Aston Villa vs Manchester United Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Dec 2025

Premier League Betting Preview: Aston Villa vs Manchester United

Third-placed Aston Villa square off against Manchester United, currently in seventh place in the Premier League standings, at Villa Park, with kick-off set for 11:30 on Sunday 21 December.

The betting odds for Over 2.5 on the Total Goals market is -159 and we think that this price looks really appealing. Aston Villa and Man United should combine to cover the line and it’s a value wager.

Feeling our Total Goals pick? Have a quick read of our BetMGM review and grab the latest promo code before you place your bet.

Aston Villa head into this match on the back of six consecutive Premier League wins, having beaten West Ham United 3–2 away at the London Stadium last time out. Unai Emery’s side enjoyed 59% possession and registered four shots on target, with two Morgan Rogers goals and a Konstantinos Mavropanos own goal on the scoresheet for the Villans.

Manchester United hosted Bournemouth at Old Trafford in their previous game, ending in a 4-4 draw. The Red Devils had the lion’s share of the ball recording 56% possession and nine shots on goal, while Amad, Casemiro, Bruno Fernandes and Matheus Cunha were on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

United haven’t lost to Villa in their past six games. In their last clash, United came out with a 2-0 home win at Old Trafford. The past 10 meetings between these sides have resulted in six United victories and two Villa wins. There have also been two draws.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Aston Villa	17	11	3	3	27	18	9	27:18	36
7	Man United	17	7	5	5	31	28	3	31:28	26

View Full Table

9 wins and 1 loss, averaging 2.1 goals from 5.2 shots on goal and 12.2 attempts. Villa have had 50.3% possession, 419.7 passes and 4.9 corners per game. On average, the Birmingham club have conceded 1.1 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 12.4 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.5 corners.

Top goalscorer Morgan Rogers has found the net 5 times, with Donyell Malen and Emiliano Buendia scoring 4 and 3 respectively. Youri Tielemans, Boubacar Kamara and Morgan Rogers have the most assists with 2, while goalie Emiliano Martinez has recorded 3 clean sheets.

United have 5 victories, 1 defeat and 4 draws, averaging 6.3 shots on goal, 17.1 attempts and 2.3 goals. Ruben Amorim's team average 54.7% possession, 459.7 passes, 4.8 corners taken and 4.7 corners against them, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 11.9 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal.

Bryan Mbeumo has top scored with 5, while Casemiro, Bruno Fernandes and Mason Mount are next on 3. Bruno Fernandes has been the top assist maker on 7, with Senne Lammens notching one clean sheet in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Aston Villa confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Emiliano Martinez (GK), Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Victor Nilsson Lindeloef, Ian Maatsen, Boubacar Kamara, Amadou Onana, John McGinn, Youri Tielemans, Morgan Rogers, Ollie Watkins.

Manchester United confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Senne Lammens (GK), Leny Yoro, Ayden Heaven, Luke Shaw, Diogo Dalot, Bruno Fernandes, Manuel Ugarte, Patrick Dorgu, Matheus Cunha, Mason Mount, Benjamin Sesko.

Aston Villa vs Manchester United Prediction & Betting Tips

The Aston Villa vs Manchester United betting tips feature sharp analysis across major markets, including a key match prediction, our best corners bet, player prop picks, correct score guidance and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

The two Premier League sides can combine to score three goals or more. We are therefore going to play Over 2.5 Goals at -159 in the expectation that we can land a solid return if our prediction is correct.

Injuries and suspensions are taken into account by the Premier League experts at Sportsgambler.com. Our football betting tips are also shaped by the latest form, with the stats playing a big part before predictions are made.

Key Aston Villa vs Manchester United league stats:

• The 2.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Villa games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Villa games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 3 Villa games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 7 United games on the road.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 United games on the road.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 13 of the last 20 United games on the road.

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 61.3% chance of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be somewhere between 65-70%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

In the quest for a larger price, then consider combining Over 2.5 Goals with other picks. This involves going for a Bet Builder and there are some attractive odds on the cards.

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Our Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -159 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Aston Villa 2 - 1 Man United

You can secure odds of +700 that Villa are able to land a 2-1 victory. Correct score betting can provide plenty of fun and it’s a way of landing bigger odds.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Bruno Fernandes Over 0.5 Shots On Target -133

Bruno Fernandes (United) has bagged at least one shot on goal in three straight Premier League games. We’re expecting this data to be backed up and for him to cover the Shots on Target line at odds of -133.

Latest Bruno Fernandes Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+195

First

+575

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-109

Shots

Over 2.5

+128

Under 2.5

-

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Morgan Rogers to Score +230

Morgan Rogers (Villa) has netted four goals in his past five Premier League games. We think there’s value in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop bet at +230 which will hopefully see him find the net.

Latest Morgan Rogers Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+200

First

+650

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-118

Shots

Over 2.5

+102

Under 2.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Under 10.5 Corners -147

Each of the previous three United matches have featured under 10.5 corners. We’re willing to wager the -147 when it comes to the sides being short of the Total Corners line which looks appealing.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Aston Villa

Total

9.40 4.90 4.50

Home

10.00 5.60 4.40

Away

9.40 4.20 5.20

Man United

Total

9.50 4.80 4.70

Home

8.80 5.00 3.80

Away

9.80 4.20 5.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-109

Under 10.5

-130

Aston Villa Corners

Over 5.5

-115

Under 5.5

-123

Man United Corners

Over 4.5

-116

Under 4.5

-122

Most Corners

1

-143

X

+650

2

+145

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Aston Villa vs Manchester United Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

With the bookmakers affording them a 48% chance of winning, Aston Villa might be a popular accumulator selection. Their betting odds are +107 when it comes to this Premier League encounter. Manchester United are operating at larger odds than the opposition and the Red Devils can be wagered at +240.

There are different betting angles when backing Villa including the Asian Handicap -0.25 wager. This is available at -125 and there’s a half stake return if they only draw with United.

There’s a high probability that Over 2.5 Goals will be netted according to the current prices. The Yes pick in the Both Teams to Score market is considered to be the most likely result and it’s trading at -200.

There’s lots to like about the top football betting sites and that includes the hundreds of markets available for each Premier League match. You are spoilt for choice when it comes to available options.

Full-Time Result

1

+107

X

+265

2

+240

Half-Time Result

1

+150

X

+148

2

+250

Double Chance

1X

-333

12

-357

X2

-135

Draw No Bet

1

-200

2

+138

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-125

2 Hcp +0.25

+102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+138

Over 2.5

-175

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-200

No

+150

Ollie Watkins is the First Goalscorer favourite at +390 and there’s an opportunity to back him to find the net anytime at +130.

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

First

+130

Anytime

+390

Matheus Cunha (United)

First

+170

Anytime

+480

Donyell Malen (Villa)

First

+180

Anytime

+525

Bruno Fernandes (United)

First

+195

Anytime

+575

Benjamin Sesko (United)

First

+200

Anytime

+550

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

First

+200

Anytime

+650

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

First

+250

Anytime

+700

Joshua Zirkzee (United)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Mason Mount (United)

First

+360

Anytime

+1000

John McGinn (Villa)

First

+390

Anytime

+1100

Youri Tielemans (Villa)

First

+420

Anytime

+1200

Carlos Casemiro (United)

First

+480

Anytime

+1300

Ian Maatsen (Villa)

First

+510

Anytime

+1400

Matty Cash (Villa)

First

+550

Anytime

+1700

Amadou Onana (Villa)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Kobbie Mainoo (United)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Patrick Dorgu (United)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

+138

Matheus Cunha (United)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

+128

Donyell Malen (Villa)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

+105

Benjamin Sesko (United)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

+102

Bruno Fernandes (United)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-109

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-118

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-154

Joshua Zirkzee (United)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-161

Mason Mount (United)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-192

Youri Tielemans (Villa)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-238

John McGinn (Villa)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-270

Carlos Casemiro (United)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-313

Ian Maatsen (Villa)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-357

Matty Cash (Villa)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-385

Amadou Onana (Villa)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-625

Kobbie Mainoo (United)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-625

Patrick Dorgu (United)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-909

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

Over 2.5

-132

Under 2.5

-

Matheus Cunha (United)

Over 2.5

-139

Under 2.5

-

Donyell Malen (Villa)

Over 2.5

-115

Under 2.5

-

Bruno Fernandes (United)

Over 2.5

+128

Under 2.5

-

Benjamin Sesko (United)

Over 2.5

+138

Under 2.5

-

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

Over 2.5

+102

Under 2.5

-

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

Over 2.5

+148

Under 2.5

-

Joshua Zirkzee (United)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Mason Mount (United)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

-

John McGinn (Villa)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Youri Tielemans (Villa)

Over 1.5

-116

Under 1.5

-

Ian Maatsen (Villa)

Over 1.5

+132

Under 1.5

-

Matty Cash (Villa)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Aston Villa have enjoyed nine straight wins at Villa Park. Unai Emery's side have collected nine victories and one defeat in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.80 goals per game and conceding 0.70.

Man United haven’t tasted defeat in five consecutive away matches. The Red Devils have clocked up four losses, three wins and three draws in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.70 goals per match and conceding 1.90.

It was a 0-0 draw when Villa last faced United at Villa Park. It has been three United victories, one Villa win and two draws in the previous 6 H2H games at Villa Park.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Aston Villa Home Stats		9-0-1	2.50	1.80	0.70	6	4	4	6
Manchester United Away Stats		3-3-4	3.60	1.70	1.90	8	2	8	2

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Aston Villa vs Manchester United Lineups & Team News

Before placing any bets on Villa vs United, check the team news first. We’ll keep you posted with predicted and confirmed lineups for the Premier League and all current injury news.

Aston Villa Team Page Manchester United Team Page

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