Louisville vs Pittsburgh Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Jan 2025

Our prediction is for Pitt to cover the spread when they go up against Louisville. The -4.5 line looks attractive at -120 and we’re expecting a bigger margin of victory.

Louisville Cardinals claimed a victory in their previous game. A 74-64 home win occurred against Clemson Tigers.

Pittsburgh Panthers lost on the road in their last game. Duke Blue Devils won 76-47.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 86-59 in favor of Pitt when they last played Louisville. It’s been five wins on the bounce for Pitt when playing Louisville. On the head-to-head front, they have won 5 of the past 10.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Louisville	6-0	573	394	179	5-0	1-0	6W
Pittsburgh	4-3	505	466	39	4-1	0-2	2L

View Full Standings

Louisville vs Pittsburgh Prediction & Picks

We are predicting that Pitt will cover the spread in this college contest. -4.5 seems a more than generous line and you can get -120 that the favorites will win by a bigger margin.

A good deal of research goes into our college basketball picks. We start by studying the latest form and getting a handle on injuries. The key stats can then be used as the missing piece of the jigsaw.

Key Louisville vs Pittsburgh stats:

• The -4.5 line has been covered by Pitt in all of their last 10 games at home.
• The -4.5 line has been covered by Pitt in all of their last 5 games at home.
• The -4.5 line has been covered by Pitt in 16 consecutive games at home.
• The +4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Louisville in 13 of their last 19 games on the road.
• The -4.5 line has been covered by Pitt in 5 consecutive games against Louisville.

Pitt -4.5 Probability

The sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 54.6% likelihood of this pick winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this college basketball bet.

Want bigger odds when it comes to your wager? Never fear, you are able to head to the sportsbooks and move the line until you’re happy with the price.

Our Game Prediction

Pitt -4.5 @ -120 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Cameron Corhen Under 5.5 Rebounds +109

Cameron Corhen (Pitt) can be wagered to have Under 5.5 rebounds at +109. When it comes to Player Rebounds, we’re expecting him to make a total that falls below the line.

Latest Cameron Corhen Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 10.5

-116

Under 10.5

-111

Rebounds

Over 5.5

-141

Under 5.5

+109

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Jaland Lowe Over 17.5 Points -103

Jaland Lowe (Pitt) can be backed to register Over 17.5 points at -103. He should be capable of going over the total which looks attractive when it comes to having a bet on Player Points.

Latest Jaland Lowe Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 17.5

-103

Under 17.5

-125

Assists

Over 6.5

+117

Under 6.5

-152

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-149

Under 3.5

+115

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Correct Score Prediction

Louisville 73 - 82 Pittsburgh

There’s the chance to back Pitt in lots of different ways and this includes predicting the correct winning score. We’ll go for a 82-73 victory in their favor.

Louisville vs Pittsburgh Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Pittsburgh as -179 favorites for this college game, implying that they are 64% likely to win. Louisville are the underdogs at +146 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The spread is currently 3.5, with the total points line at 149.5. A Total bet is always available and can often provide value selections. If you're keen on Over 149.5, this selection is available at -110.

If you think Pitt can reach 20 points first, then odds of -160 are available for the favorites to win. On the flip side, Louisville are +120 to reach this total before their opponents.

If you’re wagering on college basketball, we recommend heading to the betting sites and scanning through the many game lines and team props. There’s a chance to wager pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

Louisville

+146

Pitt

-179

Point Spread

Louisville +3.5

-102

Pitt -3.5

-120

Total Points

Under 149.5

-110

Over 149.5

-110

Jaland Lowe is the market leader to land the most baskets. He is priced at -103 to score Over 17.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -125.

Jaland Lowe (Pitt)

Over 17.5

-103

Under 17.5

-125

Ishmael Leggett (Pitt)

Over 16.5

-103

Under 16.5

-125

Chucky Hepburn (Louisville)

Over 15.5

-109

Under 15.5

-119

Terrence Edwards Jr. (Louisville)

Over 13.5

-119

Under 13.5

-109

J'Vonne Hadley (Louisville)

Over 11.5

-110

Under 11.5

-118

Cameron Corhen (Pitt)

Over 10.5

-116

Under 10.5

-111

Jaland Lowe (Pitt)

Over 6.5

+117

Under 6.5

-152

Chucky Hepburn (Louisville)

Over 5.5

-108

Under 5.5

-120

Ishmael Leggett (Pitt)

Over 2.5

+104

Under 2.5

-135

Terrence Edwards Jr. (Louisville)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-169

J'Vonne Hadley (Louisville)

Over 1.5

-108

Under 1.5

-120

J'Vonne Hadley (Louisville)

Over 6.5

-141

Under 6.5

+108

Ishmael Leggett (Pitt)

Over 5.5

-112

Under 5.5

-115

Cameron Corhen (Pitt)

Over 5.5

-141

Under 5.5

+109

Terrence Edwards Jr. (Louisville)

Over 4.5

-105

Under 4.5

-123

Jaland Lowe (Pitt)

Over 3.5

-149

Under 3.5

+115

Chucky Hepburn (Louisville)

Over 2.5

-164

Under 2.5

+125

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Louisville Stats

Pittsburgh Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 148.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 158.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 149.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 149.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 74.90 pts and allowed 73.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 78.50 pts and allowed 79.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 151.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 154.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 149.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 149.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 78.30 pts and allowed 73.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 89.70 pts and allowed 64.30 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Duke	7-0	655	399	256	6-0	1-0	7W
Louisville	6-0	573	394	179	5-0	1-0	6W
North Carolina	6-0	525	386	139	6-0	0-0	6W
SMU	7-0	649	511	138	7-0	0-0	7W
Virginia Tech	5-0	461	364	97	5-0	0-0	5W
Clemson	6-1	590	454	136	5-0	1-1	3W
California	6-1	591	487	104	6-0	0-1	3W
Georgia Tech	5-1	437	381	56	5-0	0-1	2W
Virginia	5-1	519	404	115	4-0	1-1	1L
NC State	5-1	558	434	124	4-1	1-0	1W
Florida State	5-1	559	422	137	5-0	0-1	3W
Miami	5-1	553	386	167	5-0	0-1	2W
Stanford	4-1	419	358	61	4-1	0-0	1L
Wake Forest	5-2	613	502	111	4-0	1-2	2W
Notre Dame	5-2	547	472	75	5-0	0-2	1W
Syracuse	4-2	460	362	98	3-0	1-2	2L
Pittsburgh	4-3	505	466	39	4-1	0-2	2L
Boston College	3-4	491	465	26	2-3	1-1	2L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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