North Carolina vs NC State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Jan 2025

We’re Expecting a Low Points Total

We’re going for a modest total when North Carolina and NC State take to the court. Under 154.5 points could be on the money and our prediction is currently available at -110.

7 of Last 10 Clashes Have Been North Carolina Wins

North Carolina Tar Heels previous game saw them claim a 82-67 home win over SMU Mustangs.

NC State Wolfpack were winners last time out. It was a 66-65 home victory against Notre Dame Fighting Irish.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 84-76 in favor of NC State when they last played North Carolina. North Carolina have won seven of the past 10 games that these teams have played.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
NC State	1-0	114	66	48	1-0	0-0	1W
North Carolina	1-0	94	54	40	1-0	0-0	1W

View Full Standings

North Carolina vs NC State Prediction & Picks

Totals wagering for this college contest provides lots of value at -110. The line is set at 154.5 and we’d be surprised if the combined points total exceeds that amount.

The college basketball predictions are created after keeping tabs on the latest team news along with the form guide. We also delve into the latest stats which can provide a barometer for how the action might play out.

Key North Carolina vs NC State stats:

• The 154.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 UNC games.
• The 154.5 line hasn’t been covered in 12 of the last 19 UNC games on the road.
• The 154.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 UNC games.
• The 154.5 line hasn’t been covered in any of the last 5 NC State games.
• The 154.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 NC State games.
• The 154.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 6 NC State games.

Under 154.5 Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of landing a return. However, our analysts have this number between 55-60% based on their in-depth research. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

It’s all about getting the best odds and one way of maximising your Unders bet is by combining it with the winner on the Match Result & Total lines.

Best Bet

Under 154.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jayden Taylor Under 12.5 Points -110

Jayden Taylor (NC State) can be backed to score Under 12.5 points at -110. When it comes to his Player Points outcome, we are fairly confident he will total below the line.

Latest Jayden Taylor Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 12.5

-118

Under 12.5

-110

Assists

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-110

Rebounds

Over 2.5

-108

Under 2.5

-120

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Michael O'Connell Under 7.5 Points -104

Michael O'Connell (NC State) can be wagered to record Under 7.5 points at -104. We’re expecting him to fall short when it comes to Player Points as the line looks high enough.

Latest Michael O'Connell Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 7.5

-120

Under 7.5

-108

Assists

Over 3.5

-110

Under 3.5

-118

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-132

Under 3.5

+102

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Correct Score Prediction

North Carolina 76 - 73 NC State

North Carolina are available at massive odds to register a 76-73 victory and they might have the edge. This should be a close game and there won’t be much between the teams.

North Carolina vs NC State Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

UNC Could Have the Edge Say the Books

North Carolina have the shortest price to win this college game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 67% probability due to their -200 Moneyline betting odds. NC State are the underdogs at +164 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The spread currently stands at 4.5 and the total points line is 150.5. The Totals offers basketball fans an alternative way of getting involved. Those expecting a low total can back Under 150.5 at -105.

There’s a chance to back UNC at -175 to reach the 20-point total before their opponents. Should you want to go against the favorites, NC State are available at +125.

If you’re wagering on college basketball, we recommend heading to the betting sites and scanning through the many game lines and team props. There’s a chance to wager pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

UNC

-200

NC State

+164

Point Spread

UNC -4.5

-114

NC State +4.5

-106

Total Points

Under 150.5

-105

Over 150.5

-115

Ian Jackson Favorite to Get Most Points

Ian Jackson is favorite when it comes to hitting the most buckets. You can get -114 that he goes Over 18.5 points or the same odds when it comes to Under.

Ian Jackson (UNC)

Over 18.5

-114

Under 18.5

-114

RJ Davis (UNC)

Over 17.5

-120

Under 17.5

-108

Marcus Hill (NC State)

Over 13.5

-118

Under 13.5

-110

Jayden Taylor (NC State)

Over 12.5

-118

Under 12.5

-110

Seth Trimble (UNC)

Over 12.5

-118

Under 12.5

-110

Elliot Cadeau (UNC)

Over 8.5

-114

Under 8.5

-114

Michael O'Connell (NC State)

Over 7.5

-120

Under 7.5

-108

Elliot Cadeau (UNC)

Over 5.5

-105

Under 5.5

-123

RJ Davis (UNC)

Over 4.5

+115

Under 4.5

-149

Michael O'Connell (NC State)

Over 3.5

-110

Under 3.5

-118

Marcus Hill (NC State)

Over 1.5

-204

Under 1.5

+155

Jayden Taylor (NC State)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-110

Ian Jackson (UNC)

Over 4.5

-105

Under 4.5

-123

RJ Davis (UNC)

Over 4.5

+113

Under 4.5

-147

Seth Trimble (UNC)

Over 4.5

-111

Under 4.5

-116

Marcus Hill (NC State)

Over 3.5

-147

Under 3.5

+113

Michael O'Connell (NC State)

Over 3.5

-132

Under 3.5

+102

Jayden Taylor (NC State)

Over 2.5

-108

Under 2.5

-120

Elliot Cadeau (UNC)

Over 2.5

+109

Under 2.5

-141

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

North Carolina Stats

NC State Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 160.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 153.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 154.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 154.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 81.40 pts and allowed 78.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 77.20 pts and allowed 76.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 135.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 138.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 154.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
• Over 154.5 at Home: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 67.20 pts and allowed 68.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 74.10 pts and allowed 64.10 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Louisville	1-0	104	45	59	1-0	0-0	1W
Notre Dame	1-0	89	67	22	1-0	0-0	1W
Stanford	1-0	89	79	10	1-0	0-0	1W
Wake Forest	1-0	88	74	14	1-0	0-0	1W
Pittsburgh	1-0	74	59	15	1-0	0-0	1W
Duke	1-0	75	60	15	1-0	0-0	1W
Miami	1-0	86	69	17	1-0	0-0	1W
SMU	1-0	96	76	20	1-0	0-0	1W
California	1-0	87	60	27	1-0	0-0	1W
Clemson	1-0	88	38	50	1-0	0-0	1W
Virginia Tech	1-0	98	67	31	1-0	0-0	1W
Florida State	1-0	108	76	32	1-0	0-0	1W
Virginia	1-0	87	53	34	1-0	0-0	1W
Syracuse	1-0	85	47	38	1-0	0-0	1W
North Carolina	1-0	94	54	40	1-0	0-0	1W
NC State	1-0	114	66	48	1-0	0-0	1W
Boston College	0-1	78	83	-5	0-0	0-1	1L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak