Missouri State vs Valparaiso Prediction, Picks & Odds | 19 Feb 2025

We think that Valparaiso should prove too strong for Missouri State. Therefore, it’s all about going to the Moneyline to back the home team and there’s lots of juice in the -147 on offer.

Missouri State Bears lost on the road in their previous game. UIC Flames won 63-58.

Valparaiso Beacons were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 79-69 reverse against Evansville Purple Aces.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was Valparaiso who came out on top when they last played Missouri State. A 73-72 win was recorded. The past 10 H2H games have seen Missouri State land nine wins.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Missouri State	9-5	1048	973	75	8-2	1-3	5W
Valparaiso	6-8	966	988	-22	5-3	1-5	1W

View Full Standings

Missouri State vs Valparaiso Prediction & Picks

Take Valparaiso at -147 on the Moneyline to get the better of their opponents. We believe that the home team have a good chance of claiming a victory in this college showdown.

It's important to understand the players who are unavailable for the upcoming action and the respective form of each team. If you want stats, you have come to the right place and they form the basis of our college basketball predictions.

Key Missouri State vs Valparaiso stats:

• Missouri State have lost all of their last 5 games on the road.
• Missouri State have lost 9 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Missouri State have lost their last 9 games on the road.

Valpo Moneyline Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 59.5% chance of winning. Our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 65-70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this college basketball wager.

As an alternative, you could consider the spread where you can back Valpo to cover a particular line. That means you might need a margin of victory to yield a return.

Our Game Prediction

Valparaiso Moneyline @ -147 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Missouri State 72 - 74 Valparaiso

A close game could be on the cards. We’ll bet on the Beacons to secure a 74-72 win at huge odds and this correct score selection should hopefully be a fun one.

Missouri State vs Valparaiso Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The sportsbooks have Valparaiso at -149 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the favorites are 60% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. Missouri State are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +125.

2.5 is the spread and 138.5 is the total points line. A Total bet is always available and can often provide value selections. If you’re going for Over 138.5, then the odds are -110.

If you’re keen on Valpo reaching 20 points before their opponents, the favorites are -150 to oblige. Conversely, Missouri State can be backed at +110 to make this total first.

Whether you are wagering pre-game or in-game, you can feast on plenty of game lines and team props. The selections are practically endless and it’s great to have so many options.

Moneyline

Missouri State

+125

Valpo

-149

Point Spread

Missouri State +2.5

-105

Valpo -2.5

-115

Total Points

Under 138.5

-110

Over 138.5

-110

There is regularly betting value to be found from wagering on the player props with the best online gambling sites. You can find lots of ways to back for or against a specific player lining up for one of the two teams.

Among the various options for wagering on college basketball, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Missouri State Stats

Valparaiso Stats

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• +2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games
• -2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 134.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 140.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 141.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 141.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 65.10 pts and allowed 69.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 65.70 pts and allowed 74.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 151.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 157.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 141.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 141.5 at Home: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 71.80 pts and allowed 79.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 81.20 pts and allowed 76.60 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Missouri Valley	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Murray State	13-3	1412	1239	173	10-0	3-3	9W
Belmont	13-3	1345	1114	231	8-2	5-1	1L
Illinois State	12-3	1199	978	221	9-1	3-2	4W
Northern Iowa	12-3	1049	859	190	8-1	4-2	3W
Bradley	10-6	1240	1146	94	9-2	1-4	2L
Drake	8-7	1158	1044	114	5-6	3-1	1W
Southern Illinois	8-8	1248	1177	71	5-2	3-6	2W
Indiana State	8-8	1212	1181	31	6-1	2-7	2L
Valparaiso	6-8	966	988	-22	5-3	1-5	1W
UIC	5-10	1147	1105	42	4-4	1-6	2L
Evansville	4-12	1065	1158	-93	3-7	1-5	7L

Conference USA	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Liberty	11-3	1138	954	184	8-1	3-2	5W
Middle Tennessee	9-5	1074	972	102	8-2	1-3	2W
Missouri State	9-5	1048	973	75	8-2	1-3	5W
FIU	9-5	1222	1094	128	9-2	0-3	2W
Western Kentucky	9-5	1164	1075	89	8-2	1-3	2W
New Mexico State	8-5	1009	899	110	7-1	1-4	2L
Louisiana Tech	8-6	973	827	146	8-0	0-6	2L
Kennesaw State	8-6	1245	1061	184	6-1	2-5	4L
Sam Houston	8-6	1215	1067	148	4-0	4-6	2L
Jacksonville State	7-7	1035	905	130	5-4	2-3	1L
Delaware	5-9	926	990	-64	4-6	1-3	1W
UTEP	4-10	978	1013	-35	4-3	0-7	3L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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