Commanders vs Buccaneers Prediction, Picks & Odds | 12 Jan 2025

It’s great to see the Buccaneers with a -3 line on the spread at -105 as we’re expecting a bigger margin of victory in their meeting against the Commanders.

Washington Commanders won their previous game 23-19. This road victory at AT&T Stadium against Dallas Cowboys was their fifth on the spin. The Commanders total gain of 269 yards was split between 113 rushing and 156 passing yards. They picked up 18 first downs and scored 3 touchdowns.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers last game was a 27-19 victory over New Orleans Saints at Raymond James Stadium. That means it’s now been three home wins on the spin. The Buccaneers total gain of 395 yards was split between 179 rushing and 216 passing yards. They scored 3 touchdowns. 2 passing TD’s and 1 rushing TD.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 37-20 in favor of the Bucs when they last played the Commanders, with the matchup taking place at Raymond James Stadium. The past 3 games between the teams have seen the Bucs win two times.

Quarterbacks

Jayden Daniels

237.5 Passing Yards

Over -110

Under -110

Baker Mayfield

246.5 Passing Yards

Over -110

Under -110

Commanders vs Buccaneers Prediction & Picks

Don’t miss out on the chance to side with the Buccaneers on the spread at -3. On the face of it, this seems a generous line and -105 can be backed for this Wild Card matchup.

The first port of call is to check out the team news for each franchise and then scroll through the form guide. We take this information and apply it to the latest available stats to come up with a verdict.

Key Commanders vs Buccaneers stats:

• The -3 line has been covered by Buccaneers in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -3 line has been covered by Buccaneers in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -3 line has been covered by Buccaneers in 3 consecutive games at home.
• The -3 line has been covered by Buccaneers in 2 of their last 3 games against Commanders.

Bucs -3 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 51.3% chance of winning. However, our cappers have this figure between 55-60% based on their in-depth research. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

As a wagering alternative, you can choose to buy or sell points when it comes to your spread pick. Buy if you want a safer bet and sell to get more juice from the line.

Our Game Prediction

Buccaneers -3 @ -105 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Commanders 21 - 27 Buccaneers

For those looking to get more bang for their buck, consider a correct score bet on the Buccaneers. Backing them to win 27-21 means you can land a potential monster return.

Commanders vs Buccaneers Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

With a 63% chance of securing victory, Tampa Bay Buccaneers are favorites for this game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -167. At +140, Washington Commanders are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The current spread is 3 and the total points line is 51.5. There are many ways to bet on the NFL including the Totals. Those that want to back Under 51.5 can find odds of -105 available.

The betting sites offer a wide range of team props and game lines for every National Football League clash. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Commanders

+140

Buccaneers

-167

Point Spread

Commanders +3

-115

Buccaneers -3

-105

Total Points

Under 51.5

-105

Over 51.5

-115

There is -179 available that Bucky Irving scores a touchdown anytime. If you’re interested in the favorite to score the first TD, then you are able to secure +390.

Touchdown

Bucky Irving (Buccaneers)

First TD

+390

Anytime TD

-179

Mike Evans (Buccaneers)

First TD

+650

Anytime TD

-105

Jalen McMillan (Buccaneers)

First TD

+950

Anytime TD

+160

Terry McLaurin (Commanders)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+125

Brian Robinson Jr. (Commanders)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+140

Jayden Daniels (Commanders)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+145

Cade Otton (Buccaneers)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+270

Rachaad White (Buccaneers)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+270

Zach Ertz (Commanders)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+240

Olamide Zaccheaus (Commanders)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+290

Austin Ekeler (Commanders)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+240

Baker Mayfield (Buccaneers)

First TD

+2300

Anytime TD

+500

Sterling Shepard (Buccaneers)

First TD

+2300

Anytime TD

+500

Dyami Brown (Commanders)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+490

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defense (Buccaneers)

First TD

+3200

Anytime TD

+550

Washington Commanders Defense (Commanders)

First TD

+3300

Anytime TD

+600

Jamison Crowder (Commanders)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+900

Payne Durham (Buccaneers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+850

Sean Tucker (Buccaneers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1100

Devin Culp (Buccaneers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1600

Ben Sinnott (Commanders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1300

John Bates (Commanders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1900

Luke McCaffrey (Commanders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1200

Ryan Miller (Buccaneers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1600

Chris Rodriguez Jr. (Commanders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1600

Jeremy McNichols (Commanders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1600

Trey Palmer (Buccaneers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1300

Rakim Jarrett (Buccaneers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2400

Receiving Yards

Mike Evans (Buccaneers)

Over 76.5

-110

Under 76.5

-110

Terry McLaurin (Commanders)

Over 66.5

-110

Under 66.5

-110

Jalen McMillan (Buccaneers)

Over 49.5

-110

Under 49.5

-110

Olamide Zaccheaus (Commanders)

Over 40.5

-110

Under 40.5

-110

Zach Ertz (Commanders)

Over 38.5

-110

Under 38.5

-110

Cade Otton (Buccaneers)

Over 28.5

-110

Under 28.5

-110

Dyami Brown (Commanders)

Over 27.5

-110

Under 27.5

-110

Sterling Shepard (Buccaneers)

Over 24.5

-110

Under 24.5

-110

Austin Ekeler (Commanders)

Over 23.5

-110

Under 23.5

-110

Bucky Irving (Buccaneers)

Over 21.5

-110

Under 21.5

-110

Rachaad White (Buccaneers)

Over 10.5

-115

Under 10.5

-105

Jamison Crowder (Commanders)

Over 10.5

-110

Under 10.5

-110

Brian Robinson Jr. (Commanders)

Over 6.5

-110

Under 6.5

-110

Rushing Yards

Bucky Irving (Buccaneers)

Over 89.5

-110

Under 89.5

-110

Jayden Daniels (Commanders)

Over 53.5

-110

Under 53.5

-110

Brian Robinson Jr. (Commanders)

Over 42.5

-110

Under 42.5

-110

Baker Mayfield (Buccaneers)

Over 20.5

-110

Under 20.5

-110

Austin Ekeler (Commanders)

Over 20.5

-110

Under 20.5

-110

Rachaad White (Buccaneers)

Over 14.5

-110

Under 14.5

-110

Passing Yards

Baker Mayfield (Buccaneers)

Over 246.5

-110

Under 246.5

-110

Jayden Daniels (Commanders)

Over 237.5

-110

Under 237.5

-110

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Washington Commanders Stats

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +3 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +3 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -3 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -3 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 50.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 51.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 50.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 50.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 26.70 pts and allowed 23.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 25.90 pts and allowed 25.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 49.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 50.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 50.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 50.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 29.30 pts and allowed 20.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 28.90 pts and allowed 21.20 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 359.50 Yds. Allowed 325.40 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 146.20 Yds. Allowed 141.00 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 213.30 Yds. Allowed 184.40 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.20 TD. Allowed 2.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 2.10 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 22.20. Allowed 19.80
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.30. Committed by opponents 1.10
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.70. Committed by opponents 6.60
• Penalty Yards: Lost 63.10 Yds. Gained 54.20 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 410.90 Yds. Allowed 310.80 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 158.90 Yds. Allowed 73.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 252.00 Yds. Allowed 236.90 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.40 TD. Allowed 2.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 2.30 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 23.30. Allowed 18.50
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.40. Committed by opponents 0.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.40. Committed by opponents 5.10
• Penalty Yards: Lost 51.10 Yds. Gained 45.40 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 316.80 Yds. Allowed 381.70 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 118.70 Yds. Allowed 156.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 198.10 Yds. Allowed 225.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.20 TD. Allowed 2.90 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.60 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.60 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.30. Allowed 23.40
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.70. Committed by opponents 0.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.50. Committed by opponents 6.10
• Penalty Yards: Lost 48.60 Yds. Gained 56.70 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 398.00 Yds. Allowed 325.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 130.30 Yds. Allowed 107.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 267.70 Yds. Allowed 218.00 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.40 TD. Allowed 2.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 2.70 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 23.50. Allowed 18.30
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 0.70
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.10. Committed by opponents 5.70
• Penalty Yards: Lost 43.30 Yds. Gained 51.20 Yds

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