Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty Prediction, Picks & Odds | 01 Oct 2024

We Think Under 164 is the Value Bet

The Aces and the Liberty are unlikely to reach the 164 points line in our opinion. Therefore, chance an Under bet at -111 and hope the teams don’t reach that number.

Liberty 87-77 Win in Previous H2H Encounter

The last clash featuring Las Vegas Aces and New York Liberty was on Sunday, with the Liberty securing a 87-77 victory at Barclays Center. The Liberty have racked up four straight victories over the Aces. On the head-to-head front, they have won 6 of the past 10.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
2  Aces	30	14	3680	3552	128	17-5	13-9	16W
5  Liberty	27	17	3713	3534	179	17-5	10-12	3W

View Full Standings

Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty Prediction & Picks

Let’s shoot for a total wager for this WNBA contest, with Under 164 points available at -111. This betting pick looks to have lots of juice in the price.

The WNBA picks stem from knowing the team news and the latest form for each franchise. We work hard to unearth the most pertinent stats which can also act as a guide.

Key Aces vs Liberty stats:

• The 164 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Aces games.
• The 164 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Aces games on the road.
• The 164 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Liberty games at home.
• The 164 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Liberty games.

Under 164 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 52.6% chance of winning. However, our cappers research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. It is the reason why we are recommending this wager.

It’s all about getting the best odds and one way of maximising your Unders wager is by combining it with the winner on the Match Result & Total lines.

Best Bet

Under 164 Points @ -111 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Chelsea Gray Over 3.5 Rebounds +105

Chelsea Gray (Aces) can be backed to register Over 3.5 rebounds at +105. In our opinion, there is value when it comes to her covering a generous Player Rebounds line.

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Kelsey Plum Under 16.5 Points +105

Kelsey Plum (Aces) can be backed to record Under 16.5 points at +105. We’re expecting her to fall short of the Player Points line which makes an Unders bet really appealing.

Correct Score Prediction

Aces 79 - 80 Liberty

Don’t pass up the opportunity to have a speculative wager on the Liberty to land a 80-79 win. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams.

Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Giving Liberty Plenty of Respect

New York Liberty have the shortest price to win this WNBA game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 66% probability due to their -192 Moneyline betting odds. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Las Vegas Aces are trading at +155.

The spread currently stands at 4 and the total points line is 163.5. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball wagers. Those that want to back Under 163.5 can find odds of -111 available.

Basketball bettors are spoilt for choice thanks to the wide range of game lines and team props which are available for every contest on the coupon. Head to the betting sites and find the best value wagers.

Moneyline

Aces

+155

Liberty

-192

Point Spread

Aces +4

-108

Liberty -4

-115

Total Points

Under 163.5

-111

Over 163.5

-111

A'ja Wilson Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

A'ja Wilson is the favorite to hit the most buckets. You can back -125 that she gets Over 23.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -105.

A'ja Wilson (Aces)

Over 23.5

-125

Under 23.5

-105

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 21.5

-110

Under 21.5

-120

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 17.5

-132

Under 17.5

-100

Kelsey Plum (Aces)

Over 17.5

-125

Under 17.5

-105

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 14.5

-125

Under 14.5

-105

Jackie Young (Aces)

Over 14.5

+105

Under 14.5

-139

Chelsea Gray (Aces)

Over 9.5

-125

Under 9.5

-105

Betnijah Laney-Hamilton (Liberty)

Over 9.5

-120

Under 9.5

-110

Leonie Fiebich (Liberty)

Over 8.5

-120

Under 8.5

-110

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 5.5

-132

Under 5.5

-100

Chelsea Gray (Aces)

Over 4.5

-132

Under 4.5

-100

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-147

Kelsey Plum (Aces)

Over 3.5

-125

Under 3.5

-105

Jackie Young (Aces)

Over 3.5

-154

Under 3.5

+115

Betnijah Laney-Hamilton (Liberty)

Over 3.5

+140

Under 3.5

-189

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 2.5

-139

Under 2.5

+105

A'ja Wilson (Aces)

Over 10.5

-100

Under 10.5

-132

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 9.5

+120

Under 9.5

-159

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 9.5

-132

Under 9.5

-100

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 4.5

-115

Under 4.5

-115

Jackie Young (Aces)

Over 3.5

-114

Under 3.5

-114

Chelsea Gray (Aces)

Over 3.5

+112

Under 3.5

-149

Betnijah Laney-Hamilton (Liberty)

Over 3.5

-120

Under 3.5

-110

Kelsey Plum (Aces)

Over 2.5

-139

Under 2.5

+105

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Las Vegas Aces Stats

New York Liberty Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 157.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 157.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 165: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 165 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 78.40 pts and allowed 79.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 76.00 pts and allowed 81.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 169.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 157.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 165: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 165 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 83.10 pts and allowed 85.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 84.70 pts and allowed 73.00 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	34	10	3787	3373	414	20-2	14-8	1W
2  Aces	30	14	3680	3552	128	17-5	13-9	16W
3  Dream	30	14	3712	3378	334	16-6	14-8	6W
4  Mercury	27	17	3643	3525	118	15-7	12-10	3L
5  Liberty	27	17	3713	3534	179	17-5	10-12	3W
6  Fever	24	20	3734	3586	148	13-9	11-11	3W
7  Storm	23	21	3614	3524	90	10-12	13-9	1W
8  Valkyries	23	21	3420	3359	61	14-8	9-13	3L
9  Sparks	21	23	3769	3882	-113	9-13	12-10	1L
10  Mystics	16	28	3394	3589	-195	10-12	6-16	10L
11  Sun	11	33	3337	3782	-445	7-15	4-18	2L
12  Sky	10	34	3335	3777	-442	6-16	4-18	4L
13  Wings	10	34	3594	3871	-277	6-16	4-18	1W