Kilmarnock vs Hearts Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Mar 2026

Premiership Betting Preview: Kilmarnock vs Hearts

Second-from-bottom Kilmarnock welcome Scottish Premiership leaders Hearts to Rugby Park, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Saturday 14 March.

We are backing Over 2.5 in the Total Goals market at -137, with Kilmarnock and Hearts set to play out a high-scoring contest. We think the odds are attractive when it comes to at least three goals being scored.

Kilmarnock were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 5-1 loss against Falkirk at Falkirk Stadium. Neil McCann's team had 50% possession and recorded three shots on target, while Greg Kiltie registered the goal.

Hearts have won their previous two Premiership games. The latest was a 1-0 home triumph at Tynecastle Park against Aberdeen. The Jam Tarts had the lion’s share of the ball enjoying 54% possession and seven shots on goal, with Claudio Braga scoring the winner in the 28th minute.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Hearts have avoided defeat against Kilmarnock in the past four games, with their last clash being a 1-1 draw at Tynecastle Park. The past 10 H2H matches have included four Hearts victories, four draws and two Kilmarnock wins.

Scottish Premiership		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Hearts	34	22	7	5	60	29	31	60:29	73
5	Kilmarnock	34	6	10	18	37	66	-29	37:66	28

View Full Table

2 wins, 6 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 10.8 attempts. Killie have had 44.4% possession and 4.4 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 2.7 goals from 7.8 shots on goal and 18.2 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 5.2 corners.

Top goalscorer Tyreece John-Jules has found the net 6 times, Greg Kiltie 4, with Marley Watkins and two other players on 1. Greg Kiltie and Tyreece John-Jules are tied for the most assists on 2.

Hearts have won 7, lost 2 and drawn 1, with an average of 1.4 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 13.2 attempts. The Edinburgh side have averaged 51.7% possession, 4.6 corners awarded and 4.6 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.7 goals from 2.7 shots on goal and 10.8 attempts.

The top scorers have been Claudio Braga on 4, followed by Tomas Magnusson and Pierre Landry Kabore with 2. Harry Milne has been the top assist maker with 2 in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Kilmarnock confirmed lineup (4-3-1-2): Kelle Roos (GK), Jamie Brandon, George Stanger, Robbie Deas, Michael Schjoenning-Larsen, David Watson, Aaron Tshibola, Liam Polworth, Greg Kiltie, Findlay Curtis, Joe Hugill.

Hearts confirmed lineup (4-1-3-2): Alexander Schwolow (GK), Michael Steinwender, Craig Halkett, Jamie McCart, Harry Milne, Marc Leonard, Alexandros Kyziridis, Tomas Magnusson, Blair Spittal, Claudio Braga, Pierre Landry Kabore.

Kilmarnock vs Hearts Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve got your Kilmarnock vs Hearts bets covered, including our expert match prediction, correct score tip, corners outlook, must-see player props and a tailored bet builder built for value.

Match Prediction

There’s value available when it comes to betting the -137 that there are Over 2.5 Goals. The sides should combine to find the net at least three times during this Premiership encounter in order to land a return.

The formbook is always a good place to start ahead of making football predictions. The latest Premiership team news is also an important port of call, while the stats we present always tell an interesting story.

Key Kilmarnock vs Hearts league stats:

• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 4 Kilmarnock games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Kilmarnock games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 13 of the last 20 Kilmarnock games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 12 of the last 20 Hearts games on the road.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Hearts games on the road.

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 57.8% chance of winning. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 60-65%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

There are some bigger-priced options for Over 2.5 Goals backers and that includes heading to the Result & Total Goals market. It’s particularly good if you fancy a team to land victory.

Tap into great value before you bet. Our guide rounds up today’s best free bets, promo codes and sign-up promotions.

Our Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -137 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 12, 21:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Kilmarnock 1 - 2 Hearts

The Jam Tarts are available at +575 when it comes to them winning 2-1. We like a correct score play and the chance to bag a nice return if our prediction is right.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Pierre Landry Kabore to Score +210

Pierre Landry Kabore (Hearts) has netted two goals in his past four Premiership matches away from home. There are odds of +210 available for this Anytime Goalscorer wager and we think this is a value proposition for the player to find the net.

Latest Pierre Landry Kabore Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+210

First

+600

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Kilmarnock Over 3.5 Corners -161

The 3.5 corners line has been covered by Kilmarnock in their past four home games, with the corner count against Hearts going over 3.5 in their last five matches. Kilmarnock should be able to cover the line when it comes to Team Corners and betting odds of -161 are available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Kilmarnock

Total

9.60 4.40 5.20

Home

8.70 5.30 3.40

Away

10.40 3.20 7.20

Hearts

Total

9.20 4.60 4.60

Home

9.60 5.50 4.10

Away

9.10 4.50 4.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-105

Under 10.5

-135

Kilmarnock Corners

Over 3.5

-161

Under 3.5

+112

Hearts Corners

Over 5.5

-141

Under 5.5

-100

Most Corners

1

+200

X

+700

2

-204

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Kilmarnock vs Hearts Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The favourites are 63% likely to win according to the latest betting odds, with Hearts being priced at -172 to come away with a victory in this Premiership encounter. Kilmarnock are seen as the most unlikely winner at +425.

If Hearts beat Kilmarnock by two or more goals, then you would get paid out on the Asian Handicap -1 pick at +102. A one-goal victory would mean you get your stake fully refunded.

The Over 2.5 option is currently favourite on the Total Goals betting market. The Yes option in the Both Teams to Score market is regarded as the most likely outcome and is trading at -141.

There are hundreds of markets from which to select your preferred wager when it comes to Premiership games. The best football betting sites push the boat out to provide lots of choice.

Full-Time Result

1

+425

X

+290

2

-172

Half-Time Result

1

+400

X

+133

2

+112

Double Chance

1X

+123

12

-455

X2

-714

Draw No Bet

1

+270

2

-455

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +1

-133

2 Hcp -1

+102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+102

Over 2.5

-135

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-141

No

-102

There is +145 available that Lawrence Shankland finds the net at any stage. He is available at +400 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.

Lawrence Shankland (Hearts)

First

+145

Anytime

+400

Cláudio Braga (Hearts)

First

+155

Anytime

+420

Rogers Mato (Hearts)

First

+190

Anytime

+525

Pierre Landry Kabore (Hearts)

First

+210

Anytime

+600

Elton Kabangu (Hearts)

First

+230

Anytime

+600

Bruce Anderson (Kilmarnock)

First

+280

Anytime

+750

Alan Forrest (Hearts)

First

+290

Anytime

+800

Finlay Pollock (Hearts)

First

+300

Anytime

+850

Marley Watkins (Kilmarnock)

First

+400

Anytime

+1100

Jordi Altena (Hearts)

First

+400

Anytime

+1100

Islam Chesnokov (Hearts)

First

+450

Anytime

+1150

Kyle Magennis (Kilmarnock)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Matthew Kennedy (Kilmarnock)

First

+475

Anytime

+1200

Scott Tiffoney (Kilmarnock)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Blair Spittal (Hearts)

First

+480

Anytime

+1300

Greg Kiltie (Kilmarnock)

First

+510

Anytime

+1400

Stuart Findlay (Hearts)

First

+525

Anytime

+1500

Rory McKenzie (Kilmarnock)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

David Watson (Kilmarnock)

First

+575

Anytime

+1600

Calem Nieuwenhof (Hearts)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Liam Polworth (Kilmarnock)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Marc Leonard (Hearts)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Beni Baningime (Hearts)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Brad Lyons (Kilmarnock)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Frankie Kent (Hearts)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Kilmarnock have seven defeats, two wins and one draw in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.30 goals per match and conceding 2.00.

Hearts have recorded four victories, four defeats and two draws in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.40 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

Hearts beat Kilmarnock 3-0 when they last met at Rugby Park. It’s been four Hearts wins, two draws and three Kilmarnock victories in the past 9 H2H meetings at Rugby Park.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Kilmarnock Home Stats		2-1-7	3.30	1.30	2.00	7	3	6	4
Hearts Away Stats		4-2-4	2.60	1.40	1.20	5	5	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Kilmarnock vs Hearts Lineups & Team News

Stay ahead of the game by checking the Kilmarnock vs Hearts team news before betting. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Premiership together with updated injury news.

Kilmarnock Team Page Hearts Team Page

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