Kansas City Chiefs
American Football NFL Empower Field at Mile High Sun 5 Jan 16:25
Denver Broncos
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Player Props
  5. Stats
  6. Team News
  7. Lineups
  8. Injuries
  9. Standings

Lots of Points to Be Scored

The Broncos and the Chiefs are capable of scoring more than 40.5 points. Therefore, we’re going Over the total line and expect a payout at -105.

9 Wins in Previous 10 H2H Games for Chiefs

Kansas City Chiefs won their previous game 29-10. This road victory at Acrisure Stadium against Pittsburgh Steelers was their sixth on the spin. The Chiefs had a gain of 69 rushing and 320 passing yards, totalling 389 yards. They scored 4 touchdowns and picked up 20 first downs.

Denver Broncos have won four home games on the spin. On the road at Paycor Stadium in their last game, they were beaten 30-24 (OT) by Cincinnati Bengals. The Broncos 329 yards total gain included 206 passing and 123 rushing yards. They picked up 19 first downs and scored 3 touchdowns.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw the Chiefs claim a 16-14 win over the Broncos at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. In the past 10 H2H meetings, the Chiefs have won nine.

Chiefs vs Broncos Prediction & Picks

The two teams should be able to accumulate enough points for our pick to win. We’re predicting Over 40.5 and odds of -105 are available for this NFL battle.

The NFL predictions are created after keeping tabs on the latest team news along with the form guide. We also delve into the latest stats which can provide a barometer for how the action might play out.

Key Chiefs vs Broncos stats:

  • The 40.5 line has been covered in 12 of the last 20 Chiefs games on the road.
  • The 40.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Chiefs games on the road.
  • The 40.5 line has been covered in 5 of the last 5 Broncos games.
  • The 40.5 line has been covered in 9 of the last 10 Broncos games.
  • The 40.5 line has been covered in the last 6 Broncos games this season.

Over 40.5 Probability

The sportsbooks make it a 51.3% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, we think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If you have a strong hunch for Overs but want to get bigger odds, consider the Result & Total lines. Get both picks correct for a profitable return.

Best Bet

Over 40.5 Points @ -105 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Published 21:26, 03 January 2025

Same Game Parlay Picks

Totals Over 40.5
Anytime Touchdown Courtland Sutton
Receiving Yards Marvin Mims Jr. Over 36.5

Try out our same game parlay pick which starts with Over 40.5 points. We’ve also gone for an Courtland Sutton (Broncos) touchdown and Marvin Mims Jr. (Broncos) logging Over 36.5 receiving yards.

A same game parlay allows football bettors to place a multiple wager on the same game. You can go through the available betting lines and select the outcomes that you think will happen. The odds for each pick are then combined together.

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Chiefs Chiefs logo 23 - 27 Broncos logo Broncos

For a fun wager, consider backing the Broncos to claim a 27-23 victory. Although it’s a speculative bet, we are expecting things to be close between the two teams.

Chiefs vs Broncos Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Broncos Big Favorites to Win

The sportsbooks are taking no chances with their Moneyline odds of -588 about Denver Broncos which reflects they have a 85% chance of winning this game. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +440 about Kansas City Chiefs.

The current spread is 10.5 and total points is 40.5. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. If you’re wanting to back Over 40.5, the odds are -105.

If you’re planning to place a bet on a National Football League game, visit the betting sites and check out the hundreds of available game lines and team props. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Courtland Sutton Favorite to Be First Touchdown Scorer

Favorite Courtland Sutton is now available at +500 to be the First Touchdown Scorer. You will find similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last TD.

Touchdown

Courtland Sutton (Broncos)
First TD
+500
Anytime TD
+120
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Marvin Mims Jr. (Broncos)
First TD
+850
Anytime TD
+210
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Jaleel McLaughlin (Broncos)
First TD
+900
Anytime TD
+200
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Javonte Williams (Broncos)
First TD
+950
Anytime TD
+220
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Receiving Yards

Courtland Sutton (Broncos)
Over 76.5
-110
Under 76.5
-110
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Marvin Mims Jr. (Broncos)
Over 36.5
-110
Under 36.5
-110
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Devaughn Vele (Broncos)
Over 19.5
-110
Under 19.5
-110
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Javonte Williams (Broncos)
Over 13.5
-110
Under 13.5
-110
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Rushing Yards

Jaleel McLaughlin (Broncos)
Over 38.5
-110
Under 38.5
-110
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Audric Estime (Broncos)
Over 31.5
-110
Under 31.5
-110
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Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Kansas City Chiefs logo Kansas City Chiefs Stats
Denver Broncos logo Denver Broncos Stats
Moneyline
  • 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
  • 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Game Stats
Last 10 Games
Game Stats
Last 10 Games
Last 10 Games on the Road
Last 10 Home Games

Team News

Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos Lineups

Kansas City Chiefs Lineup

  • Head Coach Andy Reid

Denver Broncos Lineup

  • Head Coach Sean Payton

Kansas City Chiefs Injuries

Type
Name
Info
Nick Bolton
Coach's Decision
Jack Cochrane
Ankle
Jody Fortson
Knee - ACL
Mecole Hardman
Knee
Jaaron Hayek
Shoulder
Kareem Hunt
Coach's Decision
Chris Jones
Calf
George Karlaftis
Coach's Decision
Travis Kelce
Coach's Decision
Patrick Mahomes
Ankle
Trent McDuffie
Knee
McKade Mettauer
Knee - MCL
Skyy Moore
Abdomen
Isiah Pacheco
Ribs
Justin Reid
Coach's Decision
Rashee Rice
Knee
Spencer Shrader
Hamstring
Jawaan Taylor
Knee
BJ Thompson
Chest
Drue Tranquill
Coach's Decision
Jaylen Watson
Lower Leg
Jared Wiley
Knee - ACL

Denver Broncos Injuries

Type
Name
Info
Tyler Badie
Back
Quinn Bailey
Ankle
Frank Crum
Illness
Alex Singleton
Knee - ACL
Delarrin Turner-Yell
Knee - ACL

Previous Kansas City Chiefs Lineups

25 Dec NFL
Chiefs 29-10 Steelers
21 Dec NFL
Texans 19-27 Chiefs
15 Dec NFL
Chiefs 21-7 Browns
08 Dec NFL
Chargers 17-19 Chiefs
29 Nov NFL
Raiders 17-19 Chiefs
24 Nov NFL
Chiefs 30-27 Panthers
17 Nov NFL
Chiefs 21-30 Bills
10 Nov NFL
Broncos 14-16 Chiefs
04 Nov NFL
Buccaneers 24-30 Chiefs
27 Oct NFL
Chiefs 27-20 Raiders

Previous Denver Broncos Lineups

28 Dec NFL
Broncos 24-30 Bengals
19 Dec NFL
Broncos 27-34 Chargers
15 Dec NFL
Colts 13-31 Broncos
02 Dec NFL
Browns 32-41 Broncos
24 Nov NFL
Broncos 29-19 Raiders
17 Nov NFL
Falcons 6-38 Broncos
10 Nov NFL
Broncos 14-16 Chiefs
03 Nov NFL
Broncos 10-41 Ravens
27 Oct NFL
Panthers 14-28 Broncos
17 Oct NFL
Broncos 33-10 Saints

NFL Standings Select Season

AFC East W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Patriots 7 2 0 0.778 237 169 68 3-2-0 4-0-0 2-0-0 4-2-0 5-0-0 6W
Bills 6 2 0 0.750 235 167 68 4-1-0 2-1-0 2-1-0 4-1-0 3-2-0 2W
Dolphins 2 7 0 0.222 180 243 -63 1-3-0 1-4-0 1-2-0 1-6-0 1-4-0 1L
Jets 1 7 0 0.125 168 221 -53 0-5-0 1-2-0 0-2-0 1-4-0 1-4-0 1W
AFC North W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Steelers 5 3 0 0.625 202 195 7 3-2-0 2-1-0 1-1-0 4-1-0 3-2-0 1W
Ravens 3 5 0 0.375 202 216 -14 2-3-0 1-2-0 1-0-0 2-3-0 2-3-0 2W
Bengals 3 6 0 0.333 216 300 -84 2-3-0 1-3-0 2-0-0 3-2-0 1-4-0 2L
Browns 2 6 0 0.250 126 184 -58 2-2-0 0-4-0 0-3-0 1-4-0 1-4-0 1L
AFC South W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Colts 7 2 0 0.778 290 181 109 5-0-0 2-2-0 2-0-0 6-1-0 4-1-0 1L
Jaguars 5 3 0 0.625 176 184 -8 3-2-0 2-1-0 1-0-0 3-1-0 3-2-0 1W
Texans 3 5 0 0.375 168 121 47 2-2-0 1-3-0 1-1-0 2-2-0 3-2-0 1L
Titans 1 8 0 0.111 130 257 -127 0-4-0 1-4-0 0-3-0 0-7-0 1-4-0 4L
AFC West W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Broncos 7 2 0 0.778 225 166 59 4-0-0 3-2-0 0-1-0 4-2-0 5-0-0 6W
Chargers 6 3 0 0.667 215 193 22 3-2-0 3-1-0 3-0-0 5-1-0 3-2-0 2W
Chiefs 5 4 0 0.556 235 159 76 4-1-0 1-3-0 1-1-0 2-3-0 3-2-0 1L
Raiders 2 6 0 0.250 132 210 -78 1-3-0 1-3-0 0-2-0 2-4-0 1-4-0 2L
NFC East W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Eagles 6 2 0 0.750 208 185 23 3-1-0 3-1-0 2-1-0 5-1-0 3-2-0 2W
Cowboys 3 5 1 0.333 263 277 -14 2-1-1 1-4-0 2-1-0 2-4-1 2-3-0 2L
Commanders 3 6 0 0.333 201 236 -35 2-2-0 1-4-0 1-1-0 1-5-0 1-4-0 4L
Giants 2 7 0 0.222 197 249 -52 2-2-0 0-5-0 1-3-0 1-5-0 1-4-0 3L
NFC North W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Packers 5 2 1 0.625 206 166 40 3-1-0 2-1-1 1-0-0 3-1-1 3-1-1 1L
Lions 5 3 0 0.625 239 178 61 3-1-0 2-2-0 1-2-0 2-2-0 3-2-0 1L
Bears 5 3 0 0.625 215 227 -12 2-1-0 3-2-0 0-2-0 3-2-0 4-1-0 1W
Vikings 4 4 0 0.500 182 186 -4 1-2-0 3-2-0 2-0-0 2-2-0 2-3-0 1W
NFC South W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Buccaneers 6 2 0 0.750 197 178 19 2-1-0 4-1-0 2-0-0 4-2-0 3-2-0 1W
Panthers 5 4 0 0.556 170 205 -35 3-1-0 2-3-0 1-0-0 3-1-0 4-1-0 1W
Falcons 3 5 0 0.375 143 178 -35 2-2-0 1-3-0 0-2-0 2-3-0 2-3-0 3L
Saints 1 8 0 0.111 138 243 -105 1-4-0 0-4-0 0-1-0 1-6-0 1-4-0 4L
NFC West W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Seahawks 6 2 0 0.750 231 150 81 2-2-0 4-0-0 1-1-0 3-2-0 4-1-0 3W
Rams 6 2 0 0.750 209 127 82 3-1-0 3-1-0 0-1-0 1-2-0 4-1-0 3W
49ers 6 3 0 0.667 194 188 6 2-1-0 4-2-0 3-0-0 6-1-0 3-2-0 1W
Cardinals 3 5 0 0.375 180 171 9 1-3-0 2-2-0 0-2-0 3-3-0 1-4-0 1W
AFC Conference W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Colts 7 2 0 0.778 290 181 109 5-0-0 2-2-0 2-0-0 6-1-0 4-1-0 1L
Patriots 7 2 0 0.778 237 169 68 3-2-0 4-0-0 2-0-0 4-2-0 5-0-0 6W
Broncos 7 2 0 0.778 225 166 59 4-0-0 3-2-0 0-1-0 4-2-0 5-0-0 6W
Steelers 5 3 0 0.625 202 195 7 3-2-0 2-1-0 1-1-0 4-1-0 3-2-0 1W
Bills 6 2 0 0.750 235 167 68 4-1-0 2-1-0 2-1-0 4-1-0 3-2-0 2W
Chargers 6 3 0 0.667 215 193 22 3-2-0 3-1-0 3-0-0 5-1-0 3-2-0 2W
Jaguars 5 3 0 0.625 176 184 -8 3-2-0 2-1-0 1-0-0 3-1-0 3-2-0 1W
Chiefs 5 4 0 0.556 235 159 76 4-1-0 1-3-0 1-1-0 2-3-0 3-2-0 1L
Texans 3 5 0 0.375 168 121 47 2-2-0 1-3-0 1-1-0 2-2-0 3-2-0 1L
Ravens 3 5 0 0.375 202 216 -14 2-3-0 1-2-0 1-0-0 2-3-0 2-3-0 2W
Bengals 3 6 0 0.333 216 300 -84 2-3-0 1-3-0 2-0-0 3-2-0 1-4-0 2L
Raiders 2 6 0 0.250 132 210 -78 1-3-0 1-3-0 0-2-0 2-4-0 1-4-0 2L
Browns 2 6 0 0.250 126 184 -58 2-2-0 0-4-0 0-3-0 1-4-0 1-4-0 1L
Dolphins 2 7 0 0.222 180 243 -63 1-3-0 1-4-0 1-2-0 1-6-0 1-4-0 1L
Jets 1 7 0 0.125 168 221 -53 0-5-0 1-2-0 0-2-0 1-4-0 1-4-0 1W
Titans 1 8 0 0.111 130 257 -127 0-4-0 1-4-0 0-3-0 0-7-0 1-4-0 4L
NFC Conference W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Eagles 6 2 0 0.750 208 185 23 3-1-0 3-1-0 2-1-0 5-1-0 3-2-0 2W
Buccaneers 6 2 0 0.750 197 178 19 2-1-0 4-1-0 2-0-0 4-2-0 3-2-0 1W
Seahawks 6 2 0 0.750 231 150 81 2-2-0 4-0-0 1-1-0 3-2-0 4-1-0 3W
Packers 5 2 1 0.625 206 166 40 3-1-0 2-1-1 1-0-0 3-1-1 3-1-1 1L
Rams 6 2 0 0.750 209 127 82 3-1-0 3-1-0 0-1-0 1-2-0 4-1-0 3W
49ers 6 3 0 0.667 194 188 6 2-1-0 4-2-0 3-0-0 6-1-0 3-2-0 1W
Lions 5 3 0 0.625 239 178 61 3-1-0 2-2-0 1-2-0 2-2-0 3-2-0 1L
Bears 5 3 0 0.625 215 227 -12 2-1-0 3-2-0 0-2-0 3-2-0 4-1-0 1W
Panthers 5 4 0 0.556 170 205 -35 3-1-0 2-3-0 1-0-0 3-1-0 4-1-0 1W
Vikings 4 4 0 0.500 182 186 -4 1-2-0 3-2-0 2-0-0 2-2-0 2-3-0 1W
Cowboys 3 5 1 0.333 263 277 -14 2-1-1 1-4-0 2-1-0 2-4-1 2-3-0 2L
Falcons 3 5 0 0.375 143 178 -35 2-2-0 1-3-0 0-2-0 2-3-0 2-3-0 3L
Commanders 3 6 0 0.333 201 236 -35 2-2-0 1-4-0 1-1-0 1-5-0 1-4-0 4L
Cardinals 3 5 0 0.375 180 171 9 1-3-0 2-2-0 0-2-0 3-3-0 1-4-0 1W
Giants 2 7 0 0.222 197 249 -52 2-2-0 0-5-0 1-3-0 1-5-0 1-4-0 3L
Saints 1 8 0 0.111 138 243 -105 1-4-0 0-4-0 0-1-0 1-6-0 1-4-0 4L
NFL Team W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Broncos 7 2 0 0.778 225 166 59 4-0-0 3-2-0 0-1-0 4-2-0 5-0-0 6W
Colts 7 2 0 0.778 290 181 109 5-0-0 2-2-0 2-0-0 6-1-0 4-1-0 1L
Patriots 7 2 0 0.778 237 169 68 3-2-0 4-0-0 2-0-0 4-2-0 5-0-0 6W
Bills 6 2 0 0.750 235 167 68 4-1-0 2-1-0 2-1-0 4-1-0 3-2-0 2W
Rams 6 2 0 0.750 209 127 82 3-1-0 3-1-0 0-1-0 1-2-0 4-1-0 3W
Eagles 6 2 0 0.750 208 185 23 3-1-0 3-1-0 2-1-0 5-1-0 3-2-0 2W
Seahawks 6 2 0 0.750 231 150 81 2-2-0 4-0-0 1-1-0 3-2-0 4-1-0 3W
Buccaneers 6 2 0 0.750 197 178 19 2-1-0 4-1-0 2-0-0 4-2-0 3-2-0 1W
Packers 5 2 1 0.625 206 166 40 3-1-0 2-1-1 1-0-0 3-1-1 3-1-1 1L
Chargers 6 3 0 0.667 215 193 22 3-2-0 3-1-0 3-0-0 5-1-0 3-2-0 2W
49ers 6 3 0 0.667 194 188 6 2-1-0 4-2-0 3-0-0 6-1-0 3-2-0 1W
Bears 5 3 0 0.625 215 227 -12 2-1-0 3-2-0 0-2-0 3-2-0 4-1-0 1W
Lions 5 3 0 0.625 239 178 61 3-1-0 2-2-0 1-2-0 2-2-0 3-2-0 1L
Jaguars 5 3 0 0.625 176 184 -8 3-2-0 2-1-0 1-0-0 3-1-0 3-2-0 1W
Steelers 5 3 0 0.625 202 195 7 3-2-0 2-1-0 1-1-0 4-1-0 3-2-0 1W
Panthers 5 4 0 0.556 170 205 -35 3-1-0 2-3-0 1-0-0 3-1-0 4-1-0 1W
Chiefs 5 4 0 0.556 235 159 76 4-1-0 1-3-0 1-1-0 2-3-0 3-2-0 1L
Vikings 4 4 0 0.500 182 186 -4 1-2-0 3-2-0 2-0-0 2-2-0 2-3-0 1W
Cowboys 3 5 1 0.333 263 277 -14 2-1-1 1-4-0 2-1-0 2-4-1 2-3-0 2L
Cardinals 3 5 0 0.375 180 171 9 1-3-0 2-2-0 0-2-0 3-3-0 1-4-0 1W
Falcons 3 5 0 0.375 143 178 -35 2-2-0 1-3-0 0-2-0 2-3-0 2-3-0 3L
Ravens 3 5 0 0.375 202 216 -14 2-3-0 1-2-0 1-0-0 2-3-0 2-3-0 2W
Texans 3 5 0 0.375 168 121 47 2-2-0 1-3-0 1-1-0 2-2-0 3-2-0 1L
Bengals 3 6 0 0.333 216 300 -84 2-3-0 1-3-0 2-0-0 3-2-0 1-4-0 2L
Commanders 3 6 0 0.333 201 236 -35 2-2-0 1-4-0 1-1-0 1-5-0 1-4-0 4L
Browns 2 6 0 0.250 126 184 -58 2-2-0 0-4-0 0-3-0 1-4-0 1-4-0 1L
Raiders 2 6 0 0.250 132 210 -78 1-3-0 1-3-0 0-2-0 2-4-0 1-4-0 2L
Dolphins 2 7 0 0.222 180 243 -63 1-3-0 1-4-0 1-2-0 1-6-0 1-4-0 1L
Giants 2 7 0 0.222 197 249 -52 2-2-0 0-5-0 1-3-0 1-5-0 1-4-0 3L
Jets 1 7 0 0.125 168 221 -53 0-5-0 1-2-0 0-2-0 1-4-0 1-4-0 1W
Saints 1 8 0 0.111 138 243 -105 1-4-0 0-4-0 0-1-0 1-6-0 1-4-0 4L
Titans 1 8 0 0.111 130 257 -127 0-4-0 1-4-0 0-3-0 0-7-0 1-4-0 4L