capable of exceeding the set points total line which leads us to predict Over 36.5 as a value bet at -110.

Buffalo Bills beat New York Jets in their previous game, making it three straight victories. It was a 40-14 home win at Highmark Stadium. The Bills total gain of 348 yards was split between 97 rushing and 251 passing yards. They picked up 23 first downs and scored 5 touchdowns.

New England Patriots were beaten 40-7 at Gillette Stadium in their last game. This loss at home to Los Angeles Chargers was their sixth straight defeat. The Patriots gained 96 rushing and 85 passing yards, making 181 yards in total. They scored 1 passing TD and picked up 11 first downs.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Bills are bidding for a third successive win against the Patriots. They previously won 27-21 and 24-21 at Highmark Stadium. In the past 10 H2H meetings, the Bills have won eight.

Bills vs Patriots Prediction & Picks

We’re confident that Over 36.5 is the value play at -110. We’re expecting these NFL rivals to rack up the points, so a total bet could be the way forward.

We always have a keen eye on team news, while our NFL handicappers have their finger on the pulse by knowing the latest form. You will also find a compendium of stats which provide some valuable pointers ahead of the action.

Key Bills vs Patriots stats:

• The 36.5 line has been covered in 10 of the last 10 Bills games.
• The 36.5 line has been covered in 16 of the last 16 Bills games this season.
• The 36.5 line has been covered in the last 16 Bills games this season.
• The 36.5 line has been covered in 5 of the last 5 Patriots games.
• The 36.5 line has been covered in 9 of the last 10 Patriots games.
• The 36.5 line has been covered in the last 6 Patriots games this season.
• The 36.5 line has been covered in the last 4 games between these teams.

Over 36.5 Probability

According to the sportsbooks, there’s a 52.4% likelihood of our pick landing a return. However, our analysts have this number between 55-60% based on their in-depth research. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

Secure more desirable odds by moving the line when you place an Over bet. You can choose from a range of options on the Totals until you’re happy with your wager.

Our Game Prediction

Over 36.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Bills 23 - 17 Patriots

The Bills might be able to claim a victory and we’re siding with a 23-17 scoreline in their favor. A small stake can provide a big return and there are monster odds available.

Bills vs Patriots Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

For this game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean Buffalo Bills are -196 favorites to win and that means a 66% chance of landing a victory. New England Patriots are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +166.

The spread is currently 3.5, with the total points line at 35.5. The Totals offers NFL fans an alternative way of getting involved. If you want to back Over 35.5, it’s -106.

Whether you are betting pre-game or in-game on the National Football League, you can feast on hundreds of team props and game lines. The selections are practically endless and it’s great to have so many options.

Moneyline

Bills

-196

Patriots

+166

Point Spread

Bills -3.5

-105

Patriots +3.5

-115

Total Points

Under 35.5

-114

Over 35.5

-106

As an alternative to the game lines, check out the player and quarterback prop bets that are available. It’s especially great if you have a view when it comes to First, Last or Anytime Touchdown Scorer, while there are lots of other options.

Micro betting is an exciting way to wager on the NFL. There are a huge range of live lines and it’s a simple case of predicting what is going to happen next. Field Goal Outcome, Next Play Result and Next Drive Result are often among the options.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Buffalo Bills Stats

New England Patriots Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 49.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 52.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 49.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 49.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 27.40 pts and allowed 22.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 27.70 pts and allowed 24.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 46.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 43.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 49.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 49.5 at Home: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 29.10 pts and allowed 17.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 23.90 pts and allowed 20.00 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 372.80 Yds. Allowed 313.00 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 156.20 Yds. Allowed 129.00 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 216.60 Yds. Allowed 184.00 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.50 TD. Allowed 2.60 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.60 TD. Allowed 1.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.90. Allowed 19.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.80. Committed by opponents 1.40
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.40. Committed by opponents 4.60
• Penalty Yards: Lost 58.80 Yds. Gained 41.60 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 367.60 Yds. Allowed 290.30 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 116.70 Yds. Allowed 98.20 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 250.90 Yds. Allowed 192.10 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.30 TD. Allowed 2.00 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 0.30 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.80 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.50. Allowed 18.10
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.70. Committed by opponents 1.10
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.40. Committed by opponents 6.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 46.80 Yds. Gained 46.80 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 381.50 Yds. Allowed 329.30 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 165.90 Yds. Allowed 118.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 215.60 Yds. Allowed 210.90 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.50 TD. Allowed 3.00 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 2.00 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.60. Allowed 20.10
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.00. Committed by opponents 1.10
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.50. Committed by opponents 5.60
• Penalty Yards: Lost 55.00 Yds. Gained 45.20 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 340.80 Yds. Allowed 284.30 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 112.70 Yds. Allowed 106.00 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 228.10 Yds. Allowed 178.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.60 TD. Allowed 2.50 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.60 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.30. Allowed 18.20
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.30. Committed by opponents 0.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.80. Committed by opponents 5.70
• Penalty Yards: Lost 50.40 Yds. Gained 43.50 Yds

Top American Football Pages