Oklahoma City Thunder
Denver Nuggets
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings
Thunder to Dominate Nuggets

No. 1 Oklahoma City Thunder (68-14, 32-8 Away) play No. 4 Denver Nuggets (50-32, 26-15 at Home) in game 3 of this NBA Playoffs Western Conference Semifinal matchup at Ball Arena, with the series being tied 1-1.

Our pick is that the Thunder will gain the upper hand against the Nuggets. This leads us to backing them against the spread at -110, with the -5 line offering lots of appeal.

Thunder Won Previous H2H Clash

Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets clashed two nights ago and it was the Thunder who claimed a 149-106 win at Paycom Center.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 34 points for the Thunder, Jalen Williams bagged 17, while Chet Holmgren registered 15 points and 11 rebounds. For the Nuggets, Russell Westbrook recorded 19 points, Nikola Jokic 17 and Jamal Murray 14.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The previous 10 games featuring these teams have resulted in six Thunder victories.

NBA Reg. Season W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder logo Thunder 49 15 0.766 118.9 107.8 11.1 25-7 24-8 9-3 34-9 8-2 4W
Nuggets logo Nuggets 38 24 0.613 120.5 116.1 4.4 16-12 22-12 6-4 22-13 5-5 1W
View Full Standings
Oklahoma City Thunder – Last 10 Games

The Thunder have 9 wins and 1 loss in the past 10 games. They are averaging 126.9 points, 45.9 rebounds, 26.9 assists, 10.7 steals and 6.1 blocks while shooting 48.0% from the field and 80.4% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 107.2 points and 46.5 rebounds per matchup.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 22.0 points and 4.6 assists, while Isaiah Hartenstein averages 6.7 rebounds and Isaiah Joe 2.6 (44.1%) 3-pointers made.

Denver Nuggets – Last 10 Games

The Nuggets have won 6 and lost 4 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 110.7 points, 45.1 rebounds, 23.6 assists, 7.1 steals and 4.4 blocks per game while shooting 47.1% from the field and 75.6% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 113.7 points and 40.8 rebounds.

Nikola Jokic is averaging 24.5 points, 11.8 rebounds and 9.0 assists, while Jamal Murray has an average of 2.5 (39.7%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder lineup: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein.

Denver Nuggets lineup: Christian Braun, Michael Porter Jr., Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Picks

Bank on Thunder to cover the -5 line on the spread. This is a great number and that’s why we’re playing the favorites at -110 for this NBA showdown.

The team news that filters through can have a knock-on effect as far as the NBA betting lines and odds are concerned. We use this information along with the form guide, while some key stats are also taken into consideration.

Key Thunder vs Nuggets stats:

  • The -5 line has been covered by Thunder in 8 of their last 10 games.
  • The -5 line has been covered by Thunder in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.

Thunder -5 Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of landing a return. However, our cappers think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If you’re hunting for larger odds and feel confident your selection is going to perform well, then consider moving the line and land a bigger potential return.

Our Game Prediction
Thunder -5 @ -110 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 9, 00:52). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 00:52, 09 May 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Nikola Jokic Under 28.5 Points -120 BetMGM logo

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets) has recorded an average of 22 points in the past 5 home games. We are therefore keen to back the -120 that he fails to cover this total when it comes to Player Points.

Latest Nikola Jokic Player Prop Odds


Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 32.5 Points -109 BetMGM logo

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder) has had Over 32.5 points in 3 straight games. We will therefore place a bet that he is able to cover the line for this Player Points wager which is available at odds of -109.

Latest Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Thunder -5
Totals Under 233.5
Player Points Nikola Jokic Under 28.5

Take a same game parlay that incorporates Thunder to cover the -5 spread along with Under 233.5. Add in Nikola Jokic (Nuggets) to score Under 28.5 points.

Should you want to back different outcomes for the same basketball game, then a same game parlay will suit your needs. The betting sites create this personalised wagering tool where you can make different picks and combine the odds together.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Thunder Thunder logo 118 - 108 Nuggets logo Nuggets

If you want to achieve a big return from your stake, then it’s worth checking out the correct score lines. The Thunder to claim a 118-108 victory is available at huge odds.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Books Giving Thunder Plenty of Respect

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Oklahoma City Thunder as -238 favorites for this NBA game, implying that they are 70% likely to win. At +198, Denver Nuggets are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The spread is 5.5 and the total points line is currently 232. There are many ways to wager on basketball including the Totals. If you’re going for Under 232, this outcome can be backed at -112.

If you’re planning to place a basketball bet, visit the betting sites and check out the wide range of game lines and team props. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Betting Lines & Odds
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can get -109 that he scores Over 32.5 points or -120 that he goes Under.

Player Points
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)
Over 32.5
-109
Under 32.5
-120
BetMGM Logo
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)
Over 28.5
-109
Under 28.5
-122
BetMGM Logo
Jalen Williams (Thunder)
Over 21.5
-127
Under 21.5
-106
BetMGM Logo
Jamal Murray (Nuggets)
Over 20.5
-122
Under 20.5
-109
BetMGM Logo
Player Assists
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)
Over 9.5
+108
Under 9.5
-143
BetMGM Logo
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)
Over 7.5
+112
Under 7.5
-147
BetMGM Logo
Jamal Murray (Nuggets)
Over 5.5
-125
Under 5.5
-108
BetMGM Logo
Jalen Williams (Thunder)
Over 4.5
-141
Under 4.5
+106
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)
Over 13.5
-118
Under 13.5
-114
BetMGM Logo
Chet Holmgren (Thunder)
Over 8.5
-109
Under 8.5
-122
BetMGM Logo
Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)
Over 8.5
-127
Under 8.5
-105
BetMGM Logo
Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)
Over 6.5
+106
Under 6.5
-141
BetMGM Logo
Micro Betting

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some basketball bettors prefer to look at the micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Best Betting Offers
Last 5 & H2H
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Oklahoma City Thunder logo Oklahoma City Thunder Stats
Denver Nuggets logo Denver Nuggets Stats
Moneyline
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 47 33.43 1504 292 32.0 6.2 1.8 4.4 0.8 1.3
Jalen Williams 25 29.38 416 139 16.6 5.6 0.9 4.7 0.4 1.3
Chet Holmgren 43 29.31 766 70 17.8 1.6 1.3 8.6 2.0 0.6

Denver Nuggets Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Jamal Murray 44 35.47 1135 325 25.8 7.4 3.3 4.3 0.3 1.0
Nikola Jokic 33 34.26 979 356 29.7 10.8 2.1 12.1 0.7 1.4
Cameron Johnson 28 30.61 327 66 11.7 2.4 1.9 3.5 0.3 0.6

Injuries & Suspensions

Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Table

Type
Name
Info
Nikola Topic
Injured

Denver Nuggets Injury Table

Type
Name
Info
DaRon Holmes II
Injured

Starting Lineups

Denver Nuggets logo Denver Nuggets Confirmed Lineup
0 Christian Braun
1 Michael Porter Jr.
15 Nikola Jokic
27 Jamal Murray
32 Aaron Gordon
Oklahoma City Thunder logo Oklahoma City Thunder Confirmed Lineup
2 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
5 Luguentz Dort
7 Chet Holmgren
8 Jalen Williams
55 Isaiah Hartenstein

Previous Oklahoma City Thunder Lineups

29 Jan NBA
Thunder 111-123 Timberwolves
27 Jan NBA
Pelicans 95-104 Thunder
25 Jan NBA
Raptors 103-101 Thunder
23 Jan NBA
Pacers 117-114 Thunder
21 Jan NBA
Thunder 122-102 Bucks
19 Jan NBA
Thunder 136-104 Cavaliers
17 Jan NBA
Thunder 120-122 Heat
15 Jan NBA
Thunder 111-91 Rockets
13 Jan NBA
Spurs 98-119 Thunder
11 Jan NBA
Heat 112-124 Thunder

Previous Denver Nuggets Lineups

30 Jan NBA
Clippers 109-122 Nuggets
29 Jan NBA
Nets 103-107 Nuggets
27 Jan NBA
Pistons 109-107 Nuggets
23 Jan NBA
Nuggets 102-100 Bucks
22 Jan NBA
Nuggets 107-97 Wizards
20 Jan NBA
Lakers 115-107 Nuggets
18 Jan NBA
Hornets 110-87 Nuggets
17 Jan NBA
Wizards 115-121 Nuggets
14 Jan NBA
Nuggets 118-109 Mavericks
13 Jan NBA
Nuggets 122-116 Pelicans

NBA Regular Season Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 41 21 0.661 114.5 107.1 7.4 20-10 21-11 9-5 27-14 7-3 1L
Knicks 40 23 0.635 116.8 110.7 6.1 23-9 17-14 11-3 27-15 6-4 1L
Raptors 35 27 0.565 113.5 112 1.5 16-16 19-11 4-10 27-16 5-5 2L
76ers 34 28 0.548 115.8 115.9 -0.1 17-16 17-12 8-7 21-20 4-6 1W
Nets 15 47 0.242 106.9 115.7 -8.8 8-22 7-25 3-10 11-28 0-10 10L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 45 16 0.738 117 109.6 7.4 24-7 21-9 10-4 30-8 7-3 2L
Cavaliers 39 24 0.619 119.1 114.9 4.2 21-11 18-13 8-5 25-15 7-3 2W
Bucks 26 35 0.426 111.4 115.8 -4.4 14-16 12-19 8-5 19-23 5-5 4L
Bulls 25 37 0.403 115.7 120 -4.3 16-18 9-19 4-10 17-26 1-9 1L
Pacers 15 47 0.242 111.3 119.7 -8.4 10-22 5-25 3-9 11-30 2-8 7L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Magic 33 28 0.541 114.8 114.3 0.5 20-12 13-16 7-5 20-19 6-4 2W
Heat 34 29 0.54 120 116.6 3.4 20-11 14-18 5-5 18-18 7-3 3W
Hornets 32 31 0.508 116.1 112.3 3.8 14-16 18-15 9-4 20-21 7-3 6W
Hawks 32 31 0.508 117.6 117.3 0.3 14-16 18-15 7-6 18-21 6-4 5W
Wizards 16 46 0.258 112.2 123 -10.8 11-22 5-24 2-10 11-28 2-8 7L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 49 15 0.766 118.9 107.8 11.1 25-7 24-8 9-3 34-9 8-2 4W
Timberwolves 40 23 0.635 119 114.4 4.6 22-11 18-12 8-5 24-17 8-2 5W
Nuggets 38 24 0.613 120.5 116.1 4.4 16-12 22-12 6-4 22-13 5-5 1W
Trail Blazers 30 33 0.476 115.3 118.3 -3 16-15 14-18 5-7 23-18 5-5 1W
Jazz 19 44 0.302 117.7 125.2 -7.5 11-21 8-23 1-10 10-30 3-7 1W
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 37 24 0.607 115.8 115.2 0.6 18-12 19-12 8-7 26-15 5-5 3W
Suns 35 26 0.574 112.1 111.2 0.9 20-12 15-14 10-6 24-18 4-6 2W
Warriors 32 30 0.516 115.3 114.1 1.2 19-13 13-17 6-6 22-19 4-6 1W
Clippers 30 31 0.492 112.4 112 0.4 16-13 14-18 8-5 19-18 6-4 3W
Kings 14 49 0.222 110.2 121.1 -10.9 9-21 5-28 2-10 10-33 2-8 2L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 45 17 0.726 118.2 111.4 6.8 22-6 23-11 10-3 26-13 9-1 2W
Rockets 38 23 0.623 114.7 109.5 5.2 20-8 18-15 6-5 21-17 6-4 1L
Grizzlies 23 38 0.377 115.6 117.7 -2.1 12-18 11-20 6-6 18-25 3-7 2L
Mavericks 21 41 0.339 113.5 117.6 -4.1 14-19 7-22 3-10 11-29 2-8 5L
Pelicans 19 44 0.302 114.9 120.2 -5.3 11-21 8-23 6-7 12-28 6-4 2L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 45 16 0.738 117 109.6 7.4 24-7 21-9 10-4 30-8 7-3 2L
Celtics 41 21 0.661 114.5 107.1 7.4 20-10 21-11 9-5 27-14 7-3 1L
Knicks 40 23 0.635 116.8 110.7 6.1 23-9 17-14 11-3 27-15 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 39 24 0.619 119.1 114.9 4.2 21-11 18-13 8-5 25-15 7-3 2W
Raptors 35 27 0.565 113.5 112 1.5 16-16 19-11 4-10 27-16 5-5 2L
76ers 34 28 0.548 115.8 115.9 -0.1 17-16 17-12 8-7 21-20 4-6 1W
Magic 33 28 0.541 114.8 114.3 0.5 20-12 13-16 7-5 20-19 6-4 2W
Heat 34 29 0.54 120 116.6 3.4 20-11 14-18 5-5 18-18 7-3 3W
Hornets 32 31 0.508 116.1 112.3 3.8 14-16 18-15 9-4 20-21 7-3 6W
Hawks 32 31 0.508 117.6 117.3 0.3 14-16 18-15 7-6 18-21 6-4 5W
Bucks 26 35 0.426 111.4 115.8 -4.4 14-16 12-19 8-5 19-23 5-5 4L
Bulls 25 37 0.403 115.7 120 -4.3 16-18 9-19 4-10 17-26 1-9 1L
Wizards 16 46 0.258 112.2 123 -10.8 11-22 5-24 2-10 11-28 2-8 7L
Nets 15 47 0.242 106.9 115.7 -8.8 8-22 7-25 3-10 11-28 0-10 10L
Pacers 15 47 0.242 111.3 119.7 -8.4 10-22 5-25 3-9 11-30 2-8 7L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 49 15 0.766 118.9 107.8 11.1 25-7 24-8 9-3 34-9 8-2 4W
Spurs 45 17 0.726 118.2 111.4 6.8 22-6 23-11 10-3 26-13 9-1 2W
Timberwolves 40 23 0.635 119 114.4 4.6 22-11 18-12 8-5 24-17 8-2 5W
Rockets 38 23 0.623 114.7 109.5 5.2 20-8 18-15 6-5 21-17 6-4 1L
Nuggets 38 24 0.613 120.5 116.1 4.4 16-12 22-12 6-4 22-13 5-5 1W
Lakers 37 24 0.607 115.8 115.2 0.6 18-12 19-12 8-7 26-15 5-5 3W
Suns 35 26 0.574 112.1 111.2 0.9 20-12 15-14 10-6 24-18 4-6 2W
Warriors 32 30 0.516 115.3 114.1 1.2 19-13 13-17 6-6 22-19 4-6 1W
Clippers 30 31 0.492 112.4 112 0.4 16-13 14-18 8-5 19-18 6-4 3W
Trail Blazers 30 33 0.476 115.3 118.3 -3 16-15 14-18 5-7 23-18 5-5 1W
Grizzlies 23 38 0.377 115.6 117.7 -2.1 12-18 11-20 6-6 18-25 3-7 2L
Mavericks 21 41 0.339 113.5 117.6 -4.1 14-19 7-22 3-10 11-29 2-8 5L
Pelicans 19 44 0.302 114.9 120.2 -5.3 11-21 8-23 6-7 12-28 6-4 2L
Jazz 19 44 0.302 117.7 125.2 -7.5 11-21 8-23 1-10 10-30 3-7 1W
Kings 14 49 0.222 110.2 121.1 -10.9 9-21 5-28 2-10 10-33 2-8 2L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 49 15 0.766 118.9 107.8 11.1 25-7 24-8 9-3 34-9 8-2 4W
Pistons 45 16 0.738 117 109.6 7.4 24-7 21-9 10-4 30-8 7-3 2L
Spurs 45 17 0.726 118.2 111.4 6.8 22-6 23-11 10-3 26-13 9-1 2W
Celtics 41 21 0.661 114.5 107.1 7.4 20-10 21-11 9-5 27-14 7-3 1L
Timberwolves 40 23 0.635 119 114.4 4.6 22-11 18-12 8-5 24-17 8-2 5W
Knicks 40 23 0.635 116.8 110.7 6.1 23-9 17-14 11-3 27-15 6-4 1L
Rockets 38 23 0.623 114.7 109.5 5.2 20-8 18-15 6-5 21-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 39 24 0.619 119.1 114.9 4.2 21-11 18-13 8-5 25-15 7-3 2W
Nuggets 38 24 0.613 120.5 116.1 4.4 16-12 22-12 6-4 22-13 5-5 1W
Lakers 37 24 0.607 115.8 115.2 0.6 18-12 19-12 8-7 26-15 5-5 3W
Suns 35 26 0.574 112.1 111.2 0.9 20-12 15-14 10-6 24-18 4-6 2W
Raptors 35 27 0.565 113.5 112 1.5 16-16 19-11 4-10 27-16 5-5 2L
76ers 34 28 0.548 115.8 115.9 -0.1 17-16 17-12 8-7 21-20 4-6 1W
Magic 33 28 0.541 114.8 114.3 0.5 20-12 13-16 7-5 20-19 6-4 2W
Heat 34 29 0.54 120 116.6 3.4 20-11 14-18 5-5 18-18 7-3 3W
Warriors 32 30 0.516 115.3 114.1 1.2 19-13 13-17 6-6 22-19 4-6 1W
Hawks 32 31 0.508 117.6 117.3 0.3 14-16 18-15 7-6 18-21 6-4 5W
Hornets 32 31 0.508 116.1 112.3 3.8 14-16 18-15 9-4 20-21 7-3 6W
Clippers 30 31 0.492 112.4 112 0.4 16-13 14-18 8-5 19-18 6-4 3W
Trail Blazers 30 33 0.476 115.3 118.3 -3 16-15 14-18 5-7 23-18 5-5 1W
Bucks 26 35 0.426 111.4 115.8 -4.4 14-16 12-19 8-5 19-23 5-5 4L
Bulls 25 37 0.403 115.7 120 -4.3 16-18 9-19 4-10 17-26 1-9 1L
Grizzlies 23 38 0.377 115.6 117.7 -2.1 12-18 11-20 6-6 18-25 3-7 2L
Mavericks 21 41 0.339 113.5 117.6 -4.1 14-19 7-22 3-10 11-29 2-8 5L
Pelicans 19 44 0.302 114.9 120.2 -5.3 11-21 8-23 6-7 12-28 6-4 2L
Jazz 19 44 0.302 117.7 125.2 -7.5 11-21 8-23 1-10 10-30 3-7 1W
Wizards 16 46 0.258 112.2 123 -10.8 11-22 5-24 2-10 11-28 2-8 7L
Nets 15 47 0.242 106.9 115.7 -8.8 8-22 7-25 3-10 11-28 0-10 10L
Pacers 15 47 0.242 111.3 119.7 -8.4 10-22 5-25 3-9 11-30 2-8 7L
Kings 14 49 0.222 110.2 121.1 -10.9 9-21 5-28 2-10 10-33 2-8 2L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak