Chiefs vs Broncos Prediction, Picks & Odds | 05 Jan 2025

The Broncos and the Chiefs are capable of scoring more than 40.5 points. Therefore, we’re going Over the total line and expect a payout at -105.

Kansas City Chiefs won their previous game 29-10. This road victory at Acrisure Stadium against Pittsburgh Steelers was their sixth on the spin. The Chiefs had a gain of 69 rushing and 320 passing yards, totalling 389 yards. They scored 4 touchdowns and picked up 20 first downs.

Denver Broncos have won four home games on the spin. On the road at Paycor Stadium in their last game, they were beaten 30-24 (OT) by Cincinnati Bengals. The Broncos 329 yards total gain included 206 passing and 123 rushing yards. They picked up 19 first downs and scored 3 touchdowns.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw the Chiefs claim a 16-14 win over the Broncos at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. In the past 10 H2H meetings, the Chiefs have won nine.

Chiefs vs Broncos Prediction & Picks

The two teams should be able to accumulate enough points for our pick to win. We’re predicting Over 40.5 and odds of -105 are available for this NFL battle.

The NFL predictions are created after keeping tabs on the latest team news along with the form guide. We also delve into the latest stats which can provide a barometer for how the action might play out.

Key Chiefs vs Broncos stats:

• The 40.5 line has been covered in 12 of the last 20 Chiefs games on the road.
• The 40.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Chiefs games on the road.
• The 40.5 line has been covered in 5 of the last 5 Broncos games.
• The 40.5 line has been covered in 9 of the last 10 Broncos games.
• The 40.5 line has been covered in the last 6 Broncos games this season.

Over 40.5 Probability

The sportsbooks make it a 51.3% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, we think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

If you have a strong hunch for Overs but want to get bigger odds, consider the Result & Total lines. Get both picks correct for a profitable return.

Our Game Prediction

Over 40.5 Points @ -105 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Chiefs 23 - 27 Broncos

For a fun wager, consider backing the Broncos to claim a 27-23 victory. Although it’s a speculative bet, we are expecting things to be close between the two teams.

Chiefs vs Broncos Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

The sportsbooks are taking no chances with their Moneyline odds of -588 about Denver Broncos which reflects they have a 85% chance of winning this game. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +440 about Kansas City Chiefs.

The current spread is 10.5 and total points is 40.5. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. If you’re wanting to back Over 40.5, the odds are -105.

If you’re planning to place a bet on a National Football League game, visit the betting sites and check out the hundreds of available game lines and team props. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Chiefs

+440

Broncos

-588

Point Spread

Chiefs +10.5

-102

Broncos -10.5

-120

Total Points

Under 40.5

-115

Over 40.5

-105

Favorite Courtland Sutton is now available at +500 to be the First Touchdown Scorer. You will find similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last TD.

Touchdown

Courtland Sutton (Broncos)

First TD

+500

Anytime TD

+120

Marvin Mims Jr. (Broncos)

First TD

+850

Anytime TD

+210

Jaleel McLaughlin (Broncos)

First TD

+900

Anytime TD

+200

Javonte Williams (Broncos)

First TD

+950

Anytime TD

+220

Audric Estime (Broncos)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+230

Bo Nix (Broncos)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+230

Xavier Worthy (Chiefs)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+230

DeAndre Hopkins (Chiefs)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+230

Marquise Brown (Chiefs)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+230

Devaughn Vele (Broncos)

First TD

+1500

Anytime TD

+420

Carson Steele (Chiefs)

First TD

+1700

Anytime TD

+350

Samaje Perine (Chiefs)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+370

Justin Watson (Chiefs)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+420

Troy Franklin (Broncos)

First TD

+2500

Anytime TD

+550

Noah Gray (Chiefs)

First TD

+2600

Anytime TD

+500

Peyton Hendershot (Chiefs)

First TD

+2600

Anytime TD

+550

Nikko Remigio (Chiefs)

First TD

+2900

Anytime TD

+600

Adam Trautman (Broncos)

First TD

+2900

Anytime TD

+700

JuJu Smith-Schuster (Chiefs)

First TD

+2900

Anytime TD

+600

Denver Broncos Defense (Broncos)

First TD

+3200

Anytime TD

+700

Lucas Krull (Broncos)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+850

Carson Wentz (Chiefs)

First TD

+3900

Anytime TD

+950

Kansas City Chiefs Defense (Chiefs)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+1400

Lil'Jordan Humphrey (Broncos)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+1500

Nate Adkins (Broncos)

First TD

+6500

Anytime TD

+2000

Michael Burton (Broncos)

First TD

+6500

Anytime TD

+1900

Receiving Yards

Courtland Sutton (Broncos)

Over 76.5

-110

Under 76.5

-110

Marvin Mims Jr. (Broncos)

Over 36.5

-110

Under 36.5

-110

Devaughn Vele (Broncos)

Over 19.5

-110

Under 19.5

-110

Javonte Williams (Broncos)

Over 13.5

-110

Under 13.5

-110

Rushing Yards

Jaleel McLaughlin (Broncos)

Over 38.5

-110

Under 38.5

-110

Audric Estime (Broncos)

Over 31.5

-110

Under 31.5

-110

Bo Nix (Broncos)

Over 21.5

-110

Under 21.5

-110

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Kansas City Chiefs Stats

Denver Broncos Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 45.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 46.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 44.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 44.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 25.70 pts and allowed 19.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 21.50 pts and allowed 24.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 40.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 45.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 44.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 44.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 23.50 pts and allowed 17.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 31.10 pts and allowed 14.30 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 360.60 Yds. Allowed 297.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 114.00 Yds. Allowed 107.60 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 246.60 Yds. Allowed 189.50 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.10 TD. Allowed 2.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 2.00 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.70. Allowed 17.50
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.80. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.60. Committed by opponents 5.60
• Penalty Yards: Lost 58.30 Yds. Gained 41.80 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 334.60 Yds. Allowed 270.70 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 128.60 Yds. Allowed 91.20 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 206.00 Yds. Allowed 179.50 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.80 TD. Allowed 1.50 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.80 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.10. Allowed 17.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 0.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 8.30. Committed by opponents 8.10
• Penalty Yards: Lost 73.60 Yds. Gained 58.70 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 315.70 Yds. Allowed 355.20 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 96.00 Yds. Allowed 129.30 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 219.70 Yds. Allowed 225.90 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.60 TD. Allowed 2.90 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.30. Allowed 21.90
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.70. Committed by opponents 1.40
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.30. Committed by opponents 5.60
• Penalty Yards: Lost 64.80 Yds. Gained 37.10 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 375.40 Yds. Allowed 267.60 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 128.50 Yds. Allowed 79.70 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 246.90 Yds. Allowed 187.90 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 4.00 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 2.50 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.50. Allowed 15.60
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.50. Committed by opponents 1.70
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.60. Committed by opponents 8.20
• Penalty Yards: Lost 60.80 Yds. Gained 62.60 Yds

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