Miami vs Florida State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 19 Feb 2025

Our prediction is to snap up the -110 that Florida State are able to cover the spread. The favorites are -8.5 in their meeting with Miami and the margin of victory could be a good deal more significant.

Miami Hurricanes were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road. Pittsburgh Panthers claimed a 74-65 win.

Florida State Seminoles lost their last game, being beaten at home to Clemson Tigers 72-46.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Florida State beat Miami when the teams last met. It was a 80-65 scoreline. Florida State have four straight victories against Miami. They have won 9 of the 10 previous head-to-head matchups.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Miami	8-2	856	653	203	6-1	2-1	3W
Florida State	5-4	758	706	52	5-2	0-2	3L

View Full Standings

Miami vs Florida State Prediction & Picks

We’re bullish about the market leaders on the spread at -8.5. Florida State should be able to win this college contest by a comfortable margin and you can get -110.

The expert college basketball handicappers at Sportsgambler.com check injury updates regularly and combine this with the form guide. We’re also able to consult a database of stats and present the key numbers to our readers.

Key Miami vs Florida State stats:

• The -8.5 line has been covered by Florida State in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +8.5 line hasn’t been covered by Miami in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +8.5 line hasn’t been covered by Miami in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +8.5 line hasn’t been covered by Miami in 2 consecutive games on the road.

FSU -8.5 Probability

The sportsbooks make it a 52.4% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

In the hunt for bigger odds, you might be interested to know that you can move the line. This allows you to shoot for a team to perform better than expected by the sportsbooks.

Our Game Prediction

FSU -8.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Malique Ewin Over 16.5 Points -112

Malique Ewin (Florida State) can be backed to total Over 16.5 points at -112. He should be capable of going over the total which looks attractive when it comes to having a bet on Player Points.

Latest Malique Ewin Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 16.5

-112

Under 16.5

-115

Assists

Over 1.5

-204

Under 1.5

+155

Rebounds

Over 8.5

-125

Under 8.5

-103

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Matthew Cleveland Over 19.5 Points -122

Matthew Cleveland (Miami) is available at -122 to record Over 19.5 points. He looks like a solid bet to cover the Player Points line and we’re confident with this wager.

Latest Matthew Cleveland Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 19.5

-135

Under 19.5

+105

Assists

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

+140

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-143

Under 3.5

+110

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Correct Score Prediction

Miami 68 - 81 Florida State

There are stacks of correct score lines on offer and we’re looking at Florida State to achieve a winning scoreline of 81-68 where a huge potential return is on the cards.

Miami vs Florida State Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

With a 79% chance of securing victory, Florida State are favorites for this college game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -370. Miami are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +290.

The current spread is 8.5 and the total points line is 155.5. The Totals offers basketball fans an alternative way of getting involved. There’s the chance to back Under 155.5 at -110.

FSU are favorites at odds of -220 when it comes to the Race to 20 Points betting, with Miami available at +160 should you think they’ll reach this number first.

The good news is that you can access a wide range of team props and game lines for most college basketball contests. The betting sites have a huge range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

Miami

+290

FSU

-370

Point Spread

Miami +8.5

-110

FSU -8.5

-110

Total Points

Under 155.5

-110

Over 155.5

-110

In terms of landing the most baskets, favorite Matthew Cleveland is available at -135 to rack up Over 19.5 points. If you want to go Under, then +105 is available.

Matthew Cleveland (Miami)

Over 19.5

-135

Under 19.5

+105

Jamir Watkins (FSU)

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-114

Malique Ewin (FSU)

Over 16.5

-112

Under 16.5

-115

Lynn Kidd (Miami)

Over 10.5

-112

Under 10.5

-115

Jamir Watkins (FSU)

Over 2.5

-182

Under 2.5

+139

Matthew Cleveland (Miami)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

+140

Malique Ewin (FSU)

Over 1.5

-204

Under 1.5

+155

Lynn Kidd (Miami)

Over 1.5

+141

Under 1.5

-185

Malique Ewin (FSU)

Over 8.5

-125

Under 8.5

-103

Lynn Kidd (Miami)

Over 6.5

-143

Under 6.5

+110

Jamir Watkins (FSU)

Over 5.5

-149

Under 5.5

+115

Matthew Cleveland (Miami)

Over 3.5

-143

Under 3.5

+110

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some bettors prefer to look at the college basketball micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Stats

Florida State Stats

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 0 wins and 10 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• +8.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -8.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 158.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 153.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 153.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 153.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 71.90 pts and allowed 86.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 70.10 pts and allowed 83.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 143.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 147.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 153.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
• Over 153.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 69.60 pts and allowed 73.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 76.90 pts and allowed 71.00 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Duke	10-0	868	596	272	7-0	3-0	10W
SMU	9-1	898	760	138	8-0	1-1	1W
Louisville	8-1	844	608	236	6-0	2-1	1W
Virginia	8-1	787	615	172	6-0	2-1	3W
North Carolina	8-1	731	585	146	7-0	1-1	2W
California	8-1	737	620	117	8-0	0-1	5W
Miami	8-2	856	653	203	6-1	2-1	3W
Virginia Tech	8-2	820	736	84	6-0	2-2	2W
Stanford	7-2	737	650	87	5-2	2-0	1L
Clemson	7-2	766	600	166	6-0	1-2	1L
Wake Forest	7-3	842	727	115	5-1	2-2	1W
Notre Dame	7-3	766	694	72	6-0	1-3	2W
NC State	6-3	803	682	121	5-1	1-2	1W
Syracuse	5-3	586	517	69	4-0	1-3	1W
Georgia Tech	6-4	724	692	32	6-2	0-2	1W
Florida State	5-4	758	706	52	5-2	0-2	3L
Boston College	5-5	700	666	34	4-4	1-1	1W
Pittsburgh	5-5	718	693	25	5-3	0-2	2L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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