Baylor vs Mississippi State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Mar 2025

No. 9 Baylor Bears (19-14, 10-10 Big 12) play No. 8 Mississippi State Bulldogs (21-12, 8-10 SEC) in this East Region first round game at Lenovo Center in Raleigh, North Carolina.

The -102 about Baylor getting the better of Mississippi State makes plenty of appeal and they are our betting prediction on the Moneyline. Hopefully this can secure a profit.

Baylor Bears lost on the road in their previous game. Texas Tech Red Raiders won 76-74.

Mississippi State Bulldogs suffered a defeat in their last game. A 85-73 scoreline occurred on the road against Missouri Tigers.

NCAAB Regular Season	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Baylor	16-15	2563	2386	177	12-8	4-7	1W
Mississippi State	13-18	2423	2539	-116	9-10	4-8	5L

View Full Standings

Baylor vs Mississippi State Prediction & Picks

There’s a strong case that Baylor will end up winning and that means wagering the road team on the Moneyline. You can get a generous -102 that they triumph in this college matchup.

Sportsgambler.com boast college basketball expertise and that comes from knowing the team news once it’s announced. The latest form will also fuel our predictions and we make sure that the most important stats are on hand.

Key Baylor vs Mississippi State stats:

• Baylor have won 3 of their last 5 games.
• MS State have lost 6 of their last 10 games.
• MS State have lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Baylor Moneyline Probability

The sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 50.5% likelihood of this pick winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. This college basketball wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

We’d recommend taking a look at the Result & Both Teams to Score and Double Result lines if you’re interested in siding with Baylor but want bigger odds.

Our Game Prediction

Baylor Moneyline @ -102 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 20, 15:53). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: VJ Edgecombe Over 16.5 Points -115

VJ Edgecombe (Baylor) can be wagered to register Over 16.5 points at -115. We have a strong conviction that he is able to cover the total when it comes to betting on Player Points.

Latest VJ Edgecombe Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 16.5

-133

Under 16.5

+103

Assists

Over 3.5

+126

Under 3.5

-164

Rebounds

Over 6.5

+107

Under 6.5

-139

---

Norchad Omier Over 11.5 Rebounds -106

Norchad Omier (Baylor) can be backed to total Over 11.5 rebounds at -106. Out of all the prop bets, we’re going Over when it comes to this Player Rebounds wager.

Latest Norchad Omier Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 15.5

-103

Under 15.5

-125

Assists

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-130

Rebounds

Over 11.5

-125

Under 11.5

-103

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Baylor 78 - 74 MS State

Don’t pass up the opportunity to have a speculative wager on Baylor to achieve a 78-74 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Baylor vs Mississippi State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

This could be a close-run college game according to the sportsbooks. Mississippi State are trading at -110 and the same Moneyline odds are available for Baylor. It’s down to the bettors to decide which is a more attractive proposition.

The current spread is 1.5 and total points is 145.5. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. If you’re going for Over 145.5, then the odds are -115.

In the Race to 20 Points betting, Mississippi State are favorites and they can be backed at -125 to attain this total first. If you want to back Baylor, then odds of -115 can be found.

The good news is that you can access a nice selection of game lines and team props for most college basketball contests. The betting sites have a huge range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

Baylor

-110

MS State

-110

Point Spread

Baylor +1.5

-120

MS State -1.5

-102

Total Points

Under 145.5

-105

Over 145.5

-115

The favorite to hit the most buckets is Josh Hubbard. Odds of -105 can be found for him scoring Over 20.5 points and there is -123 for him to go Under.

Josh Hubbard (MS State)

Over 20.5

-105

Under 20.5

-123

VJ Edgecombe (Baylor)

Over 16.5

-133

Under 16.5

+103

Norchad Omier (Baylor)

Over 15.5

-103

Under 15.5

-125

KeShawn Murphy (MS State)

Over 12.5

-123

Under 12.5

-105

Robert Wright III (Baylor)

Over 9.5

-114

Under 9.5

-114

Jeremy Roach (Baylor)

Over 9.5

+106

Under 9.5

-137

Riley Kugel (MS State)

Over 8.5

-118

Under 8.5

-110

RJ Melendez (MS State)

Over 8.5

-105

Under 8.5

-123

Cameron Matthews (MS State)

Over 6.5

+102

Under 6.5

-132

Josh Hubbard (MS State)

Over 3.5

-106

Under 3.5

-122

VJ Edgecombe (Baylor)

Over 3.5

+126

Under 3.5

-164

Robert Wright III (Baylor)

Over 3.5

+115

Under 3.5

-149

Cameron Matthews (MS State)

Over 3.5

-114

Under 3.5

-114

Norchad Omier (Baylor)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-130

KeShawn Murphy (MS State)

Over 1.5

+136

Under 1.5

-179

Riley Kugel (MS State)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

+127

RJ Melendez (MS State)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

+120

Norchad Omier (Baylor)

Over 11.5

-125

Under 11.5

-103

VJ Edgecombe (Baylor)

Over 6.5

+107

Under 6.5

-139

KeShawn Murphy (MS State)

Over 6.5

-123

Under 6.5

-104

Cameron Matthews (MS State)

Over 5.5

-147

Under 5.5

+113

RJ Melendez (MS State)

Over 4.5

-127

Under 4.5

-102

Riley Kugel (MS State)

Over 3.5

+128

Under 3.5

-167

Josh Hubbard (MS State)

Over 2.5

+144

Under 2.5

-189

Robert Wright III (Baylor)

Over 1.5

-204

Under 1.5

+155

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to college basketball and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether the next shot will be a Two or a Three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Baylor Stats

Mississippi State Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 136.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 144.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 68.40 pts and allowed 68.20 pts in the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 160.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 144.5: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 79.80 pts and allowed 80.60 pts in the last 10 games

NCAAB Regular Season Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Southeastern	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Florida	25-6	2719	2222	497	17-2	8-4	11W
Vanderbilt	24-7	2695	2329	366	14-3	10-4	2W
Arkansas	23-8	2797	2479	318	17-3	6-5	2W
Alabama	23-8	2856	2591	265	15-5	8-3	1W
Georgia	22-9	2802	2457	345	15-5	7-4	3W
Tennessee	21-10	2482	2152	330	15-5	6-5	1L
Texas A&M	21-10	2744	2463	281	14-4	7-6	2W
Missouri	20-11	2477	2333	144	15-3	5-8	2L
Kentucky	19-12	2518	2285	233	15-6	4-6	2L
Texas	18-13	2615	2382	233	13-6	5-7	2L
Oklahoma	17-14	2565	2402	163	12-5	5-9	4W
Auburn	16-15	2589	2487	102	13-6	3-9	1L
LSU	15-16	2524	2425	99	10-9	5-7	3L
Mississippi State	13-18	2423	2539	-116	9-10	4-8	5L
South Carolina	13-18	2324	2361	-37	11-8	2-10	1W
Ole Miss	12-19	2334	2354	-20	9-9	3-10	2L

Big 12	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Arizona	29-2	2687	2126	561	18-1	11-1	6W
Houston	26-5	2407	1945	462	18-2	8-3	3W
Iowa State	25-6	2535	2038	497	18-1	7-5	1W
Texas Tech	22-9	2520	2249	271	16-3	6-6	2L
Kansas	22-9	2371	2148	223	16-2	6-7	1W
TCU	21-10	2416	2212	204	15-5	6-5	5W
BYU	21-10	2614	2349	265	16-4	5-6	1W
UCF	20-10	2466	2365	101	14-5	6-5	3L
West Virginia	18-13	2166	2004	162	15-5	3-8	1W
Oklahoma State	18-13	2601	2558	43	14-5	4-8	1L
Cincinnati	17-14	2275	2098	177	15-4	2-10	1L
Colorado	17-14	2476	2450	26	15-6	2-8	1L
Arizona State	16-15	2394	2415	-21	12-6	4-9	1L
Baylor	16-15	2563	2386	177	12-8	4-7	1W
Kansas State	12-19	2455	2514	-59	11-8	1-11	1L
Utah	10-21	2313	2458	-145	9-9	1-12	5L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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