Liberty vs Oregon Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Mar 2025

No. 12 Liberty Flames (28-6, 16-5 CUSA) clash with No. 5 Oregon Ducks (24-9, 13-9 Big Ten) in this East Region first round game at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, Washington.

We’re confident that Over 138.5 is the value bet at -115. We’re expecting Liberty and Oregon to rack up the points, so we’ll have a wager on the totals.

Liberty Flames won their previous game, beating Jacksonville State Gamecocks at home. It was a 79-67 win.

Oregon Ducks suffered a defeat in their last game. A 74-64 scoreline occurred on the road against Michigan State Spartans.

NCAAB Regular Season	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Liberty	20-3	1823	1554	269	12-1	8-2	14W
Oregon	8-15	1649	1708	-59	7-8	1-7	9L

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Liberty vs Oregon Prediction & Picks

The Overs is sticking out like a sore thumb considering the line for this college contest is set at 138.5. We’re expecting a bigger total and -115 is available.

We’re keen to follow the latest form and understand any patterns that emerge. The same applies to injuries that could affect key players. Combined with the most important stats, there is plenty of information to make a verdict.

Key Liberty vs Oregon stats:

• The 138.5 line has been covered in all of the last 5 Liberty games.
• The 138.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Liberty games.
• The 138.5 line has been covered in the last 6 Liberty games.
• The 138.5 line has been covered in 14 of the last 20 Oregon games.
• The 138.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Oregon games.

Over 138.5 Probability

The sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 53.5% likelihood of this pick winning. However, our analysts research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

If you’re confident with your Over pick but want more juice from your wager, then a Bet Builder can offer the chance to add in other selections for a bigger potential return.

Our Game Prediction

Over 138.5 Points @ -115 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (00:53, 21 March 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: TJ Bamba Over 10.5 Points -111

TJ Bamba (Oregon) can be backed to total Over 10.5 points at -111. We’re happy to take this Player Points prop bet as he is capable of a big performance.

Latest TJ Bamba Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 10.5

-108

Under 10.5

-120

Assists

Over 2.5

-147

Under 2.5

+114

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-167

Under 3.5

+127

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Jackson Shelstad Over 15.5 Points -108

Jackson Shelstad (Oregon) is available at -108 to score Over 15.5 points. We are going to choose a Player Points prop bet which will hopefully see him cover the line.

Latest Jackson Shelstad Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 14.5

-103

Under 14.5

-125

Assists

Over 2.5

+146

Under 2.5

-192

Rebounds

Over 2.5

-120

Under 2.5

-108

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Liberty 70 - 73 Oregon

Oregon are available at massive odds to register a 73-70 victory and they might have the edge. This should be a close game and there won’t be much between the teams.

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Liberty vs Oregon Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Oregon as -294 favorites for this college game, implying that they are 75% likely to win. Liberty are the underdogs at +235 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The current spread is 6.5 and the total points line is 137.5. A Total wager relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. If you’re going for Over 137.5, then the odds are -115.

Oregon are favorites at odds of -220 when it comes to the Race to 20 Points betting, with Liberty available at +160 should you think they’ll reach this number first.

If you’re planning to place a bet on a college basketball contest, visit the betting sites and check out the wide range of team props and game lines. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Liberty

+235

Oregon

-294

Point Spread

Liberty +6.5

-102

Oregon -6.5

-120

Total Points

Under 137.5

-105

Over 137.5

-115

The favorite to land the most baskets is Nate Bittle. Odds of -114 can be found for him scoring Over 17.5 points and there are the same odds for him to go Under.

Nate Bittle (Oregon)

Over 17.5

-114

Under 17.5

-114

Jackson Shelstad (Oregon)

Over 14.5

-103

Under 14.5

-125

Taelon Peter (Liberty)

Over 13.5

-118

Under 13.5

-110

Kaden Metheny (Liberty)

Over 12.5

+103

Under 12.5

-133

Zach Cleveland (Liberty)

Over 10.5

-114

Under 10.5

-114

TJ Bamba (Oregon)

Over 10.5

-108

Under 10.5

-120

Keeshawn Barthelemy (Oregon)

Over 9.5

-120

Under 9.5

-108

Colin Porter (Liberty)

Over 9.5

+103

Under 9.5

-133

Jayvon Maughmer (Liberty)

Over 7.5

-132

Under 7.5

+102

Kwame Evans Jr. (Oregon)

Over 6.5

+104

Under 6.5

-135

Brandon Angel (Oregon)

Over 5.5

-127

Under 5.5

-102

Zach Cleveland (Liberty)

Over 3.5

-156

Under 3.5

+120

Colin Porter (Liberty)

Over 3.5

+128

Under 3.5

-167

Jackson Shelstad (Oregon)

Over 2.5

+146

Under 2.5

-192

TJ Bamba (Oregon)

Over 2.5

-147

Under 2.5

+114

Keeshawn Barthelemy (Oregon)

Over 2.5

+112

Under 2.5

-145

Nate Bittle (Oregon)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

+119

Taelon Peter (Liberty)

Over 1.5

+161

Under 1.5

-213

Kaden Metheny (Liberty)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-132

Nate Bittle (Oregon)

Over 8.5

-106

Under 8.5

-122

Zach Cleveland (Liberty)

Over 5.5

-130

Under 5.5

-100

Kwame Evans Jr. (Oregon)

Over 5.5

-161

Under 5.5

+123

Taelon Peter (Liberty)

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-108

Jayvon Maughmer (Liberty)

Over 4.5

-115

Under 4.5

-112

Brandon Angel (Oregon)

Over 4.5

+117

Under 4.5

-152

TJ Bamba (Oregon)

Over 3.5

-167

Under 3.5

+127

Jackson Shelstad (Oregon)

Over 2.5

-120

Under 2.5

-108

Kaden Metheny (Liberty)

Over 2.5

-175

Under 2.5

+135

Keeshawn Barthelemy (Oregon)

Over 2.5

-112

Under 2.5

-115

Colin Porter (Liberty)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-156

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for college basketball bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to bet on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Liberty Stats

Oregon Stats

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games

Point Spread

• +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games

Point Spread

• -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 141.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 138.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 75.40 pts and allowed 65.60 pts in the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 145.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 138.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 75.80 pts and allowed 70.00 pts in the last 10 games

NCAAB Regular Season Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big Ten	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Michigan	22-1	2092	1577	515	14-1	8-0	8W
Nebraska	21-2	1839	1520	319	15-1	6-1	1W
Illinois	20-4	2028	1630	398	13-3	7-1	1L
Michigan State	20-4	1899	1575	324	14-2	6-2	1W
Purdue	19-4	1908	1581	327	14-2	5-2	2W
Iowa	18-5	1797	1467	330	14-1	4-4	6W
USC	18-6	1950	1807	143	11-3	7-3	3W
UCLA	17-7	1892	1676	216	14-2	3-5	2W
Wisconsin	16-7	1908	1729	179	12-2	4-5	1L
Indiana	16-8	1946	1710	236	13-3	3-5	1W
Ohio State	15-8	1869	1687	182	10-4	5-4	1L
Washington	12-12	1869	1763	106	8-4	4-8	2L
Minnesota	11-13	1717	1654	63	10-7	1-6	1L
Northwestern	10-14	1800	1743	57	8-7	2-7	3L
Penn State	10-14	1826	1911	-85	9-8	1-6	2L
Maryland	9-14	1651	1817	-166	7-6	2-8	1W
Rutgers	9-15	1682	1834	-152	9-6	0-9	7L
Oregon	8-15	1649	1708	-59	7-8	1-7	9L

Conference USA	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Liberty	20-3	1823	1554	269	12-1	8-2	14W
Sam Houston	16-8	1991	1770	221	9-1	7-7	1L
Kennesaw State	14-9	1962	1748	214	11-1	3-8	1L
Jacksonville State	13-10	1682	1524	158	9-5	4-5	2W
Missouri State	13-10	1733	1669	64	10-3	3-7	1L
Louisiana Tech	13-10	1586	1457	129	12-2	1-8	1W
Western Kentucky	13-11	1855	1786	69	10-5	3-6	1W
Middle Tennessee	11-12	1716	1654	62	9-5	2-7	5L
FIU	11-12	1896	1812	84	9-4	2-8	1L
New Mexico State	11-12	1742	1631	111	8-5	3-7	1L
UTEP	9-15	1682	1731	-49	8-6	1-9	1W
Delaware	7-16	1528	1663	-135	5-9	2-7	1W

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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