Baylor vs Mississippi State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Mar 2025

No. 9 Baylor Bears (19-14, 10-10 Big 12) play No. 8 Mississippi State Bulldogs (21-12, 8-10 SEC) in this East Region first round game at Lenovo Center in Raleigh, North Carolina.

The -102 about Baylor getting the better of Mississippi State makes plenty of appeal and they are our betting prediction on the Moneyline. Hopefully this can secure a profit.

Baylor Bears lost on the road in their previous game. Texas Tech Red Raiders won 76-74.

Mississippi State Bulldogs suffered a defeat in their last game. A 85-73 scoreline occurred on the road against Missouri Tigers.

NCAAB Regular Season	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Baylor	10-4	1270	1038	232	9-2	1-2	2L
Mississippi State	10-5	1212	1137	75	8-3	2-2	6W

View Full Standings

Baylor vs Mississippi State Prediction & Picks

There’s a strong case that Baylor will end up winning and that means wagering the road team on the Moneyline. You can get a generous -102 that they triumph in this college matchup.

Sportsgambler.com boast college basketball expertise and that comes from knowing the team news once it’s announced. The latest form will also fuel our predictions and we make sure that the most important stats are on hand.

Key Baylor vs Mississippi State stats:

• Baylor have won 3 of their last 5 games.
• MS State have lost 6 of their last 10 games.
• MS State have lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Baylor Moneyline Probability

The sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 50.5% likelihood of this pick winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. This college basketball wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

We’d recommend taking a look at the Result & Both Teams to Score and Double Result lines if you’re interested in siding with Baylor but want bigger odds.

Our Game Prediction

Baylor Moneyline @ -102 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: VJ Edgecombe Over 16.5 Points -115

VJ Edgecombe (Baylor) can be wagered to register Over 16.5 points at -115. We have a strong conviction that he is able to cover the total when it comes to betting on Player Points.

Latest VJ Edgecombe Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 16.5

-133

Under 16.5

+103

Assists

Over 3.5

+126

Under 3.5

-164

Rebounds

Over 6.5

+107

Under 6.5

-139

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Norchad Omier Over 11.5 Rebounds -106

Norchad Omier (Baylor) can be backed to total Over 11.5 rebounds at -106. Out of all the prop bets, we’re going Over when it comes to this Player Rebounds wager.

Latest Norchad Omier Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 15.5

-103

Under 15.5

-125

Assists

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-130

Rebounds

Over 11.5

-125

Under 11.5

-103

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Correct Score Prediction

Baylor 78 - 74 MS State

Don’t pass up the opportunity to have a speculative wager on Baylor to achieve a 78-74 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams.

Baylor vs Mississippi State Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

This could be a close-run college game according to the sportsbooks. Mississippi State are trading at -110 and the same Moneyline odds are available for Baylor. It’s down to the bettors to decide which is a more attractive proposition.

The current spread is 1.5 and total points is 145.5. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. If you’re going for Over 145.5, then the odds are -115.

In the Race to 20 Points betting, Mississippi State are favorites and they can be backed at -125 to attain this total first. If you want to back Baylor, then odds of -115 can be found.

The good news is that you can access a nice selection of game lines and team props for most college basketball contests. The betting sites have a huge range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

Baylor

-110

MS State

-110

Point Spread

Baylor +1.5

-120

MS State -1.5

-102

Total Points

Under 145.5

-105

Over 145.5

-115

The favorite to hit the most buckets is Josh Hubbard. Odds of -105 can be found for him scoring Over 20.5 points and there is -123 for him to go Under.

Josh Hubbard (MS State)

Over 20.5

-105

Under 20.5

-123

VJ Edgecombe (Baylor)

Over 16.5

-133

Under 16.5

+103

Norchad Omier (Baylor)

Over 15.5

-103

Under 15.5

-125

KeShawn Murphy (MS State)

Over 12.5

-123

Under 12.5

-105

Robert Wright III (Baylor)

Over 9.5

-114

Under 9.5

-114

Jeremy Roach (Baylor)

Over 9.5

+106

Under 9.5

-137

Riley Kugel (MS State)

Over 8.5

-118

Under 8.5

-110

RJ Melendez (MS State)

Over 8.5

-105

Under 8.5

-123

Cameron Matthews (MS State)

Over 6.5

+102

Under 6.5

-132

Josh Hubbard (MS State)

Over 3.5

-106

Under 3.5

-122

VJ Edgecombe (Baylor)

Over 3.5

+126

Under 3.5

-164

Robert Wright III (Baylor)

Over 3.5

+115

Under 3.5

-149

Cameron Matthews (MS State)

Over 3.5

-114

Under 3.5

-114

Norchad Omier (Baylor)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-130

KeShawn Murphy (MS State)

Over 1.5

+136

Under 1.5

-179

Riley Kugel (MS State)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

+127

RJ Melendez (MS State)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

+120

Norchad Omier (Baylor)

Over 11.5

-125

Under 11.5

-103

VJ Edgecombe (Baylor)

Over 6.5

+107

Under 6.5

-139

KeShawn Murphy (MS State)

Over 6.5

-123

Under 6.5

-104

Cameron Matthews (MS State)

Over 5.5

-147

Under 5.5

+113

RJ Melendez (MS State)

Over 4.5

-127

Under 4.5

-102

Riley Kugel (MS State)

Over 3.5

+128

Under 3.5

-167

Josh Hubbard (MS State)

Over 2.5

+144

Under 2.5

-189

Robert Wright III (Baylor)

Over 1.5

-204

Under 1.5

+155

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to college basketball and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether the next shot will be a Two or a Three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Baylor Stats

Mississippi State Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 136.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 144.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 68.40 pts and allowed 68.20 pts in the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 160.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 144.5: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 79.80 pts and allowed 80.60 pts in the last 10 games

NCAAB Regular Season Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Southeastern	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Vanderbilt	15-0	1404	1080	324	9-0	6-0	15W
Georgia	13-2	1468	1128	340	11-1	2-1	1L
Texas A&M	12-3	1416	1163	253	9-1	3-2	5W
Arkansas	12-3	1357	1135	222	10-2	2-1	3W
Missouri	12-3	1238	1071	167	10-0	2-3	2W
LSU	12-3	1297	1076	221	9-2	3-1	2L
Tennessee	11-4	1251	985	266	10-2	1-2	1W
Oklahoma	11-4	1275	1083	192	9-0	2-4	1L
Alabama	11-4	1408	1231	177	9-3	2-1	1L
Mississippi State	10-5	1212	1137	75	8-3	2-2	6W
Florida	10-5	1272	1068	204	10-1	0-4	1W
South Carolina	10-5	1202	1038	164	9-2	1-3	1W
Kentucky	9-6	1246	1043	203	9-4	0-2	2L
Texas	9-6	1312	1113	199	8-3	1-3	2L
Auburn	9-6	1305	1192	113	8-3	1-3	2L
Ole Miss	8-7	1127	1044	83	8-2	0-5	2L

Big 12	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Iowa State	15-0	1325	936	389	11-0	4-0	15W
Arizona	15-0	1372	1015	357	11-0	4-0	15W
BYU	14-1	1323	1015	308	11-1	3-0	11W
Houston	14-1	1159	905	254	11-1	3-0	8W
Oklahoma State	13-2	1353	1196	157	11-0	2-2	1W
UCF	12-2	1217	1061	156	10-1	2-1	1L
Colorado	12-3	1297	1168	129	11-2	1-1	2W
TCU	11-4	1213	1008	205	9-3	2-1	1L
Kansas	11-4	1165	1004	161	9-1	2-3	1W
Texas Tech	11-4	1256	1100	156	10-1	1-3	1L
Baylor	10-4	1270	1038	232	9-2	1-2	2L
West Virginia	10-5	1111	922	189	10-2	0-3	1W
Kansas State	9-6	1299	1193	106	8-3	1-3	2L
Arizona State	9-6	1205	1177	28	6-4	3-2	4L
Cincinnati	8-7	1105	980	125	8-3	0-4	2L
Utah	8-7	1205	1202	3	8-2	0-5	3L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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